Transcripts For ALJAZAM Consider This 20130929 : vimarsana.c

ALJAZAM Consider This September 29, 2013

Inspectors will be on the ground in syria in a matter of days after the Security Council approved a resolution to destroy syrias chemical weapons. Poor communication is largely to blame for the deaths of 19 arizona firefighters in june. A report released today said the radios failed between the men and support staff. Findings revealed that an air tanker carrying flame retardant was hovering overhead when the firefighters died. Ill be back. Consider this is next. Remember, you can always find us on line at aljazeera. Com. Is alqaeda the strongest its been in years . New trouble from the terror group raises serious concerns. A few years after the death of Osama Bin Laden and other key figures, has alqaeda loft its leadership but gained power . What role do celebrities play in helping International Aid relief no golden globe nominated actress Sienna Miller is seeking help in humanitarian crises. An alien life may or may not have been discovered. Voyager one may or may not have left the solar system and you may soon be able to travel to space, or maybe not. Hello, im antonio mora. Welcome to consider this. Just a few months ago, president obama declared the terror group was on the path to defeat. Or is it . Alqaeda is stealing support from u. S. Backed rebels in syria and the nairobi mall massacre maybe a reunderstood threat from the security group. Require i cant will be required to abandon its chemical weapons arsenal, but it will not include the threat of force against syria if Bashar Al Assads government fails to comply. The spokesperson for the Syria National Coalition Said the syria opposition remains wary of any deal. He has killed 110,000 people. Can you trust someone who what committed such a trays cities. 11 syrian rebel groups issued a at the same time calling for the establishment of sharia law. Its a key denext. Three of the groups were aligned with the u. S. Backed opposition. Sala discounted the new alliance. These groups are not part of the resolution. They do not represent the Syrian People. They represent a small minority. It remains unclear with the statement is one of discontent of leadership or a pledge of allegiance to alqaeda. The president of tune nearby is that warns alqaeda is staging a comeback feeding off the anger of the piecened arab spring. He pointed to two recent alqaeda linked assassinations. They didnt assassinate one human being, they assassinated a whole nation. He says hundreds of young tunisia men have gone to fight. This is the alqaeda linked al shabab attack, the large evident attack in kenya since the u. S. Embass bombing in 1998. Joining me now are jack rice, former c. I. A. Officer who covered the middle east extensively in our studio in minnesota and kenneth catsman, tracking alqaedas revolution for more than 20 years, coming to us from washington, d. C. Seems like so much for alqaeda on the run. Our map shows affiliates of alqaeda in iraq, syria, a number of african countries and yemen, countries pretty much all over the world, that doesnt include its presence in the far east. Alqaeda is swaying more hold over according to the economists, over more territory now and recruiting more fighters than anytime in its history. I think its true. We are seeing an expansion of affiliates. There really is no command in control. There is no control from alqaeda, meaning in afghanistan, and if you cant coordinate attacks, it makes it much more difficult, and yet at the same time, we have to realize that when you have really truly independent organizations, its hard to take the organization as a whole down, because you have to fight them one by one. The economists also had this quote ken, what do you think . Are they winning . Well, i dont really see them as winning, to tell you the truth, because theyve really shifted, really, the threat to the United States homeland and to the european mainland i think is much diminished. These alqaeda affiliates have expanded, yes, there are more of them in more places, yes, but other than alqaeda in the arabian peninsula, all of these affiliates are really focused on the countries where they are operating. For example, alqaeda in iraq is trying to destabilize Prime Minister malaki, in syria trying to oust Bashar Al Assad. Its a different threat. I wouldnt say winning or losing. Thats the wrong way to look at it. Its an evolving threat, a different challenge than it was on the eve of the september 11 attacks. Lets look at specific countries, starting with injury. As the chemical weapons deal is moving forward, any unified movement to Bashar Al Assad is in shambles. Some of the strongest fighters joined alqaeda linked fighters, reacting to that news, a spokesman for what is a a more and more track further moderate coalition tried to put a good face on thing. We say we are in a state of war. We are not democratically elected and this is the reality. If we can represent 80 , 90 of the sirens, weve done a tremendous job. They may have the most support among the syrian population, but some experts estimate that now about 80 of 100,000 or so rebel fighters are leaning moderate to hard line jihadists. They are trying to shine this up. When you see a coalition that starts to splinter the way it is, you cant simply say this isnt a big deal. This is a big deal. If we think about whos supporting whom, its not just about the civilians. Theres some 2 million plus people either refugees or displaced people inside of syria itself. We need to talk about the 100,000 fighters, who those people are, who they support and if theyre going moderate to more extreme in terms of what they believe, how are you going to get the coalition to take the leadership role with those guys and thats a real problem for them. Its beyond the splintering. Theres on going fighting among the factions. This week, we saw the Syrian Free Army killed an alqaeda linked leader, kurdish fighters also killed another alqaeda leader. There seems to be a civil war within a civil war. What happens now, and how does the west, the u. S. In particular figure out what to do and whom to support . Its one of the biggest problems. When you start looking at syria in general, lets just take one simple example. You think of the kurds in northern syria, the kurds, the p. K. K. , they cross not just syria, but they cross parts of northern iraq, they take a large swath of turkey. How do you convince those groups to be a part of a broader coalition, while at the same time, youre looking at other elements that may be not with the coalition, but that doesnt necessarily make them alqaeda. I think personally that one of the things that the u. S. Is afraid of is theyre afraid of repeating some of the mistakes that we made in afghanistan because in the 19 creates, where all of a sudden we were funding organizations and people and eventually, those people turned against us. This is what john mccain said earlier this month about the western backed free syrian army. The overwhelming majority of the Syrian People want Bashar Al Assad gone. By the way, they are not extremists and jihadists and the Syrian People would reject extremists and jihadists. Common thread is that all want assad gone. If he goes, what happens if the strength is really in these less moderate hands, what will happen . Yes, and i think he is going to fall fairly soon. If you looked at a battlefield map recently, hes lost a tremendous amount of territory. Even rebel in fighting is not material to the overall fight. The rebels are advancing in difference provinces, even as this infighting is going on. What happens after hes gone . Syria is a very mediterranean coastal, western looking society. So was lebanon in the 1970s and look whats happened there. Ok, but even the Islamist Groups in lebanon are very different from the taliban or yemen, saudi, islamists. Basically, real radical islam takes root mainly in the interior of the arabian peninsula, the desert. The coastal areas of the middle east tend to be more moderate, more cosmopolitan. Radical puritanical is plaquist movements tend to be rejected or watered down substantially. If you look at Muslim Brotherhood in egypt, its much more modern than many islamists in yemen or saudi arabia. Syria is going to be syria no matter what. Its secular, mediterranean, coastal, and its going to water down these very puritanical islamic tendencies. A lot of reports say these groups are much better organized, fund understand and its creating problems for the west as to whom to give money to. Yeah, thats one of the biggest problems of all. If we think about this from an american per specti, what the americans have been trying to do is to figure out how to support the coalition. Yet at the same time, theyre petrified if they support them, some resources will end up in the hands of the alqaeda affiliates or other extremist groups. What happens when you deny resources to the coalition, it makes the coalition seem weak, makes them seem incompetent and strangely enough, by denying the coalition resources, you strengthen the mother extremist groups who say look, these guys arent doing everything. Lets go back to the big alqaeda, the one original remnant left. A warning was issued to anyone who would work with the west, specifically in syria. The United States and its allies try to support the secular parties but failed. They started to form new awake anyones in syria that will fail. I warn my brothers not to form any relationships with these parties. What happened in egypt is a perfect lesson on this. We talked earlier that there was no central leadership, that its also u. All going to spread out. Does he have a say with the alqaeda folks in syria or is he more of a somewhat inspirational figure. I see no evidence of significant connections between him in pakistan and alqaeda fighters in syria. They call themselves alqaeda, but i think theyre using the alqaeda brand to recruit, to bring in people from chechnya, fighters, jihadist fighters, libya, elsewhere. Alqaeda, when we think of alqaeda, its bin ladennism. That trend is really on the dehe cline. We have to look at alqaeda really as a group of local maxes, all focused on the politics and environment of the countries they are operating. I see zawahri having no influence on what is going on in syria at all. Actually, i agree. We he look at what he has actually said. His influence is far more in egypt than syria. Hes from egypt himself. When you look at the recent arab spring and realize what has happened there, that influence is there because he has that personal connection, but there is no more command and control, and that has been one of the things that the west has been effective in lopping off. That doesnt mean theyre gone, it just means its not being directed from elsewhere. Theres been al shabab recruiting in minnesota. Theres been videos about the socalled martyrs, the path to paradise. Heres one of the comments from that video. If you guys only knew how much fun we have over here. This is the real disney land. Come here and join us. Now, that young man apparently went on to be a suicide bomber. We know that alqaeda, the leadership did years ago send fighters to africa. Do you see some of the people weve talked over the past few days think al shabab has not gotten stronger, that nine robey was an act are desperation . We take a look back at one of the international attacks in uganda in 2010, this one going after soft targets, if they were going after African Union troops, kenyan troops, it would show their power, but it also shows willingness to get out there and swing. I agree in this point, if we look at what al shabab is doing, theyre in east africa, inside of somalia, just touching on kenya, but thats tied to civil war issues that the kenyans are involved in. Theyre not reaching beyond that. They dont have that capability, certainly not at this point. Final question, what does this mean for america. I know you both have said you think the way alqaeda is functioning now that attacking abroad is getting harder and harder. With these kind of lone wolf attacks or small groups especially when youve got people coming from the United States to train in those places, do we need to be worried . Well, were seeing diplomats in the region need to be worried, there are other installations in the persian gulf that we use to defend the persian golf security, installations in africa. I think u. S. Personnel, u. S. Citizens in the middle east, north africa, south asia region. I think the dangers have increased. In terms of the homeland and european mainland, i think its substantially less threatens than it was in 2001. Lets hope that is the case. Jack rice, ken catsman, appreciate you joining us tonight. Consider this will be right back. Gripping films, from the worlds top documentary directors this is just the beginning of somthing much bigger. Tomorrow. The premier of budrus the primary concern of the fronts is security that trumps everything how could a wall designed to divide, unite israelis and palestinians Al Jazeera America presents. Budrus premiers tomorrow night 9 eastern. Our week long series on the cost of health care continues with the impact on Small Businesses. A new Government Survey shows premiums nationwide would be 16 less than first thought and 95 of people live in a state where average premiums will be lower than expected. Still, the mandate requires companies with 50 or more employees to supply their workers with Health Insurance or face a fine of 2,000 per employee. The first 30 employees would not cause finds. Those would begin with the 31st employee on up. Companies with less than 25 get subs decease as long as the average salary is less than 50,000 a year. The law is very confusing, long and impacting Small Business owners in a real way. We are joined now by two of them. Joey runs a printing business in philadelphia with forth eight employees, 44 of them full time. He pace all health care costs, but doesnt like the law. It offers a host of unknown costs that could force him to avoid expanding. Mike roach likes the new law. They sell Womens Clothing and jewelry. With 12 employees, he qualifies for the subs decease, but said he would provide insurance anyway, because he feels it is the right thing to do. Joe, you are already covering your full time employees, their full premiums right now but say the law is taking away four ability to expand. Why would it affect you if youre already paying their coverage . Somebody that is voluntarily providing Health Insurance for their employees, the 25 years ive run the business, im concerned im going to be able to do that in the future. The unknowns about this law are affecting my investment, how much im willing to invest, how aggressive i want to be, because its a potential increase in expenses and i have no idea how to budget for them, because its such a dramatic change. Mike, youre one of the people already getting benefits from obamacare. What impacts have that had on your costs . It has fairly dramatically decreased our cost to providing insurance to the degree with weve received approximately 5,000 per year for the lastee years to help off set the cost of our employees insurance in the form of the federal income tax credit available for Small Businesses with 25 or fewer employees. I might add id love to see that 25 employee threshold go up to 50, so that Business Owners like joe would qualify, potentially qualify for those federal income tax credits. Joe does it upset you that a business, a smaller business like mikes is getting the subs decease and youre not . Who should get them . It does. Its tough, because how do you explain to my employees that if were bidding against work against the company that has a lower expense base than ours, theyre getting government credits and once again, its the government picking winners and losers, rather than letting the market do so. It winds up hurting some while it tries to help others. Mike, isnt it easier to like the law when youre getting federal funds to cover some of your insurance costs. Well, i think thats fair. Ill tell you, i think that in fairness to small real mom and pop businesses and actually, we only have six employees of our 12 that actually utilize the coverage, because their others are covered under their spouses or their parents, we have the negotiates power of six employees, which isnt much to work with when youre up against your Health Insurance company. Joe does have 44 employees. Thats a little more leverage. Its still not a lot, but certainly more than we have with six. The aca, the Affordable Care act has somewhat leveled the Playing Field for Small Companies for us that for years saw double digit increases for most years. Really Large Companies have a lot more leverage. The law includes a mandate, any company with more than 50 employees have to provide for full time staffers, part time workers have to work less than 30 hours a week or the company will have to provide Health Insurance. What are you hearing from other Business Owners who are already over that 50 employee threshold and how does it affect you, too, and you say near that . I know you have some part time workers. Its definitely affected my decisions. Weve gone with a lot, any new hires have been from temporary agencies or part time workers. From Business Owners ive spoken to, theres huge concern, but so much unknown. Many owners have just not had the ability, because theyre so busy running their business, they dont know what is coming fort in this law. I think as it rolls out, its going to be even more of a shock to certain Business Owners, what their liabilities are, potential fines, penalties, more man dates, higher tax

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