Transcripts For CSPAN2 Public Affairs Events 20161109 : vima

Transcripts For CSPAN2 Public Affairs Events 20161109

What they meant by that is the understood their demographic gave them an advantage right out the door but they also felt that was a part of their ground game by the 41 in florida. That is a question they are asking themselves into whether there are similar weaknesses in other parts of the country that will cost them tonight as well. But they were more confident in the polls indicated. You have to Campaign Organizer for barack obama saying the chances of winning were 100 and he said thats because we are not putting all of our eggs in one basket. We have granular detail about the voters and where they live and their addresses are for how to get them out, we know them as individuals. It doesnt seem to be showing up in florida tonight and florida is one i think they would probably be more confident then perhaps the public polls indicated they should have been. They were talking about how the Financial Markets were reacting to this race a week ago the markets were dropping because it looked like one was in serious trouble and the last couple of days that bounced up again because the polls are suggesting they leave the impression things were going well for clinton and therefore the market came up quite significantly. At this point it is down over 400 points, almost 500 points. Those markets can come back as quickly as they went down if the incom outcome is more drama. We are certainly seeing the uncertainty. We ran it through just a moment ago a bunch of states. For the democrats as well getting word that new mexico counted the early numbers and they see the trends in new mexico not a surprise but it is going on the board. Its not over yet. Who knows how many twists and turns. They dont know which way is up or what to think or say at this point. The way that its bange beend down and surprising you, tonight is surprising is if you will. Thats the way that this campaign has gone particularly the past number which is a lot of people and a lot of people saying what is going on and i think that is a fair assessment. A lot of people are concerned with the outcome could be. They were assessing what canadians thought of the impact of the Clinton Presidency and a donald Trump Presidency. You will see in the graphic there is less of a canadians believe that a Clinton Presidency would have less impact than a donald trump candidacy and i think that is quite telling from what the canadians are worried about and the reason they are worried about it i think in large part its because donald trump wants to take away some of the things that have been in place. Nafta is one that he has concerns about the borders and immigration and about cerium refugees 30,000 of which this runs in the opposite direction what canadians have been hearing in this country. So it is no surprise that many would be concerned about what his presidency between pur. We got the results of another. Missouri is going for donald trump. Keep these numbers in mind. So far, none of the battleground states have been called yet or declared one way or another. So, the numbers that you are seeing are not totally unexpected. Donald trump racked up 146 electoral votes and you need 272 win which means theres still another 124 to go to get to the 270. Hillary clinton at this moment, 109 electoral votes. 161 away from the total that she needs. So, i want to have them yet. Most of them critical in the battleground states havent been declared yet and there are some interesting races that are all close but they could still take either way so we will have to wait and see how that unfolds and who gets to 270. Lets go to vancouver with another update. Your tone is so calm and measured and what is to be decided but i dont think in some of the money markets around the world would say tokyo they may not be watching the feed of this program because there is a lot of concern in many of the markets. Looking at a headline on cnbc they say that its plunged 550point. They are trading in japan right now. Its down 2 and that is associated with whats happening in the United States in florida not unfolding the way the markets expected it was also at the point of quite properly we dont have the final results much less the election yet. Oil is down 2. 5 and one commodity that is up, gold is a place people go when there is uncertainty that im sure a lot of the viewers are thinking back to the night of brexit when the markets reacted with a level of shock and a lot of the losses that we saw in the markets after brexit stoically moderated at this point, at this late hour with wall street and the streets closed down there are traders around the world watching with concern as there are jitters on the market. Those are big numbers you are talking and i know you will keep monitoring them in the next hour because they are likely to bounce are found even more. There is this kind of listening to you and we will get to this with the panel later there is the brexit i remember the night the way that it unfolded and people going i dont know there is such and such an area that still needs to a port from london and that will balance what we are seeing elsewhere but it never did. At the market started to react immediately to what we saw. Is this similar to that . We will talk about that in a few moments time. Lets go back to times square new york theres always a lot of action there. I am here with a republican from california. What do you think when you see the results up on the screen blacks screen im surprised. Donald trump wasnt only hanging in there but was ahead at this point. Maybe on the west coast and east coast there are people so strongly we are starting to see that there is a voice in the middle of america speaking pretty loudly to some of the issues people have and its a wakeup call for a lot of people to see how this rolls out. It was the lesser of two evils. Im the father of three daughters and some of the things trump advocates and supports scare me a little bit. I dont necessarily think that hillary is the best in the world but she has more experience in a rationaandirrational mindset ant process. Trump ability or inability to control himself scares me for somebody in control. You talked about the issues in middle america. What is that driving people towards trump . Some of the basic things. If you are somebody that is in the manufacturing segment, if you are somebody out there just trying to figure out how you will take care of her family you go to college but you come out of here an. Maybe there are not great jobs anymore he says things that resonate with people. I dont know if people know the substance behind the message and i dont know that she has a message that stuck with people when they went to the polls and had a voice in their mind i dont suspect the message played with them and caused them to vote. Talking about the Financial Markets and how he would win in the financial industry how do you think the people are going to respond . For the first time you will see people respond in a negative way. I think people are concerned about health trump will work in a economy and with International Leaders and we operate at a Global Economy now. So i think that the stock market will negatively react to a trump victory. The email issue got cleared. I dont think that good things will happen initially but look at brexit and everything. We are pretty resilient for the emotional kneejerk reaction will not be positive. Described the mood here. Its somber. People are really surprised. Its somber and that is the only way that i can describe it. I think people are proud to be voting and have a voice. I have a young daughter and her friends and they are talking politics and people are engaged but its played out. There you have it, the voice of the people, quieter than many people would have expected with some anxiousness and as they see the numbers change throughout the night. You are right it is quite unlike the normal times square scene and they are trying to analyze for themselves what is happening tonight and what the likelihood is continuing on as the results are still being calculated. 146, 109 for clinton. More from the panelists and we will go on a number of issues and of course all the results. And now how one american sees america. My america is the right to keep and bear arms. I will never vote unarmed and i will always vote for those that defend my rights. Secretary clinton has made it known she would rather me fall victim to Violent Crime than own a gun and protect myself so i am determined to keep her out of office. Cspan where history unfold daily. In 1979 cspan was created a Public Service by americas Cable Television companies and is brought to you today by your cable or satellite provider. Lets take a look at some of the calls being reelected in his district. Tammy duckworth defeated her opponent in illinois, republican mark kirk and senator Chuck Schumer reelected to the senate and also Chuck Grassley o, the republican reelected tonight in iowa. Of course all of the senate sene coverage inhouse coverage and any of the debates leading up to this are available for you anytime youd like to look at them on the website. Right now over on cspan we continue our coverage of all of the action around the country. Lots of room for viewer calls and also you can get in on the conversation using facebook or twitter. We are going to go back to the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation coverage of the American Election. Who says politics is boring . In incredible story unfolding and still a long way to go before a final decision. Lets recap things briefly. Thats the big picture map. The red states are donald trump and blue are for Hillary Clinton. Yellow states are still being counted. Most, not most of many are the battleground state that everybody was waiting to see which way they would go. Today more than anything else will determine who is going to end up winning tonight. Lets look at some of them still being counted. This is well into three hours now that theyve been counting votes in florida and are still not done and very closebrace at the moment. 1. 5 Percentage Points still between donald trump and clint clinton. Nobody is calling this one yet. North carolina another one which was republican states last time around will stay that way with a little over a threepoint lead fothreepoint leadfor donald trh carolina. He needs florida and North Carolina to create this pathway and others as well including this one. Ohio. What is the situation there, this is a big lead and stayed there for the last hour. Those who make decisions about declaring states must be getting close on this one. Anand even then point lead in oo which was a Democratic States last time around. Now we go to michigan, which is traditionally a Democratic State or has been lately. But here once again, you have a lead for donald trump but this is still an easygoing one. Both are coming in relatively slowly and most of these rustbelt state which is common usually the sunbelt states come in much faster than they do in the north and the rust belt states. This one only about 30 of the vote has been counted so there is a lot more to go yet in michigan and as we have seen throughout this evening the numbers have changed considerably as more votes have started piling. We will look at the numbers in michigan that bracket i is the facis thefact that its early ie night. Lets talk. We made the brexit comparison. Ashley, david and danielle a moment ago which kind of shocked everybody the british vote to leave the european union. We saw the pound crash as a result and it still fully hasnt recovered or recovered at all actually. Is there a brexit comparison . I never thought anybody should be so complacent going into this because in the primaries where we live, we have been through that rodeo. I dont know how it is for you but because we are in the public eye people always say whats going to happen even within days from now, people in canada ask whats going to happen and i said at the same thing to everyone. I would be paid a lot more than i am now but this is anyones guess and again i think that we saw this already. Not one person thought jeb bush. I dont think its a surprise. Ohio has now been called. That is the change in the numbers you see, 164 for donald trump and 109 for clinton. Edging close to just 100 away. Hes headed in the right direction. On brexit i was in england that week and it began to shrink in the last few days in the world of the media policies i then we have an instinct for most of the period of world war ii to the end of the cold war they chose the lowrisk option and its incredible that they would do something as risky and the future looks a lot darker than it would have without. Donald trump was the high your risk of choice an choice and itd dangerous. Imagine they wouldv would flinm the highrisk alternative. A brexit isnt going well. I want to go to renee. Its falling into the camp away from the democrats. Weve called this for the republicans and that is a bit of a shock joining me for some reaction on this is the chair of the Democratic Party for this county but we are going to ask him more about this in general. Looking at these results what do you think happened here . In cleveland and in columbus, where we lost was to areas in the Rural Counties into the appalachia in Southeastern Ohio and the not so surprising because people were predicting it we need not do well in what is usually the democratic stronghold up in northeastern ohio where trump appealed very much to the rankandfile who didnt follow the lead of the unions. How are you personally feeling watching the results . What does that feel like to quick. Exceptionally disappointing. We had great hopes that we would see, and we still may see the first female president elected tonight we dont know that by certainly hope ohio is to ensure that would have been and that it didnt is extremely a disappointing. Head of the Hamilton County Democratic Party it is a swing state as ohio goes so goes the country so this is disappointing for the country as for sure. The results of virginia with the democrats expected to hold and they have in and day gave them a lot to be concerned about. So here the numbers affected by the two most recent decisions ohio a big win for the of republican a lot of path of the presidency goes through ohio in the history of the United States. We will find out in the next couple of hours. 164 trump. 122 clinton. Where do we go now . [laughter] the reality is when i woke up and i saw brexit i said this is foreshadowing nobody said it couldnt happen, those that were in the u. K. To see what happens but they have damaged those economic prospects for generations this is what is happening right now. Well get the futures down five did 50 points, back in 2008 in the midst of our Great Recession we still have the same numbers. The idea we have all street in a panic, a gold going up up, we do the possibility of what Trump Presidency could look like that now would get all of the branch is being controlled by republican. It isnt just one man one vote but generations. But the problem with the undereducated white rust belts folks who were coming out for trump is that their jobs will never come back. But that is exactly what happened. But to talk about the comparison hopper between trump and other authoritarian figures like hitler or how they came in and they could grab onto something that we thought could happen in that history has shown us time and again what we saw after reconstruction and if you look for the past eight years what we are looking not right now those that we thought would not happen that was up protest vote to hundred 88,000 people and that could offend the difference in florida. You raise a lot of things we want to get into. First of all, trump headquarters is watching the scene it throughout the evening now with the news they have won ohio. The place went nuts a few minutes ago. The mood has been building over the last hour and a half. I went for a road trip into virginia and kentucky talking to people. Certainly kentucky is republican territory. They want to believe everything that trump says they blame obama for losing their jobs and they believe trump whenever he says that because they want something to believe. Who supports that . So we want to find people read the reasonable people. They all want to believe but they all contested hillary dont want any part of her. But at some point you setback in then negative as somebody on our side immigration. The wisdom of the taxi drivers. They are all saying that that is so easy here tonight and perhaps what is going on. The picture so far tonight that almost anyone had for fastfood fish especially the pollsters and, but still over last 48 hours the chances of the victory of Hillary Clinton were overwhelming. I think the analogy people explained up probably didnt call negative probability to be the most cautious when he gave a 75 for donald trump is real. And then for them to know what that actually meant. But they talk about a field goal kicker than the chances are greater than 50 yards. But that is what we are seeing right now. At fridays said what they said. But if you give a 25 percent chance of winning and he wins because 25 percent of the time he should. Me. A lot of things to keep in mind. We are a long way from the speeches tonight. Colada of close races that could go well into the night. It will be historic nobody knows for sure how that will end up but it will be one that you dont want to mess we will take a quick break and be right back. My america is heading will models for our children. For that reason i cannot vote for either senator richard berg buildup the challenge the democratic director from the Civil Liberties union to portray the incumbent from the house and senate from the odd of touch washington insider. A lawyer serving from 2003 ethers 2013 from the state house of representatives blasted him early in the race as a politician who exemplified s. C. Retains his seat in Nor

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