Our coordinated work, we are only moving forward, the development of our territory will continue, everyone will feel significant for your country in the service of the occupiers, syomov distributed humanitarian aid in the village and held a socalled referendum, demanded money from farmers for cultivating the land, threatened with reprisals by Russian Military personnel. On syomovs instructions , the russians searched one of the farmers, took his car, money and locked him up in katyvna for several days. Inhabitants of atmanai can rightfully be proud of their history and modern achievements, believe in its future and create it with their work. Good work. Our Law Enforcement agencies collected evidence regarding the collaborative activities of this traitor and. Took the case to court. On september 19, 2023 , the Leninsky District Court of the city of zaporizhzhia found oleksandr, a former deputy of the kirilliv settlement council, guilty and sentenced him in absentia to seven years in prison. This seller did not have long to hide behind russian skirts. And finally , i will tell you about yuri balanin. Until february 24 , he served in the ukrainian police, took an oath of loyalty to ukraine, then went into business. They say he bought a Recreation Center on fedotova kosa in kyrylivka, suddenly the war started, and balabin again decided to put on the uniform, which is true of the russian model. Locals say that with the arrival of the invaders , balabin met them and received them in his house at a sumptuous table. For such a warm reception, the traitor was appointed chief of the police of the kyrylivka village. But not for long. In the summer of 2023, he was removed from his post. Realizing that in. In ukraine , a court and a cage await him, the seller tried to leave the occupied territories. One problem the right to leave for an expoliceman did not give it is said that yuriy balabin tried to leave the occupation through crimea to russia three times, and three times he was returned to the checkpoint, because he is on the noentry lists. Yuriy, i want to inform you that we in ukraine are waiting for you very much, you can even not take your things, they give you pajamas and a brush in prison. This was the Collaborator Program and i am olena kononenko, if you have information about the kremlin sellers, write to us at this email address or just on facebook, together we will send all the traitors after the russian ship. See you in a week ether espresso. Glory to ukraine, dear tv viewers, on the espresso tv channel, the west studio program, we will traditionally analyze the most important events of this week. Our guests today are glen grant and mark fagen. Our first guest is retired british army colonel, military expert glen grant. Glory to ukraine, dear mr. Colonel, god save the king. Well, first of all, i would like us to analyze the great russian offensive of may and june, right . Many analysts talked about it and we are certainly difficult bloody battles, we are talking not only about the donetsk region, but about the front line in general, if we analyze the enemys preparations for large scale operations, what they will be in your opinion and in the opinion of military experts of various western countries. In fact, it is quite difficult to judge now, and i will try to explain why firstly, the situation on the ukrainian front was not the best in the last 23 months, there were failures in many places, but if you look at the map on a large scale, the number of lost territories, compared to the size of ukraine, is actually quite small, but of course, nobody likes to lose villages. So, the russians managed to advance, but in the south , the ukrainian troops on the eastern bank seem to be holding up pretty well, despite the loss, they manage to hold their positions, and this is impressive. There are even rumors that there are many russian deserters in the south. On the other hand, the russian side is not so much. Strong as we imagine. At the moment, the biggest concern is the talk that russia may launch an attack and dynamically develop it. My contacts say that russia is indeed massing troops for a potential attack somewhere probably east or south of bakhmut. However, one should wait and see if the russians have enough strength for such an offensive, given the significant number of casualties and. The loss of weapons and equipment that they suffered. There is also talk of a possible attack from the north, particularly towards kharkiv or sumy, but again, i have not seen any us or uk intelligence to indicate significant troop movements in the area. Seems to that these rumors originate mainly from the ukrainian general staff, and not from the international community, which probably has access to satellite intelligence. The key question now is how much aid will flow to ukraine over the next few months, and where it will be used. Analysts cannot predict this, as the government and general staff do not reveal their strategic plans for where and how they intend to pressure russia. However, they must operate in the central part as they continue to retreat no. Both politically and militarily. It is necessary to put pressure on russia, whether through a counteroffensive or in some other way. Perhaps it would be worthwhile to pay more attention to the south, in particular to the kherson region. As for zaporizhzhia, it is now a special region with a Strong Defense and a rather static situation. It is unclear whether russia will try to do anything there. We. Know that russia will continue to press, it is not known what and it is not known where. We also do not know where ukraine will direct the aid it will receive from the United States and europe. So you can do many predictions, but we are likely to see dynamic developments over the next few months as both sides put pressure on each other, possibly in their current spots or elsewhere. Hopefully, over the next three to four weeks , well start to get more information and understanding of whats really going on. Well, we understand that the classic russian scheme is an offensive until the end of the offensive impulse, that is, in simple language, when the personnel ends, so we understand that the russians have now prepared a certain number of reservists, trained them, and here is the key story, do you think they will be ready to open additional hot lines of the front to the colonel, yes those lines that could, well, until a certain time they were as if asleep, in particular, for example, will it apply to kharkiv and the kharkiv region, yes, in addition to the kupinsky direction, they can apply certain or other sections of the front, there is also the question of the sumy region, it is in the north, and of course the zaporizhia direction you already mentioned, but key story if we operate. By the number of russian interveners prepared and already present on the front line, what it is, whether they will have enough strength, and at the same time we are also aware of the fact that, most likely, russia is not just entering the mayjune offensive campaign, rather we are entering a new one war phase. Good question, we know they were mobilizing and you mentioned training, but if they didnt have time to train people properly and in. Basically we didnt see any evidence of quality training on the russian side for the last period, then whether they managed to conduct Vocational Training now. I mean, the crews of tanks and armored personnel carriers obviously do not know their way around. This can be seen in the videos where the soldiers do not act in a coordinated manner. Therefore , russian tactics at the moment are to use their artillery and guided aerial bombs. To destroy the front as much as possible, to make it impossible for ukrainian soldiers to stay in the trenches, and therefore to attack with as much cannon fodder as possible, i dont think that any of this will change, which. Can change, thats the ability of the ukrainian side to use artillery and counterbattery fire to destroy the enemys artillery potential, but where they are going to attack, i have no idea, maybe they dont even know yet, but you can be sure that if they have enough forces, they will continue the attack where, in their opinion, there will be the weakest position, such is the russian policy, they will push through. They will probe, and then secure success. It is difficult to say now, because we, analysts, do not have enough information, in particular, in terms of how many soldiers ukraine has in different directions, there are definitely weak points. We know this because soldiers are reporting it on facebook and elsewhere. But do the russians understand where these weak points are . This is unknown to me. We will only know when they attack. And where they will direct their energy, until that moment, i think, you should not make empty predictions. Is there already an understanding, for example, that the enemy has artillery barrels and artillery systems, it is possible, there is also an understanding that the enemy is dealing with heavy Armored Vehicles, so we understand that the offensive impulse is not only about manpower, but also about equipment, and we also understand how many enemy Armored Vehicles and enemy artillery were destroyed by our fighters. Systems this is a very good question. My answer is this if you take into account the current way of fighting, then yes, they lack Armored Vehicles. They dont use their machines in the way we usually imagine in the west. They operate with ones and twos, which indicates their scarcity. Nowadays they produce more but it remains an open question whether they will continue to disperse them throughout the front line. Or, on the contrary, will be concentrated to carry out concentrated armored attacks. However, such attacks require properly trained personnel, which they clearly lack. And it is not only a lack of Armored Vehicles, as they are probably still in sufficient quantity, in a shortage of trained crews who could operate them. The loss of experienced tank crews, in particular due to injuries, resulted to. Is russia making significant efforts to covertly train personnel . Perhaps, since there is no satellite evidence to indicate such an effort. Previously, american intelligence effectively monitored activities in russia, but since 2021 , no such reports have been received. This suggests that they may be canning their armor until they can collect enough. Composition to make a breakthrough. In the coming months, they will most likely deploy everything they have on the front lines means however, the mobilization of a large number of vehicles is associated with certain difficulties, as there is a high risk that ukrainian intelligence can detect and neutralize such a concentrated deployment. Thus, their advancement is not an easy task. The key story is wars, so in order to plan and deploy certain military capabilities, a couple of days ago, in a conversation with me, matthew bryza, the former director of european and Eurasian Affairs at the National Security council of the United States, said that the russians will advance in this year, next year, on the 25th, we can expect a counteroffensive from the armed forces of ukraine. Subsequently, this information was literally confirmed there in a couple of days by president Joseph Bidens adviser on national affairs. Security jake sullivan, and the russians have already voiced their threats in case of supplying ukraine with f16s. They somehow compared it even to the prospect of using or using Nuclear Weapons, that is, it is a much more serious story for them, and they are afraid of it. What difference does it make who has the plan . The priority was and remains the ukrainian plan, it is not about london, berlin or anyone else, going. About ukraine, i dont see anyone going to use Nuclear Weapons because of the appearance of the f16. Russia didnt use nukes when tanks came out and didnt use them when atakams or hymars or anything else came out. Therefore, i do not see that this will change anything, nor do i think that f16s in ukrainian skies will bring victory. They are definitely important, but not as much as everyone expects. And yet we must be very careful when we speak. About a counterattack in order to carry out an effective one counteroffensive, you have to have a surplus of resources, that means you have to have more resources than the enemy, and that you have to have prepared. Trained people, and we still havent gotten to the point of saying that the ukrainian the fighters have gone through the proper counter attack training, so to have enough men for the counter attack in 2025 we have to mobilize and recruit them now, but at the moment almost all the mobilized are going straight to the front line because the front line is thin, so if we want to counter attack , we should be talking about a very different state of affairs from the way we have it now, 2025 is still a long way off, we have to survive 2024 first , but i dont see a nuclear threat, there is no such coordinated plan in case of the use of Nuclear Weapons. It is obvious that there are action plans in the event of a russian attack on a nato country. These plans are being implemented, and now, for example, intensive training is taking place in the baltic countries and finland, and. To be ready in case russia continues to advance. I do not take putins threats lightly, especially considering that they are preparing to conduct exercises nonstrategic, tactical Nuclear Weapons, and the socalled southern Russian Military district will be in charge of that. The Southern Military district is actively involved in aggression against ukraine. We hear a lot of different optimistic scenarios about how, i dont know, the mausoleum will catch fire in response. Mr. Colonel, you have the floor. As i said, i dont think putin will use Nuclear Weapons, because i think that would be unwise. He doesnt have trained troops to deal with the aftermath, so it would cause him as much, if not more, trouble than the ukrainian side. The first thing that will happen in response is a massive counterattack by the air force along the russian front line, because the west in this case. There is no point in knocking out a wedge with a wedge. He has a lot of ground and air capabilities to react. So these things are practiced and they know what to do. In this regard, i believe that we pay too much attention to putins rhetoric. Since our last conversation, several important events have taken place. Macron said he would be ready for deploy Ground Troops under certain circumstances. It is not clear what the circumstances are. But at least he made that commitment. In addition, poland will probably agree to such actions. Great britain has stated that it will be with ukraine as long as necessary, offering contractual obligations, Financial Assistance and support. The president of lithuania announced plans to deploy military personnel to ukraine for training support. These are significant positive steps on the western front. I think we should. Spend more time on consistency of response of the west and less on what putin says, because putin often talks nonsense when pressured. Now he is clearly under pressure, despite his mobilization and increase in personnel. He is clearly concerned about the situation and i am sure we will see more signs of internal problems within russia in the coming months. How seriously and to the end will the president of france, the british king, i dont know, president biden, whether it is possible for his successor to go to the end together with ukraine. It gives back us to what i already mentioned. The situation boils down to two potential factors. The first, if there is a significant russian breakthrough, then all european capitals will face difficult questions, but there is no fixed. On this matter yet, and this is obvious because some countries, such as italy, show weakness in this matter, because they do not feel a direct threat, but they will, because poland, germany, france and Great Britain will fear that the situation will worsen and affect them. There are currently no concrete plans or solutions, there is a recognition that we may have to resort to more serious action. However, i believe that there is not only recognition, but also readiness for such actions. Recently, the president of the United States signed macroeconomic aid for ukraine, more than 61 billion dollars. The amount is huge, on the other hand, we are also aware that the russians are also throwing huge money into their defense industry. Well , actually, if you try to compare these proportions, it is not about money, but about specific military equipment. I dont think so the russian side manages to even out some proportions, they can only keep doing what they are doing now, so for now we just have to assume that whatever they do. Russia, it will be something close to what they are doing now, because in order to implement something radically different and complex, it is necessary to have completely different training and equipment systems, so russia will continue to act in its spirit and pace, especially if new sanctions on the part of the European Union and the usa will really increase the pressure on iran and north korea and on all those countries that support russia. Among the list. These countries include switzerland, austria and china. So i think that in the coming months we will see changes, namely an increase in sanctions pressure to try to reduce and stop russias ability to do anything different than what it is doing now on the territory of ukraine. Personally , i would really like to see a lot more focus on supporting the soldiers on the front line because we are still losing too many because they are. Not properly equipped, i am in constant communication with people at the front who simply have no one and nothing to fight for. In my opinion, we spend too much time constantly focusing on one big thing. How much did we talk about tanks, how much do we talk about f16 fighter jets, how much money did we spend on unknown what . We do not forget about the construction of ships for ukraine in turkey. So, have we wasted time and money . Although in fact, if we immediately started making grenades, grenade launchers, mortars, mortar ammunition,