We are two months out before any of this voting actually begins. I can tell you, two months from this morning we will know the winner of the iowa caucuses. This race is entering a bran new phase. Chris and alisyn . Jeff, please, stay with us. Alisyn are negotiating which numbers to dive into first. Theres so many. Ill lose as usual. Lets bring in sara murray. You break the tie. What number pops out to you the most . If you look at trumps overall number, his support, theres another number we havent mentioned yet. Thats the 26 of republicans who will say they will never support trump. They say that in the quinnipiac poll. Thats the challenge Going Forward. If you do see someone break out between cruz and rubio. Trump needs to coalesce more support, break beyond 25 , 30 . Its still a question whether he can get enough republicans on board to really be the winner if it comes down between him and one other republican in the race. Thats what alisyn wanted to talk about first, ill steal her question and say i won. You won again. Bush, is it another story that hes gaining or that hes low in the field, visavis everybody else at the top. Look at him now. This is it in terms of his ability to catch on, this was supposed to be the new phase, wasnt it . Yes. I think its incredible to see bushs numbers this low, especially because look, we are now in crunch time as jeff zeleny said. Were a couple months out from one states start voting. The bush campaign, the super pac are spending money, up on the airwaves. Its no longer a question of people not knowing or being aware of bushs record or not seeing him on the trail. Hes been campaigning hard. Theyre up on the air and voters are not buying what hes selling right now. Jeff, lets talk about how trump was saying im trouncing hillary, im beating her in a huge way. But children to be, headtohead matchup against trump has, as you point out, clinton beating trump 47 to 41 . When you match up other people against clinton, she still beats them until you get to rubio. Here she beats trump. With rubio its neck and neck, 45 to 44 . What do you see there . Alisyn, we can see that bearing out in real life. The Clinton Campaign is the most concerned about marco rubio without question, for a couple reasons. One, he presents a generational difference. The biggest generational difference of any headtohead matchup. Hes a fluent spanish speaker. Has a story about new beginnings in america. That is why the Clinton Campaign believes that marco rubio could be their biggest rival here. You see this sort of playing out in the polls there. Digging into his back ground, theyre looking into what is next for him. Marco rubio, of course, has to get through this republican primary. And it is still a very interesting thicket there. Saras absolutely right about one thing on the donald trump phenomenon. Hes not grown as much. Hes basically been staying right below 30 here. If he is to close it deal and win the republican nomination which he certainly could, he needs to coalesce that support from other republicans in the race. Sara, two other headlines here for people. One is that hes doing this the cheap way, trump. He spent 217,000 on ads so far. And look, lets be honest, a big reason why is us. Because we put him in the news all the time. Were giving him so much attention, he doesnt have to pay for ads. Going down the line when you look at the field, mick is looking at me, i feel like i make that point all the time, just so you know, when you look at the field and how much money is being spent, what does this mean in terms of longevity. The big x factor is whether donald trump is going to start spending his own money. So far he hasnt had to. When you look at everyone else, the people who have spent a lot of money, the jeb bushes of the world, kasich, hasnt really moved the numbers that much. People like trump, the people on top, carson, these guys have done it spending relatively little to no money. So its just kind of a different situation right now where voters are not looking to Television Advertisements to drive who theyre supporting. Of course we know that that could change in the coming months. But right now, it doesnt seem like dollars are moving voters. I mean, look, here it is. You can just see the vast discrepancy between how much trump has spent, 217,000 on ads versus look at jeb bush. 29 million. Look at john kasich, 8 million. Just incredible numbers there on your screen. So i mean, jeff, once again, this election defies logic. Everything you were talking about. How is it possible that the frontrunners in this reelection cycle, donald trump and Hillary Clinton are the least trustworthy . How is that going to work over the next year . It is a great question. That is the conundrum here. Voters dont trust washington right now. They dont trust their leaders. It appears they would be inclined to elect someone they dont necessarily trust here. Those are numbers they would have to improve upon in the general election setting here. This is a National Poll. We talk about state president ial campaigns are run state by state by state. The thing about donald trump is, hes leading in the state polls as well in iowa and here in New Hampshire as well here. They have high negatives, very, very high negatives. The reality is voters like his strength. On the democratic side, voters believe she is the most electable here. It is not that surprising to me that voters dont find them honest. Bill clinton was reelected in 1996. A majority of voters said he was not honest and trustworthy but he was reelected by a wide margin. Another big headline is morning is what the gop is going to do about trump. It is now seen as more likely than not he will certainly be there come convention time. The risk is, if he doesnt like the deal thats brokered at the convention he walks and he walks with maybe 25 , 30 of the vote. What to do, what to do. I think we talk a lot about a brokered convention. Were getting ahead of ourselves there. A brokered convention is something that Establishment Republicans talk about all the time with a look of horror on their face, could you imagine if this happens. Not a single state has voted yet. We need to get through these states that are voting and see where we are. That can be a big game changer and it could sort of narrow down what will happen coming to the convention. Theres no doubt when you talk to Establishment Republicans, theyll say things i think iowa is ted cruzs to lose. Theres a Wishful Thinking that somehow donald trump will evaporate and support will coalesce behind one of the other republicans. On the other side, theres a fear that donald trump keeps growing, he could potentially be the republican nominee and they havent found a way to stop him. The one thing they kndo know, ia bunch of Establishment Republicans get together and hit trump, they expect that to backfire. Hes going to say thats the problem with the party right now. Its left its supporters hundreded. Well be talking to Kevin Mccarthy, congressman Kevin Mccarthy about this and how Establishment Republicans are feeling later in the program. Sara, jeff, thank you. Look, this is going to make even more excitement surround the next debate. Mark your calendars, the cnn Republican Debate is less than two weeks away. We know every time one of these laps the race changes. Somebody else makes the case. Wolf blitzer moderated the last gop debate. Will moderate this debate for us. Sorry. Last debate of the year, december 15th at 9 00 p. M. Eastern right here on cnn. Mark our ckallecalendars. In chicago, the city mayor firing his Police Superintendent in the wake of outcry in the shooting of a teenager. Cnns ryan young is live in chicago with more on whats going on in that city. Ryan . Reporter good morning, michaela. A lot of people are still talking about this. We had protesters outside the Police Department just last night. People are saying one down, two more to go. Days of protests in chicago leading to one official calling for a federal investigation into the chicago Police Department. Illinoiss attorney general second a request to the u. S. Department of justice civil rights division. This as a Chicago Police board is set to begin a nationwide search for a new superintendent. He has become an issue rather than dealing with the issue. And a distraction. Reporter the firing of chicago Police SuperintendentGary Mccarthy continued fallout over the citys handling of the shooting of Laquan Mcdonald by officer Jason Van Dyke, video of the teen who died in a hail of 16 bullets igniting days of outrage and growing distrust. Now is the time for fresh eyes and new leadership. Reporter reacting to the pressure tuesday, mayor rahm emanuel announced a new task force to review how the city trains its officers. Many wonder if the mayor and cook county prosecutors jobs could be in jeopardy, accusations swirling that the city tried to keep the shooting under wraps during reelection season shelling out a 5 million to the Mcdonald Family before a lawsuit was ever filed. I troo y to do my job in a professional manner every day. Reporter also fueling suspicions of a coverup, allegations that Chicago Police deleted footage from that burger king surveillance camera that may have captured moments leading up to the shooting. There was 83 minutes of video that was missing. Reporter the prosecutor insisting that the tape was not tampered with. Theres been a lot of conversation about that burger king video. In fact they came out and said the fbi has looked at the files and said no one has tampered with that video. They dont believe that was deleted afterwards. Alisyn . Thanks so much for that update. Meanwhi meanwhile, more american boots will be on the ground in iraq to fight isis. Defense secretary ash carter announcing plans for Additional SpecialOperations Forces. Cnns Barbara Starr is live at the pentagon with the latest. This is a big story, barbara. What do you know . Reporter in the face of continuing withering criticism to say the least by many republicans and others that the president isnt doing enough to fight isis, carter apeared on capitol hill unveiling a number of new ideas, trying to show muscle, some Forward Movement on that fight. The big idea, send about 200 forces to iraq. Many of them will be special forces, some support forces, helicopters, others support gear. List hon how carter described what these units will do. These special operators will, over time, be able to conduct raids, free hostages, gather intelligence and capture isil leaders. This force will also be in a position to conduct unilateral operations in syria. Reporter think of this now as a socalled hunter killer force. Its the same idea theyve used in iraq and afghanistan. Will it be a game changer in defeating isis . Very few people think so. Carter still getting a lot of criticism, asked point blank if the u. S. Is winning against isis, he responded the u. S. Will win. Chris . All right. Barbara starr, thank you very much. Also related here, the British Parliament is about to debate whether the uk should begin air strikes against isis in syria. Prime minister David Cameron warning members of parliament that isis is a threat to their nations security as well. If military action is approved, strikes could begin within days. Meantime, german lawmakers are debating whether to increase their military role in syria. This is following how strong this coalition gets. Top republicans voicing opposition to a proposal that would use the must pass omni bush spending bill to defund the policy. Michael mccaul says it wouldnt work because the agency that ov oversees the Refugee Program isnt covered by the spending measure. The spending bill must pass by december 11th in order to avoid a Government Shutdown. We give this next story a big like. Facebook cofounder Mark Zuckerberg and his wife are celebrating the birth of their daughter whom they named max by giving away 99 of their facebook shares over the course of their lives. The donation currently valued at 45 billion will go towards several humanitarian projects and charities. Zuckerberg says he is doing this to make the world a better place for his new baby girl. I love what theyre doing. I just had a funny thought. You know how the first kid always has all the pictures taking and the big fuss, you pant the room. What does he do for the second child . I know. A mere savings bond is not going to cut it for the next child. Not at all. Wow, wow, 45 billion. That is lifechanging for millions of people potentially. What a wonderful its beyond a gesture. Its real. Its also a little bit a sign of what were seeing more at the top of the scale also. If you see with bill gates at the cop21 becoming part of the solution, using incredible personal wealth to make positive change. Youre not going to see many better examples than this. So inspirational. Congratulations on the baby. The chicago situation seems to get worse and worse. Chicagos top cop is out. But its led to calls for more change. A federal investigation of the entire Police Department is being asked. What is setting this off right now . Laquan mcdonald shot 16 times, took a year before we saw the video and charges. Why . What does it mean for mayor rahm emanuel . Well discuss. Obviously cant fit this under a tree. How are you gonna hide this . We asked real people what they thought of chevys holiday deals. Thats awesome. I like it. I love it. Thats a really good deal. I think its actually a great deal. I think this feels really good. Holiday gift, christmas gift. This would be the best any gift. Bar none. Can i have the keys . Wrap up the deals and wrap up the year in a new chevy. Find your Holiday Bonus tag and get 2,500 total cash allowance on select Chevy Malibu Limited vehicles in stock. Can i take it home today . Quiet mom has a headache had a headache but now, i. Dont excedrin® is fast. In fact for some, relief starts in just 15 minutes. Excedrin®. Now available in geltabs. Like limiting where you earn bonus cash back. Hings. Why put up with that . But the quicksilver card from capital one likes to keep it simple. Real simple. Im talking easy likea walkinthepark, nothingtoworryabout, manthatfeelsgood simple. Quicksilver earns you unlimited 1. 5 cash back on every purchase, everywhere. Its a simple question. Whats in your wallet . Actually, knowing the kind of risk that youre comfortable so what abouwith,t stock . Id steer clear. Straight talk. Multiplied by 13,000 Financial Advisors its how edward jones makes sense of investing. Whether your car is a new car an old car a big car a small car a long car a short car a car you soup up a car you show off a car you deck out a car for the open road a car for off road a car for on the road all you have to do is plug in hum for a smarter, safer car diagnostic updates, certified mechanics hotline, pinpoint roadside assistance hum by verizon put some smarts in your car 5. Chicago Police SuperintendentGary Mccarthy out. The reaction . Not enough. The states attorney general call for the department of justice to investigate the entire department. The flash point for all this, Laquan Mcdonald, he was shot 16 times by officer Jason Van Dyke in october of last year. It took more than a year for the video of the incident to be release. It took more than a year for charges to be filed. Lets discuss. Cnn Law Enforcement analyst Cedric Alexander and retired nypd Sergeant Joseph jacalone. Give me the 30,000 feet view of what is wrong in chicago. This he have a challenging situation going on there. Its unfortunate this case had to, chris, the learned of the way that it did. It does create a great deal of suspicion. It gives the impression of coverup and i cant really think of any positive adjective i can use to describe the situation there in chicago. You know, my mentor and good friend commissioner chuck ramsey out of philadelphia says it best, bad news does not get better over time. In situations such as this, as soon as you report to the community when you have an issue with should have been reported, actually, 13 months ago, i dont think theyd be in the position they are now. This is not a good optic for the leadership and not just Gary Mccarthy in this case. But, of course, the state attorney and the mayor as well. You have optics, cedrics right. You also have the reality. Push back, they say it would have compromised making the case had it come out earlier. Have you ever seen a case with a video like this a year to make . No. You can look at this in 13 minutes and decide this is not a good shooting at all. Theres a lot of problems. The chief of detectives and chief of internal affairs, commissioner, theyre all investigating these things together. The mayor gets notified immediately. Who has to be involved to keep the tape quiet . A judge didnt put it under seal. The judge wound up releasing it, recently obviously. Who was involved . You have to look at the cooks county prosecutor. Regular murs go to the prosecutors office. They had the video, the dashcam, everything. The chief of detectives. The chief of internal affairs. They work these cases together. Their job is to work concurrently with