points as well. needless to say, that is a very tall task for her. i don't see the path forward for her with that level of a potential bounce needed to be ahead of donald trump. that's a very unlikely scenario. but that's the benchmark she needs. she needs a truly phenomenal performance in iowa. >> thank you so much for bringing the data. i really appreciate it. >> thanks, michael. it should go without saying, it's interesting to crunch the numbers. the numbers are telling a very consistent and compelling story, but the only numbers that matter are the numbers monday night. so if you're in iowa, go vote, vote in new hampshire, vote everywhere when it's your turn. remember, i want to know what you think. go to my website at smerconish.com where today's poll question, is the republican nomination already over? hit me up on social media throughout the course of the program. i'll share some responses in real time.