Also to ban or not to ban the about yo about your key any oig. Ill tell you why they begin with librte shouldnt even be asking this question. What to do with north korea. After another nuclear test. But is there any good answer . We will discuss. Finally, a ticket to ride with the richest man in the world. Bill gates wants to take you to south africa with him. When you come to south africa, you almost cant help but get filled with hope. Come along. But, first, heres my take. Whether you put them in a basket or not, the question of this election is, who are Donald Trumps supporters . One way to answer is to widen the scope beyond the United States. Trump is part of a broad populous trend running across the western world. Over the last few decades, weve seen the rise of populism both left wing and right wing from sweden to greece, denmark to hungary. In each place the discussion focuses on forces that are particular to each country and its political landscape. But whats happening in so many countries with so many different political systems and cultures and histories, that there must be some common causes. In an Important Research paper they calculate that european populist parties of the right and left have gone from 6. 7 and 2. 4 of the vote in the 1960s respectively to 13. 4 and 12. 7 in the 2010s. The most striking finding of the paper, which points to a fundamental cause for this rise of populism, is the decline of economics as the pivot of politics. The way we think about Politics Today is still shaped by the basic 20th century left right divide. Left wing parties advocated for increased spending and regulations on business. Rightwing parties wanted limited government, fewer safety nets and more lay sissezfaire policie policies. Voting patterns reinforce this ideological divide with the working class voting for the left and middle and upper classes for the right. Engelhart and notice note that the old voting pattern have been declining for decades. By the 1980s class voting has fallen to the lowest levels in britain, sweden and west germany. In the United States it had fallen so low by the 1990s virtually no room for further decline. Today an americans economic status is a far worse predictor of his or her voting preferences than her views on samesex marriage. The authors also analyzed Party Platforms and found since the 1980s Economic Issues have become much less important. NonEconomic Issues social and environmental have greatly increased in importance. As economics declined as the Central Force defining politics, its place was taken by a grab bag of issues that could be described as culture. It began as engelhart and norris note with young people in the 1960s embracing a postmaterial politics. Selfexpression, gender, race, environmentalism. That trend then generated a backlash from older voters, particularly men, who sought to reaffirm the values they grew up with. The key to Donald Trumps success in the republican primaries was to realize that while the conservative establishment preached the economic gospel of entitlement reform, conservative voters were moved by very different, noneconomic appeals about immigration, security and identity. This is the new landscape of politics. And it explains why partisanship is so high. Rhetoric so shrill and compromise seemingly impossible. You see, you could split the difference on economics. After all, money can always be divided. But how do you compromise on the core issue of identity or National Culture . You see each side today holds deeply to a vision of america and believes genuinely that what its opponents want is not just misguided, but, well, deplorable. For more, go to cnn. Com fareed and read my Washington Post column this week and lets get started. In a moment, im going to introduce you to a multitalented brilliance. What if i told you there is a person who has read just about every medical textbook and journal out there and uses that knowledge to diagnose medical mysteries, but also has collaborated as a Fashion Designer on a dress that was worn by a supermodel at the met gala and helped produce the movie trailer for major feature film. Oh, by the way is a published cookbook author and budding career as a weather forecaster and did i mention won a huge tournament on jeopardy even beating ken jennings. That last part might have been the giveaway. Im not actually talking about a person but a machine. Meet watson. Ibms tech platform that uses Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in extraordinary ways. That list of watsons accomplishments actually scares many who worry that computers are now powerful enough to do almost any human job. I went down to ibms Watson Center in Downtown Manhattan to talk about it all with ibms chairman, president and ceo who is also a multitalented brilliance. Ibm is one of the Worlds Largest companies with a market cap over 140 billion. Welcome. Thank you, fareed. Nice to be here with you, again. Explain to us the road to watson. What is happening in technology that led to this . This is a great question and speaks a lot to what everyone is experiencing around the world. Either personally or in a business. There have been three Big Technology trends, i think, shaping our lives. One, cloud, mobility and then all this explosion of data around us. You have this explosion of information. It is impossible to understand it. This is the road to watson. We saw this long ago that there would be all this data for it to bring any value to business or to the world to solve these unsolvable problems, youll need a whole new way of computing of systems that could take that and make some sense out of it. If you think about it, go back 20 years in retail. If you were online buying something, not a big one, typical. You may have had half a million things you could look at. Today, 20, 25 million. You as a buyer, how could you discern what is the right thing to do. That is just one small example. This is what led us to watson. The idea that this explosion of information and once you become digital you will need some way data will differentiate companies and that led us to this world which is watson which is, basically, think about it as the ability for systems to learn. How is watson different from your average computer . It is very different and i want you to not think of it as a computer. Think of watson in this new world of cognitive. It is in the cloud. Therefore, it is applicable to everyone. Think of it as being embedded in everything you can do. It will impact your daily life and impact your business. So, when you think of it that way as think of it as a service that could be embedded, it will touch billions of things. Billions of people and billions of things that they do basically to help you make a better decision. Whether thats personally or whether thats professionally. So lets take medical. Watson does a lot of medical work. Explain to us why watson is a better doctor than most doctors. I actually wouldnt say it that way. What i really envision, this is an important point about cognitive. Its goal is not to replace anyone. In fact, its been about our goal, not Artificial Intelligence, but augmenting intelligence and helping people make better decisions. That is, in fact, what were doing. I mention we do work and i see this era doing work for both what you would call everyday decisions as well as solving the unsolvable and you mentioned health care. Lets take a diagnosis. Heres how it would go with a diagnosis. So, cancer. Cancer oncology adviser is rolling out and watson has been taught by some of the best institutions in the world. Work weve done with cleveland clinic, mayo clinic, m. D. Anderson, systems abroad. What a doctor would do to assist. Watson has read all the literature on cancer, all the journals and all the text. Your emr, your medical record which could be hundreds of pages long, your test. What it is going to do when i said it could understand and reason, just like you and i, forms hypotheses and knows what percent confidence and then shows a doctor these are the different kinds of ideas and the appropriate treatment. But the key difference is, correct me if im wrong, you showed this to me once. A doctor can hold maybe a couple hundred articles in his or her head. And watson is looking at 2 million articles. Well over millions and millions now. Presumably with access to millions of articles and that much data, watson must make better diagnoses than an average doctor. It will help an average doctor and that is the point. You wont necessarily be able to see a world class oncologist but your oncologist will have that access to help them do their job. Then they actually can do what we want our doctors to do. They spend time with you and understanding you. An average doctor visit, as you know, can be a very small period of time. Thats why i say this is really a world where it will augment what professionals do and what each of us do. In the movie business the art of making the trailer is seen as a very soft skill. Its something you have to do, appreciating what an audience will like and how it evokes certain emotions. So a successful movie trailer has been seen as a very fine art skill that an editor puts together and, yet, watson was able to do this thing that the human does, and it would take months, apparently, to cut a movie trailer and watson sort of did it in a day. Explain how. Watson helped the film editor to do this in a day, something it would have taken him weeks to do. This is an element and one path weve worked on which is creativity. In fact what watsons doing is watching different movies and watching then how people respond and what is it theyre responding to. And then looking for in this movie what are the elements that would duplicate that and then giving that input to the person putting together the trailer to have them then put together the most popular trailer and elicit the right audience behavior from that. Very much that idea that these systems can learn and learning from observation, reaction and knowing how peoples brains work and how their emotions react and puts all that together. So what it suggests is that all these things that we think of as creativity assisted. But broken down, digitized and coded so that a computer can understand . In many ways they can be. People think of things like smell and taste, but, actually, or even the way you react when maybe you smell something that you remember from your childhood. It brings back. These are all chemical, can be broken down into chemical equations and, in fact, by doing that then, you can come up with better recommendations. Were doing work with Campbell Soup about how to prepare the right recipe and remind you of when you were young. That kind of thing. They can be broken into equations and digitized. Next, when they all agree on something, i certainly listen and the three of them concur that while there are many huge upsides to Artificial Intelligence, there could be a huge downside, too. Could Artificial Intelligence wipe us all out . I will ask watsons owner, ibm chief Ginni Rometty when we come back. Also, does she think women in high places face special challenges . If youre searching other travel sites to find a better price. Stop clicking around. The lowest prices on our hotels are always at hilton. Com. So pay less and get more only at hilton. Com. Everyone thought i was crazy to open a hotel here. Everyone said its so hard to be a musician, but i cant imagine doing anything else. Now that the train makes it easier to get here, the neighborhood is really changing. Im always hopping on the train, running all over portland. I have to go wherever the work is. Trains with innovative Siemens Technology help keep cities moving, so neighborhoods and businesses can prosper. I can book 3 or 4 gigs on a good weekend. Im booked solid for weeks. It takes ingenuity to make it in the big city. I know more about isis then the imapprgenerals do. Age. S. John mccain, a war hero. Hes not a war hero, hes a war hero because he was captured. I like people that werent captured ok. Donald trump compared his sacrifices to the sacrifices of two parents who lost their son in war. How would you answer that father . What sacrifice have you made for your country . I think ive made a lot of sacrifices, built great structures. Ive had tremendous success, i think. Those are sacrifices . We continue to follow breaking news out of new york city. Lets listen in. The whole team swellings all the First Responders who have done an extraordinary job since this explosion happened yesterday evening. As everybody knows, there was an explosion on west 23rd street. There is significant property the damage on both sides of the explosion. 29 people were injured. There were no fatalities, something to give thanks for today. Because when you see the amount of damage, we really were very lucky that there were no fatalities at the time. We just inspected the subway station, the p. A. T. H. Station in the immediate area to see if there was any damage done from the explosion to the subway station, the tunnels, et cetera and were happy to report that there was no damage. So the mta is ready to be up and running as early as tomorrow to return to full service for those stations. There may be certain entrances and exits that are closed depending on where the investigation is at that time. But we will keep you uptodate on that. Ive been briefed by all the relevant agencies. At this time there is no evidence of an International Terrorism connection with this incident, but it goes veis very early in the investigation and it is just starting. The fbi has brought the evidence that they have collected from the site of the cexplosion as well as the bomb that did not detonate and they will be studying that. There was also an incident in seaside park, new jersey. Theyre also taking that material to quantico to review that material, also. I spoke with governor christie this morning and were coordinating resources between new york and new jersey to see if there is anything that we can learn. The main coordinate of mechanism is something called the jttf, the joint Terrorism Task force, and that is up and operational. But the bombs that were in seaside, new jersey appear to be different than the ones that were in manhattan. As i mentioned, the response by the First Responders was extraordinary. You drill all the time and you run exercises all the time, but its still different when it happens. I spoke to mayor de blasio, the nypd did a great job, the fbi has can it updone a great job, security, new York State Police, fire department, everyone worked together and is coordinating on the investigations. We have no reason to believe at this time that there is any further immediate threat, but just to err on the side of caution, we will be deploying close to an additional 1,000 new York State Police and National Guard people to police the bus terminals, airports and subway stations. Again, just to err on the side of caution. And i want new yorkers to be confident when they go back to work on monday that new york is up and running and were doing everything that we need to do. And i feel comfortable that this additional deployment will help do that and is prudent on this occasion. The bottom line on this is number one, whoever placed these bombs, we will find and they will be brought to justice. Period. You have the finest Police Agencies in the world when you come to new york. And we will find who planted these explosives and they will be punished. Thumb two, we will not allow these type of people and these type of threats to disrucisrupt life in new york. Thats what they want do. Were not going to let them do it. This is freedom. This is democracy. And were not going to allow them to take that from us. So feel safe. Everything that needs to be gun is being done and more. And were going to enjoy new york and were going to go back to work tomorrow just like we do on any monday morning. [ inaudible question ] the evidence that is now being gathered is going to quantico. I believe that the seaside park bombs are en route to quantico. The unexploded device from new york may not yet have made to quantico. Im not sure. [ inaudible question ] they were both similar in design. But lets let the fbi do their investigation. Again, this is very early. Theyre just getting the devices, just starting the investigation. So once we get the investigation, well have all the fact and then we can speak intelligently. It was said last night there is no evidence that there was connection to terror. What are you hearing . I believe the hair was smayo saying that there is no kegs to international terrorists. And that is credit. No one has taken credit, there have been no International Groups that have put out any statements that are connecting them with this action. Now, it defenpends on your definition of terrorism. A bomb exploding in terrorism is obviously an act of terrorism, but its not linked to International Terrorism. In other words, we find no isis connection, et cetera. But a bomb going off is generically a terrorist activity. Thats how well consider it. And thats how we will prosecute it, also. But the mayor is correct, there was no link at this time at this preliminary stage to International Terrorism. So this could still be lone wolf act . Could be. Could be. Could be because we just dont know. We know there has been no International Terrorism organization that has taken credit, but we dont know. Ive been in the federal government, ive been through a number of these incidents. You know, you can guess, you can hypothesize, or you can just wait for the facts and go from there. So we know wh