Transcripts For DW Conflict Zone 20190418 12:30:00 : vimarsa

DW Conflict Zone April 18, 2019 12:30:00

Come to that new romance youtube channel. How to get my hopes to my. Exclusive insights. On the must see concerning part time culture came. To be for curious minds. Do it yourself networkers. So subscribe dont miss out. You never stand up for your what of course we stand up for europe you seem to live in a kind of the universe you know i dont know the whole lets not be silly please the North Atlantic Treaty Organization nato has just had its seventieth birthday but it wasnt a happy one constant carping by donald trump about Defense Spending has caused bitter resentment here in europe i guess this week here at Nato Headquarters is Rose Gottemoeller the organizations deputy Secretary General will she now acknowledge that nato has serious splits in its unity. Rose gottemoeller welcome to conflicts and we thank you great to be here your boss c. N. N. Stoltenberg reminded the world recently that nato his mission was to provide credible to terence and defense the fact is that terence is no longer credible and hasnt been for a long time has and why do you say that we dont seem to think were not in the midst of war when i say that because just five months ago Americas National Defense Strategy commission painted a pretty dismal picture of the us his ability to protect both itself and his allies the security and well being of the us it said are at greater risk today than at any time in decades americas superiority has a road. To a dangerous degree in its ability to defend its allies its partners and its own vital interests is increasingly in doubt thats thats dismal isnt it there are many different fields of how deterrence and defense are conducted today and i think for nato the emphasis truly has to be on what we now call the hybrid challenges that are coming at us many of them associated with emergence of new technologies and accelerated by new Technology Lets Look at the Defense Commission fact those in its report and also to what the u. S. Military could suffer from acceptably high casualties and the loss of major Capital Assets in its next conflict it might struggle to win a war against russia or china thats got thats not good news is it well what i have to tell you if you ask me the question about whether deterrence is working or not i have to say yes because we do in fact here at nato Work Together as twenty nine nations with the United States to provide for the deterrence and defense of all twenty nine allies and we do have challenges i dont want to sugarcoat the challenges that we face and particular the challenges emanating from new technology but im not ready to cry that were in the midst of disaster the section pointed out that For The First Time nato has combat ready Battle Groups in the eastern part of the alliance for Battle Groups in the Baltic States and poland plus Additional Forces amounting to a brigade the authority of the Rand Corporation doesnt think much of it says nato forces are not nearly sufficient to defend the contiguous line and delay a large scale conventional advance by a mechanized adversaries such as russia and again hardly a vote of confidence in the measures that lead to is taken as the for Battle Groups in the Baltic States and in poland are not meant to hold the line for long they are precisely that they are going to be credible they are and they are credible as a deterrence and defense tripwire because they bring together forces from across the Alliance Units from every single the. Ally practically are serving in thoseBattle Groups and some of that but you and all the russian knows russian knows that if they step across the line they will face the entire Nato Alliance but that is why nowadays we are placing our emphasis on reinforcement and readiness and being able to rapidly move troops in behind those battleground isnt impressed by that either it says that given the current posture and capability including the european battalions and rotational u. S. Omid Brigade Combat Team russia still enjoys a substantial time distance advantage in the initial days and weeks of a conventional Ground Campaign in the Baltic States thats the reality of Geo Geography and the fact that russia does in fact sit as the great land power in eurasia thats a fact of history yeah but i do forces are not providing the tenets that you promised i dont know why you keep saying that tim youre sorry im not sorry yes im going to work to give sorting some reports that have come about and im terribly amused by those around reports you know i work for random the one Nine Hundred Eighty s. They said exactly the same thing during the cold war so the fact of the matter is everybody gave up theres just no no they dont make it up but they are repeating you know what is based on a reality of the geopolitics and the geography of eurasia what we can do is ensure that russia knows all twenty nine allies are prepared to act and are prepared to reinforce and that has proven during the cold war an effective deterrent and i believe it proves an effective deterrent today the impression of an alliance that is no longer credible has been assisted if you like by years of war games played out on computers by the pen to good range of Defense Experts Mater consistently loses against what it considers to be its main adversary doesnt it well i think the best thing you can say about exercise of all kinds is that they are meant to stress test so. Stress test until we understand where our weaknesses lie and what we have to do better i was present this fall when we had our big Trident Juncture Exercise which was not a Computer Exercise it was a Big Combined Arms Exercise in norway and it showed that it had been a long time since the alliance had reinforced across the North Atlantic there were problems that emerged in the get out of the ball well we saw the end of the soviet union and everyone decided and it was a good thing the last tank of the United States left europe in Two Thousand And Thirteen we saw that as a good thing but then after Two Thousand And Fourteen and the aggression against crimea the seizure of crimea the destabilization of the donbass we had to think again about deterrence and defense there must be urgency mustnt there because last month give you an example a Senior Research at the center for new American Security david out monica you probably know i know he said other graphically that when the simulations were run against russia in China America get its backside gets its backside handed to it to put it slightly differently ive just adjusted it we usually fail he added to achieve our objective of preventing aggression by the adversary do you think moscow hasnt noticed that as well well i do think its important as i said to train and exercise without taking our eye off the ball and when we learn that we have problems then we have to rectify them and that means a lot of hard work but were in the midst of it its extraordinary that you do have these problems because the Staggering Amount by which nato countries outspend russia on defense and still lose the war games its surprising isnt it really when you think that the alliances combines economic strength in twenty sixteen was about thirty one times that of russians. What are you doing with the money if you are not getting value for money earlier i am asking the question as to whether the problems you describe are actually the problems that you have id be very interested to see how the russian General Staff trains in exercises im sure they also train to stress themselves until they fail and then they have to work on their problems so i think we have to consider what the challenges on both sides are and in the case of nato and its allies the United States and its allies i see capable forces that are adjusting to the modern warfare and are moving rather i would say flexible am with speed to do so im not always sure i see that in the Russian Armed forces. Despite a nato advantage of more than three quarters of a trillion dollars spent by The Alliances Combined Military Forces in a single year im talking about twenty fifteen you would struggle to win a conflict with russia how is that possible when you outspend them to this enormous degree well again im not accepting the basis of your hypothesis im not sure that we would actually lose because again we have a great deal of flexibility and adaptability thats why nato has succeeded all these years we have been able to adapt to new challenges when they come out us do you think is succeeding with Two Thousand And Eight the russians took a bite out of georgia after a Lightning Strike i know wasnt a nato Member Bowser nato partner in twenty fourteen in crimea you mentioned they moved in sees that since twenty fourteen Russian Forces either regular or contract troops have been operating with pretty near impunity in Eastern Ukraine ten thousand people have died so these are just plain that its being keeping the peace isnt quite true is it i think it is important to point out that article five of the Washington Treaty applies to allies thats the famous All For One And one for all. Part of the Washington Treaty that is the core of our Defense Alliance where georgias concern in Two Thousand And Eight that was an enormous wake up call andTwo Thousand And Fourteen represented a sea change for the alliance not even to see it coming not only in terms of a wake up call in ukraine but also the fact that the rise of eisel the establishment of the caliphate in mosul that brought the fight against terrorism and violent extremism into sharper focus as well so we did have a wake up call in that period and i think it has led to huge change in the alliance not least of which was a huge change in our Defense Spending and a look at what we really need today to counter both of these kinds of challenges but despite the fact that you provide ukraine with what stoltenberg called Strong Political and practical support it makes no difference to what russias moves in the Military Field in the area has it its strengthened its naval forces its built up its tanks according to the Chief Of Staff ukraine General Staff last year they built up tanks along the border theyre not being deterred by your strong support political or otherwise for Ukraine Other i think theyve taken notice we have put a quite a bit into training but i want to give credit to the Ukrainian Armed forces themselves they have been doing a lot to professionalize and develop their capability and capacity over the last six years that has really been impressive and so they working together with us and also with individual nato allies have been making a difference to hold the line but you continue to during all nato membership is a carrot in front of them without giving them a timetable for it without a timetable its meaningless as. Well lets have a moment to talk about that in Two Thousand And Eight. At the bucharest summit four countries spoke about their aspirations and nato agreed that they would be in the line to have nato membership those countries included ukraine and georgia but we have been very clear that both of those countries are still on the path of reform we have to ensure that when countries are ready to enter nato store they are ready to contribute to security and defense in the alliance but also to come up to certain standards of democratic principle so what are you waiting for to moscow as they get another bite out of Eastern Ukraine know what were waiting for is to see them come up to a certain level of readiness for nato membership. Nato allies have reiterated the decision we made some years ago that ukraine will become a member of nato thats the Bucharest Summit The Second that still stands at some point at some time its up to ukraine to decide who their Security Relationships will be with thats an important principle from our perspective i have to say though its also very important that all nato allies be ready to accept them and that means seeing a level of of reform and development in their not only armed forces but also in their Democratic Practice Lets Talk About nato seventieth birthday which is just come and go and most happiest one downgraded to Foreign Minister level instead of the usual heads of government. You disagree on many issues and you know Secretary General hardly ideal in an alliance that claims its strength rests on unity is it the Secretary General had a wonderful speech before a Joint Session Of Congress the first time any leader of an International Organization has had that honor it was a great day but we havent finished with our celebrations tim there will be a leaders meeting at the end of the year in london in December Heads Of State and government will celebrate nato seventieth anniversary let me put it bluntly the problem is that many Member States dont trust donald trump do this his commitment to nato why should they i mean hes done everything he could to undermine trust that hes one hundred percent behind it you know i havent seen that clearly donald trump has shaken things up theres no question about it hes gotten off a bit more than that is gotten all the allies to sit up and take notice because he was very concerned about the lack of of fair burden sharing inside the alliance and he wanted allies to pay more in his inimitable way he got everybody to Pay Attention to the necessity of putting more money into their Defense Budgets that was one of the. It will come out the come on to the front thing in a minute but i want to just say that ten days ago it fell to William Burns former state Department Advisor to five u. S. President s and one of the most respected u. S. Diplomats over the last thirty years to point out that trumps unilateralism is doing putins work for him by widening the gap between the u. S. And europe over Climate Change iran cracks it and nato thats a serious charge from a serious highly placed person of liberalism indeed youre in serious but whats your question why dont you take that seriously youre telling me everythings fine and telling you everythings five but i think elephant in every room listen to hes the one they talk about he keeps casting doubt on article five of nato whether its obsolete or not youve heard the statements and youve read the Report Courts well look in this headquarters we have important work to do every single day thats why trust is so important exactly trust is broken and that were each other we are in trouble we are working hard to do what we need to do in terms of running our operations in afghanistan and iraq in terms of continuing to run our operations in k. Four in the Western Balkans in terms of providing for both deterrence and defense and fighting against terrorism in the saliva it so every day we keep our heads down and keep working yes of course there are differences among nato allies and as ive said mr trump has gotten everybody to sit up and take notice but this is more the true this is the more just this is more than just differences that lute former u. S. Ambassador to nato said earlier this month this is unprecedented were at the seventieth

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