Transcripts For ALJAZAM Consider This 20140315 : vimarsana.c

ALJAZAM Consider This March 15, 2014

Potential democratic fall out. In syria the fighting still continues with no end to the conflict in sight. A scathing report is out blasting the Safety Record of one of the countrys busiest train systems. The report directly blames metro north for derailment right here in new york city. Four passengers died and several others were injured. Reports are that metro north valued safety over a tight schedule. This is al jazeera. Airlines plane vanished, new reports say the investigation is focuses on sabotage and the planes erratic flying. Colorados new marijuana laws are seeing early success but other states plans may get burnt before they catch fire. And the words on your resume that could cost you your next job. Hello, im antonio mora, welcome to consider this. Here is more on whats ahead. There are new signs that foul play may have played a role in the planes disappearance. The aircraft continued to ping a satellite to send a signal for up to five hours after it last made contact. Everything vectors are learning at this point is raising a suspicion that this is no accident. Sunday is the vote on referendum in crimea. Off of a diplomatic off ramp has failed again. Neither we nor the International Community will recognize the results of this referendum. Antigovernment protests are continuing across venezuela. Secretary of state john kerry says the government must end what he calls a Terror Campaign. We begin with Malaysia Flight 370. It has been a full week since 239 passengers boarded the flight from kuala lumpur to beijing. New data from malasian military radar reportedly say the plane made unusual changes in altitude and altered its course more than twice. Indicating the pilot was still in control of the jet. The plane was believed to have kept flying for four hours after diverting can its course to the west. Tracking devices may intren intentionally turned off in the intentionally turned off in the cockpit. The u. S. Navy has joined the search for the plane based on automated pings, made to asatellite after radar contact was lost. There are four or five possibilities which we are exploring. It could have been done intentionally. It could have been done under duress. We are looking at all the possibilities. Joings us now from west joining us from newton, massachusetts, todd curtis, the founder of air safe. Com. A website providing the public with information on air safety. He has been involved in numerous plane crash investigations including twa flight 800. Thanks for joining us todd. What do you make of these new reports . As we heard, malasian military radar showing the plane changed course abruptly after the are radar was shut off. What could have caused that . There could have been many things. As i stated before. The options for a good reason, that is can, pilots dealing with a situation on board, systemfailure type situation, and delivery of actions for not so good reasons. Someone maliciously trying to pretty the plane where it shouldnt be or being come an deared by one of the commandeered by one of the pilots. Systems inside the airplane that could have this effect that appears to be a deliberate action but in fact could be the crew reacting to an emergency on board. But why wouldnt we have heard from them and why were all these systems turned off then . Well, thats a great question and theres no real answer that, unless and until that aircraft is recovered and information from that aircraft, the black box, cockpit voice recorder and other data is recovered. Because normally in an emergency when time is of the essence, navigating the aircraft and maneuvering the aircraft towards a safe landing is far more important than communicating. But it seems to be in this case there were hours of opportunity to communicate with the outside world. Through one means or another. And the wall street journal is reporting that the investigation is on sabotage, and reuters say foul play. But we have information, pings from the plane, that may show it flew hours after the radar. How can you reconcile that with foul play . The fbi and other Law Enforcement is investigating the crew and the passengers. If anything that comes up that points up to some sort of conspiracy on the part of one or more people to do something to the plane and those conspirators were on the plane, that would lend credence to a sabotage or hijacking scenario. If nothing comes up, if records turn up clean, if theres nothing that points to a financial or a political reason for doing this. Then perhaps, a multiple system failure, without having the physical structure of the aircraft its hard to determine which of those theories carries more water. Its what a mystery. Thank you todd for joining us. And for more on what investigators are looking for we are joined by richard marquis, chief of the terrorist and Analytical Center for the fbi, he was the lead criminal investigator on pan am flight number 103 that exploded over lockerbie , scotland. What are investigators doing, where do you start, if now the wisdom seems to be there may play . Good evening, antonio, its good to be back. The first thing that happens is investigators a week ago had to assume this was a criminal event, until something, systems failure, they recover the airplane, the black box. But without that you have to consider that this is a criminal event and you have to go at the airport, you have to determine who all the passengers are, conduct the crew, the passengers and crew, about 239 people, background investigations on every one of them, anybody who touched those people or airplane at kuala lumpur, get all the video cameras, computer records, theyve got to freeze everything that they get to find out everything about everybody on that plane. Because unless it was osystems failure it was someone on that plane that caused a tailor thing to happen. So apparently they say they have gone through the list, the passengers and the crew, they have looked at the two iranians that have stolen passports and they found that nobody had links to terrorist extremist groups. Does that tell us much . Well, malaysia has not been a hotbed of terrorism. Although some of the jemi islamias, a couple of their leaders were from malaysia, there was a meeting about al qaeda in 2000, the men who were on the flight out of dulles airport, meeting in 2000. There are a lot of people who have problems and issues and it could have been a lone person who was wanting to go one place to seek asylum who wanted to smuggle a bomb on the airplane. You have to look at everything, it could have been insurance things. It is important to get all types of background on all these people as possible. All information changing every single day. If we dont find this plane it will make the investigation almost impossible to determine where, if terrorism was involved. Well, its going to be one of those things that will be very, very difficult to prove. You might be able to hypothetically hypothetically proved. We may never know. Your investigation of lockerbie, the physical evidence was incredibly important to figure out what may have happened there. Now, the fact that we havent heard any claims or any apparently credible claims from any terrorist group, what does that tell you . Well, there were i think four or five claims about lockerbie 25 years ago. None of those were deemed to be credible. There was just one i think for this flight. That doesnt necessarily mean anything. Some groups dont claim, if it was a government, and i rather doubt that it was, and i have no evidence to show that it was. I know intelligence agencies are scouring everything they have. To tell investigators to give happened. Are you surprised so many years after 9 11 we still are seeing such lax security in other parts of the world . Well, ive done a lot of International Travel and ive been through security. And in certain parts of the second and third world, and its not as good as i think we have here in the United States. But certainly only as good as the people who are working there there. And its a very difficult situation, to say that well, something got through security. But its tough to say. In malaysia, im told they actually have two levels. The first set of magnet o ometers , you get rescreened through the gate. Thank you richard, for helping us figure out what might have happened here. Thank you. Barring a very big surprise, crimea will vote on sunday to decide whether to become part of russia. To convey kremlin to to persuade kremlin to change course. Fears that were stoked by crimeas promoscow Prime Minister, to speak on following crimeas lead. If there are enough people in these regions to convince authorities that they have a right to hold a referendum, then perhaps other regions will reunite with russia, i cant say. Nick schifrin is in ukraine. What is the. I think its a huge amount of anxiety as that repression as you put it antonio, as the aggression by Russian Troops and their allies, russian activists or prorussian activists or prorussian militias, weve seen journalists kidnapped, proukrainian activists attacked. The crimea tatars who are muslim, the largest minority on the peninsula, they fear that history will repeat itself. Some 70 years ago they were deported en masse, 200,000 people. They returned in the early 90s. Some of them are leaving out of fear that the russians will redeport them. Whether or not that is actually going to come true, the fact is, theres a lot of fear on the streets for proukrainians and on the other side, there is an excitement, that sunday is an Independence Day of sorts. They feel that in the 50s the soviet union gave away the ukraine, they can never wanted to be part of ukraine and they right a wrong and pull back into russian orbit. We hear that many are going back to ukraine as a result of this. What was the creaks to reaction to crimeas why decision to hold the referendums and switch ore to russian rule now its considered crimea is already gone . I think its the huge fear, not only here but also in washington. Because lets look at the big picture here. Crimea as we just talked about has never really been part of ukraine. Has always wanted to look east, always wanted to be part of russia. Eastern ukraine however, is a huge prize. If the kremlin can wrest some of that away from kiev. Ukraine really a bridge between the west and the east. A lot of people are talking here about not only the statement by the crimean Prime Minister here about the east to hold their own frums referendums but the Russian Foreign ministry, they are not in control of the east. That is almost a invitation for the Russian Troops to do what they did in crimea, come into this area, that is a red line for washington, for the state department. Obama and kerry have all but said, if Russian Troops come into Eastern Ukraine, that is a step they will not. Receipt or click in Eastern Ukraine as well. That would be a frightening escalation, Nick Schifrin as always, good to have you on the show thank you. For more were joined by ambassador wim courtney, in 1997 he was can appointed to the National Security council for senior director of russian and western ukraine affairs. Good to see you. Good to beings have see you antonio. It seems like a forgone conclusion that the referendum is going to go russias way. What do you see happens to crimea on monday. The russian he are sure that the referendum is rigged whatever the vote. The Russian Parliament has already said that they will be receptive to the idea of crimea being annexed into russia. So i would suspect that russia will go ahead with that. The most important thing is not that russia annexes crimea katy, but that Russian Military occupy all of crimea. Crimea is under military occupation. Secretary kerry was blunt after his meeting with russian fortunate mints sergey lavrov. Lets foreign minister sergey lavrov. Until after the frum referendum on sunday. Lavrov brushed off threats of counterproductive. Do you think the u. S. And the west will get it together, to impose some sanctions that might actually affect russia . Yes, i think the sanctions actually will be pretty significant. Theres a lot of experience now with iran on sanctions. Russia has always been reluctant for sanctions on iran by the International Community. For fear that some day, russia would be targeted. And indeed now thats the circumstance for russia. The sanctions will be significant. If russia maintains its occupation in crimea. If as your correspondent said, the russians also go into Eastern Ukraine, and the russians are pos churd, they have postured, they have maybe 80,000 troops in Eastern Ukraine, the sanctions would be much stronger. And in addition to sanction he there will be military moves. Theres already temporary military support. The u. S. Has sent ffannie fighters to the baltics f15 fighters into the bal ticks, in poland and rowe plain yah, those are temporary romania. Civil war in terms ever fighting. Ukrainians will resist that, unlike the surprise attack in crimea. And nato and the u. S. Are probably going to have to reorient their military posture eastward towards russia. In Eastern Ukraine there are reports that russians have been bussed into een ukrainian cities eastern ukrainian cities to agitate. This is no doubt the most dangerous time in the world since the end of the cold war. Well, the fighting in yugoslavia was also a dangerous moment and of course the iraq and afghanistan wars were. But for european security. We havent seen the kind of aggression that russia has carried out in another country since the end of the cold war. This is a big surprise. People thought that 22 years after russia became an independent country that russia would evolve in a more moderate direction but its gone in reverse. A bipartisan delegation of senators led by john mccain are in ukraine now. Mccain wrote putting the blame on putin. But what is most troubling about mr. Putins aggression in crimea, americas credibility in the world. He goes on to explain the reset was a bad idea a few years ago and completely trashes the weakness. How much of a wakeup call is this . The reset actually did accomplish some purposes with regard to for example facilitating the flow of supplies to nato forces in afergz on railways afghanistan on railways through russia. Why space station in Russian Rocket from kazakhstan. There are some aspects that are important. Whats different is russia is clearly an adversary as well. With regard to the weakness point its going to be important now that the United States stop reducing its defense spending and start thinking about moving some army units, probably to poland would be a good place, a Brigade Combat Team to poag poland. But that means tea party opponents, people on the left side of the liberal spectrum, both sides are going to have too take a hard look at the security situation that has changed for america. And were already seeing complek consequence as World Markets have gone down, the russian he themselves are having serious economic consequence is because of this. Ambassador, great to have you. Thank you antonio. Crimean tatars were compiled from reclaim their land and homes from russia. That is sunday at 10 00 a. M. Eastern on al jazeera america. Coming up. Whark is said about the american secretary of state and what comes next. Idea of leslie be our social media producer, hermela aregawi, is tracking whats trending. Sponsorship of the largest st. Patricks day parade, whats causing a stir. Ill tell you more. Tell us on twitter ajconsiderthis. Or on our facebook and google venezuelan authorities who are mired in a brutal struggle with opposition protesters ramped up, claiming its responsible for the unrest. In a televised speech venezuelan foreign minister, saying, secretary of state john kerry, we denounce you as a spoiler of the venezuelan people. Marco rubio and conwom con congress wom ss woman ileana waitman. Peter it is good to have you with us. Before he was accused of being a murderer, secretary kerry encouraged dialogue, calling on the maduro government to treat them respectively and end this Terror Campaign against his own people. We are hearing, calling the u. S. The empire, blaming the lobby including the senator and the congresswoman and the ex isles i exiles invenezuela. I think thats where the initiative has to come from really. My own sense is this is likely to deteriorate in the short run in part because theres two crises going on. One is the deep seated political crisis youre talking about, the other is a very bad deteriorating economic crisis. Now, what should the u. S. Do . Should they impose some sorts of sanctions . I think that the u. S. Really has to work with and through the latin american neighbors of venezuela. The u. S. Directly is not going to have much influence in venezuela. Unfortunately. I dont disagree with the way secretary of state kerry describes the situation in venezuela. But the fact is, words from washington just wont have very much influence. And in fact, they may make things worse. Even if they stop some of the Government People from being able to come to the u. S. And freeze accounts and things like that . Thats not going to have much of an impact at all. The real impact is only going to come when venezuelas neighbors realize that this turmoil really affects every country in latin america. Cast a restain on the region as a whole and they really have to Work Together to solve this problem and stop hiding behind sovereignty, and really get into it. But the u. S. Has to find the working relationship with brazil and with chile and columbia and others, to colombia to work with them. And by coming out strongly kerry makes his point. Its a good point. But you dont want to make points here. You want to make peace. And im afraid that the u. S. Just doesnt have the influence to do that. But he also somewhat agrees with you. He says that the organization of american states as well as allies and neighbors need to demand accountability from the maduro government. An

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