Ukraine in the next month or one and a half, because according to the forecasts of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the ministry of defense of ukraine and the supreme commanderinchief, that during this period the russians will launch an offensive and launch an offensive sufficiently widely, what to expect at the end of may or from the middle of may to the end of june, well, at least. We have to wait for the actions of the russians to intensify, er, if we analyze the situation, what is on the front, now the enemy, er, does not have such forces to conduct strategic directions, offensives, but they are even now conducting such offensives, which, lets say, consist of yes on tactical directions, but if you miss these moments, they can turn into an Operational Success of the russians there, but i i will say, as secretary of the committee. A few days ago i received received, well, we receive information on the logistical assistance that comes to us according to intelligence, it was nice to see the latest reports from our partners, the amount of ammunition that was given to us, recently, when before the aid was voted , yes, the europeans provided us with our partners, others, but there you. You constantly saw how it decreased, in particular, the range of highprecision ammunition from our overseas partners, and this, lets say, they had such a very large high influence on battlefield, in particular hymars missiles there and others, well, when it was opened now, we even looked there with some colleagues from the committee, let s say, as they say, they were pouring, and thats good, and i hope that the enemy is there preparing for the offensive. Well, lets put it this way, if all this is brought to the battlefield and used correctly, then we have, fortunately, what to meet it now, and i think that the enemy will not achieve any significant success, realizing what forces and means we have there is, and this is only what has come, and there is still much to come, so we must understand that we have something to fight against, well, for the near future, of course, the question will be all about. Guys, warriors in the mobilization potential, which should use everything that our partners give us. The spokesperson of the operational strategic grouping of khortytsia troops, Lieutenant Colonel nazar voloshyn, says that the enemy does not stop trying to storm the city of krasnohorivka in small groups, but the Defense Forces are holding their positions, i quote the Lieutenant Colonel, part of those groups that broke through. Ukrainian soldiers managed to reach the refractory plant in krasnogohorivka liquidate, and those who remained are in a difficult situation, since they are practically deprived of ammunition supply and Armored Vehicle support. At the moment, fighting is going on there, well, this is the situation near the city of krasnohorivka, but mr. Colonel, how do you assess the possibilities of the russians to deploy a front, to create a northeastern one. The sumy front, kharkiv, because there are also different estimates, there are different forecasts and that the russians may use Additional Forces in order to go to sumy and kharkiv, is this possible . Look, uh, its possible, but the question, what goals do they want to achieve . If we say just go and establish a foothold, make a sanitary zone, as they say, there, then of course they need to pull up the troops. Everything depends on us, but this is not the story when they wanted it and they did everything, because we have troops there, we have a prepared border, everything is mined there, it is not even a border there in 22. This is a completely different story, so it will be quite difficult for them to do it, this is a fact, well, plus , i say once again, having received the help that is currently available there, then we fortunately have something to meet them, but they did not give up the socalled sanitary zone, as they said 2030 km after the Russian Volunteer corps and other Russian Volunteers there periodically crossed the border and, lets say, caused and sabotaged attacked the russians. The regular forces were conducting combat operations there, of course they want to secure it, because it affects the reputation there, including that of putin, they will try to do this in this area, but i say once again, we have something to meet , ago it is likely, but such Global Forces that could, well, many are afraid that they will capture kharkiv there, look, if you do everything right, of course you can drop everything and run, and then, of course, you can capture there, but if it is properly organized. Defense even with the available forces and means that we currently have, plus with the help that we currently have, it is unlikely that they will succeed there, the main thing for our commanders and generals is to plan correctly, to protect personnel correctly the composition is correct use the available weapons, and lets say , well, at least we will be able to hold out, as for further actions there, we have to look at the situation, mr. Colonel, jake sullivan, this. The president of the United States of america on National Security says that in in 2025, ukraine plans to launch a new counteroffensive after receiving military aid from the United States of america. How do you assess the possibilities from deterring the offensive of the russians to our possibilities of transitioning to a counteroffensive in a year. Look, its a year such a long gap. Time, and, lets say, it is very difficult to predict what actions we will have in a year, we can plan, we can certainly plan, say that now we are in strategic defense, and in a year we will go on a counteroffensive, but there will be a lot, but , there will be conditions that we could, and we need these conditions, to fulfill them, to achieve certain goals, so that we can do it, for example, to mobilize a certain number of people that would allow us to. Go into this counteroffensive, make large stockpiles of weapons and equipment, ammunition, we are currently being supplied with ammunition, they are enough for the current conduct of hostilities to launch a counteroffensive, we need there, well, from my point of view, there are tens of times more ammunition there, because those who are attacking understand how it is done , how it is planned, and this is a fact, therefore we have to plan, but before these plans we have to. A lot of actions have to be carried out and preparedness has been brought up, if it will be, again, how will the enemy behave, if the enemy will further increase its potential and will produce for next year, not 2 million there, but 4 million ammunition, yes, we have to think about it, if we do not have superiority in the air, this will also need to be taken into account, then our defense and industrial complex, so we can plan the issue, but there are a lot of components that. There is homework that we have to do to make it a reality. Mr. Colonel, today the supreme commanderinchief of the armed forces of ukraine, volodymyr zelenskyi, also gave an assessment of what is currently happening at the front during a meeting with the head of the European Parliament robert mytsulai, he said that, taking advantage of the lack of weapons in the armed forces of ukraine, the russian army increased the pressure on the north. In the east, but the Defense Forces will stop this offensive after new shipments of weapons arrive in ukraine, in particular from the military package approved with the United States of america, lets listen to what zelensky said, we didnt have enough forces there, there was an increase in forces in the east, vdiivsky, pokrovsky, you know, all these directions, and there is a really difficult situation, not the first day. There are deliveries, but not the volumes which were, thank god, once again and gratitude, once again, but not those that were voted, as soon as they arrive, we will stop their initiative in the east of the state. Mr. Colonel, why do our western partners always give us weapons, so dosed so that we dont. Violate parity with the russians, so that we dont do more than necessary, or just to deter russia, but dont do bi steps, for example, to expel them from the borders of the ukrainian state, and accordingly with a counteroffensive, possibly on the territory of the Russian Federation, what are they afraid of . Look, well, i think these questions should be directly asked first of all by our diplomats, and the supreme commanderinchief, when he talks about this, he knows why this happens, i will say that yes, a certain amount of everything comes to us, but there are two side of the coin, first of all, i would like more and for them to give everything and we put it in. In our territory, some russian rockets immediately flew there, this is also a factor that we have to take into account when transferring ammunition here, and on its a pity, there were times when, even in my memory, i walked around with my feet, scattered, lets say, cluster munitions, when the russians hit large warehouses, and honestly, well, my heart was bleeding, i dont know, i just wanted to scream, when you saw how many munitions were destroyed there, im not saying that there are millions, but, but for certain directions it was critical, it is also necessary to take into account when you say, give us everything, so we must understand that there must be someone who says that we need, for example, a certain amount of ammunition per month, we need such, for example, to conduct defense actions we can provide the storage of these munitions, we can ensure that they are put to their intended use and everything else, i think it has to be stored somewhere that is not accessible to the russians because they are after this package is announced. After our partners voted, everything, they are doing everything to invent, find and find warehouses for these munitions, they dont regret it, they dont burn their agents, which they have preserved here for many years, and the missiles are expensive , no power at all, or no bribe there even some foreign representatives, in order to understand where they are passing, well, weapons are being fiddled with. Ukraine, so here we have to be very careful, why partners give us exactly, here it is, you know, this is a question that cannot be answered on the air, because there are a lot of factors, and there are agreements for each individual type of weaponry, somewhere they have problems themselves with some types of weapons, somewhere there are problems with supplies, somewhere they, here i see the nomenclature, and now you can understand what ammunition they have, and which are not, for example, you just look there on the 155th, which one the nomenclature of measures and you understand that. There are also nuances, i will not talk about them, but there is a large number of some, there is a smaller number of completely others, when you look at what might be better here, so, lets say, in them they also divide, because they have a war not only in ukraine, we see that now they have stopped supplying weapons to israel there, they are also at odds with each other there, so they dispose of these weapons and see where it can affect and more win their interest. And help the country they are trying to help help. Mr. Colonel, president zelenskyi conducted regular personnel rotations among the top management, the military leadership, dismissed Serhii Lupanchuk from the post of commander of the special Operations Forces of the armed forces of ukraine and appointed the hero of ukraine oleksandr tripak to this post. The president also appointed dmytro gerega as commander of the support forces of the armed forces of ukraine, who was dismissed from the same position only on march 24. Well, today zelenskyi dismissed the former commanderinchief of the armed forces of ukraine Valery Zaluzhny from military service, and by another decree appointed him ambassador of ukraine to great britain, here is what is happening now with the special Operations Forces, because as far as i remember, Serhiy Lupanchuk was appointed commander very recently, now here is the next rotation , oleksandr tripak will be the new commander, with what it is related, that is, there are some. Well , objective reasons, or in principle the president selects a team so that it is a team, one team, plays equally, has certain results, and accordingly evaluates the work of these commanders, i will not rate with your permission, lupanchuk or other commanders are there, they will be evaluated by their subordinates, soldiers from the battlefield, but i will say that i. Uh, at the moment, i am glad that general trepak is appointed, and because i said long ago with respect to some past commanders who were in the ssso, er, what is wrong to appoint to the ssso er commanders from other ee branches of the military there with guru, for example, with all due respect to guru, a very serious organization, but the ssso is a separate institution , it can be said that, the alternative of guru, well, it is not complete, because they are not an intelligence agency, but in the future i hope they will become one, because. I believe that there should not be a monopoly on military intelligence in the country, but they will have to acquire capabilities, and this institutionalization should be managed in the ssso from my point of view, especially during the war, they are like a family there, i was in that family for a long time, more than two years since the beginning of the war, lets say, observed as a participant, and very. Lets say , it takes a long time for them to get used to people who come from abroad, despite the fact that, i will repeat once again, there are families who grow from the command of the group commander, then to the squad commander, Company Commander, squad commander, there are deputies, brigade commanders, occupy some positions in the command, grow along the career line and look up, and then understand whether they appoint someone from completely different bodies, and this is very wrong. Because i say once again, special units are always such a family, there is a different atmosphere, different relations, well, than, for example, there in the infantry or tank troops, this is a fact, you cannot argue with that here, with all due respect to everyone, but this is a special body, and this institutionality should be here, unless, for example, in the entire special Operations Forces, once there are more than 30 thousand, there will not be a person who can lead the special Operations Forces, knowing each other and working on trust, and not there and not putting her on top, so that she is someones person, and not a person of the sso. Sssos should be run by people with sssos. And this is very important, when i served both in the troops in the Airborne Troops and in alpha, and this institutionality, this family nature of these special operations, special assignment, it has a very serious effect on the atmosphere inside, and when someone comes from outside the best, with all due respect to them, i dont think its right, because its. Uh, this, this unit has to educate people themselves, so im glad , that this commander came, i do not idealize the military, i have the right to do so, because i myself, the military, and i always believed that not always, lets say, the best platoon commander can be a good Company Commander and vice versa, sometimes a bad platoon leader can become a good one by company, this is a fact, and i hope that after all general trepak, he is in the family, and he will be a worthy commander to lead. Then the sso in the fight against the russians, well, he has all the opportunities for this, and his experience and his, shall we say, past in the sso, and respect from the soldiers of the sso, this is a good start, then everything will depend on him, i i wish him good luck in the military. Mr. Colonel, one more topic is relevant enough, which will be actualized as early as may 18, this is mobilization and a new one. Mobilization procedure, new procedure for payment of fines for those who violate, who will violate military registration and mobilization, the Verkhovna Rada has already adopted a bill on fines, those who will violate military registration mobilization during martial law will be forced to pay fines from 17,000 to 25,500, and the council has also adopted a decision on the mobilization of those convicted of minor crimes people. Mp of ukraine Mykola Knyazhytskyi during the meeting of the Verkhovna Rada called on the authorities to take responsibility for the mobilization. Lets listen to what knyazhytsky said. Now is the time to unite. Now is the time for everyone the ministry of economy should calculate who exactly is needed and at which enterprises, because it is impossible to bleed the economy either. Now is the time to tell through mass media that our military is preparing in training centers, that. They do not throw a tank at a grenade, that we have a strong army, that we are ready to defend our country shoulder to shoulder, but when we say shoulder to shoulder shoulder to shoulder, then the president should also stand shoulder to shoulder, who should not just address and talk about the necessary offensives, but call for mobilization and the parliament, all these jokes that we see at the marathon and on tv channels, when the military is made fun of, which infuriates the whole system. This does not contribute to mobilization. Mr. Colonel, if you briefly summarize the process that has already begun, which will probably unfold in the next two to three months in ukraine, how do you assess the legislation that was adopted and the prospects for attracting conscripts to the armed forces of ukraine. Well, i hope to improve ours. Mobilization climate, in particular in the country, because, well, you understand we have always had a history when the law had to be passed, it still needs to work properly, and we always have it at this stage. I missed something, so there are a lot of questions now, in particular, how the data will be restored, how people will be recruited, how they will pass the vlk, and of course there is a lot of work by the government