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don't forget, this is sort of a process of elimination here with the ups and downs nationally. also the ups and downs in iowa. but iowa caucusgoers like to meet their candidates. ron paul has a very effective message, which they understand and like. which is small government. he's got a great organization. really, really important. they've seen a lot of michele bachmann, but what they saw, they didn't like. with rick santorum now, what they see, they like. and so he's peaking. with mitt romney, hasn't spent a tremendous amount of time in the state. but then there's another question. they believe he's electable. and so that's important to them, too. >> all right. interesting, as john king had pointed out. you had one county, i believe, that went to ron paul last time. ron paul obviously doing a little bit better this time around. wolf? >> we certainly don't know who will win tuesday night. but who's likely to lose? who's most likely to lose? we're going to talk to our

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