enten joins me. you looked at the congressional ballot which asks likely voters if they'd like a democrat or republican to represent them in congress. what's it telling you? >> i have looked at this historically speaking and i can tell you right now the republican lead on the generic congressional ballot. they lead by just two points but compare that to where we were four years ago at this point. what you saw was that democrats had a nine-point advantage at this exact point in time. and i could just tell you that republicans leading on the generic congressional ballot is very, very, very, very, very rare. but more than just being very rare, look at the opposition party leading on the generic congressional ballot. and you can go all the way back. let's go all the way back since 1938. if you go back before biden is born you are going back a long time. if you look at this. when the opposition party leads on the generic congressional ballot at this point, they have won or held control of the house