Suddenly snap . Well, actually, it doesnt seem as though it was sudden at all. Were learning his chilling plans were years in the making. And the pop culture lead. All you have to do is look at one of his fundraiser lists to see how many fans president obama has in show business but have some of his controversial policies finally turned hollywood against him . Good afternoon. Im jake tapper. Its the longest u. S. War ever and in that time and both wounds and otherwise, for the thousands and thousands of afghan civilians killed. Operation enduring freedom has been enduring all right. There are High School Freshman who cannot remember the United States that was not at war. But by the end of this year, it will be over. Combat operations will be, anyway, with more than twothirds of the troops leaving before new years. As president obama announced just a short time ago. And we will have Service Members in different parts of the country by the end of 2016. Our military will draw down to a normal number in kabul with a security component just as we have done in iraq. The president today appearing to take Something Like a close to zero option and almost full withdrawal by 2016. Senior Administration Official tells me the u. S. Will still probably have close to a thousand u. S. Service members remaining there after 2016 to protect the embassy and help train the afghans on how to use weapon systems, for instance. Here is how the withdrawal will work. By the end of this year, the combat mission for the u. S. Is set to conclude and the u. S. Shifts fully to an advisory role. Logistics, training. 9800 u. S. Service member will still be in different parts of afghanistan providing Regional Support to the afghans and by the end of that year, the troop level will be cut by roughly half and then by the end of 2016, whoo, the u. S. Will have nothing but the security presence in kabul and the security presence not unlike the personnel left in iraq right now. And we never signed up to have a security enforcement against the taliban. Are the afghans really ready to fend for themselves . Lets bring in admiral kirby. And its clear ending this war will be popular with the american public. The big question, are the afghans really ready to go it alone . Well, jake, i think they are more ready every single day and its a big component of going forward. The combat initiative is at the end of this year but assuming we get an agreement to stay in afghan in the next year, a Major Mission for our troops there will be to advise, train, and assist and continue to develop their capacity and capability. But they are Getting Better and have been Getting Better every month. A friend of mine took command in the east and shortly after arrived on stage, he hadnt been in afghan for maybe a year or so and he told me it was night and day. They said the concern is not so much the Afghan Security forces, they thought they would be up to task. Rather, they were worried about the support for the security. This is the not sexy part in the military that nobody likes to talk about but the resupply, the ammunition, the food. We sat on an afghan target just waiting for the ambulance to get to us. Sure. Are the afghans going to be able to do that part of the job . Thats another thing that were going to be working with them on, to be honest with you. Those are called enablers, enabling functions, supporting the troops that are out in the field. These are capabilities that we continue to know that they need help with. What is to keep al qaeda from biding their time . First of all, if al qaeda core leadership in that part of the world has been securely degraded. Lets take the hypothetical out for a spin. In january, february of next year, they are still going to see a significant u. S. Troop presence in afghanistan. More importantly, jake, they are going to be more competent and more skilled. What about drones that go out of pakistan and into afghanistan, where are u. S. Counterterrorism forces going to be located to go into that country . We have taken a regional approach. It isnt just about the threat inside of afghanistan. Youre right about that. I wont detail the specifics in terms of how Counterterrorism Operations are going to work going forward. That is certainly another one of the tracks, the missions that our troops are going to be doing, is assisting the Afghan Security forces with counterterrorism as well. We know its a persistent challenge and nobody is going to turn their back on that. If things spiral on to chaos after the u. S. Withdrawal there, would this timeline be reconsidered or is this a hard out, 2016 out . Well, a couple of things. The president is clear about the timeline were going to follow but its not a hard out. And as you likely said at the leadin, were going to have troops at the embassy to help continuing assisting the afghans moving forward. Were not turning our back on afghanistan from a security perspective. Were going to keep it as long as were going forward. Admiral kirby, thank you. Thanks, jake. The people of ukraine elected a new president a few days ago but how much of ukraine, as we know it, will he really preside over . Gunfire between separatists erupting. At least 40 people have been injured and two civilians. At least 35 of the dead are rebels. The battle for control of the airport broke out after ukraines newly elected president said he would like to potentially negotiate his way out of this crisis. Our Nick Paton Walsh is there covering the battle for the donetsk airport. What did you see . Reporter yesterdays violence is replaced by a sense of a city trying to wake up and and assess the aftermath of the worst clash that is swirling around this region. And at the morgue they are counting the dead and the signs of the ukrainian armys resolve to take back the airport. Nearby, a woman, her head blown off. Doctors said that locals have been here to collect some of these men, their relatives. At the airport cordoned off but not controlled by separatists, sidebyside with the police and still occasional blasts and gunfire. This truck, where so many militants died, ukrainians finally resorting to all of its firepower. In a nearby grass, the first aid given. The bodies dragged away in the woods. Shocked locals did not want their faces shown. Who can stop this . I dont know. Putin . Maybe. Can this part of the city ever be part of ukraine . I think ukraine will be destroyed. Reporter on lookers said the dead were nashy, russian for our guys and perhaps new martyrs in some eyes here. Jake, while there are some who perhaps think that yesterday was a show of force, perhaps looking to be ahead of the negotiations p ochl poroshenko did offer that possibility and lacking really clear political leadership, bickering amongst themselves and now seeing russia increasingly different. Jake . Coming up next, there were warning signs. Shocking details into the mind of the plotter who had been plotting for years. And karl rove says that Hillary Clinton is, quote, old and stale. The politics lead is ahead. Hi, im jay farner, president of quicken loans. And were here in detroit michigan helping folks refinance their homes and save money. Does it make sense to refinance right now . A lot of times we can lower the monthly payment, we can consolidate debt. We just want to make sure that you know your options, and were here for you. Were not just number crunchers. I specialize in what i do and i care about my clients. 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With millions of reviews, a visit to tripadvisor makes any destination better. Welcome back to the lead, im jake tapper. In our national lead, cnn has obtained brandnew video of patrons ducking for cover during the driveby shooter in isla vista, california, on friday. Today has been declared as a day of mourning. Campuses will gather later tonight to remember the victims of friday nights rampage which left six dead. 13 others were injured, such as nick pasichuke. Both of his legs were broken when he was run over by the shooters car. Veronika weiss was also killed. We got on her iphone and located it in the middle of the crime scene and then we actually were looking at the phone while they were moving her body. The killer left behind plenty of evidence. Rantings posted on youtube and writings showed that he first started to plan some sort of attack in december of 2012 when he bought his firsthand gun. He singled out his middle school crush writing that her, quote, cruel behavior towards him is what made him view women as heartless creatures. The girls father said that shes devastated by his actions and does not even remember him, let alone remember teasing him. There were signs that this young man was disturbed, that he needed more of the professional help that he was getting. But his parents tried. The mother even called last month to check on her son. Could anything be done to prevent this tragedy . Joining me is author of the psychology of living a lie. Dr. Saltz, what does it tell you that he took the time too create this narrative and these videos and this 141page writing . All i could say, without obviously have investigated and spoken to him, is that these were thoughts there for quite some time. Its important to know that many people have fantasies of revenge that never act on it but in this case, obviously, these were ongoing vengeful, angry thoughts and that being agrandized was an important part of this, being viewed, being read was an important part because, as he says in the video, he felt like a nothing and he wanted to go outleting the world know that he was a something. And thats why i think its so important during these horrible, horrible incidents that we remember not to go on too much about the perpetrator because it inspires someone else who is feeling angry and disenfranchised and vengeful to think that is a way to go out in some sort of infamy. He would attack people with super soakers but he didnt like to see people happy. This kind of behavior, obviously, does not end up becoming what it became. Im wondering if there was a warning sign. Well, jake, this is the problem, that many people who do things that are, lets say somewhat antisocial or a little antisocial, you know, dont go on to commit heinous, violent acts of mass proportion like this and not only is it difficult for often Law Enforcement to know who it is going to be, its even difficult for Mental Health professionals that the person is seeing to know who it is going to be because if they dont say who is going to do it, we cant read minds and we dont always know and were not good at predicting which ones go on to commit the really heinous acts. In fact, the red flags that we would look for are Substance Abuse which is not the case here or violent prior behavior, which was also not the case here. So, you know, thats very concerning. The sad point, i think, however, is that the police were called and there was concern from the family, you know, about his taking hurting himself and his own wellbeing which is most often the case when someone has a mental illness. And we really need to empower and also train the first line responders on what to look for and where to look with social media, et cetera, available in terms of being able to spot a potential violent act. You say where to look. And we know from the killers own writings that the police came to his house in april and they did not ask to look in his room and if they had, they would have seen guns and a stockpile of ammunition and he would have been up, as he writes himself. Do police need to say, hey, its a serious thing for a mom to call the police on her son because he may be violent in some way, can i look into your room, can i look into youre closet . Do they need to do that . Well, obviously that person can say no and without probable cause, the law prevents them. However, they could look online and investigate what the parent is talking about and had they seen any of these youtube video, frankly, they would have had probable cause. Unfortunately, technology has moved forward at a rate that we havent kept up with this. Our awareness of Mental Health and how it plays into these issues, weve not kept up with that either. So we really need to take a look at the multiple interactors in this and how we can update our systems to try and catch these people but its also important to know that most of the people that commit these mass violent acts are not actually seriously mentally ill. They are angry, lonely, disenfranchised young men who want revenge, who are hellbent on committing an evil act and they are not always predictable, they dont always leave signs and, unfortunately, thats the reality. A sad reality. Gail saltz, thank you so much. How could a boeing 777 simply vanish . Will a different expert be able to find something that was missed. And later, they watched their friends die and they were almost killed themselves so why do those in the military have a desire to go back to war once they are home . 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Blood, liver and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worsening Heart Failure have occurred. Before starting humira, your doctor should test you for tb. Ask your doctor if you live in or have been to a region where certain fungal infections are common. Tell your doctor if you have had tb, hepatitis b, are prone to infections, or have symptoms such as fever, fatigue, cough, or sores. You should not start humira if you have any kind of infection. Take the next step. Talk to your doctor. This is humira at work. Welcome back to the lead. Im jake tapper. In other world news, there is finally new evidence to pour through when it comes to the missing Malaysia Airlines flight 370. That is, if youre an expert in Reading Communications logs. After weeks of prodding from families, the authorities finally released the 47page document with raw data that the british Satellite Company that inmarsat used to calculate where the missing airliner may have crashed. So does this document bring any answers for the families . Cnn aviation correspondent rene marsh explains. Reporter critics are now pouring over the newly released data. We want to make sure that inmarsat did not make any mistakes. Reporter if authorities thought that the release of the data would satisfy the critics, they are wrong. Scientific or technologicaltype analysis, assumptions are vital and we need to be working from the same page, if it were, to verify that no mistakes have been made. Right now what we have, our hands are really tied. Weve got the raw data but we dont have a good explanation of how to interpret all of those values. Reporter inmarsat said they provided what investigators asked for. We have absolutely no problem putting our model in the Public Domain and thats the decision for a leading country to put out there. Reporter the search for the plane has been focused along the final arc but there is a margin of error. It could be off by six miles either way. Plus, the plane could have glided for 23 miles in either direction. Put together, thats a margin of error nearly 60 miles wide. This data proves impossible for some of the wilder theories of where the plane might be, like the notion it landed at a u. S. Military base in the indian ocean. Satellite expert Michael Exner says its clear the plane went down near the final arc. It had to be on that arc. I think the inmarsat data is very accurate in that regard. We knew that before and this data released today just reinforces that conclusion. It did not go to diego garcia. Reporter but some families are not sure just yet. There is no direct evidence. Reporter rene marsh, cnn, washington. Joining me now is sara bajc whose partner philip wood was on the plane. Does the release of this data raise any questions for you, give you any confidence about where philip might be, that investigators are looking in the right place . The preliminary feedback that i have received from a few of the individuals looking at the information is that there is some interesting discrepancies specifically around the first frequencies. That might be something that they are going to look into a little bit more. The bluefin21, the underwater drone thats been searching the floor of the ocean is wrapping up its phase of the search. The next phase wont start for a few months. Are you surprised that after all of this time there still hasnt been one concrete trace of this plane . Its one of the things that leads us to be suspicious about why they have chosen this particular place. As a family group, and i as a con