We do not know who will vote on their. Hard to pull off their. The sec. A lot of experience in the state. Text georgia . I am still somewhat convinced that goes to a runoff. 50 of the vote. Popular vote covert get a runoff. I would not be surprised if we say that kind of momentum that republicans are carrying make its way through the weekend, tuesday. The republicans are already calling in the lawyers. They should. It is that close. Its a silly mama mobile i love georgia because it is a state we will be talking about money 16, 2018, 2020. We saw with virginia, North Carolina and now georgia. Read states that were once turning purple in some cases loop. A case of demographics, very good candidate and michelle nunn. It is problematic. A is quite remarkable even bad year for democrats. That goes to show you demographic infrastructure that is going to be benefits for democrats i think going forward. Abouthave now talked georgia and louisiana, the places where there is possibility of a runoff. Lets say it goes to runoff, any chance they do this migration executive order between now and those times . Wouldnt that erase any chances for democrats to win those states if you were to do an executive order on immigration in the middle of the runoffs. Then in an issue like kentucky we will dominate. I do not necessarily necessarily know that goes into the thinking process. They kick the can down the road initially. Bottom line, will veto Election Night who has control of the u. S. Senate . You come to Election Night and you are watching the exit polls in states and congressional districts. Does not have to be the senate races. As you see them start to break, it all breaks one way. You will can outlier one way but most of the closest rate one way or another. Iowa has been called. I think we will know by North Carolina. Those goes. Of if North Carolina goes, that is a very good indicator colorado will go. 5048 withit was runoff in louisiana and georgia, said that even if that was be 51. E, it would absolutely. Whatknows Mary Landrieu o not go down without a fight. Who has run the death campaign, who has had the Worst Campaign . Always easiest to be the Worst Campaign. The pat roberts campaign, up until the past two or three weeks has been terrible. Which is inampaign part the candidate as much the campaign. I think stu is exactly right when you look at the democratic races. I think has also done a fantastic job. That is someone who at the beginning of the year we would have put her at the top of the list most likely to lose on Election Night. A freshman, not very well known. I think she has done quite well. I echo pat roberts as the worst and tumescent. Cory gardner has run a terrific campaign. He is happy, upbeat and smiles. He is happy and refreshing. May i throw out my personal favorite . That is the Worst Campaign in america. The worst race in america. What i love about that race is both of them have such high unfavorables that the matter what happens in florida they would have to elect someone they cant stand. That is what it comes down to. A lot of animosity, personal this trust. Very recent stuff in the past few days. Ahead rick scott ahead. Charlie crist ahead. Unfortunate they do not have none of the above in florida. I want to pursue that. Of the races, kansas, when we have had a republican and democrat and independent jump in, that became none of the above. It is interesting that democrat chances for keeping control of the senate. This may depend on an independent turn in florida you obviously have an independent claim a role and until recently. North carolina. Talk about the independence, what you are seeing in terms of support for independent candidates in the election. More or the same . Know, i think of florida and North Carolina, largely a reflection of the major voters unhappy with the candidates. Otherwise, congress rating terrible, republican terrible. The democratic brand only slightly better. No thirdparty movement. He is doing well. You maysee the angst think there would be given the numbers . There is a group that elects millions in the president ial getting that third party onto bennett candidates millions of dollars invested and all spiders out. They have that much infrastructure brought into the senate races could they have found or men in kansas was on the board. Could they have actually played harder with independence during this particular cycle . I will just raise two points. The first is though we see the number of people they are independent continue to grow some of those people are not independent. Likeu break down something 42 , once you break him out to people who say they have leaned to one party or another, the core of true independence is about 10 . A small percentage. We also assume independent means moderate. That has been turned off either real partisanship to either party. In many cases they are either more conservative or more liberal than the Democratic Republican Party and feel like the party has lost me because they are not fighting hard enough, not liberal. I think we assume that we make assumptions about independence we have to be careful about. A midterm election, what makes it very difficult, it is not the weekend not the type of collection that attracts independent swing voters because the goal is to just turn out the base. You are sticking to the core group of voters. Hard to get them as not engaged voters to turn out when there is not a president at the top of the ticket. That would be a lot of work to go and run against the system and still running up against the fact that a lot of voters may not be. People do not want to throw the book away. You need someone like ross perot that has incredible personal theurces and can match Major Party Candidates in terms of visibility. That is very rare. You have alaska, maine where it said when there is a tradition. There is a possibility if there is a chance of going back to the 20th. This is the High Water Mark right now for republicans. I think where the democrats have been from the very beginning, they were playing defense in the same way democrats in the senate were. What seemed to happen in the past few weeks is i dont know if it is panic that concern on the part of democrats in states we do not traditionally think of being problematic for democrats, new york, california, illinois. Some of this is nirvana. Jerry brown having a very easy race from california. Places where there is not the localization from the campaign, the senate race there to get the turnout that you will see democrats losing in district they should be winning or woodwind in a president ial year. After the 2000 wealth 2012 we after frequently talk about the gender gap. What group of voters would we talk about after tuesday. Old white men. Like older and wider. It is about turnout. I remember going back to the democratic send campaign committee. We will have to compete in arkansas. They have a strategy in alaska. Is onesional democratic thing. Democrats understood from the beginning what the problem is with the cycle. Even without the president cycle you have the midterm, the turnout problem. They have made a major effort. If the democrats surprise us that they hold onto the senate. If on the other hand it is eight senate seats and 12 house seats, i think we will welcome the. Lectorate as older and wider they went strongly for the republicans. The democrats do not hold the margin on women. They do not win older women or married women. That wene indicator have to see how they are doing is early voting. How are they doing . Can i complain about early voting for a second act of the problem with trying to analyze early voting is that i do not have the voter file in the states and do not have the data the campaigns have. I can look at the independence but i do not any in do not know anything about them. The question has always been can democrats get the people who looked into vote in 2010 out to vote . The number Means Nothing to me if they are just simply voters that would have come out anyway. Folks on the ground and do have access in a place like colorado what they will tell you is we feel pretty good but we are not at the pace we need to be. And i what you are seeing that concern. If you look at the polling numbers, 41 approval rating, why is he so unpopular . Is there anything the white house could have done to change the dynamic . We have six years of administration. The president could have made numerous decisions that were controversial. Kind of scar tissue buildup after six years of resident. I happened to think the biggest problem is there are two things going on. It is not created by an the president is detached and has shown leadership that some people thought he showed. I think the mood of the country is very sour. There is wage growth and the like. Gdp numbers are up. Unemployment numbers are down. Since the Government Shutdown the of the launch of Government Health care websites, putin in isis and ebola the next thing is the martian invasion. It is a drumbeat of bad news. I think it has weighed on the american psyche and i think they tend to blame if you feel miserable you cannot feel good about good news because youre depressed about everything else. I think that is the white house biggest problem . Of his doubt some decisions and style contributed to that. I think it is bigger than that. Strategically, cut the white house have done anything differently act of i dont think they could. A new what the map was like. Struggles for democrats has always been they had to outperform the president , even at his highest performance in 2008 and 2012. Candidatess the that outperformed the president and does not help the nationalization of the race. Any time the mood is as bleak as it is. Would yougree agree the president s job approval is at 40 they would be in much better shape . How could he have gone from 40 to 48 . What is the answer to that . Among theown not just older white voters but when you the groups we talked out of the obama coalition, younger voters, women, latinos, unmarried women, his numbers have all dropped precipitously. When your own base is not that excited about you, it is hard to turn them out, even if you the best ground game in the history of the world. It seems to me the naturalization of the midterm came very late. Isis and thenund ebola pushed it over the edge. Is that where you all see it . It started with the obamacare website and that became the issue. Encouragehink hope to and then start backing off of the argument. Moneyy have spent as much on obamacare now as they have. The single most important way theyre getting voters out to define the election. The issue is they will talk to swing voters. You have made up your mind on obamacare. The only way they are using it is in a very targeted way to say have to keep you angry based, come out and vote. How does that get the base to the polls . You cannot do it successfully anyway. A very good question. I always try to put myself in a place of the voter. Electiontion this was not nationalized. Pollster asked the questions what is your opinion, you will have an opinion. Making a decision does not kick in until later in the cycle. Maybe everyone is giving democrats credit in North Carolina. Talking about education. Everyone giving them a lot of credit about that. They are not talking education down there anymore. To list tilis one of the criticize the to president on isis. He did not stop and now it is nationalized. That is a good example. I think you bring up a very good republicans needed some way to nationalize this. How will you move the people on the fence better feeling bleak, do not really know why and not asling bad confident. Com these national and International Affairs started to happen, that was a great vehicle. Defensive early on and. Republicans have not had the resources there. The democrats introduced into the entire state and away they demonized him and him and him over the legislature, abortion and Voting Rights and the like. He was unable to get traction. Think it is relatively recent he has been able to say this election is more than about the state legislature. I want to ask you about another state, democrats vowing to make the push. He may be close to getting 50 of the hispanic vote. If they are poised to go purple very soon, is this the approved texas is still red . Questiona very good because of the focus on texas. I think that is more primed than texas. Exactf the reason is your point, that hispanic voters there a much more open to voting for republicans than they are in the eastern seaboard and western states. I think the republican governors, whether it is george w. Bush or rick perry actually made a report to push the hispanic vote to make them away. Has abbot has done that as well. That is how you are successful. You cannot deny the importance of the hispanic vote. White voters are much more important. It is even harder for democrats to get the coalition that you would be in a state like virginia. Delaware was a swing state. At dramatice can be time as West Virginia trained changed. They were slow to rail line. Therehere was a son was a move to be ahead of every curve. Georgia realigned. Texas to realign. Not on the next 46 years. People move around from state to state. Eventually they will come but not now. You about 2016. You mentioned earlier the way that has been run, leaving a lot of these folks without much chance. What are harry reid prospects for 2016 . Good one. We won and assume he wont run. Election tablet. Does run forhe reelection, what he has always done in the past is adds that he had to pass. Any candidate who gets in the race cannot raise money. I assume that will be his strategy. The republican had a good candidate who was wellfunded and will have another bird burner barnburner. It is not evenly divided. The former congressman said a warm mammal would have been harry reid in 2010. Share and angle turned out to be the one candidate who could not have pulled that race through. Either of the other two may have been able to. He is obviously very wellfunded. 2016u expect to see him in . I would bet against it because we would get a nasty phone call. Just how influential it has outside money been in the key swing senate races . Has set the table and the lot of the races. Inhink what it did is came and polarize the races earlier than ever. I do not know that i have the ability to swing the race one way or another but what it did is came in and took a state and turned it into the kind of state we would see in october in terms of where the red and blue lineup way back in march. Of an interesting question. I am not sure how to answer it. All the republican money that went into states that want with or did not come into play was wasted. They want to plan have the right to play. They want to play themselves to play. I think the money, when you look at it there is so much money out there. It does not move the numbers. Mutual assured destruction. I think it mostly cancels itself out. Table tummy you have mentioned some of these the states, what one site one state that will set the Election Night . Be the one state. Where it goes i think will tell us. Earlier in the night, North Carolina or New Hampshire, republicans. Scott brownxpected to get this close . Not a quick call for her. If we were to see the race fall there in one of the two New Hampshire democratic members of congress that would the senator and publisher. Amy walter of the Cook Political Report joining us for the questioning. And Jeanne Cummings of bloomberg politics. To all of you, thank you very much for being with us. Thank you. And be sure to watch our election day preview tonight we will have a look at the most recent debates from key races around the country. We will take your phone calls and get your reaction on facebook and twitter. There will be discussion of the latest headlines at 6 pm eastern here on cspan. Throughout campaign 2014, you more s brought than 130 candidate debates from across the country in races that will determine control of the next congress. Night, watch cspans live election coverage. At 8 00 pm e begins eastern with results and analysis. You will also see candidate victory and concession speeches in some of the most closely watched senate races across the country. Throughout the night and into the morning, we want to hear with your calls, facebook comments, and tweets. A look now at some of the debates that have happened during the election season. In the recent georgia u. S. Senate race, candidates were the question to ask the opportunity to ask each other questions. Michelle nunn asked the first question to david perdue, a question of pay equity. So david, during your tenure at dollar general, you made over 40 million. Yes there were 2000 women who sue the company during your they were they said paid less and it was found, by federal investigators, that they were paid less. Experience there, i wonder if you would join me supporting ctually the paycheck fairness act . Well, thank you, michelle. First of all, we have a law in the land. This new law would only serve the plaintiff lawyers of our country. Worked my entire life supporting equal pay for equal work. But this is, yet again, another false attack. When you look at the reason why she is trying to distract us away from the real issues of job creation, you understand why. The obama care law the of this president is killing 2. 5 million jobs are now. Yet she supports that law. She wants even expand that law. When 400,000 t georgians more georgians have gone on food stamps that the last en jobs in six years that is not the kind of law we need. The epas killing thousands of jobs are industries today. Why oh barack r obama wants her in senate. So, david, i do think that people of georgia want someone who will fight for them. And families of georgia should fight to make sure they are paid equally. Right now, georgia women are paid . 81 on the dollar to men. Action speak a lot louder than words, and frankly, your experience in history, i feel like you would be in a position to say that we must do better here. In fact, every time that we have the opportunity to talk sensitive issue like it to a u move conversation in which you decide you are running against the president. Families nk women and deserve