But tonight, lets remember what connects us and what hes going to tell you really, really matters. And guess who is suspicious of this chicken sandwich shortage. Me. Guess who doesnt like what i think. D. Lemon. What do you say . Lets get after it. All right. He called me a liar. He should withdraw the insults he made against me. These are the words of the president of brazil whos now putting his personal spat with the president of france over putting out these fires that are raging in the amazon rain forest. 20 million was pledged by countries in france to save the lungs of our planet. It aint enough. You have to start somewhere and you have to encourage people to be part of this president. But the president of brazil says im not going to take it and he has the backing of another president. Lets bring in bill nye the science guy. Its good to have you on the show, sir. What do you make of this general sense of opposition from the president of brazil . Do you think it will flag quickly . Yeah, i think it will pun intended, blow over. The g7 is offering 20 million, which is not nothing, and so letting the fires burn has become so unpopular that, hes going to reverse course. My understanding is, hes turning the other cheek, hes looked away, rather and let farmers clear rain forest at an astonishing rate so they can pursue agriculture in both in meat ranching and soybeans and other crops. And, you know, the subsidies between the for u. S. Farmers and brazilian farmers, this controversy goes back a long way and the strange thing is, by subsidizing both farms in brazil and farms in the u. S. , you end up hurting farmers in africa. Its one world nowadays, everybody. To the instant circumstance, the theory of the case against this president is, you allowed the clear cutting, it got out of control, it compounded the seasonal risks of dryness and the arid nature of the air and quick sparking a fire and it kind of creates a dynamic where youve given an opportunity for what happens every year to happen much, much worse. How much of that do you invest in and how big of a deal is it to stop it . I dont know how a big of a deal it is to stop it. But 20 million goes a lot farther in an area like brazil than it does in the fully developed countries. Because the people involved, the people who are resisting this are indigenous. Theyre tribes people who have lived there for centuries and theyre not thats not whats going on. The idea this is clear cutting to make room, thats not true anymore. Theyve burned way past what theyve intended. Apparently. Its gotten out of hand because of the seasons unusually dry and unthing has led to another. But this would have been fought. Back in 2004, the deforestation had slowed down because of international efforts. And so this is the kind of thing, you know, people like to say its the lungs of the world. Its not clear its the lungs of the world. But this is for sure, when you decrease biodiversity its not as resilient. When you go to more single type of crops, youre going to have difficulty in restoring the rain forest if human kind changes our mind in the future. This is a very, very serious problem. Im telling you, people have said to me, many times, everybody cares about the amazon, if theyre sensitive, whether theyre the lungs or what percentage they are of the oxygen we use. They say, we got wildfires here. They happen everywhere. I dont understand why everybody is so nervous about this. The amazon is huge. What do you say to them . Well, its because the amazon is huge that its a huge problem. And fires in california and montana, those are big problems. Just because theyre not as big doesnt mean theyre not important. People say to me, bill nye, what can i do about Climate Change, and i generally go on about, hey, you know, recycling bottles is a fine thing, but we need huge ideas. But in this case, there is something perhaps each and every one of us could do. Theres an and im not a member of this as such. The earth alliance. Leos thing . Perhaps, yes. You can donate to that organization and their claim is theyre going to spend all of the money to help put out these fires. Theyve pledged 5 million. 5 million isnt that much when it comes to running a giant broadcast organization such as this one. But compared to what the g7, the recent meeting in france agreed to give, its a quarter as much. Its 5 million. The money matters. Let me ask you something, in terms of the big owners, were a little shy on that because i dont know anything about the organization yet. If it were like the red cross or Something Like that, its a little quicker, its a desperate situation you brought up leo. His heart has been in the right place for a long time. Im saying in terms of what it is so people understand it. What about the big movers here . The United States government . The g7. They throw a lot more in terms of resources at things that dont have the kind of longrange affect that this does. Are you surprised theres been some reporting that the u. S. Is using some of its equipment that people are going down there with certain types of planes to help. Are you surprised there isnt more being done or isnt more that can be done . Well, to those of us on the Science Education side of all of this, more is being done is astonishing every minute of every day. Everybody, the world is this is a metaphor for our problem. The amazon is on fire. It is as though the world is on fire. Climate change is the most serious problem human kind has ever faced. We got to get her done. What i like to emphasize to everybody, were these fires in the amazon, point out that humans really we have to start looking at the world at the earth as our house, as our dwelling. We have to take in my opinion, we have to take a topdown approach. We have to agree that were all in this together. That we cant have these fires in the amazon, we cant have fires anywhere. We cant have unchecked agriculture but we need agriculture if were going to feed 9, 10, 11 billion people in the coming decades. We need clean water and access to the internet for everybody on earth. How long as strange how long do we have before these fires im not talking about Climate Change. Im saying the fires. How long until if if theyre still burning, is it weeks, months . Thats a great question. But i can tell you this, every minute they burn is bad right now. These are youre going to get in fistfights in the global modeling bar about this. But the Brazilian Space Research institute has done studies using space assets and this is a very, very serious problem. And the administer of the Space Research institute has gotten into head butting with the president. So this is all bad. And just that we have a lack of leadership here in the United States is not only troubling for everybody on earth, its troubling for me as a guy who grew up in the u. S. And expected the u. S. To be world leaders, especially in technology and innovation and understanding the environment through science and so on. The sooner we turn this around, the better. So i appreciate it. I will also say you cant its not sustainable to lie about everything. To lie to yourself about everything. And weve all known people like this. People that lie all the time and then they lie when they dont need to lie anyone in particular youre talking about . Its just we like pointed criticism on this show. If you got something to say about the president , say it. Its a deep concern. And the other thing that is really unusual about the current administration, i didnt know i didnt know there were so many bteam players out there. I didnt know there were so many people who would go along with the fossil fuel industry despite the evidence of Climate Change caused by people. Well its really surprising, just as a voter and taxpayer. How did he find how did we find all of these people that are just in this every president , every administration finds plenty of people who are willing to cotton the power and get on the same page. I got to leave it there. Keep in mind, this is about science. These are about provable things. Thanks for having me on. Lets change the world. I hear you. One day at a time. Hes making a pitch to you. Thats what this election is going to be about, what were about, what were not. How do we get to that point . You got to look through the lens of what this election is shaping up to be. How about iowa . Okay. Lets bring in the wizard of odds here because iowa could be a metaphor. We know it matters because its first. No, no, no, its about how its changing. Its a key state for new reasons. Were going to take you through it with the wisdom, next. His luxurious fur calms my nerves when im worried about moving into our new apartment. Why dont we just ask geico for help with renters insurance . I didnt know geico helps with renters insurance. Yeah, and we could save a bunch too. Antonio fetch computer antonio . Ill get it. Get to know geico and see how much you could save on renters insurance. Applebees handcrafted burgers now starting at 7. 99. Now thats eatin good in the neighborhood now starting at 7. 99. Are we supposed to dance . Boy boy bands without dancing are just ok. Get a better than just ok unlimited plan with spotify premium included on americas best network. Only from at t. More for your thing. Thats our thing. [ text notification now that you have] new dr. Scholls massaging gel advanced insoles with softer, bouncier gel waves, youll move over 10 more than before. Dr. Scholls. Born to move. A new message tonight from the Iowa Corn Grower Association to this president. You put us in one hell of a bad situation. They say the trade war with china is hurting them. Why is this so important . Because our farmers count and unneeded pain is not good politics. But iowa, farming, critical, 2020. Lets bring in the wizard of odds here to break down the numbers. Good to see you. Iowa always important. But theres something about it in that caucus structure. Now it is instrucktive of an emerging demographic. How so . One of the key things i want to point out is take a look at this, this is the iowa general election results. Take a look at this trend we saw in 2016. The trump won the state by 9 percentage points. Democrats were able to flip that advantage from trump plus nine to democrats winning the vote. His people say he wasnt on the ballot. His name was on the ballot. If you look at the correlation of the house results and the president ial vote in 2016, it was the highest correlation ive ever seen since all of the elections ive studied. Proof that it will stick in 2020 . Proof it might stick. Why did iowa move so far to the right . It was because of White College voters. Take a look at this. Trump won them nationally by 20 points. Take a look at the aggregate in our last four polls, trumps Approval Rating just plus one net percentage point. This is a huge trend of noncollege white women moving away from the republican brand from 2016 to 2018 and right now, hes barely above water with this group. One point of context. During the election, was he polling well with noncollege white women . He was polling very well with them. That was the number one sign. There are more noncollege white folks in the electorate than you might think. He was looking at these poll numbers which suggested that group is good for him. Whats your finishing point . I think the thing i would point out is weve seen Something Like this before. There was a farm crisis that occurred in the midwest in those farm states back in 1988. If you look nationally, reagan in 84 to bush in 88, look at this trend in iowa, reagan won that state by 7 in 1984. The crisis helped dthe other candidate. The farm crisis could be a very big deal for trump come 2020. And we saw that trump tried to make some leverage with farmers by cutting a deal with abe in japan. But that takes them to net neutral. Theyre still hurting because of what hes done. Thank you very much. Appreciate it, my brother. How can the president ease concerns there . How can he make these people who are supposed to be part of his base there . Remember, it cant be just about the talk. It has to be about the walk and that is the start of our great debate with these two gents. Loreal paris introduces rouge signature sunset matte lip stain eight new, warm shades. 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Now, his polls are down 40 , down to 36 according to associated press. Hes doing miserably in all of the states, including iowa. The farmers have turned on him. Theres almost no one left. And wait until you get to the crash. After the market crashes hes going to have no support at all. Ill predict right here for you, chris, i think donald trump will leave office before his term is up. Hell be humiliated and hes not going to want to lose and hes you got that bet all day long. One, i hope there is no market crash. I want a Strong Economy for this country, for me and my family, and no way hes leaving. But, to the point of order, the economy is everything for this president. He has to overcome divisive talk and rhetoric that i dont see as getting a ground swell of majority support for him. He needs the economy. How tenuous is the circumstance . Well, theres no question that the president would like a booming economy as opposed to folk like others who are rooting for a recession which could cause all of us pain, not just republicans, but democrats, independents, what the president needs to do, and i said this the last time i was on the show, he needs to rally the American People and target farmers and say, look, we are in a battle to regain the balance that we have lost for 30 years allowing china to grow unfairly using unfair trade practices from currency manipulation, from stealing our intelligence property and the like. There are some democrats who support his new trade policy and the fact that hes doing it now. It is now or never moment. If were not successful at rebalancing our situation with china in this administration, then i fear we never will. Yeah, so, listen, im tired of having to correct conservatives on this. Nobody is at least certainly no one is rooting for a recession. I run a small business, 85 people working there. We dont want a recession. Thats why we warned you not to elect donald trump because he is a nincompoop. He couldnt handle an economy if his life demanded on it. Now in iowa, you got farmers going bankruptcy, bankruptcies are up 13 . Maybe trump thinks thats good business. Its terrible business. So i dont want the crash. But unfortunately i think its going to come because, come on, you know this isnt good business. You know that doing tariffs is a terrible idea. Look, in iowa, overall in the country, actually, agriculture exports, we used to have 24 billion that we would export to china in 2014. Now were down to 9 billion. People are going out of business because its a terrible idea. And donald trump doesnt know how to handle the economy. He doesnt know how to handle any finances. We could battle on the numbers all day, i dont see it as the fundamental proposition. The fundamental proposition for you is whether or not this president has the ability to rally anyone. He has about division. Hes playing on fault lines and fears. Now, you think hes going to be able to say, america, lets all come together and see our mutual course forward . Hes never said anything like that. To use that particular talking point of a fault line, the fault line he can create is between us and an unfair trading partner or former trading partner of china. The other thing he can do, he can push the democrats in congress to ratify the d