Lets talk about pennsylvania. We know its so important. If biden wins, its over. He wins the presidency. But trump must win pennsylvania otherwise theres no way he could win. Lets start here and then we can break down the vote and today could be the decisive day. Well hear from the secretary of state next hour. Shal update us on the vote total and the other thing is the push back from the Trump Campaign. Well do the math right now. As you noted joe biden at 253 this hour, President Trump at 213. That would do it. That would do it. Joe biden thinks he can come back and get georgia. Joe biden leads in arizona and nevada. That would be gravy if he could hold the commonwealth of pennsylvania. Hes trailing right now but the president s lead has been shrinking every time we get votes. And many of them, most of them are in blue counties, philadelphia and the suburbs around it. This is why its so important because if biden can do this and if biden can hold here and hold here not only is he winning but in the ballpark of 300 electoral votes. That was trumps total in the Electoral College four years ago. Biden thinks he can get there and match it. The rest of this looks to be out of reach, North Carolina, alaska and maines second congressional district. This is the Biden Campaigns best Case Scenario right now in their world. Doesnt mean its a guarantee. Were still counting votes here and here, still counting. If you come back to this map here, President Trump must win pennsylvania, must win georgia, must hold North Carolina, that would get him in place and then he could get there even that would get him knocking on the door. You see that. President trump if he wins pennsylvania and georgia, he has a couple of different paths, but he must win the two of those, and right now his leads are shrinking every time you count the vote. Were not at the finish line but joe biden is knocking on the door and has many more options. I want to check in with kate baldwin of philadelphia for us. Shes getting some information. What are you seeing over there, kate . Reporter hey there, wolf. With all eyes on this largest county in the commonwealth of pennsylvania, philadelphia has updated its total of mailin ballots counted. So the latest number that we just received the updated number is the number of outstanding mailin ballots still out there left to be counted is estimated between 85,000 and 90,000. A significant number, still. For perspective they started the day with 140,000 mailin ballots outstanding to be counted. Theyre now they estimate between 85,000 and 90. So they are cutting into that number but its still a significant one. Im also told by a source involved with the canvassing that theyre estimating now, wolf, that they will in total wednesday, thursday, friday combined, have a total of 1,000 of those ballots that need to be segregated. Those mailin ballots that came in after the election date deadline that they that are obviously contested. Those segregated ballots philadelphia believes they will have 1,000 total, and those have not yet been counted, the ones theyve received in. Just to be precise are we talking when you say 85 to 90,000 ballots uncounted is that in the city of philadelphia or the county of philadelphia . Reporter thats where all this counting is going on. All of that is happening in this Convention Center beside me. Thats that cavronous space where theyre doing all of this counting. That is the total for the county commissioners run this site. They have between 85,000 and 90,000 mailin ballots still outstanding, have not yet been counted. Thanks very much. Kate baldwin in philadelphia for us. Hes behind by a little bit more than 100,000 votes. And if hes getting 80 in Philadelphia County right now, thats a pretty impressive number. And the lead just went down a little bit more. Its 101,000 right now. Yes, if you come back this is where we are in this race now. 97,900. Let me clear this and bring philadelphia back up. The locals sometimes do get annoyed with us. Philadelphia county is the Census Bureau kate says 85,000 more votes. Think about that. If youve got around 85,000 votes in philadelphia, joe biden is getting 80 of the mailin count already. Imagine if he gets 80 of those 85,000 votes, just there if hes in that ballpark that would cut substantially into it just from philadelphia. Now, we know we have other votes outstanding. Places like Montgomery County close to being done here. Bucks county and look at that tail joe biden is getting 50 to 48. We do know in the mailin ballots joe biden has been disproportionately winning. Mailint was the preferred voting strategy of democrats. Weve seen that especially in the last 24 hours or so theyve counted the mailin ballots in pennsylvania. Kate makes that point about the separated ballots. Theres going to be a fight over this. Local officials are trying to say because of the pandemic we want to count some ballots that come in as long as theyre postmarked a little after the election. And Pennsylvania Republicans in the Trump Campaign are saying no way. So there could be another court fight over some ballots, which if biden wins by a very narrow margin this one is going to be in court for a while without a doubt. Chester county up to 95 . Touched on this one, Montgomery County up to 95 . So youre waiting for philadelphia, those votes there. And then you come out here and this could be what keeps us waiting Allegheny County also a ball mark 80,000 ballots to be counted here and theres also a challenge over some of those. Officials say its likely not to happen until tomorrow. This is little bit deceptive in the sense in pennsylvania all this red the president runs very strong in the Rural Counties of pennsylvania. You pop up up here at 74 , pop one up here at 73 , the president runs incredibly strong. Senator casey was talking about that earlier. He runs it up and you see the numbers here. Again, in the mailin ballots joe biden has been doing well even in these red trump counties. As the counties report their votes, joe biden in many of these counties is picking up votes on that lead the president has. Another place were watching is here in erie county. Were from buffalo, new york. Its 50 if you round up to 49 for the president , but theres still 10 of the vote to be counted. This is one of the battleground counties, blue collar counties the democrats want to turn. 2016 the president carried just barely. If you go back to 2012 president obama carried this county twice. Joe biden from scranton, pennsylvania, made a point to try to fight for erie. Hes trying to present himself as a blue collar alternative to President Trump. Its not a Huge Population center but a decent sized Population Center. Erie county, bigger and more ballots still to come in. Wolf, were going to have to wait. And as we wait the key is right there youll get a little bit more perhaps out of there but mainly here. 86 in the city of philadelphia. 85,000 or so to go. Lets check in with pamela brown. Hes getting new information about pennsylvania as well. Reporter we just heard john talk about erie county and that margin is getting tighter and tighter. Im talking about President Trumps margin there in erie county has 64,089 versus 63,087 for joe biden. Erie was one of three counties that President Trump flipped in 2016. This is a county he thought he didnt have to worry about this election. But then covid hit and he went back, campaigned there in erie in late october, and he even admitted to the crowd i didnt think i had to come back here honestly but then as he called the plague covid hit, and here i am i need your vote. But with this trend they have some outstanding ballots that they say theyre going to be counting tonight. And what we are told, don king and wolf, is that they expect to be finished counting tonight, all mailin ballots remaining and those ballots have been 41 for joe biden. Interesting indeed, john, and as pamela points out those mailin ballots are skewing big time in favor of the democrats. And as i said sometimes when you pull out the map you look at pennsylvania, if you dont understand youd look at this and say, oh, the president s going to win this state huge, look at all that red. These are much smaller Rural Counties. Again, this is a place where we saw the president at one of his rallies at the end of his campaign here in butler county, and this is how he off sets democratic advantage in pittsburgh and philadelphia and the suburbs by running it up in these counties. But even in places like this where the president gets very high vote total, the democrats who live there, many of them voted by mail. As pam just noted in erie county up here you look at it on the map and its red, so youd think there are still outstanding ballots. You look at this and youll say theyll roughly split them. In a normal election you sometimes see it that way, because if people are voting general absentee, this is not a normal election. A lot of democrats decided im going to vote by mail, and were seeing just a lopsided advantage for joe biden. Republicans chose, most of them to vote on election day or vote early, get in line. Those ballots have largely been counted. The ballots that came in the mail or Postal Service or drop boxes. And weve seen that pretty consistently even in these trump counties across the commonwealth of pennsylvania and other states. The same thing is happening in georgia as we speak. And as they count those mailin ballots the president s lead is shrinking, now under 100,000 in pennsylvania. I want to go back to understand the drama of this. This is pennsylvania. Look at where we were. Look at where we were as tuesday, Election Night gave way to wednesday. The president was up by more than a half million votes. He stretched it out even a bit more. 435,000 and started to drop wednesday afternoon. Then it dropped by wednesday night, by late last night we started to see this trend happening, but it has continued. Every time theyve added more ballots the president s lead has gone down. There we are in realtime now under 100,000. Again, doesnt mean you cant stop that trajectory, but in the Biden Campaign they think this has snowballed down the hill, and theyre going to keep picking them up as they go, and Trump Campaign they hope these red counties bail them out, but you can understand the anxiety in the Trump Campaign. Youre hearing a lot of people say the Trump Campaign i think three days in a row has been in philadelphia crying foul. Again, my advice to everybody trump supporter or biden supporter see if they actually go to court and try to prove anything. You see these circles. These are our Population Centers, and you see overwhelming the population of pennsylvania in terms of voting is down here. Philadelphia and the suburbs generate a ton of votes. Pittsburgh suburbs more. This is where the president does run it up. This is good state for President Trump. We looked earlier hes not underperforming anywhere compared to 2016. Its just theres higher turnout. Democratic turnout is up, republican turnout is up. Thats why joe biden is in play as we come into the final hours of the campaign in pennsylvania. Again, i keep looking up there just to see sometimes this is rolling target. 97,900 votes within reach for joe biden. He needs to execute as the rest of these ballots get counted. When you and i spoke to bob casey he pointed out theres still some 370,000 ballots that have not been counted in pennsylvania. If you look at them most of them are mailin ballots that skew in favor of the democrats, potentially biden can narrow that 97,000 point lead trump has significantly if not overtake it. Yes, he can. And senator casey his dad was governor. The casey family knows the state quite well. And luzerne, the president is winning there but democrats voted by mail. This is what you cant see when you look at the map. What we can see is these mailin ballots. Hes talking about counties like this where, again, the president is getting 67 of the vote, but in the mailin ballots maybe theres a couple hundred, and theyre coming in predominantly for the democrats even in the red counties. That was the point senator casey was making. Out here this is place look at the numbers, largen county, east of pittsburgh, this is part of the trump base in pennsylvania. West moreland county is where the president tried to make the fracking argument, for example. You see 6435, but even there what were told by local officials the mailin ballots are predominantly for joe biden because thats how democrats decided to vote to be safe. Republicans also a tradition republicans have more of a tradition on voting on election day and that was exacerbated this year because of all the mailin balloting. I want to check in with jeff zeleny. I take it were going to be hearing from fairly soon the former Vice President whos been in briefings on coronavirus and other issues. Im being told any moment now were going to hear from the former Vice President really what hes been up to the last couple hours, and he been receiving briefings on coronavirus. The coronavirus numbers have been going up across the country, so joe biden and Kamala Harris have been receiving briefings on that as well as the economy. Here in wilmington, Going Forward with their daily briefings even as theyre keeping a close eye, their advisers are keeping an eye on what is happening in georgia, in pennsylvania in particular. Im told by advisers the comments from joe biden are going to be similar to what he said yesterday. Hes going to be talking about democracy, not going to declare victory at all but going to project optimism. The point is clear here. Theyre trying to show hes at work, hes being briefed on the challenges ahead should he get the job. A stark contrast, of course, weve not seen the president almost in nearly 48 hours talk to the white house about the daily challenges that are undergoing at this time. The stage behind me here youve been seeing in the backdrop its been quiet the last couple of days. Theres been some activity for sound checks, getting ready for something possible im told. The former Vice President is not going to be speaking here. Hes going to speak in downtown wilmington, but theyre getting some stage ready in case they need it at some point. But that would only happen if this race was called and that has not happened. Many votes still being counted. John, were going to hear from biden. Been getting a briefing on coronavirus. Just want to point out yesterday was a record high number of new confirmed coronavirus cases in the United States. More than 100,000, and more than 1,000 americans died yesterday from coronavirus. These are awful, awful numbers that were seeing here in the United States. They are awful numbers, and im going to see if we can find it in the map here. We judge our president ial elections in red and blue. This is something were not doing our election coverage and our election coverage has taken us away from the pain of the pandemic for a couple of days. Maybe itll take until tomorrow who will be the next president , who will inherit this in january. Will it stay in President Trumps hands or will joe biden pick it up . The deeper the red is the higher of the case count. Confirmed cases per 100,000 residents. You go through them every day and go through the counties, it is numbing. As you note another record yesterday. The possibility to go over 100,000 again today or at least back into that ballpark, record territory. Youre adding 100,000 new infections a day. It was the defining issue in the campaign, and one of the Big Questions here is if joe biden wins the presidency, donald trump is still president for three more months as this plays out. If donald trump wibs wins the presidency obviously he has four more years. Its just a simple fact the president himself has not attended a Coronavirus Task force meeting in months. The president doesnt even meet with the experts anymore. The United States is setting record new infections every day this week just about and the president of the United States was out on the campaign trail. Our attention is focused on whos going to win the presidency right now. And the president said its going to go away, were going to stop talking about this. No, were not. And its not just here, too. People are watching across the world. This is problem and crisis for the american president who are that is. More than 100,000 cases, hospitalizations going up and at least 1,000 americans are dying every day right now. David axelrod, were waiting to hear from Vice President biden. We heard from jeff zeleny saying hes going to be projecting confidence, not declaring victory at this point but ready for the challenges if he does win. Well, what a contrast between these two candidates at this moment in this process. Youve got the president who seems cl seems cloysterred in the white house and you have Vice President biden who is clearly projecting confidence and sense of transition, a sense this is going to come to an end and we are ready to move forward. And it is a smart thing to do to be out there to be reassuring people and sending signals of confidence that this process is about to come to an end. I think also its about stability. To say that, you know, you may think there are theres chaos, demonst