And poverty could lead to former rebel fighters taking up arms again. And let the fun begin its time for brazils Biggest Party, the rio carnival. Well far from less is what we might think with fighting intensifying in Eastern Ukraine hours before as fire is due to come in effect proseparatist and army are battling in particular near the town here. These images are said to show a build up of Russian Artillery to the northeast of the town and tweeted by the u. S. Ambassador to ukraine jeffrey on friday he said we are confident these are Russian Military not separatists. The ukraines president had this to say about the latest violence. After this this is not just attack of ukraine civilian this is attack of the minsk results and we dont have explanation because of the defense operation of russia intensified significantly. Reporter so where is the fighting in Eastern Ukraine as the clock ticks down to what could be a ceasefire . These are the areas currently held by separatist fighters the rebel stronghold of donetsk seen shelling after ceasefire deal announced and shelling and live fire in the rebel held town of lohansk but the battle at the moment is control here and its strategic important of the railroad and stwong holds to russia Government Forces hold it but under intense fire and Charles Stratford is at the front line. In support position to what are 8,000 ukrainian soldiers in the town and separatists say they surrounded the town and it is a major flash point, some of the heaviest fighting there. If the separatist take control of the town it will give them a direct route by a rail way to russia. Little on the road except military equipment and ambulances ukrainian artillery firing close by. Translator everything is destroyed said this ambulance driver you cant get in town and there are dead bodies on the road. Reporter we pushed up further towards here and here at a Ukrainian Army check point, there is a lot of heavy weaponry that is going toward the front and hearing a lot of heavy shelling, the soldiers here are nervous about us being here and dont like to be film because they say its bad luck before they go in battle. Some soldiers were returning and one agreed to speak to us. Translator we were in a village close by he said. We were shelled with mortars and we want piece and happy about the ceasefire but we dont trust president putin. Reporter behind me is the last bridge and military telling us its too dangerous to go any further and fears the separatists could hit this bridge at any time and as you can see there is a lot of heavy military equipment going in that direction. The ceasefire is supposed to start at 0000 local time february 15 but withdrawal of weapons on both sides is supposed to begin soon after and for now the guns and rockets remain. Behind me in the field they have tank batteries and rocket positions and what we see in the distance are grads to my left and bear in mind we were here a few days ago and these soldiers were not here. There is a big fear that the separatists will try and take full control here in the interim period between the truce being signed and it being implemented on the 15th. Tell battle for the town goes on. Charles stratford, al jazeera, Eastern Ukraine. We will bring in theodore for the gulf analysis in dubi and they have been tweeted from the ukraine and showing Russian Artillery in ukraine and what do you believe that means . I think its very clear that the russians who are supporting the separatists are trying to take the strategic location almost immediately and if they do not do it by the deadline tonight for the ceasefire, they will continue to do it tomorrow and then we are going to see the minsk two process begin to unrival. If it unravels even before it has properly begun, what will that mean . Number two ceasefire not working . Where do we go from there . I think from there its going to be a mix of diplomatic and military pressure from both sides, obviously more from the russian side in terms of that mix. Having said that the United States canada and Great Britain will likely begin to push for lethal aid to kiev while at the same time the Ukrainian Government and ukraine itself is slipping deeper into bankruptcy. I think that this is going to lead to some more confrontations in the field as well as whether or not the kiev government can receive the kind of assistance it needs from europe and from the United States because there is an rubicon to be crossed here that i think will shift it into a new level of confrontation. And what is that rubicon . Well the rubicon is actually how much of the ceasefire is actually going to be adhered to and other components that were signed off or in this agreement including moving back to certain range of to create a d. M. Z. If you will as well as also giving more recognition and Self Governance to Eastern Ukraine by the kiev government these are ideas from before in september that have not been implemented according to various sides. So this rubicon that im discussing here now has to do with the fighting that is on going on the ground now and how it is interpreted by the west versus russia. Is it your view that with the United States and maybe europe you say still intends on supplying arms to ukraine and with the russian separatists or those supported by russia still intent on taking the town and is it your feeling all of the talk of a ceasefire is a sham . I wouldnt really call it a sham. I would call it more of a bridge to the next opportunity or operation if you will. I think what this has done particularly from the Russian Point of view is putin has all the cards, if you will and he is along with his generals is betting on the fact that the u. S. And the west will get trapped into sending lethal aid to ukraine which will play into Russian Military doctrine that nato is an enemy and that will play very well within the Russian Media about what is happening in ukraine. Thank you very much indeed theodore talking to us about of dubi. Thank you. U. N. Special envoy to syria clarified all earlier remark that asaid must be part of the solution to the crisis in syria and he wasnt talking about a longterm political solution but instead efforts to end the current fighting and gerald tan has more. Reporter clear signs that talks have broken down. Rebels in hom say they wont accept government demands to lay down their arms in exchange for civilian safety so the fighting continues in syria. Translator why isnt anyone caring for us . We suffer in silence while the whole world watches. Reporter world powers still trying to negotiate an end to the fouryear war. After meetings in damascus this week the u. N. Special envoy meet here with president Bashar Alassad must be a part of the solution. There is an important dialog that we need to have. He is still president of syria. There is a large part of syria which is under the control of the Syrian Government and i will continue having very important discussions with him because he is part of the solution. Reporter the u. N. Envoy has clarified he wasnt referring to a longterm political plan involving president assad but a way to stop the violence. His office emphasizes that the Geneva Community calling for Transitional Government remains the basis for u. N. Proposal to end the war. More than 200,000 people have been killed in this conflict and scenes like these out of duma are a daily reality. People in various cities are marching in solidarity with duma urging the government to stop its Bombing Campaign and the repeated demand that is unchanged since march 2011 president Bashar Alassad must go. Gerald tan, al jazeera. Reenforcing in that report that the geneva plan remains what they call a roadmap for peace, it was a conference in 2012 bringing together the government and opposition groups and many key players were left out and agreed on a Transitional Administration that could involve members of the current government but didnt know if president assad will be part of it and says he will be in power after 2021 after winning elections last year and last year was intended to implement the geneva plan but ended without a result and let us bring in a Senior Writer of golf news and also a former analyst at the u. S. Based Rand Corporation and live from beirut and he is not saying anything that has not been said before but why does he need to say it now . He needs to say it now because unlike his two predecessors brahimi has a strategy and needs bashar alasaid and president of syria to essentially implement this strategy which is focused on aleppo first. He wants to have some kind of a ceasefire in a an aleppo because a ceasefire will no longer work and concentrating on a an aleppo and need them to move the military might away so some relief can be brought to the besieged city. Why president alassad to play this game . I think there are a variety of reasons and probably the most important is that four years into the war president assad and everybody pretty much agreed that two leading forces are running this show on the one hand we have i. S. I. S. Or Islamic Forces making roads and on the other we have kurdish fighters who recently released them and are against the islamic airport and from damascus its a very Good Opportunity to cooperate with masserur to have a concrete result on the ground to show to the world that he is indispensable indispensable. If they cooperate and if i. S. I. L. Is defeated as you say it is also called, what then for president assad . He says he wants to stay for the best part of another six years, how does the attention then turn to that side of the problem . Reporter stephanmistura is that assad will have to be part of a solution and its a precursor for negotiation and i think everyone realizes the longterm prospects will be settled around the negotiating table but we are far from the reality and as in your report the suggestion was made that 200,000 people were killed, in fact, the numbers are much higher than than when you take in account all noncombatants who perished because syria infrastructure has collapsed health wise and otherwise and millions of refugees and prospects of having a solution in the short term are negligent to nil but over the longterm some kind of political settlement will have to be negotiated and what happens to Bashar Alassad in the government at this time will have to be determined around the negotiating table. But, again, that is a very far off option and its not part of the misturas immediate focus on aleppo. Pleasure to have you on the news hour thank you. Thank you. The scandal surrounding argentinas president is deepening and kristina has been formally investigated over accusations of a cover up to hide alleged iranian bombing in buenos aires and the prosecutor looking into it was found dead last month and we report. Reporter prosecutors are determined that the case against president will not go away. The allegation is they covered up iranian involvement in 1994 attack on Jewish Community center in buenos aires that killed 85 people alleged reward was cheap oil and trade deals, the government has denied those accusations. But the latest move has rocked the political establishment. Translator one has to distinguish between judicial and political aspects, judicial aspect is highly questionable. While we cant deny that its having an extraordinary political impact. Reporter the allegations were initially made by prosecutor albertto the day before he was speak at a hearing and his body was found in a bath and shot to the head and they returned to his apartment to search for more evidence to help the inquiry into how he died nearly a month later they debated if it was suicide or murder. The latest move is a major advance and others say its politically motivated and amounts to nothing and the certainty is it added to uncertainty and they are no closer to discovering who detonated the bomb in 1994 or how alberto died. Meanwhile the president has flown to her weekend home in the south for a fourday holiday weekend. She will return to buenos aires next week for a march organized by albertos former colleague and likely further polarize an already divided society, buenos aires. They say the accusations are biased. Translator why is there an active judicial coup . Because the complaint which was presented or the judicial steps being put forward are not aiming as a traditional outcome and pursuing a political outcome. Reporter we have this coming up, on this al jazeera news hour the sectarian divisions still unresolved ten years after the assassination of liberty nice Prime Minister. The multi million business behind the glitz and glammar of fashion week and cricket opening match between sri lanka and new zealand zealand. The Iraqi Government has now sent reenforcements to the town of albagdadi after i. S. I. L. Forces surrounded and stormed it a day after the local government reported the fall of the area in Anbar Providence and five kilometers from Assad Air Base where 320 u. S. Soldiers are training iraqi forces and confirmed a group of fighters attacked the base on friday. Gunmen who say they are loyal to i. S. I. L. Reportedly taken over a staterun Radio Station in the city of cert and the Radio Station has been broadcasting speakers by bagdadi and the minister says the situation threatens his country which is only a few hundred kilometers away from cert. The former Prime Minister has made a rare visit to lebanon on the anniversary of his fathers assassination, and he was killed ten years ago along with 21 others. The case has deeply affected the country. Stephanie decker has more now from beirut. Reporter assassination that changed lebanon and Prime Minister killed in a car bomb in the heart of downtown beirut and led to the pull out of syrian troops and at the time a belief that it would lessen syria influence here but ten years later lebanon is influenced by foreign powers and struggling to deal with spill over of syrian war and deep sectarian divisions and no sitting president to help manage it all. Increasing sectarianism that happened and its extremely important that the root of this was not so much the assassination as it was the 2003 u. S. Invasion of iraq. Thats the point where the sectarian project in the region really began and once the iraq war was over as far as the military damage and us damage military and intervention that moved to lebanon and syria and it was manifested within what came to be the assassination. Reporter the loss of a strong leader had a direct impact on the Sunni Community here failure of a unifying successor coupled with what is happening in the region solidified sectarian divisions and made some identify with more radical groups poverty also plays a role like the Northern City of tripoli where the syrian war is having a direct impact. There have been street battles between those who support the revolution and those who support Bashar Alassad and tell you increasing divisions here come down to the state or more specifically the politicians not doing enough to take care of their people. We have a system that is collapsing or at least degenerating and deteriorating, this is a massive problem and its been there and building up since the 1990s. The difference now however is the influx of a massive number of Syrian Refugees forming between one quarter and onethird of the lebanese population. In a system that already was failing to deliver services to its own citizens. Reporter security has become a huge issue with the army along with the armed shia group is patrolling the border areas and attacks inside lebanon against three yeah neighborhoods associated with hezbollah and i ran and what radical groups say is retaliation for fighting in syria beside Bashar Alassad then 21 others were killed right here in downtown beirut and few would have predicted where lebanon finds itself and Foreign Countries have too much say after what happened here and a quarter of the population of the tiny country are Syrian Refugees and a threat of growing groups along lebanon border with syria and within the country itself so ten years on and despite the establishment of International Court to investigate the death no one has been brought to justice, Stephanie Decker al jazeera, beirut. Mohamed and fahmy enjoying a day with their families in egypt free on bay, only on bail after spending 412 days in detention and as Richard Martin says retrial on charges of colluding with the banned Muslim Brotherhood expecting to resume on february 23. After 411 days after too much time alone in prison its like a dream come true. Reporter al jazeera producer mohamed enjoys the first moments of his newfound freedom, a day to celebrate with his wife and three children. Im very proud of every single moment i spent in prison for the sake of freedom of expression. I am really proud about it. As time goes back i would choose the