town and they were so sure they were going to win, they left their luggage in berlin. but we see one shock after another. '97, blair, the scope of his victory was astounding. 1992, john major won. nobody expected that. it happened again to you a couple weeks ago. you can now put yourself in the category of winston church hill. >> yes. talk about deflating. >> yeah. why is it so hard to read the british electorate from 1945 to 2015? >> you know, i really wish i had an answer to that. some of it has to do with the information that is available and how polling is done. there are more online polling i think that is less reliable. but i think there will be a lot of academic treatises on this. i know what happened generally, which is that nationalism took over that election. scottish nationalism, smp swept