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so that's a very favorable map. he's in the hunt in those four states but a sweep is still probably an unlikely scenario, but even if he did, he's not at 270. that means he's got to dig in to some territory that hillary clinton already holds. where was he tonight? two stops in pennsylvania. that's his key. he said today he's going to spend much time in the next couple weeks in the suburbs of philadelphia to try to win pennsylvania. that's his key. that would do it, but by god, that is putting a lot of eggs in one basket in a state where hillary clinton has a significant advantage right now and that has been democratic since 1988. that is a tricky proposition for donald trump. >> all right, david chalian. appreciate looking at the polls. back with the panel now. alex, how hard is it for donald trump to try to turn these numbers around? because you could argue we have seen big changes just in the last couple months going back and forth, but is it too late to change? >> it's definitely difficult. it's not impossible for him to get some of those republicans back, and if there's a silver lining here for trump, it's that most of the drop is coming from those republicans who are

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