Man, different country. The American People staring out a contest like none other. What does it all mean for voters. Plus, the president of the union reveals growing cracks within his party. A congresswoman on if biden can bridge the divide. And also how he plastic each year in New York City. Lets do this. This. We want to begin tonight with a misconception about the november election in case you hear it over and over again before we get there. As of this week we now know the 2024 General Election will be a contest between President Joe Biden and former president donald trump, a redo of the 2020 election, except it is not quite accurate. While the candidates may be the same this country has fundamentally changed in the last several years. For a brief moment the violence of january 6th united us, but it was just a brief moment. Partisanship prevailed and authoritarianism revealed itself. It has pushed approximately half of america into a complete alternate reality. Consider the fact that two thirds of Republican Voters to this day believe the big lie, that joe biden is an illegitimate commanderin chief. Consider the fact that nearly a quarter of americans now buy into at least some of the conspiracies of chewing on. Consider the fact that 23 of all americans and a full third of republicans believe things have gotten so offtrack people may need to result to violence to save the country. Part of me is horrified that so many people have opted to buy into a different planet in a different universe. I also get it. I can understand the impulse to gravitate toward conspiracies seem possible when things seem so dire. America has done effectively nothing to tackle gun violence and mass shootings. We have experienced these traumas for decades. The best lawmakers have given us our thoughts and prayers. The current culture war has routed a thought within the american lexicon, a euphemism for rising threats to black, latino, and lgbtq people across the nation. On june 24, 2022 we welcome to the news that the Supreme Court had overturned one of the fundamental Constitutional Rights of american women, abortion. Every single day republicans are working on new schemes to attack our bodily autonomy. Of course, millions of people will never be able to see the images coming out of gaza. It is striking a moral court that will forever impact the generation of voters. No wonder more than four times as many waters voters said they were angry, scared, disappointed, or apprehensive about the election as the ones that are happy, excited or hopeful. No, 2024 will not be a 2020 rematch. The men are not the same, the American People are not. With everything we have witnessed, everything that has been taken away from us, we feel like the politics of our time may not be matching the moment that we are in. That is what it feels like. Here is the thing, we have to resist the notion that democracy is futile. That is exactly what donald trump and his authoritarian allies want us to think. If we stop biting, they win. Joining me now are the former senior aide to the Bidenharris Campaign and writer at large for the bulwark and author of why we did it. A travelogue for the republican road to hell. Tim, you have been to Turning Points, youve been inside of rooms that many of us are not able to go into or at least i cant. When you are in those rooms, at least as of recently, have you noticed any change in the folks attending those spaces . Have you seen the radicalization happening inside . Look, i would use the word radicalization in an ideological sense. I understand your concerns. Ive never felt unsafe. I think there may be the potential to result of violence do not overlap with people who want to go to College Republican gathering or maybe meet someone they want to shack up with. I think there might not be a poll overlap. In the issues, the radicalization, especially frankly the younger people who have been attracted to trump is very noticeable. Whenever i talk to anyone my first question is always why are you here . What issues motivate you . When i was a young republican there were tax cuts, abortion, strong military, whatever you think about those issues were standard in bear. What you are hearing is almost exclusively antiimmigrant, anti woke,america first. Antitrans. One young man told me he was interested in Education Reform and i had a sense of relief like normal policy issues. What do you mean . Is that the teachers that are grooming kids to be gay. I just think when you hear from these folks, donald trump and his issues, not traditional or not conservatives have affected an entire generation that is now pushing for Farmer Radical Agenda items. I think they are going to want donald trump to implement more aggressive and more authoritarian policy items. Thinking about the democratic base, the Core Coalition youve seen up close for many years at this point, have you noticed a change . I am thinking about the Dobbs Decision, im thinking about gaza, in what ways do you think things have shifted . Every cycle there is a different base. What is the coalition that is going to get your candidate elected . What is that going to look like . Of course our coalition in 2012 when obama won reelection with the coalition the Hillary Clinton built. I think the consistent thing that we have seen over the course of the last few election cycles and not just president ial, but the midterms as well, is how suburban voters are voting. There was a time republicans had a very strong grip on suburban voters, suburban voters are now squarely with the democrats. Why . Because of the issues you just laid out. The fact that republicans have taken away womens productive rights. The fact that republicans in large part have become a party of antilgbtq, antitrans, anti ibf, you name it. When you are starting off talking about, you know, the evolution of the Republican Party and where things are, you could now mean or make you think that when i started off in college the really used to be a true debate between democrats and republicans in terms of where we wanted the direction of our country to go was a debate between conservative policies and liberal policies. When it was back in the rahm obama days. It has changed so much. It is hard to fathom a party that used to be a party based on conservative principles, conservative taxes, et cetera, is the party that is invoking culture wars. Two thirds of republican support january 6th. It is crazy to think how we got there. We know how we have gotten there, how the republicans have gotten there. It has really changed a lot. Until the Republican Party can figure out how to bring more moderate voters into the mix this is the direction the party is going to go in the future. Things have changed so much. I think there is this fantasy within this party that once trump leaves, if he ever leaves, that the party will be able to go back to where it was 30 years ago. Do you think that is true . No. It sounds like we agree about that. Its is a complete fantasy. It is a complete fantasy. Like if its contaminated, you can clean it out. The effects of the contamination still exists for decades, generations, maybe forever. Donald trump is a contaminant. When i go to Turning Point for example, if you are 22 and trying to get your first job in politics right now. When donald trump came down the escalator you were in middle school. You dont ever remember the thing that adrian was talking about, that is in the History Books for you. You have chosen to come into the party based on this new set of issues, the nationalism, the culture wars, antiimmigrant, antitrans, anti woke. That is whyyou join. If donald trump is going to lose, got willing he is going to lose in a few months, those folks are not going to snap back. Theyre going to come up with a reason. They might think it was stolen again. There will be other conspiracies and rationalizations. Now the entire Conservative Media Ecosystem supports that radicalization. I do not see anything changing. God forbid if donald trump wins in november, we are going to be dealing with this for generations. Adrian, when thinking about tim and understand he is a former republican, what do you think the Biden Campaign has to do to win over people like him . Well, i think what President Biden did this past week, laying out what he has done so far, what he is going to do in the future, making it clear he feels the pain of americans who do not feel the Strong Economy that is going on. He has done an effective job of doing that. He is not always given the platform to break the news and deliver the message. The more that he can do that the better off we are going to be. The bottom line is the numbers are on our side, the numbers are on bite inside. He just has to make sure the voters who voted for him in 2020 turnout again. That we have a high turnout election. That there is not any reason for the vote the voters who supported donald trump in 2020 dont, or god forbid supports donald trump. That hes able to keep the coalition together and ideally grow the coalition. The way biden delivered his message on thursday, hes had one of the best weeks that he said frankly during his presidency. The more that he can get his message out there and keep the coalition together and bring in more voters, the better off he is going to be. Thank you so much for starting us off tonight. Still to come, President Bidens problem with aggressive. Pramila jayapal on how he fixes it. A jayapal on how he fixes it. If youre like me, one of the millions suffering from pain caused by migraine, Nurtec Odt May help. Its the only medication that can treat a migraine when it strikes and prevent migraine attacks. Treat and prevent, all in one. Dont take if allergic to nurtec. Allergic reactions can occur, even days after using. Most common side effects were nausea, indigestion, and stomach pain. Relief is possible. Talk to a doctor about nurtec odt. The ball is out and theres a pileup. Lets go get in the pile ugh, ill deal with this tomorrow. You wont. Its ripe in here. My eyes are watering. Im a busy man. Look how crusty this is. Shameful. Ugh, its just too much. Not with this. Tide. 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Skadoosh. Hah, huh . Cool right . Amazing. Harness the power of xfinity internet and stay connected to the things you love. Ah, theyll be like this for hours. Hello dad, hello dad, hello da. Uhoh. Good bunnies. Ahh the election of trump would be a disaster for this country and in my view the world. We have to come together and re elect biden. At the same time we have to demand we have a Progressive Agenda and a economy that works for all and not just a few. Met with senator Bernie Sanders earlier, urging progressive voters to support President Biden this november. Right now the set of the union address, several progressive lawmakers notably gave him the cold shoulder. This comes as biden is facing growing backlash both within his party and with voters over his response to the humanitarian crisis in gaza. As he continues to gravitate toward the center he risks alienate those who helped him win in 2020. This is the same body that campaigned on changing donald trump Terrific Border Policies and keeping the u. S. Out of endless wars. How can he win progressive voters . Who better to last until the House Progressive Caucus pramila jayapal. Thank you so much for joining me. I really appreciate it. Thank you, paula. Im going to start with the milliondollar question, what does biden need to do to win back progressive voters . More of what he did on the economic agenda at state of the union. This was a very strong speech, a very progressive speech when it came to the economic agenda. He was talking about taxing the billionaires, making the wealthiest corporations pay their fair share. Lifting up unions for better wages. He also put the blame for inflation on these big, greedy corporations who keep raising the prices of goods that we each, including he pointed out chips and snickers, but the same thing with eggs and other things that people need. I think he needed to put the blame where it belongs. I think the Progressive Agenda that he was talking about like canceling student debt and reminding people of some of the things that we have done a really important. There are two areas that we are going to need to resolve. He is going to need to really do outreach and Policy Shifts with progressives. That is of course the war on gaza and on immigration policy, which you mentioned. I think on immigration, while the president was very good and sent us A Comprehensive Humane Immigration Bill within the First Quarter of coming into the presidency, he has allowed republicans to take the narrative. We all know how hypocritical republicans are. They do not want to fix this. They show that with the most recent border bill that the senate tried to put on the floor and did not pass. On gaza, he has to make a policy shift. Lets talk about that Border Security bill that you mentioned. Of course that bill itself has no revisions for dreamers, for the over 11 million undocumented immigrants in this country. Both elements President Biden really campaigned on. What would you tell progressive voters or the Immigrant Community that is alarmed with this bill and are now distancing themselves from President Biden . The first thing is, i think the president needs to be talking about a very inclusive message. He did that. He talked about inclusive immigration reform. He talks about the importance of immigrants to our economy. Immigrants across the country need to feel that. Progressive voters need to feel that. Secondly, he should point out the reason we have chaos at the border is because republicans have continued to refuse to fix the Legal Immigration system, to actually make it possible for people to have legal pathways to come in. Whether it is for family, employee, or refugee seeking there are no legal pathways. Everything is so backed up as we have not had changes in 30 years. I think he needs to say we will get rid of the filibuster, carveout the filibuster so that we can pass comprehensive and humane immigration reform. Palma, as you know, this Republican Party is not the Republican Party of decades past. They just dont want to fix this. They want to keep immigrants as a political football. We have to make sure that is not the case when we take back the house, the senate and white house. You mentioned immigration and you also mentioned gaza. You heard senator Bernie Sanders urged the Progressive Base to support President Biden. To sort of understand, yes, the humanitarian crisis and the more realities of the moment, but to get behind President Biden how effective is his words. Will that be enough . The president has to make some changes on policy, on gaza. We have been saying this for some time. It is not too late. I think it is possible for us to use Funding Leverage as israe