He is the only candidate who has a path to the 1237. Both cruz and kasich would need more than 100 . Well start go through the calendar. Well show what is coming up. April you have the northeastern states where trump is expected to have a really big strong showing. Pennsylvania being the wildcard. We talked about this loophole primary. Trump expected to do very well there, nonetheless. So 97 delegates on the table in the northeast. Most people saying look, in this area, trump is going to get the lions share. Moving further out, if you go west, youre going to see what is coming up in may. Indiana and nebraska, very strong moments for cruz according to our projections according to polling. Oregon, washington, trump will make a bigger showing there. Indiana, nebraska, that is the place where ted cruz if you like, spoil a path for donald trump. That is a bit cleaner. May overall, 63 delegates. Going further out in the calendar of june, california, if you remember one thing, our viewers remember one thing, 172 delegates on the table. Neil, you know this, californias gdp if you just separate it out it would be a top 10 country in the world. Super important, trump expected to do well there. 164 delegates as a possible scenario there for june. So at end of the day, if we wrap it up as far as all math, what is on the table, what we expect, 1169 is the number that we have gotten too for donald trump. As you know, there are 150 unbound delegates that he could sway and move before that convention but here is the math so far. Neil, back to you. Neil looking at way you did there he would technically be a little shy but with uncommitted slate and slates he could close the deal . Exactly right. That is what his supporters are saying. Look, there is a lot of unbound delegates, who, listen, if he does the ground game correctly can reach out and get their support. As we know, ted cruz has been very aggressive in the ground game and especially in california. Somebody from the cruz team told me yesterday, weve been there more than a year. Trump, his team just started showing up a few weeks ago. Neil mr. Art of the deal will have to start start making some deals. Neil that is fascinating. Thank you very, very much. The trump people sent out a memo yesterday, this according to washington post, contrary to what deirdre is reporting they have 1400 delegates. They are convinced when they get to cleveland, 1400 delegates, much more than the 1237 they will need. Youre probably as confused as i am. Bottom line they are trying to avoid any controversy before they get to cleveland, they fear, maybe for good reason, given the dustup with the party, if they dont have the 1237 in hand they will not win the thing. That is the real facts. Real clear politics reporter rebecca berg. Do you think he, donald trump, secure this thing by the time they get to the convention . You know, neil, as you pointed out, the unbound delegates are going to be critical in answering that question. So it could be that he is within 100 or so delegates going into cleveland, short of locking up the nomination as many projections are showing now but those delegates will be in play. My thinking looking how the delegate selection has gone thus far, including for some of the unbound delegates, trump will be short going into a contested convention, an open convention and as a result of those unbound delegates, not being able to sway them ultimately. Really it is hard to predict at this point because weve never seen what would happen in that scenario which would be essentially an extension of the primary process for the six weeks in between the end of the primariry, leading up to the convention. It would be an amazing lobbying effort for those few delegates to really sway the way the nomination will go. Neil you know, is it your opinion too this might, i think if he is one delegate short, no one will give him anything and so he has got to secure this thing before that first ballot . If he doesnt, i dont think he is going to get it, what do you think . I think if youre absolutely right. If you look at delegate selection thus far cruz completely dominated acrosscountry. No question about that. You would see a lot of attrition from Donald Trumps delegates to other candidates on second ballot. That is why Donald Trumps team is hoping to try to lock this up before the convention, if not before the convention, to at least come close enough the unbound delegates will feel obligated, pressure to support donald trump at convention. That is why were seeing him, sort of mount this campaign to win over republicans to say look, this would be tantamount to stealing the convention, stealing the nomination, if another candidate were to swoop in when i have the most delegates, when i clearly have a lead in the popular vote. That is the strategy behind what he is saying right now. He is hoping to that he can at least pressure delegates to support him even if he is short. Neil he is always sending that message out next week in pennsylvania, 54 delegates are uncommitted slate, right . Exactly. Neil if he actually wins the state and that, wouldnt that delegation represent the will of the voters there . Or could that be a source of contention . It will absolutely be a source of contention. It is interesting that pennsylvania is in play because the last contested convention for republicans in 76, reagan picked as his would be running mate as senator from pennsylvania to try to sway the delegation in advance of the convention. In kansas city we could see a similar situation here leading up to the convention in cleveland where pennsylvania is the key. Neil all right. Thank you very much, rebecca. Good stuff. It will be interesting. Thank you. Neil to the other side, Bernie Sanders record haul of 46 million, close to it. This comes at a time close to yesterday Bernie Sanders was reassessing things, pulling in money like that, and Rabid Support he has particularly among young liberals, would that be a good idea for him to sort of cease and desist or slow down . To mike warren on that, Weekly Standard writer extraordinaire. Mike, if you look at this, you say Bernie Sanders im popular with a rabid base of the party and Hillary Clinton isnt. There would be no reason for him to drop out. But where, what does it say of the rabid base, dont like Hillary Clinton fairly liberal in her own right, not too enthusiastic about barack obama, who is quite liberal in his own right . What about this young liberal group . Yeah i think they are maybe less, not enthusiastic about barack obama but disappointed perhaps in thinking that barack obama has not achieved what maybe he promised or what maybe they thought he could achieve in his eight years in office. So Bernie Sanders is almost kind of an outlet for that frustration. I think sanders has to look at this, he looks at money he is pulling in, looks at continued support, even though really in the end he will not be able to close the gap with delegates with Hillary Clinton. There is too many obstructions in the way. Neil flip it around, mike. Sure. Neil could he slow her momentum to the delegates that she would need, 2393 that she would need . He is certainly doing that. Very well could in the next few states. I think real question here is sanders role at the convention and sort of shaping the partys platform. It moved Hillary Clinton to the left to have to deal with this Bernie Sanders challenge on the left. That changed the Democratic Party. The Democratic Party is more reflective of what the Bernie SandersMovement Really cares about. Inequality of income. You know, taking care of College Tuition by government and taxpayers. That shift to the left is all reflected in Bernie Sanderss insurgency within the primary. If he could ride this out neil mike, where do the voters go . I cant see them supporting maybe donald trump or certainly not ted cruz . I guess prevailing argument would be they have to vote for somebody. I guess they could sit on their hands and vote for nobody . They could. There is no ralph mader in this race who could sort of pull away small group of those Rabid Supporters. A lot of democrats, even ones supporting Bernie Sanders, theyre the type who will come home, whoever the democratic nominee is they will support. They couldnt certainly support someone as radical as ted cruz and donald trump in their view. So i do think a lot of them come home. We cant overemphasize their numbers within the Democratic Party. You might be able to say there is a silent majority within the Democratic Party that is along with Hillary Clinton willing to go along with her and supporting her. I think the Bernie Sanders crowd is certainly more loud. Theyre more active and so that is who we see a lot more of. Lets not overestimate their influence in the Democratic Party. He is still behind her in the popular vote and of course in delegates as well. Neil you want those people with you, not too jazzed by you. Well see what happens. Mike warren, Weekly Standard, good stuff. Thank you. Thanks, neil. Neil all right, you heard of sneaky ways to get into this country from mexico but a half mile tunnel complete with an elevator . Its true. Its real. Wait until i show you images and getting back to donald trump avoiding all of this with a wall or doesnt . This would be presumably under the wall with an elevator. After this. 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Had the ability to work electricity throughout it. It had everything but a refrigerator, and i dont know. I never seen anything like this. But im told it is not that unusual but, you talk about something very, very sophisticated. Can you imagine how long it took to do this. To Sheriff Joe Arpaio is saying this is why we have to clamp down on the border. He is backing donald trump for president. Sheriff good to have you. Great to be here, neil. Neil sheriff, i know donald trump want to build a wall. This thing would go under the wall. How do you stop this kind of stuff . I dont know. Donalds great builder, great businessman, im sure he will know how deep to go with the wall. No big deal. If the mexicans dont want to build a wall, maybe they can control that border with a human wall and let us go over there with the military and Border Patrol and work with them, and stop all the drugs and illegal immigration. You know i was director there in mexico city. Ive seen a lot of things but not these sophisticated type tunnels. There has to be a little collusion there. Somebody has to know theyre transporting equipment and building a tunnel so what is going on. Neil you just read my mind. This doesnt look like something a couple of illegals came up with in the spare time. From all accounts, this thing was very sophisticated. Elevator, electricity. A means of, even a like a rolling line to get people through it. That is pretty sophisticated stuff that seems to at least, implicate others potentially. Back to this wall thing. Also the wall were dug really low into the ground, they could find away around that sort of thing. It comes back to, do we need a smarter, blockade to sop this . Maybe we need some political influence too. Maybe the secretary of state and president should spend more time having a little beer with the president in mexico to get them to stop this situation of the drugs and illegals coming into our country. It is a bigger problem than just building a wall but that would be deterrent. But that will not solve the the 100 , neil. You need pressure to mexico to try to get things done in a nice way. If it is not nice, you do it the tough way. Take away their money. Neil do you think, lets say donald trump were elected, sheriff, that ahead of his inauguration, there would be a rush like weve never seen before of illegals into this country . I think it is happening now. Sort of a deterrent. Theyre coming across knowing that wall may be going up. It is already happening. So it is a deterrent before it is even built. So thats good in a way. Not that theyre coming over, but think what will happen when a wall goes up there. But you got to have more than just a wall. You have to have a way to enforce the laws over there. And when they do hop over the wall, you put them in jail. You dont kick them back and they come back over and over again, if they can get over the wall. Neil right, right. So that is how you do it. Neil if donald trump did become president sheriff, and he offered you Homeland Security job, would you take it . You know, i love donald trump. I was with him from day one. He is a great guy. Im not getting into his interests when my wife has been sick, how many times he called my wife. He is a great person. It would be very difficult to turn him down because ive endorsed other president s because i have to turn him down because im running for sheriff again. I run the Third Largest sheriff sheriffss. I got to continue the serve the people of maricopa county. It would be tough if he makes that call. Neil i suspect he might, right . I dont know. I see him he is a great guy. He will win, i tell you. He is only one will beat hillary, i guarranty you on that. Neil frustration with republicans fearing that he will lead them to a huge loss, democrats will take over the senate, you dont buy any of that . No. A lot of hype out there. Theyre all going after donald. Must be afraid of him. Neil all right. Always speaking your mind, sheriff. We always appreciate that. Thank you very much. Good seeing you again. Thank you. Thank you. Neil ual is suddenly in a world of hurt here because revenue could weaken a little bit. When you hear that, Major Airline talking about revenue weakening, you have to wonder, is it weakening because people arent really into flying . Theyre scared of flying. Or just cutting back period because theyre scared that something bad will happen with the economy, like turn south fast . Were all over it after this. So what else is new . Hows your mother . Umm. Shes doing good. She needs more care though. She wants to stay in her house. I dont know even where to start with that. First, lets take a look at your Financial Plan and see what we can do. Ok, so weve got. Well listen. Well talk. Well plan. Baird. Innovative sonicare technology with up to 27 more brush movements versus oral b. Get healthier gums in 2 weeks guaranteed. Innovation and you. Philips sonicare. Save when you buy the most loved rechargeable toothbrush brand in america. Welcome back to neil cavuto coast to coast. Im lauren simonetti. We were expecting to see the worst earnings season since the financial crisis. 1 5 of the companies in the s p 500, 110 reported their earnings. More than 3 4 reported earnings better than expected. Why is that . Are they doing so much better than they did last year . No, the bar is set really low. This is hollow victory for many companies. Want to talk about banks for a quick second. First time since 2013 six big banks reported earnings better than expected. For Morgan Stanley that meant profit decline of 53 . Better than expected. For goldman sachs, profit decline of 60 . Better than expected. That is why this feels like a hollow victory for many companies. We have many earnings coming out today, especially after the bell. I want to look at couple of them. Microsoft and google. Googles parent alphabet from the tech sector. Starbucks and visa, with microsoft you want to Pay Attention to see if theyre going from a pc company more into a cloud company, their share price past three months up about 10 . For al can bet, second quarter, breaking out earnings between search business, and moon shoot entities. That stock is also up 7 . More on that later on. Neil, send it back to you. Neil lauren, thank you very, very much. So better than expected does not mean a lot less than last year. There in lies the rub for potential markets. If earnings are lower than they were last year at this time that would be Fourth Quarter in a row that happened. That could be a worrisome sign for the market whether they beat expectations or not. Jared levy what he reads into this and whether he is worried about this, expectations be damned. Jared, what do you think . You have to put it in perspective, neil. In january when everything was falling apart, right . Average company was expected to earn a dollar. In the period of time between january now, theyre expected to earn only 85 cents. But because they earned 87 cents, were rewarding them with the rally. It is kind of cookie, in that kooky. In time between january and now markets have rallied. The point investors