Youve heard of this conundrum as we wait on this measure to see what they can do, but every concession the Freedom Caucus, for example, this conservative group of 3540 congressmen who almost to a man and woman were who almost to a man and woman are not big fans of this was whatever confession is made to that group, moderate republicans get kicked off and we deal with our kids. You let him stay up late, but not me and the tugofwar continues. Here is the thing, the reason the markets are watching closely, they reached a deflection point where they dont really care. They seem to buy the indication from the president , vote on this thing and be done with it. They move on to tax cuts. A slamdunk, they could automatically do that, the whole reconciliation process, dont want to get too lost in the weeds because it is really dull but suffice it to say the market seemed to think one way or another they will get tax cuts and one way or another going to be able to see that happen sooner rather than later and there is even talk those tax cuts would be retroactive to the beginning of the year. What they seem to be ignoring has been pointed out, a lot have snuck taxes back into the Health Care Law or rework including the 9 10 of 1 surtax on the wealthy and that is not going down well with conservatives, the very group, Republican Leaders are trying to target to make sure they are happy with this and not happy with that. Getting everyone else kicked off, blake berman at the white house and what he is hearing. This is a yoyo back and forth, appease one group, another has concerns and it goes back and forth. The Senior Administration official when i walked into the white house and asked how they think this will play out. This could be touch and go. The house floor, official debate is underway. This has all the attention of the white house this day the Vice President , mike pence has delayed a trip and said he is here at the white house monitoring what is going on, any lastminute tools, the president appearing to feel confident as this vote appears, he tweeted from his twitter account thank you, more conservative seat dish tea Party Express, hashtag pass the bill repealing replace, also asked about this briefly and made some short comments. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. See what happens. Thank you. Reporter basically saying we will see what happens in upcoming hours. He was also asked if he supports paul ryan, House Speaker, should this failing and President Trump said yes. As far as the number of counts, nobody knows where it stands. Several members of the House Freedom caucus, there are no votes, Louis Gohmert said on stuart varneys show there could be as many as tween 9 nos. There will be at least five that could be tween 9 and could be more that vote no and i am told as of last night 17 moderates are no. Some may flip and vote yes, but i know the president will be unhappy now but this is going to bring him down if it passes. Reporter this much we know, the democrats should be all know. How many conservative Freedom Caucus members are nos q how many moderates might be nos kick you add up those nos it doesnt get 211 or 213 . That is the sweet spot this administration is hoping to clear. Neil it improved with whatever numbers to the democrats it does lower the threshold you have to get to get this to move on in the senate. 435 members of the house at any given time, and cut that in half and lower the threshold a little bit, bottom line, they have to get to that threshold. Neil that is just to get through the first hurdle. Meantime we go to the Freedom Caucus, republican state of texas, get a gauge where he stands. Gay or nay on this . I used to be from texas but i represent the phoenix area now. Neil i apologize. They are both magnificent states. Neil how do you stand on this kick you i am not undecided on this but im not declaring publicly for strategic reasons of being able to continue to influence this in the best direction possible but i will tell you the great untold story is simply this. It wouldnt be hard at all the republicans to come up with a consensus bill that would fully repeal obama care and replace it with a truly republican version based on market that would give us the best healthcare for the most people for the least cost. Neil apparently it would because you havent done it. The challenge is we cant get it through the bird rule and people like you should be telling that story. Warner the that being what you can do or not do under reconciliation. The alternative is to get the thing to the floor for debate in the senate and to take 60 votes to do that. Unless we can repeal the laws of mathematics, eight democrats come with us which is harder than repealing the laws of mathematics, we have to change that rule and be able to get the bill to the floor. You can have cloture or Something Like that but unless we can get it to the floor, to cause republicans to tear each other apart, is donothing and that is too easy. Neil machinery has to go through procedure and that is causing this. We had plenty of republican versions and came up with this the day obamacare was here, i lost my voice trying to stop it. We had a republican motion to recommit that would have been an excellent alternative to obamacare. The media didnt cover that, we had several bills, republican versions many of which i cited, the media didnt cover that. The challenge before us is everyone things republicans dont have an alternative or plan, we do, we just cant fit it through. Neil you are quite right. Working under the proviso, if you had to handicap this vote later today, whatever, how do you think it will go to q i will preface by saying there are three times the people who try to do that. Those who dont know, those who dont know they dont know and those who do know they dont know. I fall in the final category but i would say probably the momentum is toward passage. Neil really kick you are there concessions being made to conservative caucus members that will kickoff the moderate members . What are you hearing to q those two factions are actually talking to each other and i that is an important concern. That may mean nothing. It often does but i am a hopeful guy. Neil are you hopeful they can remove the 9 10 of 1 surtax on the wealthy that has stayed in this . I would like to see that go away but the biggest challenge is getting rid of some of these obamacare era mandates that essentially ameliorate competition and market and markets are the only place theres immigration and when you have an immigration like this with completely infinite need to be met with a finite resource we have to have innovation to make that come out right. Neil thank you very much. I am sorry for misidentifying your state. Thank you, sir. The next step presumably would be tax reform if they cannot get together on this, waiting for nevers to come out with a meeting from President Trump as we speak. On this particular issue here is what the house ways and means chief, kevin brady, told me earlier this week. If it doesnt happen on thursday, can you we will fight this battle another day and move on to taxes or no . It is critical that this past because of tax cut and the momentum and it will show we can unify behind bold ideas. Neil the congressman, chairman of the committee joining again at 4 00 p. M. Eastern on fox news. Peter barnes, the president can even do that without making such progress, to the taxcut thing, i get different reads on this. Senior house leadership aid is trying to get a push by saying bill helps make tax reform easier, the next big ticket item because Obamacare Repeal. As i do my math the head, the original bill eliminated 1 trillion in taxes, 1 billion over ten years, then they kept 1 , 9 medicare tax to fund 15 billion a year in Maternity Care and Substance Abuse to give money to the states, something moderates had demanded but you still get a significant amount of tax cuts by repealing obamacare. If this doesnt pass, is it still going to be in appetite for tax reform . Everybody want to have lower taxes so i am not sure the failure of this holds up tax reform because the president made it clear that if this bill fails today he is moving on to tax reform which will take many months. Neil he is and i will be done with this and dont want to go on about this but what is the reaction he is getting behind the scenes from republicans who feel he forced them into a corner . Highstakes gamble, a roll of the dice, saying the negotiations are over and forcing this vote is risky and as you said at the top of the show, not 100 clear they have the votes to pass it, we are waiting to see. Neil peter barnes in washington. First off since you are an encyclopedia on this stuff, if i can screw up my language, can they move on . Republicans, if they dont succeed on this healthcare funds, dismiss it and save it for another day were dismissible go with obamacare, what do you think . One from the policy standpoint and one from the political standpoint. From the policy standpoint the reason they want to get obamacare done through that reconciliation budgeting process is it helps with the tax component, and not to get 60 votes in the senate eventually. They were intending to have this done first so they could pass it with just republican votes and not worry about democrats. And the political question comes up, if you cant get Republicans United against healthcare policy how do you get related around tax reform policy get you there is large support for tax reform but when you get to the details there are still divides. We have seen that on health care and we will see it on tax reform. And ryan and trump if they moved to tax form, how they look on selling this. And the healthcare framework with the support of the president but didnt do it together in unison. Do they do that on tax reform, is there a different outcome, remains to be seen but from policy perspective it was important to do obamacare first, then move on to tax reform. Neil x keep an eye on the markets. Us treasury yields are following, below today on session which tells me the bond market facing head winds to pick up Economic Activity which presumably getting rid of taxes, most of them anyway. It is my opinion, wouldnt put much stock in it. It is not looking good. Potential for the economy, via Health Care Repeal replace effort. And the tax cut that you talked about each it depends what you are responding to. The president campaigned on big and bold agenda but negotiating dealmaking, or key tests of the relationship to get things done. The way the president has been framing this in political terms, vote for this, cant do what we need to do. And rip the promise to do this, and the president promised tax reform on the other side by getting this done. We think about how the president will be interpreted. He has low Approval Ratings but if he is able to get these deals through, that could help that. This is just the house we are talking about it just on obamacare. It hasnt faced the senate where there are starker divides because they represent bigger states and have all sorts of complications. Neil fewer people to work over. Low margin for error. Neil the push is on both sides. And get these guys off the dime which a huge selloff gets these guys moving. That is what has happened in the past. Take a trip back in time. Dear predictable, theres no other way to say this. Its over. Ive found a permanent escape from monotony. Together, we are perfectly balanced, our senses awake, our hearts racing as one. I know this is sudden, but they say if you love something. Set it free. See you around, giulia it just feels like anything is possible here in upstate new york. at corning, i test smart glass that goes all over the world. But theres no place like home. Theres always Something Different to do like skiing in the winter, jet skiing in the summer. We can do everything. New york state is filled with bright minds like samanthas. To find the companies and talent of tomorrow, search for our page, jobsinnewyorkstate on linkedin. I am thrilled to announce Charter Communications has just committed to investing 25 billion with a be, you are sure that is right kicked you 25 billion in the United States and committed further to hiring 20,000 American Workers over the next four years. Neil that is an eyepopping number. This backandforth goes on forever about whether that was already cooked up and in the works, a 5 billion factory to be expanded in arizona that will call for hiring thousands of workers but be that as it may it is a big deal when so many jobs are on the line. Keeping track of that, it is 280,000 jobs in november on the part of some of the nations premier. And John Layfield at the stock exchange. I want to begin with how the markets are playing this healthcare soap opera playing out, it might go the president s way and republicans way, is that keeping the role here . There watching this, they are very in tune with this. With that we watched the market and representative frank on your network right now, on with you saying the Freedom Caucus and moderates were talking, bringing optimistic ideas about the bill, they are circulating paul ryan across the white house so what is going on . They are getting jittery. They feel optimistic about President Trump, and what happens to the tax cuts etc. Etc. Neil some of the folks in the market dont really care, i say to explain it this way, they like what President Trump said, we will get to the tax cuts, great if this passes and we move on to the tax cuts, People Congress can or cant ings, easier said than done. Even if this goes up in flames. Exactly right. There are two underpinnings in the market in the last six weeks, tax form, phenomenal tax plan, and nominal growth. They dont really care about the Health Care Bill passing or not, and the holy grail of tax form pending so much hope on which neil it is interesting when you look at the more the market look at this, and always in the eyes of the beholder. Hearing about benefits scaled back. And they are washing their hands of it. Obamacare to fight a battle or another day, that becomes the winning deal. The president put a good spin on this, this is a devastating loss if Obamacare Repeal doesnt pass but the president has a great spin on this that this is it, you got your chance, he passed it to congress. If it happens or doesnt happen we are going straight to tax cuts which is what the market and americans want the market was flat for two years from 201516. Only thing that changed was President Trump was elected, tax cuts and regulation reform is a reason this market has gone up and the market wants to get the tax cuts. Neil it doesnt get either. One thing that happened is it hasnt had a temper tantrum like it did when that fell apart and the market dropped 777 points and congress regrouped and we learned markets would still bleed for months to come. Markets havent had a tantrum like that was only way to get these guys off the stick, talking about congress is have a tantrum like that. We havent had the volatility other than what that selloff of 800 points, we havent had to fall back to the 1 pullback that we havent seen since before the election. They still have the optimism. I was talking with one trader who said i got to tell you, my clients just want me to buy because i cant understand it. They are not hedging. They want me to buy. There is the worry if this doesnt go through, tax cut to go through, if that doesnt go through, so the greatest jobs president , boosting the economy in so many ways and so many ideas. Neil what do you think . They are setting themselves up to be disappointed the next 50 points. The senate wont pass that. How much longer do they fight about it. Think of the deficit hawks out there, unfunded tax plan. Will that lock Something Like that . How about the unfunded tax better due to sunset in the next ten years. Is that stimulative to the economy could you hard to say. Last thing is if there is a material delay when it comes to individual tax reform and or infrastructure spending, shortterm doom for the market, people are being too shortterm disappointment. Neil your thoughts . It is a pullback, talking to anybody in the market, the president and administration could get caught up with obamacare and the repeal and not get to the tax. It is a partisan issue, that is what the market wants and needs. Neil we will watch closely, stocks dry down 9. 5 points, the bond market is in session lows, that market which had a great week is saying we there is a slowdown, we dont think it will work out to protection. Hey nicole. Hey i just wanted to think your support team for walking me through my First Options trade. Well, were all about educating people on options strategies. Get help on options trading with thinkorswim,. Cannot tell whether the communication directly involved two foreign targets. Wont get into the specifics of what i saw except it was to trump and the transition team. That was devon nunez, fox News Washington correspondent, this was something he had to take up with the president directly, Many Democrats claim the minority led on that but where did this stand . Is it your sense this is going to escalate to do some are calling for nunezs head, where is this going to give he will not be stepping down anytime soon in the story will produce additional disclosure, this new evidence devon nunez touted and briefed the president on. Members of the Trump Transition Team, the president elect self, incidental and inappropriate surveillance. Nunez and his investigators received their new evidence, and some turned over before the wiretaps, chairman drew attention to unnamed obama a