Years ago they got paid on what they picked. Now i have seen them in the mountains of tennessee, doing the tobacco where white people used to work, my family used to work there. Take people have come and over these things because we have too many lazy americans, too many people on welfare that will not work. We need to change that. Host hank you for thank you for the call. Immigration is a complicated issue tied to the economy and other peoples welfare. I hot issue now, it might be a hotter issue when the president untilhis initial decision there is a balance between Border Security and Immigration Reform in general. Roger, good morning. Were talking about negative ads earlier. Who do they work on . They are a turnoff for me. Negative on they are not better than their opponent. What do your guests think about the turnout in the houses of the senate . Is he going to go in the majority . One question is who they turn towards. Parties are gearing this a lot towards their base. Traditionally when you see more of the base voters turn out. Ads are targeted towards giving those people more. You will see democrats the same way. They need their base to turn out in places. Arkansas is especially a place where the president didnt have an infrastructure and democrats could rely on that osa model that the president had used. You saw the Democratic Senatorial CampaignCommittee Going in there to essentially create something that had not been there before. The emphasis is really on democrats to turn out their voters in places they really need, but in both of these places they need to sort of anger these voters to get to the polls. Turning they do risk off these independent voters in the middle who if they dont turn out the advantage still goes slightly more towards republicans. Phone lines are open the we are joined here at table by Jessica Taylor and nathan gonzales. Have people walk through negative ads, Media Consultant do not just wake up in the morning and think about the worst ad they can make today. Polling that goes on where they ask voters in each district what issues they care issues, if they had certain information, changes their mind. The reason you see so many negative ads is because negative ads crafted in the right way work, influencing the persons opinion on how they will vote. Most people are inclined to say they dont like negative ads, but then they see one and say i didnt know that. It starts to influence their vote. Host lets turn our attention to the house. With 435 members of congress, you point out there are 174 listed as safe. 200 10 republican seats. Of the seats in play, 25 republican seats, 25 democratic seats. Only seven complete tossup races. Including arizona. The seat formerly held by gaby giffords. Her former aide, ron barber, facing a republican charger. This was an extremely close race in 2012. Sally, one of the first woman to fly in combat. With somed advantages, like higher name identification. Often a challenge to a candidate is getting known. Negativestarted with because of being attacked. This is also a border district. If the president were to decide coulding here, that influence the race as well. It will be clay the close. Another one, West Virginias three in what is becoming a pretty red state. , congressman rahal representing one of the most republican districts. Evan jenkins, the republicans really feel like they have always tried to go after rahal, but never had a good candidate against him. There was heavy republican spending earlier in the spring. The congressmans numbers started to crater. Now it is kind of bouncing around a little bit. Democrats have been emboldened by this race. They feel like they pushed back on specific elements of the Affordable Care act and they feel emboldened by it. Can use thatey blueprint in districts across the country. Tossup, whypublican is he in trouble . It is a competitive district. The former democratic nominee and speaker of the house, a tremendous fundraiser, i think it will be a great race. What surprised me was that coming into the race, mike cotton, the congressman, his numbers are surprisingly strong. As romanoff starts to spend more money and make his case, we will see it tighten a little bit. Very competitive Gubernatorial Election there. In the sixth district it is one of the battleground districts of a battleground state. This morning in the new york times, the sunday review, this piece, why democrats cant win. One of the points is pennsylvania, the state has been solidly democrat, but the democrats cannot win a majority. N the house districts they took a district in pennsylvania guest they did a district where they try to defeat him for years, they said they were just going to pack democrats into this district. What it did isidore democrats from the neighboring districts and made that more republican, made a few of these members safer. That is an example of republicans using redistricting in order to hold the majority they already had. That is why 2010 was a difficult. Eelection for democrats they lost control of the redistricting process in key states. Myrtle beach, south carolina, good morning. Caller you had an advertisement in iowa there about a race, 79 of the meetings for veterans affairs. Is that true . If its true, why is it negative . Whats your point . Host whats your point . Caller the press, rather than finding out whether it is a true ad, says it is a negative ad. Negative, if you are informing the public, it depends on what those people are doing. Guest republicans would not see this as a negative ad, what campaigns call this is a contrast ad. Youre giving more information that may be negative but contrasting it with the other persons record. Anie is a veteran, shes running on her service. She had to leave the campaign trail for part of her reserve duty. So if you have a member of congress who has missed this many votes, then brailley certainly is coming under a lot of scrutiny for meetings that he has missed there. Contrasted with a female combat veteran. Thats exactly the kind of contrast that they were wanting to make and one that is certainly contributing to why this race is so close host another contrast can be made by this. In response to the Koch Brothers here are the coke sisters. Im karen around im joyce and we are the coke sisters. Were not biological sisters but sisters in spirit. And were not related to the Koch Brothers those rightwing billionaires. Were just two average women who raised families. We dont have billions to spend on political campaigns but we do have our convictions and voices. We think thats important. If you agree then join us with an all be a nation of coke sisters. Host we have been focused on outside money including the Koch Brothers but does this resonate with the general public . Guest i dont think that it does but this ad is certainly designed for the Democratic Base. The Koch Brothers are democrats boogie torry reids men. This brings in money if you know especially as we get close to the end of a month you are inundated with pleas for money, the coke brotters are going to take over this race and this is something that certainly people who may not know as much about these races, oh my goodness all this money and the coke brothers want to do this around democrats have painted them as the evil sort of funding machines and things too so theyre trying to contrast this with these average everyday women who have worked really hard and their names happen to be koch. One thing that confused me theyre not actually sisters. Its confuse bug this is more so designed to try to continue to get money to sort of grow their email list and again going back to turnout. Democrats need these people that are sort of frustrated and angry about this money and the millions that the coke brothers are spending through many different venues. If youre just tuning in or listening on cspan radio, our focus, the mid term elections less than 60 days before voters go to the polls and early voting in many parts of the country. Ac from missouri. Good morning. Go ahead. Caller ive always considered myself a democrat. Ok. Im 56 years old. And a taxpayer. From a single mans point of view, missouri ive been clearly, cleared for medicaid. But missouri being having opted having medicaid come through. Since im legally by medicaid i am not eligible for obamacare. As a u. S. Tax citizens, as single, a 56yearold man, where should i swing my vote to get the most impact . I said this time i want to know should it go to a woman, should it go to im right now, im always considered myself democrat. Ok, im at this point in my life where maybe i need to switch my way of thinking. Host thanks very u much for the call. Nathan let me turn to you to talk about the impact of health care and the Affordable Care act. But first to his point. Guest well, living in missouri, this cycle, there arent a lot of hot races. So in terms of change being able to switch your senator, switch your member of congress, its not one of the battleground states. But health care in general, the Affordable Care act theres been a lot of discussion. Its not a hot issue any more. But this is an issue, jessica was talking about things that rile the base. It still gets the Republican Base very excited and were still seeing it trying to fuel some of the energy by the republicans get out the vote effort. And thats something one of the keys in this election is the result is one thing, but what lessons do both parties learn coming out of the election . And which party believes its either a mandate to continue or a mandate to repeal obamacare . I know the president is in office so its unlikely but the lessons coming out of november is very important. Host let me ask about another race. Montana, senator warble appointed expected to run a formidable campaign. Hes now out of the race because of majorism charges. The republicans putting up another candidate. This is a huge break for republicans. I think this majorism scandal really shook up the race, certainly, there. And this is almost one of the three open seats that we really fully expect to flip to republican column along with south dakota and West Virginia. Open seats now retiring democrats in red states and theyve put up a state senator there who if she doesnt have the time or the money certainly to make this a competitive race. Democrats know this is off of their list. And i think what more so it does, even before walsh dropped out dane had the edge there but now they dont have to spend resource there is. So youre seeing them move the money out. I think it certainly frees up money for other places. But this is a race where that certainly that was an absolute game changer and certainly hands this to republicans. Guest shes young, she is a woman. I dont think theres a lot of competition to jump into this, to be the one chosen to take over. And she already republicans were quick on the draw to find you tube videos, being of a Younger Generation shes been more active of social media so she has more opinions out there that might be attractive to one side that also gives more for her opponents to go after and to criticize. And i think this is one, this has even gone into the safer column where even south dakota where theres multiple candidates in the race and the math is a bill bit challenging. Montana looks like a safe republican takeover host here on cspan will be your place to watch the debates in all of these races and you can follow us on social media. You can like us on twitter and you can get all the information 2014 pan. Org campaign also at facebook. Com cspan. Bobby, texas. Good morning. Caller good morning. I was a republican for years and years. Hen george w. Bush and his son messed it up so bad we all went in depression. Ow i had a heart attack. The man before i could file my Social Security had filed bankruptcy. Month to ave 1100 a live on. Its hard for me to make it. And i think all this congress spends, [inaudible] the way we have to. They could trouble find getting food or shelter or anything like this. I worked hard all my life. I was a painter. I killed myself just to make six while theyre making six figures a year. And hollering they dont make enough money. And i dont think they all to any of them, i dont think they ought to be able to run for congress being in there 30 years. I think they ought to have a limit on how many years they can run and then get a new one in there. Host he brings up two issues. Term limits, which has been talked about extensively over the last 20 or 30 years. And also, one of the issues we focused on friday in the washington journal really class in america and the divide between rich and poor. Guest well, term limits goes up and down in terms of we go through cycles becoming more of an issue. Some candidates will bring it up now on their own, selfterm limiting themselves. I think thats about as far as were going to get. I dont think were going to have a law. Youre not going to have people that are directly impacting members of Congress Voting to kick themselves out after a set number of terms. I just for some reason dont think thats going to happen. And his point about class and wealth . Guest i think its a concern for a lot of people. Its part of the democratic message more than the republican message. But i think its really it resonates with a lot of people. And i think thats one of the democratic things that they have. The republicans are just in it for the wealthy they have these wealthy donors, they have these wealthy outside groups spending money and thats part of the message. Host henry, good morning. Caller good morning. Host youre on the air. Caller im calling about they keep saying about the immigrants and the reason why you have to bring immigrants in to work, farmland, whatever business there is, is because local people dont want to do nothing but be on welfare. Thats not a fact. The fact of it is not the idea you cannot get the local people to work. The reason with why theyre having a problem with local people, lets say the man who is making the six figures goes to the gas station pay it is same thing for his gas as what the man pays for gas thats only making minimum wage. The man who is making in the six figures, he says he cant make it off minimum wage. Well, how do you figure a poor man can make it off minimum wage . Then they keep saying about the immigrants. Youve got to back this train up. It started a long time ago. And Congress Keeps doing the same thing over and over. Leave those people where they are and try to do something with the people you have over here. Try to help them. But to keep from paying the top wages, what they do is get immigrants. Lets back the train up. A long time ago they went over in africa and got ault African Americans from over there and brought them over here to do thimmings they didnt want to do. And we constantly keep doing the same thing over and over. Youll never get a change. Right now were talking about over here in isis. Leave that alone. Try to straighten your own people out youve got people here in the United States starving. Theyre on tv, theyre starving. And we can take millions of dollars to go over to bomb people which doesnt make sense. And then you bring them here. Once you bring them here then you holler about immigrants. Ost well get a response. Congressman cassidy, senator land rue among the top two candidates in what could end up being a runoff in early december but have you decided who youre going to vote for . Caller i dont see anybody capable to deserve my vote because they all lie. These lies that theyre doing is deceit. So i wouldnt vote for either one of them. She lives in washington, d. C. And still wants to represent in louisiana and look what shes living in, look what im living in. And you take it for cassidy he gets up on tv and starts lying and saying what he is going to do for the people and knowing hes not going to do anything. Its time to change the whole system. Guest i think this gets back to the question of certainly class and things too and one of the things he mentioned is how much hes liing on versus politicians. I think thats why you are seeing democrats push minimum wage initiatives, this is something that harry reid has said he still wants to bring up in the senate. And this certainly is a Democratic Base issue that they will do. But i think you see a lot of politicians trying to show how they are relating to these people and even going out, a lot of them have tried to live on minimum wage for a week showing how difficult it is. But i think as an earlier caller said, 178,000 to a lot of people is a lot of money. It can go very far in a lot of plastes. And for them seeing maybe were not sending people up here that are doing a lot and still making that, and whereas their constituents are just barely getting by. So i think thats what youre going to hear democrats continue to push. But again, his concerns with immigration i think goes to what republicans are, the sort of fear that theyre going to be taking away people coming into the country, taking away these lowpaying jobs. And people do need them and are wanting them. So i think that it really does sort of sound an independent in the true sense. And also hes very frustrated with both places. He doesnt like cassidy, doesnt like land rue, that sort of frustration with inaction and people is why we see Congress Approval rating at an alltime low. Host and in the first and presumably only debate in the californiagoer noves race, the republican candidate who had spent time with the homeless going after the slow recovery in california where jerry brown becoming one of the youngest governors ever and now the oldest elected governor in california history. At the end of the debate a call for another debate and jerry brown saying i think weve seen the differences here tonight. Guest and this is, weve gotten this far with cash cari and the republican nominee. There was concern that someone else would be the nominee in california and that would totally submarine any republican efforts to take over some of the critical, the most competitive house districts down the ballot. But now theres at least a sense that it wont be a complete blowout and jerry brown wont completely cruise and there will be at least competitive enough of these republican opportunities in the 52nd district, maybe the 7th dist