first? >> well, first of all, democratic candidates have won both iowa and new hampshire. it's republicans where no one accept an incumbent president has won both iowa and new hampshire in the same year. in a contested race, in effect. there's a reason for that, soledad. you were talking about before whether they are truly representative states of the broader electorate. a problem on the democratic side because democrats get 40% of their votes from minorities, each state is seeing minority growth. much less of an issue on the republican side because it is for better or worse, overwhelmingly white. 90% of john mccain's votes came from whites. somewhat more blue collar, new hampshire is very different. more upscale, more college educated and much more secular and only a quarter of the electorate is evangelicals. that's why it's so hard for one candidate to win both in the same year. since traditionally 1990 has