, the original birther, what more do you need to know about him . More comments on twitter. When we come back, we will turn our attention to the house and senate. Nathan gonzales is going to be joining us, he is the editor of the rothenberg and gonzales olitical report. We will be talking about the impact of the down ballot races. Terry oneill is joining us later. Following washington journal, newsmakers. Jessicakends guess is oconnell. The executive director of emilys list. We talk to her about a prochoice Group Spending in this campaign and the role women are playing. Here is a portion. [video clip] you are for prochoice female candidates. In 2010, your group spent 24. 7 million. In 2012, 30 4 million. In 2014, 40 5 million. What will be the number this time . A big one. Us will be the biggest psycho for women in our lifetime. We are spending at very high levels. We have an opportunity to elect historic numbers of women senators this year. The chances for democrats to win back the senate this year. Republicans have a fourseat majority in their Democratic Women running in seven Competitive Senate races. It could be women who are the key to take back the upper chamber. Women are going to be the key to take it back. They are going to be the key because they are going to decide the election this year. We have a tremendous opportunity in New Hampshire, pennsylvania, nevada. Could be latina elected to the United States senate. We have North Carolina. Things are really changing on the ground there. We were with them from day one there. I believe deborah is going to win North Carolina. Be sure to tune into newsmakers. Ive just this week is the executive director of emilys list. It helps female candidates. Jessica oconnell on newsmakers. Date and gonzales, the editor and publisher of rothenberg and gonzales political report. Guest good morning. Thanks for having me. Always a pleasure. Host lets begin with news on Speaker Paul Ryan. Where is his head right now two weeks before the election . Guest i think it is about survival, they are trying to navigate this. We have to go all the way back to republicans in the middle of the civil war. Trump has captured that sentiment with a portion of the Republican Party who is upset with the establishment. People like speaker ryan and the rest of the Republican Leadership are in a tough space because the criticism of them has been that they are not listening to the grassroots. Will listen say, we to the grassroots and the grassroots nominates donald s comments after this tape was released, the conference call, im not sure exactly how much news, speaker ryan was always focused on the house. It is a day by day, hourbyhour case of survival. Just one republicans thought they had the selection figured out, then the tape came out, then there is the second debate. It is a neverending battle. Host last week, you said it would take you about it week to figaro the house and senate is going. Where are you thinking . In thewhat we saw polling last week was that there is not a uniform drop among republicans. Was not a widespread, here comes the wave. The senate is still very much in play. We did not throw races all the way from tossup to lean democratic. Races areaces, some moving better to democrat. I did not see anything that shows democrats are gaining the 30 that they need. This week, what we are waiting for is are those ads on the house side, the new ads with donald trump, are those going to make an impact . Let those get into the voters psyche. This week, we will start to see whether those are having and resonating where democrats believe they will. Wet going into the cycle, were talking a lot about florida, pennsylvania, ohio, New Hampshire. Missouri was one of those races you were focusing on, but it seems to have become one of those races that could determine whether the republicans can control the senate. Senator blanche is running for reelection. This is one of the ads by the senate Republican Leadership going after the missouri democrat. [video clip] a fresh face,ke but what is underneath it. He is the same as nancy on imposing a National Energy crafts task. He supports amnesty and allowing taxpayer benefits for illegal immigrants. He was even one of Hillary Clintons national cochairs. Fresh facen kanders is a lot of the same old liberal thinking. Host what is happening in missouri . Guest it is amazing that the map has changed the way it has. If you would have told me that florida and ohio looked safer than roy blunt, i would have said you were crazy. I think you see a case where senator blunt has been in office for close to 30 years, he has a family, he has different family members that are lobbyists. Those are not popular things right now. Democrats have jumped on it, they have been able to make it an issue. There was some dissension in the republican ranks about how quickly or how soon republicans in his campaign should have gone. Fter Jason Kander Jason Kander is now in a prime position. Ads like that are what democrats have to do. The question is, does it work . It is a typical republican tactic. What democrats are using against senator blunt are very specific. It is creating a big problem for blunt. Host a lot of focus on nevada because the final debate will be taking place there. Senator reid is retiring. Catherine cortez is the democratic candidate. Here is an added against democratic candidate. We want to share that with you in a moment, that spot. Guest the narrative on nevada got out ahead of itself. Most people did not give republicans much of a chance in nevada. Maybe they were not taking into account how the economy, the downturn of the economy. This is republicans only takeover opportunity and that is critical to help balance out some of the losses they could experience. Joe heck is in prime position to win. He has been narrowly ahead. There is different information about whether he is ahead now. Democrats released a poll that had him behind for the first time in months. Part to losinge some republican support. He was one of the people who denounced support for donald trump after the access Hollywood Tape came out. They pull as long as he can keep that way, if you should be able to win. [video clip] masto talks cortez about fighting sex trafficking, but the first person she indicted ended up with a plea deal for a lesser charge, is back on the street, and not registered as a sex offender, even though he forced a 16yearold girl into prostitution. Catherine cortez masco, failing nevada again. Senate Leadership Fund is responsible for the content of this advertising. Host as you look at these ads, is whetherstorylines or not ads are making a difference. On the state level, how much influence are they having this year . Guest i think at the state and particularly in senate and house races, they have an opportunity to make an impact. You still have an opportunity to drive the discussion. The president ial race has become its own oddity. To have one candidate with Hillary Clinton outspending donald trump the way that she is is something we have not seen. But donald trump has the advantage of whenever he is anywhere, he has a camera in front of him. I still believe that Television Ads work. I think there is a point of diminishing returns in some of these senate races. The ones that have tens of millions of dollars in spending, does an extra million help . Im doubtful. But you want to be the one driving the discussion, driving the debate, and you want to try to get your opponent on the defensive. Missouri is a good example of where democrats have been able to leverage Television Ads. Jason kander, one of the ads that he ran, putting together an ar15 blindfolded, Cotton National attention and helped keep senator blunt on the defensive. Turn toght now, lets the house, there are 182 safe seats. Seven seats in play. Play inlican seats in the senate. Win backemocrats, to control of the house, they need to run the table. Guest they need to win all the competitive seats. They need 218 for a majority. That is part of the challenge and why i think it is still difficult for democrats to get there. I think they could win the majority of the competitive seats, maybe even most of them, but to run the table is a difficult task. Host and the senate . Guest the senate is firmly in play. I think the democrats with a net gain of four seats, that is luding that president Hillary Clinton wins the presidency and senator tim kaine is the tiebreaker. I still think it is right there. Is the most likely range. Of the 6 most Competitive Senate races, they are right on the line with two or three points either way that could swing them. The abce latest from News Washington post poll giving Hillary Clinton a point lead. A four many would have thought it would be a bigger lead after Donald Trumps week. Guest i think that is great news for republicans. As long as donald trump stays competitive, that gives these republicans down the ballot a chance. 4 hink gary johnson was at and jill stein was at 2 . I felix that is closer to where they are going to be rather than 12 in some , 10 , polls. If this is the new normal for republicans, i think they should consider themselves very lucky. Primetimead two interviews with gary johnson and jill stein this past week. One hour with each of these thirdparty candidates. Check it out. From yuma, arizona on the republican line. Good morning. Caller one thing i would like to say and most people are not picking up on this. Mr. Trump has been ran through the dirt. Congressman that does not support the president for the Republican Party is going to be voted out of office. We are tired of this. You are to support your candidate whether you like them or not. These senators run around like mr. Mccain, they want his ,ndorsement, something happens most of this stuff, people are educated enough and smart enough to know that it is hogwash. Mrs. Clinton, god bless her, my opinion, she has committed a very bad crime against our country. These foreign nations. He beatas been the other republican candidates. Our senators and congressmen should support him because if they dont we are going to vote them out of office. Thank you for taking my call. Host we will get a response from Nathan Gonzales. Point thatry good republicans are having to deal with. Republicans have no margin for error. In most states if the republican nominee gets all the republican support that will get them to about 35 percent, maybe 40 . They need some independence to vote with them. There is a dropoff among republicans because they agree with flash. They agree with you that these republicans are not being loyal enough. Someone like senator mccain needs to get more independents or get some democrats to come on board with him. If republican senators are going to lose republican support because they are not on board with trump enough it will make elections very difficult. A senate controlled by democrats and a president Hillary Clinton, im not sure he would be happy with that either. This is what the Washington Post survey looks like. 47 . Donald trump at 43 . Gary johnson 5 . R. Jill stein 2 the story is how support has hardened for both trump and clinton. It appears there is very little wiggle room for undecided or wavering voters this late in the game. Guest if you are an undecided voter right now, i dont understand what the mindset is. Maybe you dont like either of them and you are still wavering on what to do. The contrast is stark. I think its good news for republicans if trumps support is consolidating around him. That is what brought the race back to competitive. Reason the race started to narrow is because donald trump was able to get more republicans and convince them to come back into the tent. After that first debate that consolidation halted. After the tape that is when republicans said, this is too much for me. He needs to regain that unification with the Republican Party. Host jerry is joining us from North Carolina. Good morning. Caller i would like to know what youre just thinks about what effect this hb two thing is going to have on our governor and senate race. Debate the other night with cooper and mccoy. Democrat but he out beat him bad. Thehat last topic about packing today our satellite is finally leaving pluto send it back pictures. And we are landing on mars today. Out beat russia pretty good in cyber attacks. Thank you. Host we covered both the governors debate and the senate debate. Check out the schedule on our website and tune in. Hb2 when it first attentionot a lot of in North Carolina and national attention. A lot of people assume that governor mccrory was going to lose because of it. Initially it was not the political impact that many people expected. As some businesses started to pull out of North Carolina, some major events, college basketball, nba allstar game. That started to have an effect on governor mccrorys job approval rating. Poll thatst recent came out late last week, roy cooper is up by a point or two. Its not a done deal. Cooper has the advantage. We just changed our rating from p or tossup to tossup. It has been part of the polarization of North Carolina that we have seen developing over the last few years. Host a race with a sitting senator and a sitting governor. New hampshire. Where do you have that race at the moment . Guest we saw that as a tossup. Kelly ion and Maggie Hassan. Expect it to be very tight. Kelly and stumbled in one of their debates. She was questioned about whether donald trump was a role model. She agreed. Most people expected her support to dip. She was starting to gain a little bit of ground up until the tape came out and the second president ial debate. Now we are waiting to see what is the normal normal. I expect that to be close as well. Democratic ad on that very point. Maggie hassan in the granite state. One day after she backed out of supporting donald trump. Doing her best to distance herself from donald trump. For months she said she supported donald trump. Just days ago she said she would consider trump a role model for her children. Now forid it take until her to say this is the last she sees the tide shifting. Host nuts from the Maggie Hassan campaign. It has been a pretty typical approach by the democrats to tie the republican nominee to donald trump. Has it been effective . Guest thats what we are going to find out over the next few days. Even though a lot of the rhetoric coming from democrats had a lot to do with donald trump in terms of their free debates there was not a lot about donald trump. My colleague at rollcall wrote about the lack of trumps messaging in democratic ads for most of the cycle. Now that things have really snowballed, more allegations, democrats feel like there is blood in the water. We are seeing more ads like this in the final stretch. Ist of the waiting period seeing are those resonating and off to sway these races . Mark burnett who is a friend of donald trump has some even more damaging video from his years on the a print this but that cannot be released. You wonder if somehow it will be leaked by somebody before election day. You have to assume there is something else. Whetherk and forth three weeks until election day is a short window of time or a long period of time. I feel like three weeks it is a long time for more things like this to come out. But is it going to matter. If the postabc poll is correct the race has settled into what it was before. Im not sure if its going to have an impact. Host on the democratic side, more wikileaks and the revelation last week, a public versus private view by Hillary Clinton. She was asked about it in the debate and made reference to abraham lincoln. Guest there are a lot of moving parts. Us inn ethical standpoint the media will have to decide what we are or are not going to report on in terms of how the information was obtained. In terms of the content of the emails, if you are a republican and you are not voting for Hillary Clinton, you read into those comments and it just adds fuel to your fire against Hillary Clinton. If you have already been defending her you dismiss them and talk about how they were illegally obtained. Has fallen to legally politically into another partisan issue. Host on the line for democrats with nation Nathan Gonzales who is the editor of the Rustenburg Rothenberg and gonzales political report. Caller good morning. Actually i am kind of a political junkie and i have been following the house and the senate. I think if we vote republican we are going to get more of the same simply because we have had more of the same. They have 60 votes in the senate when it is supposed to be a simple majority. Have stopped legislation there. Legislation that they passed like the Immigration Reform bill made it to the house, but the leader holds it up because hes afraid its going to pass. Havenk they didnt legislation for the road and fixing our infrastructure because that would have given obama a win as they say. Host we will get a response. Thank you. Guest you are talking about republicans voting for republicans being the status quo. Right now republicans are trying to transition their message to being, dont give secretary clinton a blank check because the president ial race is being almost unwinnable for trump. Hillaryo make sure clinton doesnt also have a democratic majority in the house and the senate. Obstruction, i kind of come bac