Out and a republican picks that up for a net gain of one. Youre going to be seeing on the lowerr right portion of your screen as we look at shellys victory what is the break down of the guaranteed races we know. We are literally doing this in a way backwards so you can see the race to 51. Remember republicans will need 51 because the tiebreaker in this senate goes to joe biden s president of the senate if ts a 50 50 senate. He will be the tiebreaker so republicans would need that extra seat. Growing indications tonight just might be the night they get it. For my money, the big shocker of the evening is the still hard too call race in the state of virginia. Thats right. Virginia. Because dont look now, but an established incumbent who led by as much as ten points, a little more than two days ago, 20 points two months ago, well, senator mark warner the incumbent is in the fight of his life against ed gillespie, the former chair of the national committee. Nowhere on anyones charts was this even supposed to be a race. But it might be telling us something early on of the strength of republicans and maybe the antipathy of americans toward the party in power, the democrats, that they are doing this. So just imagine that. If we could have even a close race in virginia, what had been a double digital gain for democrats, now im back to that notion, it could be a very, very long night for the party of barack obama many of whom were ushered in the era that brought him into the presidency six years ago. That was this then. This is a very different environment right now. Throughout the night, we will be following this very, very closely. The senate is obviously the most important break down here. Rand paul right now in louisville, kentucky, commemorating the fact his fellow senator, Mitch Mcconnell has picked up an easy win when all was said and done. It was not expected to be easy. Rand paul was very important to rallying the conservative troops around mitch. Rand paul, of course, might be seizing on tonights developments to make a run for Higher Office of his own. Way too early for that. Mitch mcconnell is poised to be the next majority leader of the senate. Heres another race that could be telling. And a bit jarring. The numbers are all over the map. Theseeare coming fromm urban areas, but scott brown is making a race of it. Add the fact hes making a race of it and that we already have something very dramatic gging on in virginia and you have a surprising 12 punch to democrats that could tell a very interesting story tonight. . our own rich edson has been following particularly whats going on in virginia. Beers are watching. This was not supposed to be, rich, among the contests we were looking at. Neil, we had a discussion on virginia, other than it had a democratic incumbent. When you look at whats going on in virginia, this is a state in statewide elections as gone consistently for democrats. Even president barack obama what were having here and this is according to sources what im talking with campaigns involving republicans getting elec been very light in virginia particularly in northern virginia. The way virginia works the northern part of that sttte right by washington, dc, thats where you have a very heavy amount of democrat voting. Theres other areas, but virginia is mostly a republican state. The light turnnout up north that might get them to have this. Of course, mark warner up about ten Percentage Points in the latest polling. Neil we will go to some races we feel relatively safe calling. This was not a surprise. This was kind of expected. Thad cochran winning and maintaining a obgyn seat in mississippi. We continue to break hings downn the lower portion of your screen the balance of power were showing you right now in the senate. I know that might confuse you. Were talking about the known races. Those known democrats and known republicans and adding todays victories and or losses to them. By that math in tennessee, Lamar Alexander maintains what had already bben a republican seat. Jeff sessioos who was essentially running unopposed in alabama no big shocker he maintained that. Jim, there was some doubt for a while when there was a backandforth on this, it looks like that will be a protected seat as well. Focusing on oklahoma as well, so, again, these races are kind of falling in line with what we expected. The pick up of the evening in West Virginia, Jay Rockefellers seat gone to the republican hand. In new jersey, cory booker one of the democrats having a big night. Mike lee joining us out of the fine state of utah. Wasnt it long ago when tea partyiers were all the rage. The message of republicans and the antidemocratic attitude that you keet alive and bubbling i guess still alive and bubbling. What do you think of what youre seeing . I think what were seeing the failure of president obamas failed message and failed platform to deliver to the American People what they most desire which is an upward mobility society. The opportunity for the poor to get out of poverty. For the middle class to get ahead. He has failed the american peoppe. Theyre rejecting the president s message. Republicans have offer. Ing different to they have new innovative ideas on policies important to the americans. On issues that will help americans get ahead. Neil you might have a message that americans are receptive. Do you think they just hate the other guys more . That could well be, but theres a reason for that. Its not just that they hate the other guys. They also recognize weve got new innovative solutions, solutions that will help americans get a more affordable higher eddcation, americans to Access Health care more affordably and effectively. Help americans secure a tax code that doesnt punish working parents and married people. These are things that are peeling to americans all around the country. Were seeing a shift in this election. Neil senator, mitch won in a walk tonight. It wasnt even close. Your colleague and friend rand paul was very influential in helping make that happen. When republicans recon veen and maybe possibly in the majority, would you vote for him to be your leader. That is what i anticipate doing. And thats what i anticipate happening. And i know of no reason to suggest that that wont happen. Neil you dont know any conservative challengers or rebels who might go ahead and challenge him . I do not. And im pretty sure i would be aware of it if there were. Neil thank you very much. Joined right now by my colleague and friend Maria Bartiromo. Maria, i know its early, but as virginia goes West Virginia tips. The ladder was expected. This could be a long night. It looks like a big win. And this is what we were expecting. You know,i think at one point i was thinking a moment ago, its interesting to look at the Unemployment Rates in these hotly states. Virginia five and a half percent. Georgia seven and a half 9 percent. North carolina 6. 7 percent. We know these numbers are underestimating the story even though theyre still higher than the national unemployment. People arent feeling good about their own local situation. Neil youve reported on your show the numbers have been steadily improving, a lot of americans dont feel it and are taking it out on the democrats because of it. Its also the fact that at this moment in time at this point in the cycle, we should be farther along. You have to question whether the policies of this administration have actually slowed down the pace of hiring and made Companies Reluctant and more willing to sit on cash, which, of course, as you know, has been the case. When, in fact, that money could have gone into infrastructure, certainly have gone toward efforts to capitalize on the Amazing Energy situation in the United States. And, in fact, gasoline prices are low despite all efforts from this this administration and the left to actually slow down fracking. Neil maybe theyre low because of the slow down. Thats certainly part of it. Neil do you feel if this president is potentiallyyfacing the opposite situation he had going in when he had the other two branches of government in his party. Now, he could be looking at the last two years of those branches in the other party. Hes got to bend. Maybe you can argue theyve got to bend. Something has to move. What do you think . This president has had an enormous opportunity to have all the government on his side for the first two years of his presidency. Neil yeah. And yet it was squandered because instead of focusing on job creating policies on things to capitalizing on the low hanging fruit like the energy story, they focused all of their energize on the health care legislation. Instead of focusing coming out of the 2008 crisis where the Financial Services sector was truly endemii of what was going on in the Global Economy, thats when we needed job creation we didnt get that. We were focus odd health care. The administration was focus odd health care. Its coming back to roost. We see the unemployment number at 5. 9 percent actually should be a lot lower at this point in the cycle. Neil by the way, youre looking in kentucky, were waiting for Mitch Mcconnell, he will be spelling out what he plans to do what republicans plan to do when i last talked to him a week ago, he was confident this night was coming. He did not take anything for granted. At the time we were chatting, he was up by just two points. We were also focusing on that race in virginia, that could be a sign of a development that all of a sudden what looked like a pick up of a few seats could be a watershed event. The balance of power how its breaking down. We might see democrats breaking down. Whats going on, peeer . We want to keep track of all 36 senate races tonight. We want to talk about the balance of power in the senate and, of course, the magic number here tonight is to get to 51. Currently republicans going into tonight have 45 seats and then democrats have 55 seats. But we want to go back and kind of pull out the 36 races that are up for grabs toniggt and at this hour with the races that we have called here at fox, fox news and fox business, republicans are currently at 40 seats and democrats are at 37. Again, the magic number is 55. If we want to take a quick look at some of the races that well be watching that the polls close at the end of this hour. Well be looking at next hour. Colorado. Incumbent mark udallal is trying to get a second term, but has been facing a strong challenge from congressman cory gardner going into tonight. The polls showed gardner slightly ahead. In louisiana weve been talking about that. It looks like that one could be headed to a runoff because there are nine candidates in that race tonight and only the top two will go into the runoff if no candidate gets 50 percent. And with nine in the race, it looks pretty tough for the incumbent, Mary Landrieu or the republican challenger, bill caasidy to get above 50 percent. o were looking at potentially a runoff in louisiana by december 6th. Finally we also want to look at one other race tonight, which is kansas, where current incumbent pat roberts iss fighting for a fourth term, but has a strong has had a strong fight from independent greg orman. A private equity manager going into tonight. Roberts had been closing the gap with orman. Thats a tight race were watching and another one well hear more of when the polls close in kansas. And also louisiana. And others other states at the top of the hour. Neil. Neil and you mentioned greg orman. His situation may have been complicated. If orman won he would be caucusing and voting with the democrats. Orman and his campaign immediately put out a press release saying we didnt even talk to joe biden. Orman said prior he would vote should he win with whoever was in the majority. Then he said he will sort of hedge his bets. Maybe hell try to play a kingmaker. That might not even be necessary. Before we go to break here. The argument is that if the senate and house are in one partys control and the white house is another control ideally an environment like this the democrat has the white house, the markets love that. Well, innthe past after the midterms actually if you look back in history, markets have done well. Youre right. If you have a situation where theres a true balance, the markets like that. At the end of the day we get transparency. We know what the g. O. P. Is bringing to he floor and what the president may or may not veto. We have transparency in terms of who is pushing what forward. We have not had that with harry reid in charge. We will know a lot more in terms of what the priorities are from a policy standpoint of the g. O. P. At a minimum we also see some pushback on the Regulatory Environment because the Regulatory Environment has certainly choked business and forced business to sit on cash. Neil yeah, they want to see something. Mitch mcconnells headquarters in louisville kentucky right noww just a reminder if we are seeing Something Big going on here youre not imagining this has got gotten almost routine the white house has changed hands. Whatever cockiness republicans might be feeling early on, i would probably urge some restraint and some modesty because it was two years ago, you guys were the ones humbled early on this night, its the democrats. Paul ryan neil if you buy the notion that is the night for throwing bums out. There are more of them as the bum than the republicans. Not entirely. In the keystone state of pennsylvania, tom the incumbent governor is out. That would be the first time we would see an incumbent governor knocked out of office in better than a century. The corbin thing might have been complicated by the handling of joe, the pen state debacle, i dont believe that was exclusive Economic Issues in pennsylvania. Neverthhless he is gone. And that is a reminder to any and all who need it. If you are in charge and your residents and voters are unhappy, you will suffer for it. It is still very, very early on in the evening, but i can tell youuat this point republicans have picked up one Additional Senate seat. They will need six. Many of you have been emailed me that youre confused by the graphic on the lower right of the screen. Were taking a clean look at the known seats we have and treating everything today as brandnew. When someone dgesz comes in on the left or right and wins, we add that to it. This is essentially a race to 51. Remember republicans need 51 seats. Not just 50 because in the event of a tie, joe biden will play that role. So right now, they need 51 and right now given their heady performances in some of these battles including virginia which no one expected it could be an indication of things to come that we might not have to wait for recounts or Runoff Elections or any of that stuff, the big fear going into all this. Sandra has been keeping an eye on sooe of these races. It would appear to marias point, its the economy, stupid. A lot of it is. Thats for sure. Youre looking at a heat map showing the economic environment in the states according to the Unemployment Rates to be certain in the red. The darker red states obviously indicating higher levels of unemployment. Georgia the highest level of unemployment in the country. If youre actually to look at closings coming up at 8 30 well be looking for the closing in arkansas, of the hotly contested races arkansas is posting n Unemployment Rate higher than the National Average. 6. 2 percent. So all the polling has shown this is a major concern for voters in the state of arkansas. And were already getting some early indications that voter turnout particularly in little rock, Pulaski County. High levels of democrat turn out. Something to note as we wait for the polls to close. When you do look who is running in the state, mark pryor, of course, he and his family have a rich history of politics in the state. Going up against the youngster, tom cotton the republican representative there. ery hotly contested battle happening there. And obamaccre playing a key factor as mark pryor the incumbent did vote for obamacare and tom cotton used that to his advantage. Most recently hes run three tellvision adds, antiobamacare Television Ads most reccntly in exposing mark pryors vote for obamacare. And mark pryor himself has, of course, spent a lottof his time distancing himself from president obama. This is a race we will be watching. Again, just moments from now. The polls in arkansas will be closing at 8 30 p. M. Eastern time. Neil pryor up to this had bill but apparently, at thisn. Point its and, again, that voter turnout, interestinn, theres early reports coming out, of course, the democrats pushing for that early voting. Early reports indicating that voter turnout in Pulaski County is up 50 percent from where it was at this time in 2010. Something to note as we watch this race. Neil were looking at rhode island. Jack reed rea hangs on. Some disproportionate numbers that seems out of what can from what whack of e said. Rhode island ould be the province cranston area might be skewing this. We factor all that in. Thats why some of you have, gee, 12 people calling the state. Y of course, she was the labor of the secretary of fine United States under president bush. Her husband, of course, Mitch Mcconnell and she will play and played aa very vital role innthis campaign in helping her husband not only connect with women, but to stamp out what has been a conservative revolt within the Kentucky Republican community. Very early on, but shes going to play an important role. You think about it, Mitch Mcconnell potentially the majority leader becomes a kingmaker. Its extraordinary because she has the goods to talk about the labor market. Shes got the credibility to talk about the economy. She is a fantastic booster for her husband and obviously neil the dynamic on the stump. I think one of the longest serving labor secretaries. She served for eight years. Theyre usually