The streets of hong kong defying calls to disperse. Police are trying to break up the demonstrators. I. S. I. S. And hamas are year. Israeli Prime MinisterBinyamin Netanyahu said. That the greatest threat to world peace would be a nuclear iran. Toxic gas and ash forcing rescue efforts in japan to halt. The c. D. C. Is investigating whether a rare virus affecting chin is connected to paralysis showing poliolike symptoms. I was scared. I could feel myself not being able to stay away. We begin with president obama conceding the u. S. Did not see i. S. I. L. Coming. I think our head of the intelligence community, jim clapper, acknowledged that they underestimated what had been taking place in syria. But intelligence officials warned of the danger for more than a year, and i. S. I. L. Controlled a large part of syria before moving into iraq. This idea that somehow we didnt know that that was happening. Happening. The president admitted the u. S. Had overestimated the ability of the iraqi armed force, but said hes not ready to count them out. I am not going to speculate on failure at the moment, we are getting started. Lets see how they are doing. Air strikes intensified and the iraqi army said it had taken 16 cities from i. S. I. L. They are again within striking distance of baghdad and closed in on kobani, where air strikes hit too far from the front lines to send i. S. I. L. Into retreat. Across the border in turkey, tanks closed in on the border overlooking kobani, a sign that turkey may be willing to join the coalition, after a stampede of refugees from syria and allies. Translation where will we stand as turkey. Well give our support. We cannot remain out of this. For more we are joined by jessic allowize, a former Army Intelligence officer in roij and syria, and iraq and syria, and serves as a lead analyst on i. S. I. L. Good to see you, thank you for being on the show. Quite the backlash that we are seeing here. The president told 60 minutes, that the u. S. Underestimated the rise of i. S. I. L. , but he blamed the intelligence community. Now that the the daily beast is quoting a former official saying the reality is i. S. I. L. Took fallujah, a major city near baghdad and the white house referred to them as a jvt. What do you think happened . They didnt want to see what was in front of them . There are a few things happening. It was clear from the outset, within the administration and the administration community, that i. S. I. L. Was a threat because they were taking city, but there were surprise, particularly that the Iraqi Security forces were not able to hold cities like mosul against i. S. I. L. , it was a surprise, and it was a surprise, perhaps, how rapidly i. S. I. S. Was able to expand while the syrian war continued to unfold. All of these things together meant there were things that i. S. I. L. Did, surprise, to bring as a surprise, but i would agree with you that the fact that i. S. I. S. Was a growing threat and an imminent threat to iraq should not have been one. One of the points is the incompetence of the iraqi army, and the president acknowledged that in the 60 minutes interview. Does overestimating remain an issue, that theyll should be able to take the fight to i. S. I. L. There should be an estimated potential of Security Forces on the ground in iraq. The forc forces, moderate Syrian Opposition, and we should take inventory of the fighting capability, but i would agree with you that since we can see what a force i. S. I. S. Can bring on the ground and on the offensive in both countries, that its a high bar that the Ground Forces in iraq and syria have to meet. Talking about being on the offensive, the news reports that i. S. I. L. Is within a mile of baghdad. How does that happen. Now that the iraqis are getting Coalition Air support . I think i. S. I. S. Has been in close vicinity since breaking people out of the prison in july 2013. I think that that threat to the capital and baghdad is innocent. I. S. I. S. Has been there for a long time, and one of the places where i. S. I. S. Has tremendous ground strength that we have not seen brought to bear is close to baghdad. This comes off as an iraqi army base in anbar province, overrun by i. S. I. L. , hundreds are feared dead, reports indicate that calls for help by iraqi troops went unanswered the the you iraqi troop launched a campaign to would you back fighters, how concerned are you, but how concerned are you that the iraqi army, the sectarian tension, and all sorts of other things, putting aside the peshmerga, the iraqi army, that it will become an aggressive and effective fighting force. We need to take this as a war with many battles, and there are some battles where the i. S. F. Is doing well. In the east, on the eastern area, the Iraqi Security forces made gains against i. S. I. S. In this terrain, they have succeeded in keeping i. S. I. S. Out of haditha and other areas, and then we see i. S. I. S. Through the terrain, such as military bases north through fallujah, attacking near baghdad, near the syriaturkish border, a complex battlefield, and its not clearly going to one side or the other. We need to understand that both forces need to consider how to match i. S. I. John john boehner said the mission will not be successful. Lets listen to what he said. I think it will take more than air strikes, at some point someones boots have to be on the ground. He said you cannot rule out american combat troops. You coauthored a study arguing that significant forces that we need combat troops in iraq and syria, and ordered to get rid of i. S. I. L. , do you think given the political environment, that happen. Interestingly, discussions about what it would take are holding true to the Administration Statement that, to disproi and com destroy and complete i agree it may not happen from the air. I think we have to keep the eye on the ball. We need to establish how Ground Forces will retake control, and the Ground Forces, fighting back against i. S. I. S. , iraq and syria, are not necessarily prepared. What are the how is that brings about control of mosul and raqqa reestablished, we really need to set our sights. If we are prepared to take on the issue, are we talking about american forces, or do we think sunni governments which have become allies against i. S. I. L. With the United States could provide the fighting necessary to do what needs to be done to get rid of the terrorists . All Coalition Partners need to take inwentry of what inventory of what Ground Forces are available. Talking about iraqi and syrian force, the mission is robust and urgent. I expect those missions and troops Going Forward need advisors Going Forward too. Advisors is one thing. 25,000 combat troops is another. Combat troops engaged in a train and assist mission, or against the sunnis and people in syria behind i. S. I. S. Lines, add up to numbers that size quickly. Jessica lewis, good to see you to get your insight. A complicated situation. I know you are studying. We look forward to having you thanks. Thank you so much. For more that it will play a bigger role, we are joined from istanbul by a former turkish diplomat, chairman of the economic and Foreign Policy study center. And visiting in brussels. Turkey, until now, seemed reluctant to get involved, now we are hearing and seeing signs that it is ready to join the coalition. Turkeys government it is hoped will order crossborder and matters in iraq. Move . Theres definitely a change, and theres fundamentally three reasons for the train. The first, of course, the fact that the hostage crisis has been resolved. Until recently, a week ago, i. S. I. S. Had 49 turkish hostages. They had captured them in mosul. Those hostages were released and are back home safe and sound. The second reason that there has been immense pressure on turkey politically from its allies, particularly washington. To take a more active part in the campaign. Finally, i. S. I. S. Is really a big threat to turkey itself. Perhaps more so than the u. S. So there was every reason for turkish policy makers to want to become part of the campaign against i. S. I. S. We knew that i. S. I. L. Posed a threat to turkey, but there hadnt been a movement. One of the things you point out is the pressure on turkey. Theres reports that the turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan was stung by some criticism and sounded different over the weekend to 10 days ago. Lets listen to what he said. Translation it cannot be limited to iraq or syria, because we have to wage a common fight against terrorism. If we cannot do that, the measures you take against terrorists would vary and would be limited to a region. Operations. So is he signalling that troops. What he is signalling, is that there is a willingness on the turkey side to make a broader campaign, really addressing the problems of syria, particularly, and also iraq. So what the now president Recep Tayyip Erdogan is saying is na turkmenistan would be willing to contribute to the campaign militarily, but the big question is whether turkey is ready to do this unilaterally. I dont think that is the thinking in ankara, they want to pressure their partners to be part of this campaign. It is providing a nofly zone that would protect the troops border. That is difficult. The border, your border is a long border with syria, because its about the distances the crow flies from new york to detroit. Thats an issue that the west has had, what turkey has been doing or not, is that too much oil and fighters are going back and forth between turkey and syria. How can turkey control the border and stop i. S. I. L. Making money and getting fighters from your side of the border . Well, thats certainly a tall order. I think the previous situation was that turkey was turning a blind eye to the at least the fact that the fighters were crossing the border, believing that these many elements of the Syrian Opposition including this one, would help with ankaras agenda to do to accelerate regime changes in syria. Now that the policy ended, that policy shifted and we see this clearly with the strength and border control. However, it would be false to say in this provides an absolute level of security and certainty. The border is long, difficult to patrol, geographically complicated as well. Theres no guarantee that this flow will stop. The only thing that authorities can do really is to strengthen to the maximum their border security. But but, really, the traffic of jihadists may still continue, albeit on an abated scale. One of the things you mentioned is it the threat turkey faces from i. S. I. L. , and now there are tanks taking up position on the syrian border, near the city of kobani, where theres intense fighting and a lot of shells falling on to the turkish side of the border. You have a million and a half syrian refugees, including 150,000 that came from the area where the fighting is, just in recent days. It has gotten intense from a security standpoint for turkey. Absolutely, its a changing and complicated issue for turkey, which is why they are willing to establish a safe haven across the border. They have a double function. First, they provide refuge to the internal displaced persons of syria, because of the fighting, but they provide an area where the Syrian Opposition could safely be trained and equipped so they have a more Effective Campaign against bashar alassad. Thats the reason turkey is pushing the agenda forward. Right, turkey has no love loss with bashar alassad, and believes he needs to be dealt with was part of whatever gets done in that region. I want to end asking you about something that you said. Turkey is a nato member. The american air base in turkey, inser lick has not been allowed to be used to attack i. S. I. L. , iraq and syria. You believe that may change and, in fact, it may have already public . I think so. Now that the turkish government has shifted the position for the First Time Since the beginning of the crisis, president Recep Tayyip Erdogan said theyd be ready to contribute militarily, i think ankara would give a green light for the u. S. If they asked to use the interlick air base. There were report that some of the fighter planes against some of the i. S. I. S. Targets in syria came across the turkish borders. The turkish government refused the claims. Nonetheless, i think the turkish government would be ready to give a green light if it comes to that. That would be an important change for the coalition. Pleasure to have you with us. Thank you very much. Now for more stories from around the world. We begin in afghanistan. After months of turmoil, ashraf president. Both sides claimed fraud in the hotly contested election. Ashraf ghani swore in his political rival Abdullah Abdullah as a chief executive. After the deal was done, Abdullah Abdullah threatened a boycott because of a dispute over office speak and whether he could speak. An agreement was reached and the two appeared united at the ceremony. On tuesday president ashraf ghani is expected to sign the bilateral agreement, allowing 10,000 troops to remain in afghanistan, to train and advise afghan Security Forces. Former and President Hamid karzai refused to sign that agreement. Next we head to new york, where israeli Prime MinisterBinyamin Netanyahu addressed the united nations. He mocked what he called iran Christopher Gibsons crocodile tears over irans crocodile tears over i. S. I. L. Comparing them and hamas to the narzies. The narzies believed in a better race. They disagreed who would be the master of the master faith. Three days ago Palestinian AuthorityMahmoud Abbas accused israel of genocide, war crimes in a 50 day conflict leaving palestinians and dead. Binyamin netanyahu said they did everything, and hamas did everything to maximise them. We end in japan, where a massive and surprise volcanic eruption killed three dozen people. Mt ontake is a popular hiking destination. At least 250 were on the mountain. Smaller eruptions occurred seven years ago, the last major eruption was in 1979. That is some of what is happening around the world. Coming up, the mysterious respiratory virus sickening kid, paralyzed. First, thousands of the protesters packed hong kongs Financial Center to protest against what is supposed to be a democratic solution. And harmeli aregawi tradition the weeing. Protesters are becoming a palpable force on social media. While you watch. Let us theres more to Financial News than the ups and downs of the dow. For instance, can fracking change what you pay for water each month . Have you thought about how Climate Change can affect your grocery bill . Can Rare Minerals in china affect your cell phone bill . Or how a hospital in texas could drive up your healthcare premium . Ill make the connections from the news to your money real. Tens of thousands of protesters are defying calls to leave the streets of hong kong. What is called the umbrella revolution was sparked by a blatant attempt by beijing to control hong kongs democracy. Prodemocracy protesters are angry over plans to say who could run for the elections in 2017. Police officers were hurt on sunday when they accused tear gas and pepper spray against the protesters. I was here. We are using umbrellas to protect ourselves. For more, im joined in new york by gordon tan, contributor to the daily beast and others. The story you published in the daily beast is entitled fear marrial law is coming. The issue is beijing cant afford too much democracy in hong kong, because they compare it to a virus. If people in hong kong can vote in meaningful elections, people in shanghai will want to do the same. In shanghai there was a demonstration of people in support of hong kong protesters, and asked for a free vote in shanghai. The other thing is xi jinping, the ruler of china, from 2007 to 2013, they are his policies, so no one wan crit same them no one can criticise them. Creating inflexibility. China tried to control the internets and the media not all of this gets out. People in shanghai were talking about it, and out in the streets. Theres no way they can control the vir u the democratic virus, the democratic containent. People around hong kong know what is happening in the city. People in gone dong province know about it. They have this problem that the leaders are concerned about. This is an existential issue. Like tena men square tyna men square was. How brutally do you think the down . Theyll probably do what they did in 1989. Xi jinping is a tough guy. State media discussed sending in the police, which is military, restoring order if hong kong authorities cant. There are rumours, some are about putting the p l. A. , the Peoples Liberation army on a higher state of readiness. I think beijing is ready to do something. We will not know. It is not in beijings longterm view to allow hong kong to be a selfgoverning place. Each though that is what they agreed to lets listen to josh ernst at the white house and what he had to say. The United States reports universal coverage, and supports the people. The basic law would allow for a level of democracy and the people electing officials by themselves. Its a thing called one country, two systems. Completely fantasy, really. It is fantasy. The beijing authorities called tibet autonomous, saying the same thing about shin jong. Where the uyghurs are. You have the brutal policies. China is tough on internal dissidents. Their mindset is 1989 they stopped democracy across the country. They spilt blood, but taught the Chinese Peop