South carolina with a make or break contest for at least some of the contenders. Lets ask Dan Hemminger and columnist and Manhattan Institute senior fellow jason riley. Any doubt that sanders is the front runner . No doubt at all. Numbers told the story. He has won two caucus is in the primary in a row in nevada and South Carolina and bernie has a cement like block of supporters a 25 . It is the question whether he can expand that base. We said that about donald trump. Im not sure the same is true of you dont think he could expand as much. One of the big stories in the past week, is the workers in nevada, they have repudiated, bernies medicare for all saying the preferred their goldplated private insurance plans. And the thing that most people attached to Bernie Sanders is medicare for all. And i think that was that six and with the American People it begins to establishha a feelingn his support which gives an opportunity for the moderates to vote however theyre going to do that, but a judge and Amy Klobuchar and Mike Bloomberg, those are not releasing joe biden. [laughter]. And find out if they have a candidate they can put up against him. Its about why couldnt Elisabeth Warren as Bernie Sanders is the champion. Theres a lot of thinking that she would do precisely that in the summer but it just has not happened. I think she made two big mistakes in one of them was this flipflop that she did on medicare for all. Coming out saying that she would endorse it within saying, we probably wouldnt institute it for a couple of years. It really made her look less like the real thing than bernie. I think the mistake now in retrospect was going after him. Not making contest with him. They have this mutual nonaggression pact but its really just giving him the field and she was feeling it after New Hampshire. She may well be done. Because joe biden done too. I think we know where dan feels about that but biden has made an explicit appeal. On tuesday night to minority voters to say in nevada, latinos and africanamericans in South Carolina. Theres an outside chance that South Carolina is a him that it is not, i am very doubtful paul. I think he is underperformed early and to such an extent that no one was really expecting anything its going to be very tough for him to recover a lot of those more census voters seems to move to Amy Klobuchar rightly of course has had this work and we will see how she does going forward. She raised a bunch of money after she won the last debate and then what New Hampshire. But now she was going on to nevada which is an organization. She doesnt have a lot of infrastructure and shes been making even more money going forward. So we will see how she plays there. The binding, i think a lot of people are counting them out right now. Paul and as jason points out they need money. But she doess appeal to an awful lot of what i would call the Center Left Democrats and the progressives who arent in the sanders moran going. A lot going for her in terms of her seriousness and she is appealing as a person. Not charismatic but looks solid and is capable. Jason t think she also democrat deep thinking appeal to them. For meeting donald trump. They agree on a candidate who can defeat trump. One of the ways to do that, is to polos amongst the suburban women into the column away from top. Amy klobuchar looks like so many who could do that. Two thirds of her vote in New Hampshire was from women. I think of chloe shark did that and then she could possibly run, a lifelong democrat boot bluecollar democrat, i think she could make an appeal to minorities as well. Wif you can make a case that se would make a very strong candidate against donald trump. Jason she said, listen i am prochoice but prolife people are welcome to this party. In contrast that with Bernie Sanders. If your stance, i think that is smart on the part of Amy Klobuchar. Paul in New Hampshire pete been a judge, the examples he had the most Diverse Coalition the most breath across almost all demographic groups he did. Pete buttigieg did reasonably well. What are his challenges in nevada and South Carolina. Because exit polls are little deceiving though. Because New Hampshire isnt as a diverse state as many other states. Salinities is number one number one challenges he goes to nevada. And South Carolina can he prove himself with these court demographics in the Democratic Party. The africanamerican and latino votes. The polls havent necessarily shown him doing well with those groups. It took a little better now that he is a better name recognition out of iowa and New Hampshire thats going to be the big test for him. When we come back following his New Hampshire win, Bernie Sanders takes the lead ramping up concern among swing state democrats. Syphilis sanders at the top of the ticket. Where the partys chances of winning back the senate or even keeping the house. Paul onto nevada. It is on to win the democratic nomination. And together, i have no doubt that we will defeat donald trump. Paul Bernie Sanders declaring victory and wrapping his path to the nomination. Selfdescribed democratic socialist now living in several national polls. Even as some democrats question his ability to beat President Trump in november, and expressed concern about down ballot races if he is the nominee. Managing director of this group in term of the harris poll. He set on bill clintons 1996 campaign in Hillary Clintons 2008 president ial campaign. Howonood to see you so strong the front runner is Bernie Sanders now. Is a stronger front runner now the state joe biden has been for the last year. I think he is got a considerable vote out there. And remember last time when he battled hillary clinton, by the end of the race and the support of just about half of all democrat. Mark so there is kind of muscle memory, he could kind of tap into that is unique and known of the other candidates him. As i think that the idea that he could win the nomination is really quite real. Paul but there seems to be, it is a base of 2025 percent, 26 i guess. But he hasnt been able to expand that at least in the first couple of on his. His edges because it is a multicandidate field. Or is it a real ceiling on his part. Mark it is a multi field. There is a real feeling of his support but essentially, his next group of voters are being filled by Elisabeth Warren. And so the date she drops out, get out about 15 percent. Paul 15 percent. You think his support will go to bernie. Mark absolutely the progress of support that she has, will almost entirely go to bernie. In his problem right now is simply Elisabeth Warren. She stays in all of the way, he is going to be stuck in the 20s in the 30s and if she drops out, then he will have an opportunity to dominate and a lot of the states. Paul he will get past the 15 percent threshold. He wont rock up delegates and i guess he is hoping that the centerleft candidates, Amy Klobuchar, pete and biden in a failed state and because because they divide up the boat and he keeps rocking up delegates. That is the strategy to get a majority. As you see. Mark left versus moderate, the question is was going to consolidate their voters first. Because in the way this primary is structured, if in fact, biting is dropping foreclosure chart came in and Amy Klobuchar is a big box for bloomberg which is expected to pick up the biden vote in the biden vote collapsed. So there wont be a battle oddly enough, unexpected battle between bloomberg and hope you chart. It is completely all about consolidate the boat faster. Amy klobuchar. Paul you know how the role of money plays in politics. Bloomberg has an unlimited tempo. But we never seen anybody try to invest in a campaign to this magnitude. How is that going to play. Will he suddenly pop up and start racking up delegates to but making it past the 15 percent threshold. s betook he has a record of just money. He was a top official for three terms of the biggest city in the country and i think some of the toughest things of what we used to call the tent second toughest job in america. And he said that will pretty so if you can bring this notion that he is big and accomplish in business, hes accomplished as an elected official, and you see spending a lot h of money. But behind that is real substance. And thats whereis tom stier didnt have any substance, just money. That is a big difference. Paul is bloomberg the most competition right now to sanders. Forty steve Pete Buttigieg or Amy Klobuchar playing that role. I think is a little unclear. I think bloomberg is a potential and cookie jar has a lot of potential and both of them, im just looking at polls earlier a lot of voters dont know who they are and could be positively inclined or negatively inclined were a lot of the otherbl candidates are already known to sanders is tougherin for them to make progress. I will go back the sanders big problem is nothing hundreds his eroblem is Elisabeth Warren. Paul coming the problem is it for sanders that you have a concern among a lot of mainstream democrats and particularly, if he is at the top of the ticket, everybody down all of the way down, is going to have to defend the democratic socialist idea. If thats going to really put into play even maybe the house majority. Mark issues matter. Bernie sanders is wellliked political figure more so than a lot of the others. But his issue platform, medicare for all, new retail, all of those issues are losers the Democratic Party when it gangs together as opposed to a more moderate platform across those issues. Id tell this every month, is a difference between losing almost two to one and even winning with the emergent public on issues compared to the republican pat platform. It is used matter and make a big difference. Socialism has not yet come and his time in america. Paul if you are one of the other democrats, would you have bernie very hard and that is a look sir, you simply cannot win with that platform. We have to nominate someone who can. Mark i absolutely would draw that line pretty sharply. If you need winter. They need programs that are affordable and you need programs that will pass the general electric. Otherwise, President Donald Trump will get afo second term. Paul is fascinating. 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[inaudible]. Paul we are back with dan kim and jason. Jason we make of this stop and frisk. Is a flat. I dont think it has a lot of legs. There will be some who will try to explain divinity most people understand that what mike bloom side is basically true. Minorities. Prominent communities is not policing. As the primary. Police responding to this community is because that is when 911 calls originates so i dont think this is a big to do. They will have to do with it. Paul can he pick up significant africanamerican support. I dont know paul is hard to know. He has a record but he cant really run on it. Part of that record. Paul twenty me why can he run it. Jason is Crime Reduction record had policing. Paul but he also had Charter Schools. Jason the parties moved away from that. Paul in fact, they support Charter Schools and School Choice to a greater degree than the owner of all democratic electorate. It. Jason they but as you know the cycle, youve seen eating Democratic Candidates in search of endorsement move away a call for an auditorium on a new Charter School and it is a gamut they are taking Mike Bloomberg is following their lead and he is it making an issue. He is distinguishing himself. Without we ran when he was mayor of new york. Paul there is no question on stop and frisk but i know one thing for sure that hes not getting the teachers endorsement. So i play there. Its a carveout and a different point of view predict because bernie or someone else is going to have a union. Jason i would love to see Mike Bloomberg do that. But if you look at his website, he is running as a progressive. He is running on the 50dollar minimum wage and gun control and climate change. He is not using is more moderate views to distinguish himself from the pack. At least not quite now. Paul dan youve lived under mayor bloomberg here for a while. When you think of his potential. Dan. I think he has a lot of potential. He does have a proven record of confidence. It is ironic that there doing the stop and frisk. In the giuliani years. New york has a very serious crime problems. And when the stop and frisk is what brought it under control. It could need to be altered a little bit but to hate him for confidence, just makes no sense but thats when the democrats do these days. The main thing is this money that he is god, i think one of the arguments he is making to the democrats is that he is willing to use anything it takes, total financial war against donald trump across the United States. Whatever ad trump is going to put up, Bloomberg Open up three times as many. He will use social media like no one has ever seen it before and simply overwhelmed the trump candidacy by suppressing it, bite demonizing from any and trump are already doing this by getting into these really quite extraordinary twitter wars with each other. Very intense stuff. Paul Bernie Sanders was already racing against bloomberg saying i guess if you have 60 billion, you can change the rules in the debate and is basically saying or making a legitimacy cake case against bloomberg saying you shouldnt if you have that much money just be able to buy your way into the race. Will that work. Kim no. It wont work with bernies core supporters. They will take a very paris view on this. And you now hear the other candidates making that same point. But heres the thing, across the Democratic Party, the number one issue they care about is beating donald trump. It doesnt matter if youre away to butter or a black butter or la