The only thing that will break that cycle, according to El-Erian? Policy efforts. "Unless we move on policy and health, you and I unfortunately will be talking about this vicious cycle," for quite some time, the Allianz chief economic adviser told Bloomberg. . Economist Mohamed El-Erian told Bloomberg TV on Friday that the economy is entering into a "vicious cycle" as coronavirus cases surge and economic activity slows. "We are looking at a high probability of a vicious cycle. Public health is deteriorating...policy is not doing anything. The economy is slowly going into recession in Europe and people are becoming more hesitant to interact socially and economically. We need to break that cycle," the President of Queens' College and Allianz chief economic adviser said.