Ian Happ Still Isn't Getting the Results, but the Process Is

Ian Happ Still Isn't Getting the Results, but the Process Is Just About Exactly Where You'd Want It


League Avg.: 8.5
Happ is hitting the ball with average exit velocity nearly 2 full MPH higher than the league average, every other ball in play he has hit has qualified as “hard,” and he’s barreling it up 30% more than the league average hitter. I know a portion of you hate stuff like this, so I’m sorry, but that’s not nothing.
Based on those numbers, as well as his sprint speed, Statcast has Happ’s expected batting average for the season at .226 which is 59(!) points higher than his actual .167 batting average. And his expected slugging at .428, a whopping 206(!) points higher than his actual slugging percentage. Point being, his .167/.338/.222 slash line should probably look more like .226/.397/.428 (.360 xwOBA), which would put him somewhere between Luis Robert and Alex Verdugo in the 130-140 wRC+ range.

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