Isis have taken control of iraqs biggest oil refinery. That is crucial. That refinery would supply the fuel that iraqi forces need to fight back. And this comes despite claims frommite rocky government that military forces were using bulldozers to block the terrorists advances. Now this was the scene as iraqi forces were providing air support to keep the militant back. The latest power grab follows a move by isis to start imposing shia law. The number of cities now in the hand of terrorist continues to grow. Radical sunni militant by the thousands capturing at least three more toups in ttowns in t western diz desert. Short of creating in the case of syria, one extensive area of control and in jordan of course, threatening the territorial integrity of a country. This video appears to show a Border Crossing with jordan. I want to emphasize appears. We havent confirmed it. Confirming isis with a direct pipeline for money and weapons. Americans top diplomat travelled to baghdad to press for a new government. Nic robertson is out front. Reporter this is a critical moment for iraqs future. Reporter secretary of state john kerry in baghdad today. While just outside capitol, up to 20,000, isis forces are closing in. In the last 48 hours, substantial new gains in the north and west of the country. Including an iraqi air base in the key city. Isis now controls at least 70 of Anbar Province where u. S. Troops waged a deadly battle incase insurgents just a few years ago. On the web, isis showcasing their games by posting images too graphic to show on tv of bodies believed to be iraqi soldiers. Burned in body bags. Iraq trying to fight back. Targeting isis fighters from above. But many inity army are unable and unwilling in some cases to stop the militants. A u. S. Defense official tells cnn there are problems with morale, leadership, training and equipment. All the more reason for iraq to begin forming a new government by a july 1st deadline. It will allow Iraqi Security forces to confront more effectively. Kerry who met with almaliki also made it clear that a new government is a requirement for american assistance. The support will be intense. Sustained and if iraqs leaders take the necessary steps to bring the country together, it will be effective. He also said strikes could come at any time. Make no mistake, the president moved assets into place. Reporter and those assets will include in coming days, the 300 maximum number military advisors. Now that United States agreed with the Iraqi Government that they will have they will have immunity from prosecution. We understand there are six 12man teams. Two of those 12man teams already present will be made up of Staff Members already at the u. S. Embassy. Erin . Nic robertson, thank you very much. Outfront military analyst, executive director to general petraeus during the surge in iraq and colonel francona. Colonel monsure, you are hear isis advances. Do you still feel with a that way . I do. I think putting 300 advisors or so on the ground, the only good that will come of that is it many give us good Situational Awareness or bet are Situational Awareness of the state of the iraqi parmy. Thats that information we need going forward. But politically we dont need that. We need a comprehensive solution to the government in baghdad. Once they form a government that has the support of the iraqi people, then we can think about those stronger military measures that Nic Robertson and baghdad discussed. And colonel francona, they were talking about anbar, bull dozing overtowns, and when i was there, i remember it being a deserted empty part of the country. What does that mean in terms of how significant the gains are . . They are reeling into the towns that the Iraqi Government deserted. So the isis fighters can roll in, declare themselves in charge and move on. Thats why you are seeing this lightning move. Looks like they are just rolling across the countryside. They dont have to fight anybody. Nobodys there. Very little ref sichtance. I think it is important to get in there and see how good they are. But more importantly, what happened to the iraqi army. Colonel, there is the sharia law. Isis militant going through towns and announcing sharia courts. At their extreme, it is like we saw when we were reporting on this situation in africa. You cant have smoke org music. Cant get together. Boys and girls have to be seb rate. Women have to wear a niqab in public, covering their face. A lot of people say, that sounds like something restricting peoples freedom. But why should the u. S. Care to become involved in someone elses problem . Well we probably wouldnt just for the implementation of sharia law. It is respected form of Juris Prudence in much of the islamic world. Very fair, yes. It is the way isis fighters implement it. Which will blow back against them as it did in 2006 and 2007 during the surge when they alienate the iraqi people who are really not in their nature as extreme as these jihadys flowing in from the outside. So although this is a measure they are taking now, in the long run, it could work against them as it did back then. Colonel francona, i hear the point, but at the same time, now for example seizing this crucial refinery. They are able to provide gasoline at a much cheaper price than people were getting it a few days ago. Extremist groups have done so successfully, even in places like egypt. They will support them anyway because there is such animosity, they are looking at some way to get back to shia. But i think it is a temporary thing. And the colonel made a good point. This is a marriage of convenience. They are willing to support them right now. But just as we saw in 2006, with the anbar awakening, they said, we didnt sign up for this. We dont want the aqi, the stage of iraq which aqi became. I think we will see snoerj eye wakening. Right now, theyll cooperate because it serves their interest pl down the road, i think we will see the same thing as we saw in 2006. Thanks very much to both of you. Outfront next, isis itself, is now the worlds richest terror group. You may say, how did that happen without the u. S. Knowing about it . Well, it did. And we look at where the money is coming from. Plus, Hillary Clinton says she is not one of those people who are truly well off. She earned her money through hard work. And the pope takes off. But the energy bp produces up here creates Something Else as well jobs all over america. Engineering and innovation jobs. Advanced Safety Systems technology. Shipping and manufacturing. Across the United States, bp supports more than a quarter million jobs. When we set up operation in one part of the country, people in other parts go to work. Thats not a coincidence. Its one more part of our commitment to america. Thank ythank you for defendiyour sacrifice. And thank you for your bravery. Thank you colonel. Thank you daddy. Military families are uniquely thankful for many things, the legacy of usaa Auto Insurance can be one of them. If youre a current or former military member or their family, get an Auto Insurance quote and see why 92 of our members plan to stay for life. Mayo . Corn dogs . You are so outta here aah [ female announcer ] the complete balanced nutrition of greattasting ensure. 24 vitamins and minerals, antioxidants, and 9 grams of protein. [ bottle ] ensure®. Nutrition in charge™. Following breaking news with the Worlds Largest oil refinery to be in the hand of isis. I want to show you a map. This is number of iraqi cities that have fallen to the terrorist group. Isis has more resources than even al qaeda. Michael holmes has a look into the bank rolling. Reporter isis, Islamic State in iraq and syria. Experts say they have manpower, a mission, and money. They have been called the wealthiest terrorist group in the world. They could have anything between 1 billion and 2 billion. While exact numbers are hard it come by, the sunni militant group amassed a massive grank roll from a wide range of criminal activity like robbery, smuggling, extortion and kidnapping. Levying socalled road taxes on trucks, allowing safe passage through isis controlled territory and in return for cash. And making minority christians pay taxes to avoid crucifixion. According to a report from in the new york times. Isis is also cashing in on oil. Taking crude from northern fields in Northern Syria and selling it back to the Syrian Government as well as thre threatening iraqs largest field. This adds up to millions of dollars for isis every month. Those millions then used to buy arms and pay for propaganda like this High Definition highly produced recruitment video. Stansfield credits the success to the leader. He put together a plan, a strategy he is implementing a at time when nobody else has one. He is following his plan in anbar and syria, and fighting is ongoing. He is capturing territory. Capturing point. Reporter making isis more dangerous, stansfield says isis has more resources than al qaeda. They have an area of operation. A strong narrative of those areas they are working. And they can see them, they have success upon success now as well. And they are working in the heartland of the middle east and fighting against the shia on their own turf. These are all things al qaeda struggled to do. This makes isis even more deadly. Reporter and increasing concern to the western world. Michael holmes, cnn, atlanta. All right. Potentially more deadly than al qaeda. Counterterrorism analyst, former deputy director, you spent a lot of time dpaeling with alcade why and al qaeda funding. It is impossible to confirm, a number gets thrown around, they robbed a bank, they have half a billion dollars. People keep repeating it. Not all of that is absolutely true, but how wealthy are they . They have a lot of money, not because they can take it from people. But a truck going through, they will charge money for that truck. The interesting question is not how they spend that money, it is how they support people. Things like food and medicine so people start to say, isis isnt just a terror group that looks better than almaliki, it is a Group Delivering governance. How likely it is that you think they doll that . Groups come in where the governments have been unable to do that, and theyve done that. Basic education. Basic services. Basic food. And they get the hearts and minds. I think the real story is not whether isis takes land. There is one group, most successful terror group on the planet that did it extremely well. Thats lebanese hezbollah. The question isnt whether they take an oil refinery. It is, are they so harsh in their imposition of islamic law, so willing to spend money on weapons but not food that they lose sut port they have today. When they do that, by definition would they become more tame . Because when you govern, you become less perhaps extremist. You become someone that u. S. Says they wont deal with, but they do. Things, like, lets just say, the taliban. Let me make a prediction. As isis succeeds, people will say, if people dont believe us, we will cut off their heads. They learn. Better be careful about islamic law. You say we are jurordained by g kill them. So what about shia government. Everyone says, oh, these horrible things. Limb for limb. But you dont think they doll that . The problem is not with sharia law. If you look at polling, there is a modest amount of polling data. The koran, the book of muslims, is how you live life. Not how you go to church on sundays. Right. Separation of church and state. The question is how you impose it. Let me give you a critical example. Who in isis sits down and says, here is a good muslim, here is a bad muslim. Do they say some villages are bad muslim because they dont share their views . That is in villages they now own. And just overall in terms of governing, easy probably to take over land. Sunnis are upset with almaliki, but when you govern, one person is more than the other. That transition is hister toically hasnt been possible to achieve. Look at terror groups over time. We are all worried about taking over territory. Let me flit much coin. There are disadvantages for isis in taking over territory. Winning it is different than owning it. Look at somalia, yemen, north africa. When they move in, they realize they have a responsibility to people. They cant execute that responsibility. Right. As long as they are focused on this and their war there, it is less likely they are attacking the United States. Correct. This sounds awful. But advances they are making made new york city, boston, new york, chicago more secure. Why is that . Simple explanation. They are worried about where the iraqi army is coming over the hill the next day. Not about, what am i going to do about new york city and the car bomb in times square. What you have to worry is when the battle lines settle and they say, i have bigger fish to fry, and those fish are in new york city. Good to see you as always. Still outfront, chief grilled on capitol hill tonight. Live hearing. Thousands of emails that supposedly vanished. This as we hear a white house lawyer has been subpoenaed in connection to the scandal as it grows. U. S. Soccer team tries to break through to the next round. One player gets all of the elections right. 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Team usa seconds away from winning the match against portugal but just couldnt hold on. Portugals lastminute score tied the game. A win would have automatically sent the u. S. To the next round. But this makes it more interesting. Senior writer at 538, this is a website that does statistical analysis, rather brilliantly, calling elections right all the time. Neil, good to have you with us. U. S. Plays germany thursday at noon eastern. A lot of people watching, say, germany, they are good, arent they . They are. But if the u. S. Wins or ties, they go to knockout round. They dont have to win, just have to tie. What are the odds they can pull it off . Right now our model says theres about 36 chance the u. S. Wins or draws. And as you said, they dont actually have to beat germany. Which is good. Because germfully is a really good team and there is only about 15 chance that we would beat germany out right. Only 15 chance to beat out right. Does the u. S. Have a chance. A lot of people would be skeptical of that. Say, look, america is good at many things. But football as the world calls it is not necessarily one at the top of the list. Well, they have a good chance to get out of group stage as they are in right now. About 76 chance because they can win, they can draw, and then there are other scenarios which they can lose and still make it in based on the goal differential of ghana in their game against portugal. If portugal wins in a close game then we are guaranteed to be in. They have a good chance still of making it in to the next round. The knockout round. Once we get there, it is anyones game but the u. S. s chances are not quite as good as a team like brazil or argentine why or germany. Waits, wait, can we get that screen back . Neil, what i just saw is a 99. That was not the number on the screen. The number on the screen was 1 . What i saw that was 99 chance of the United States does not went the world cup. Yes. Theres a 1 chance, according to our model, that u. S. Wins. But thats a lot better than was before the tournament started. If you look at our odds before the tournament started, we add 1 in 255 chance of winning. Now we have 1 in 99 chance of winning. That means if you bet and youre right, you can make a lot more money. I will find the positive side. But in terms of who is going to win, if someone was trying to put a bet on that, what are your odds . We still say brazil is the best team. A lot of that has to do with home field, home pitch, i guess would you call it, advantage. In the world cup. Playing your games as home country seems to matter. It hopes that brazil is the best team even though this havent been as dominant as would you have believed going into the tournament. Im trying to decide which one ill bet on. Maybe i will go with the 1 odds. Probably not. Thanks, neil, appreciate it. All right. Still out front, on capitol hill right now, this hearing is going on as we speak. We are watching it as we have an investigation on whether, this is a fact, can thousands of emails just go missing . Or is that a lie . This is darrell issa grilling the chief of the irs. Then like something out of a movie. Man who had a facetoface encounter with a great white off the coast of new jersey this weekend. If rs its a known fact that 100 of the swordfishes you dont try to catch. Will get away. Seize the summer with up to 40 off hotels from travelocity. 800,000 hours of supercomputing time, 3 million lines of code, 40,000 sets of eyes, or a million sleepless nights. Whether its building the worlds most advanced satellite, the space station, or the next leap in unmanned systems. At boeing, one thing never changes. Our passion to make it real. [ girl ] my mom, she makes underwater fans that are powered by the moon. She can print amazing things, right from her computer. [ whirring ] [ train whistle blows ] she makes trains that are friends with trees. My mom works at ge. Shoulder pain. R long day on set starts with. And a choice take 6 tylenol in a day which is 2 aleve for. All day relief. Hmm. [bell ring] roll so