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without a doubt but tonight we start counting the delegates. everybody starts at zero. he's at the top when it comes to expectations but we could start this tonight. the process starts tonight. it is always worth winning a party's nomination. the republican nomination is well worth winning because of this. as we start the cycle, it's important to note the democrats are not doing any real business tonight but the incoming president of the united states, joe biden. 38% approval rating. that is weak. the process to win the white house and start a historically weak place which is why winning iowa matters so much and this is why as we go through this tonight, the biggest question is how strong is trump? are there any signs of vulnerability? that is what we will be looking for when we come the boats. >> it is hard to make comparisons to the past in some senses. trump who is really not an incumbent. it is different in many ways. is there anything that you can