the des moines register poll. but it is different per candidate. about 80% in that same poll of trump supporters say they're minds are made up and 60% for desantis and haley. and so perhaps desantis and haley, and what we've been seeing time and time again, this is a battle for second place. while haley has momentum here, according to this poll, it does show that her supporters are not as enthusiastic as desaesantis trump supporters which could be a warning sign for her given the extremely cold temperatures as you were talking about and the concerns about getting people out in the state. if trump does win, the significant portion is the margin of that victory. can ron desantis outperform expectations and can he keep that victory somewhat narrow or not get completely blown out because he has put so much into iowa and if he gets trounced in iowa and he ends up in a distant