There is a secret to how to make it work. Ill let you in on it. Also, Vladimir Putin wants to make russia great again. So whose footsteps is he following in. I will discuss with one of the historians of russia. Finally, how to write clearly. It is not as easy as you think. Lessons from the man voted the greatest newspaper editor of all time. The sir herold evans. The real bad language is not swear words, its deceptive word words. First, here is my take. In early december sir gabriel gave a speech that is a sorting place for understanding how sharply and quickly the world is changing. Gabriel described the most important changes affecting our western world and indeed the world as a alcohowhole, America International leadership. He noted the United States current withdrawal under trump for the role of a gauuarantor o western influenced is accelerating the transformation of the global order. The foundation of security and prosperity are being called into question the risk of trade wars, arms races. Its under the deepest and most sustained pressure since the inception. He observed, tried and tested principles and foundations of International Relations like multil multilateral is m. He pointed specifically to the International Activism of rising powers by china, russia, iran and turkey in this context. For europe, gabriel argued, the situation is there because the United States seized to see europe as a special place. In 1947, secretary of state George Marshall laid out his vision for the Marshall Plan calling for the rehabilitation of europe, a vast responsibility which history has clearly placed upon our country. As gabriel pointed out, since that speech, europe has been an american project however, the current u. S. Administration is a very distant competitor at the very least economic opponents. A common thinker in 2000 that europe failed to define interest and therefore has no real Foreign Policy but in 2017, gabriel declared that is no longer an option. He urged europe to define interests and take its destiny into its own hands. This view mirrors views expressed by Angela Merkel who gabriel serves, even though there are different parties. His speech was consistent with the views articulated in june by the Canada Foreign minister in which he thanked the United States for his sevendecades long system and strongly implied that under the Trump Administration, American Leadership of that system reached its end. This is the condition of the new International System today. Its creator, upholder and enforcer, the United States has withdrawn into selfcentered isolation. The second great supporter and advocate of the open rule based word europe is not acting with any clear vision purpose and in this period, china, russia and a host of smaller inliberal powers are surging forward to fill the vacuum. Some years ago, i described a post American World brought on not by the decline of america but the rise of the rest. That process has been well underway but has now been dramatically accelerated by the Trump Administrations foolish and selfdefeating decision to resign as the worlds leader. As the president might say in a tweet, sad. Now lets get started. So lets keep talking about americas role after a year of President Trumps residency at 1600 pennsylvania avenue. I have a great group today for just that conversation. The editor and chief of the economist joins us from london and here in new york, gidden rose and russell immediamade. You tried to make sense of Donald TrumpsForeign Policy or donald trump brings Foreign Policy back to earth. So i thought it was perhaps the most articulate plausible account of what might be the best case as it were. So lay it out. Well, you know, i think that in someways american Foreign Policy since the end of the cold war has been to build this very imposing increasing complexity weight and density but we never really as a country after 1990 had the same kind of conversation we had, say, in 199 or 1945 to 1947. The sense was, it was the end of history. We could do a lot of things. We could do a lot of things as we cut Defense Budgets and cut aid budgets and it wouldnt be right. Over time, the Foreign Policy is harder to explain to the average person. There is a kind of a palpable withdraw. To the extent there is a construct tiive agenda, it woule recognizing that gap and i think with people like secretary mattias, National Security advisors, were seeing an effort to try to rebuild some kind of strategy that can be defended politically to the American People and have some kind of support. So this was global over reach under the last three president s and trump is simply recognizing that the public doesnt want a globalest Foreign Policy. One could make that case for administrations, the certain aspect of the administrations Foreign Policy but in practice, the idea that the Trump Administration has anything resembling or the president a cohaerent Foreign Policy we can take guidance from and response to the real problems of the world is fanciful. Its saying roy moore is concerned with youth problems. Yes, its they are pulling back but the idea that there is actually a cohaerent strategy from the top and anything is coordinated and there is anything other than american Foreign Policy taking a gap here is fanciful. Zanny, when you look at it, do you think from outside in, had the american Foreign Policy project become the next vast, a International World order going . Well, i think there is elements of truth to both of those view points. I do think its been for the last 17 years an absolutely essential part of the open world order. But i also think that it is time and was time trump or no trump in the aftermath of some of the over ambitious exercises of the past years and in the light of the rise of china, it was time to have a serious conversation about how you reshape and how you fashion the International System for the 21st century. I dont think very much people in the administration are having serious conversations of that sort. There may be a few but President Trump himself has, i think, an extremely transactional approach and extremely zero sum view of International Relations. The deal is i win you lose. That serious conversation about to be happening and its not. From the rest of the perspective, the u. S. Has essentially checked out and checked out at a time when conversations about the world order need to happen and a time when china is increasingly exporting the role and wanting to move center stage and create a different world order, so i think we have a shift that will go beyond the Trump Administration, a very real shift and unfortunately happening not in a way one would want, which is a real conversation about the 21st Century Global order. Its one where the big guide of that order is absent. Walter, wouldnt it be fair to say, i think you characterized the american Foreign Policy over the last 25 years, exactly right. But it did get more ambitious and did get more resource starved in someways except after 9 11. But isnt that partly because the whole world became, you know, kind of became american. The old economist block entered and as a result, you had many more allies, many more countries wanting to share in the process. The United States no longer had to battle international economy. All they had to do is set the rules of the road a bit so it t incredible success you want to build on. Again, im somebody i think all three of us are in the group of people who think that the last 70 years, some things went better than others on a whole in trying to build this global order was trying to do the right thing and the best thing under the circumstances and i m m ima the question is how to adjust and go forward rather than how to throw in the cards and walk off and go find another planet that we enjoy more. So so far, so good. I do think that actually had we been looking more carefully in the 1990s while russia nor china was prepared to actively challenge this american, this post cold war order, both of them concluded a, that they werent going to join the party and b, that this liberalization that the United States was pushing was a threat to their Domestic Order and security and so what we saw is kind of a gradual move on the part of those countries picking up what help they could, gradually to assert first more independence and then more out right opposition. Isnt it fair to say that walters Central Point is the public isnt buying in and you cant in a democracy have a Foreign Policy that the public just doesnt buy into . That is absolutely true and its correct to say that over the last generation and certainly the forces of globalization have created more stratified society that produced a lot of losers as well as winners and elites in the advanced industrial world were not intattentive to the side effects that benefit them for the lower and middle order of society. You have an outpouring, a lot of populous wave coming now is because people are fighting. They dont want peace. They want equal rights and justice, and there is a sense that the last generation has been unjust the way its played out, the outcome of globalization. The answer is not to take more from the poor, give it more to rich people as the tax bill does and stiff the globalization process and make everybody poorer. The answer is to address the problems and reform the liberal International Order the way they are trying to do in france. Whether we come back, well switch gears because we have a terrific panel. What should we be looking around the globe in 2018 . Big trends . Ill ask my esteemed panelist when we come back. siren wailing barry murrey when you have a really traumatic injury, we have a short amount of time to get our patient to the hospital with good results. We call that the golden hour. Evaluating patients remotely is where i think we have a potential to make a difference. barry murrey we would save a lot of lives if we could bring the doctor to the patient. Verizon is racing to build the first and most powerful 5g network that will enable things like precision robotic surgery from thousands of miles away. As we get faster wireless connections, itll be possible to be able to operate on a patient in a way that was just not possible before. When i move my hand, the robot on the other side will mimic the movement, with almost no delay. Who knew a scalpel could work thousands of miles away . Allow you to take advantage of growth opportunities. With a level of protection in down markets. So you can head into retirement with confidence. Brighthouse financial established by metlife. Going somewhere . Whoooo. Heres some advice. Tripadvisor now searches more. Than 200 booking sites to find the hotel you want and save you up to 30 . Trust this birds words. Tripadvisor. And we are back with our panel. Zanny, when you look at the year ahead, what are the big trends youre looking at . A lot of big trends. The first, well see a growing tech lash, growing backlash that started in 2017. Concern about googles power. That momentum will build in 2018. Secondly, increasing concern about chinas economic and political ambition. Chinas swagger on the International Stage at the congress, president ping was pretty clear about china has now emerged and china wants its role center stage and then the third and it is, you have alerted to emanuel is watching closely, someone that could succeed in forging a new kind of Progressive International global order that would be sustainable and politically popular. Im not sure hell succeed but its someone ill be carefully watching. Walter, you have been one of the great interpreters of populism. You can talk about whatever you want but throw in what will the future of populism be in 2018 . Will we look at it as rising further, plateauing . Its channelling descent than developing policy answers. I think frustrated populism is going to be with us for awhile. Its almost the nature of the case, but i think there is one big trend that well see unfolding in a lot of dimensions and that really is sort of massive geopolitical shift with the change and energy market. The fact that russia, iran,arab dollars in revenue. Were seeing dramatic impacts. With oil at 60 compared to 100 and 150 with no sort of rising price line to peak oil demand. Right. Its different now and clear, too, when opec succeeds in disciplining members it transfers revenue to the u. S. Shale revenue and so on. This is different. It means longterm energy prices, less inflation, one reason southern european economies stabilized is the Energy Situation is quiet and favorable. Were undoing the 1970s, that enormous shift of power and geopolitical centrality to the gulf, to those countries, the creation of the boom towns. Well see a reversal. Its good for china. Its good for japan. Good for india. Good for the european union. Good for the United States, bad for russia, bad for iran, bad for the gulf states, for the arab world generally. Bad for venezuela. Very bad for venezuelvenezue. This is something that comes from outside politics that will change the International Environment and all kinds of subtle and sometimes quite dramatic ways. Do you agree with what walter said and zanny said but you have to come back to trump. In the midst of this, appreciating realities he said and the strategy of supply chain and energy is not a good strategy and going into renewables. At the same time, trump is is pulling the United States out of climate agreements and the worst kinds and essentially fla lly f the trends that should benefit the United States. The globalized world is the product of u. S. Engagement and strategy for a world thats knitted together in beneficial ways and the challenge and questioning question is what point after this holiday from history will the Trump Administration reengage. After the hubbub of this year and posterri back and forth and tweeting, you could have a situation for the deal. If you legalize the program and craft a deal to freeze things, a good deal could be there but the u. S. Has to be leading it with the state department and negotiations and thats not something this administration is doing. The big question is what will happen with trump and the United States because that will happen with everything else. Since i have you and you have a unique perspective, what do you think about this whole issue of Sexual Harassment in the United States . Is it an american phenomenon . Is it a trend that you think will catch on around the world . Do you make of it all . Well, first of all, its already not only an american phenomenon, there is lots and lots of discussion and lots and lots of cases here in the. U. K. And france and i hope very much its a cultural moment from which we will learn and we will move and have a cultural moment when it was no longer okay to be racist and a cultural moment it was no longer okay to be homophobic. They demand a lot of soul searching but i hope permanent change comes from this. Its not clear whether it will but im amazed and impressed and kind of in awe of how much has happened and how many people have come forward and the me, too, whole meme is extraordinary and remarkable to watch and i hope it translates into a much broader cultural shift that can only in my view be to the good. On that note, thank youall, fascinating panel. Next on gps, ive always said when donald trump has a good idea, ill tell you about it. He has one and ill tell you about it, next. Even a swing set standoff. And we covered it, july first, twentyfifteen. Talk to farmers. We know a thing or two because weve seen a thing or two. We are farmers. Bumpadum, bumbumbumbum or a little internet machine . It makes you wonder shouldnt we get our phones and internet from the same company . Thats why Xfinity Mobile comes with your internet. You get up to 5 lines of talk and text at no extra cost. So all you pay for is data. See how much you can save. Choose by the gig or unlimited. Xfinity mobile. A new kind of network designed to save you money. Call, visit, or go to xfinitymobile. Com. Now for the what in the world segment, i said when donald trump has a good idea, im more than happy to support it. Back in march at a round table discussion attended by Business Leaders from germany and the u. S. , the ceo of sales force made this challenge to the president. We would love to encourage you to take a moon shoot goal to create 5 million apprenticeships in the next five years. Lets do that