First. Based on numerous polls and august the data we have from on the ground. One solidly g. O. P. State has been leaning g. O. P. Column right there in the center of the column indiana. Home state of the Vice President ial republican nominee and Current Governor mike pence there are also two, that move from the leaning g. O. P. Column into tossup territory. Iowa, which actually has moved back and forth quite a bit this cycle and maines second congressional district. Remember, maine is one of the states that breaks up this electoral votes rather than awarding them all to a single candidate. So, where does that leave the map overall . Well, 270 remember is the number one of these candidates needs. The dark red states, those considered solidly g. O. P. They account for 98 votes. Lighter pink states leaning republican and this time that includes texas. They total 76 votes. Adding those together, we put 174 votes in the trump column. The tossups, those are the yellows that are scattered all over the map. They represent 57 votes. The solidly democrat dark blue states, those are 182. With those leaning democrat. The lighter blue, they total another 125. Put those together they give clinton 307 votes. So if these numbers held true and the vote was today, it would be a win for her. Now, for trump to win is he going to need to hold all of the solid and leaning g. O. P. States. Pick up all those yellow tossup states and pick off some big prizes that are now leaning democratic places like florida or pennsylvania. As of today roughly 8 Million People have already voted. Thats been happening since late september and these numbers have been shifting the entire time. Shannon, thank you. For more on the electoral map and some of the key states within it. We turn to john crush shower Political Editor of the wall street journal. What have you been looking at today . That map shows how difficult getting to 270 electoral votes will be for donald trump. One the big picture polling. Yeah, if we give him everything if we give him everything, he is at 174. That means he needs 96. Right. Which would have to come from states now leaning in her direction that is a high hill. His Vice President ial running mate choice mike pence is in utah today. Shouldnt in a final couple weeks in the campaign being in the most conservative states of the country having to defend republican turf. Really trump needs to get North Carolina, florida back in the republican column and then go to the midwest and really have a rust belt showdown. Lets look for a moment in florida which was a state trump at one point had a reasonably good lead. Looking at the average now. Is he down about, what, 3 points. 3. 1 points. And because thats an average, there is no margin of error. That looks like a fairly solid lead for her. What do you think about that. Florida is going to be a competitive state it always is in a president ial election. We are starting to get early vote numbers in from florida. And even though its still early, the democratic registered democrats are showing up at Pretty Healthy pace behind as republicans are behind the tally that mitt romney was able to get in 2012. You are talking about early votes. In florida. When you look at the polls that show clinton with a narrow lead in florida and you match that with the significant turnout from the democrats in the state, its a pretty good reason to be confident if you are a democrat in florida. Even though its only 3 points . Its close but a healthy clinton advantage. Got it. In North Carolina where are you seeing there. If there is a state to be more encouraged about it is North Carolina. Its a state that voted for mitt romney in 2012. Two new polls came out from tpp and one from monmouth show the average in the margin of error. The average shows it exactly 2 points. Very close. Also a state with the hurricane took place. The republican governor got high marks on hurricane recovery. The palming of a republican headquarters didnt give good headlines to the democrats in North Carolina. Here is a state trump can hold in the republican column my bet is North Carolina. Where else are you looking. Ohio is the classic battleground that we always are focused on. Its a state that is about as close as it gets if you believe. Trump really needs florida. Obviously it would help to have North Carolina. He absolutely has to have ohio, would you agree. Absolutely. That situation out there looks well, is he up a point. He had been up much higher. For him to do well on Election Night he needs to totally run up the score with working class white voters. Ohio, iowa, are the two big states. That have a lot of those. Lots of blue collar voters. A lot of democratic voters in ohio have flipped to the Republican Party. Youngstown, eastern ohio. Thats a state that trump can feel pretty comfortable in. The problem is he needs ohio and North Carolina and florida to have a chance. And probably need iowa too. Iowa, absolutely. Iowa has been remarkeddably consistently favoring trump for quite some time now. Iowa is a state romney didnt win iowa. Obama won iowa. Thats an interesting turn of event out there. At the moment he has a 3. , 7 point lead out there in four way race. That looks reasonably good for him, wouldnt you say . It looks good. His margin is shrinking as National Numbers have worsened the last few weeks. Iowa is the only Battle Ground state has the majority of the public being blue collar whites. That demographically sweet spot. Iowa is the one state that could most likely state to flip from obama 2012 to trump in 2016 . Real clear politics average for the nation is about 5 points Something Like that which doesnt sound too bad with a couple weeks to go. And normally we see races tighten at the end. Of course, that tightening wouldnt help in the states where is he leading, obviously. You but what do you think . Could that be enough to switch some of these states. Look, the electoral vote jives with the vote. Some show donald trump double digit. You will see the Battle Ground states talking about to be very close and long night on Election Night. We all learned i think a hard lesson four years ago when the National Polling showed the race raiser close until the end and then it turned out we were looking at the state races which didnt agree. It looked much worse for much better for obama and much worse for romney those states in the states turned out to be right. No, i mean the state polling is sometimes more reliable and sometimes less reliable. Trump has got to be worried about the National Polls showing double digit deficits. Got it. Nice to see you. Wikileaks dump gives us another glimpse inside the Hillary Clinton campaign and some internal conflicts there fox news chief National Correspondent ed henry searched through todays installment. Hillary clintons Health Concern for top aides when she was prepping for the first democratic debate in the fall of 2015. How bad is her head, Campaign Chairman john podesta wrote to communication director jennifer palmery who replied dont know. Huma left here about an hour ago. I just pinged again to ask about prep. Havent heard back. A second email exchange shortly after clinton launched her campaign in the spring of 2015 shows huma abedin talking about Hillary Clintons stick closer to notes still not perfect in her head. New emails reveal for about clintons dealings with that rocco. She solicited 12milliondollar donation to the Clinton Foundation from the king of morocco. Abedin said she had to go to that country as a condition of the mope coming. In clinton backed out of the may 2015 speech because her political advisors worried paytoplay allegations could overshadow the beginning of her white house bid. Heres what Clintons Campaign manager robby mook said saturday. This was a scheduling matter and we didnt want her going overseas. It appears as late march early april it was ago. Mook tells poo desthat sounds like that is still on the calendar. While he down played all of this on sunday, mike wrot mook e 2015 email vulnerability points wrote out two pages of problems that could hamp everywhere the Campaign Including donations from foreign governments like that rocco, private jets, and pricey hotels. These are stolen documents. Then there is a new email dragging president obama deeper in to the controversy over clint private email account and server. Mr. President , when did you first learn that Hillary Clinton used an email system outside the u. S. Government for official business while she was secretary of state . The same time everybody else learned it through news reports. That comment triggered immediate alarm from clintons top advisors. Cheryl mills writing we need to clean this up. He has emails from her. They do not say state. Gov. White house spokesman josh earnest tonight is stressing the president never said did he not trade emails with clinton. He just didnt know the details about her server. Now, on clintons health we want to be careful and note of course you cant read body language over emails when podesta asked how bad is her head could have been reference to a head cold or maybe clinton couldnt get her head around briefing book. When abedin said still not perfect in her head the context where responding to attack from jeb bushs camp. Did she mean Hillary Clinton had not got her head around the talking points we dont know. What we do know is Hillary Clinton fell town a couple months ago and health has been an issue in this campaign. You know she had that concussion a couple years ago. Couple years ago. Does make you wonder. Absolutely. This is in wikileaks where the campaign as you saw robby mook he is just saying look these were stolen by the russians. We are not going to engage on the facts. We are not denying it. Not disputing it. Absolutely not. As we told you last night the white house has admitted that obama policy holders will be hit by double digit premium hikes. Correspondent for the Fox Business Network reports which states face the steepest hikes. Well, brit, Health Insurers are raising premiums on average 25 for the most popular benchmark plan in obamacare for 2017 according to new government estimates. More than triple the rate hikes of last year. The department of health and Human Services says that insurers are raising people premiums on 11 million customers in 38 states with the obama marketplaces to bring their revenues in line with cost. Translation, more insurers are dropping out. More people who are sick are signing up. Younger healthier people to subsidize them are not. One state, arizona, premiums are more than doubling to about 400 a month for the benchmark silver plan. In oklahoma, monthly people premiums are jumping 69 . In illinois 43 . North carolina up 40 . Now, to be fair, the increases are Single Digits in six states but in one state, indiana, only one, they are down 3 to 229 a month. Now, the Administration Says premiums are still lower than they would have been without obamacare. It also says most obamacare marketplace customers actually wont have to pay much more out of pocket because their government subsidies, their tax credits will also increase to cover much of the extra costs. Now, back in march, the Congressional Budget Office projected those subsidies would amend to 56 billion in 2017. Those are paid by the government by taxpayers and with the announcement of these 25 higher premiums, that means that the subsidies will rise by billions more. Mandatory Government Spending that likely will be tacked onto the budget deficit. Brit . Peter, thank you. Obamacare has been a target for donald trump on the campaign trail today. Watch. The rates are going through the sky. We all knew that i knew it before it was passed. I have been saying this for a long time. My first day in office im going to ask congress to put a bill on my desk getting rid of this disastrous law and replacing it with reforms that expand choice, freedom, affordability. Youre going to have such great healthcare at a tiny fraction of the cost. And its going to be so easy. [cheers] so, how and when did the president s signature law get into this posture. Joining me now is chief washington correspondent who covered this issue. My old friend jim angle. Nice to see you. Thank you, brit. I was just thinking as we were watching that report from peter barnes on that map which for some places is pretty alarming. Is this sort of vicious downward spiral . Does this represent a failure or just what some of the backers of this law wanted to happen . You know zika manual who advised the president on healthcare predicted that 80 of employer provided insurance would disappear. And a wall Street Research firm predicted that 90 would disappear. Now, if employer provided insurance disappears, there is only one other choice if government is going to direct it and clearly Hillary Clinton is headed in the direction of single pair. So thats well, its a little hard to believe though this was intentional collapse though. Or is it . Well, they predicted that employer provided insurance would disappear because of things in obamacare. That were good . Well, not necessarily, including the cadillac tax which is a 40 penalty on the kinds of plans that Union Members enjoy. 40 tax means that no one is going to offer them because no one will pay that. Right. Now, worse than the numbers you saw in peters piece are the numbers for young people. For young people, 27 yeerlsdz just coming off their parents plans in arizona the rates are going to go up 116 pours. They will go up 69 in oklahoma. 63 in tennessee. 59 in minnesota. Arizona, of course, 116. And if you dont have a plan, you have to pay it and taxes are higher . Right, right. In the form of higher taxes . Thats correct. So there is inducement to get a plan even at these rates . But the penalty is not northeasterly as expensive as to the premiums. So this means people wont buy them . Especially for young people who dont use healthcare very much. Even if you have a plan, a basic kind of plan which i guess is the most popular plan, the deductibles are so high that i guess for many people who are relatively healthy, there are no discernible benefits, right . The Median Income of people who get subsidies is about 40,000. You have to spend 5,000 out of pocket before you get a single dollar of coverage. Now, for a family that makes 40,000 gross, 5,000 out of pocket before you get any covering at all is an enormous sum. Its not worth much. No. Basically you are basically for all your medical expenses you are uninsured. Right. And have you narrow networks. One third fewer specialists than typical employer provided plans. Very narrow. You cant fewer and fewer hospitals are participating. So it is really a dwindling source of providers and increasing number of people who are, you know, demanding the services. Lets assume this plays out and we get to next year and assuming just as the polls are right, Hillary Clinton is elected and she wants to move to single payer. Obviously there would be resistance from republicans in the house of representatives. Would there be other sources of resistance . There well could be. Chuck schumer famously said that president obama made a mistake by going after healthcare because 85 of people had healthcare they already liked. That was true, yeah. That he should have gone after jobs first. Thousand the advantage to that was people would get employer provided insurance. The administration was predicting that their plan would eliminate 80 of employer provided insurance. That doesnt cost the government anything. It comes out of employers pockets. Where will unions come out on this if they move toward single payer. The unions were already if i have f. Y about this. The Service EmployerService Employees union one of the biggest wrote a paper a couple years ago obamacare making inequality worse. So they were already very skeptical of this. If president clinton, if she becomes president , were to go for single payer, the unions would be in an uproar. You would have a unity between unions and republicans . Exactly. I think it could spell the end of Union Support for the democrats. Because the unions enjoin very good healthcare. They would not, under obamacare or whatever succeeds it. Jim, thank you very much. Thank you. Time to speed read some other news in the world of politics. Outgoing Senate Minority leader harry reid says he has paved the way for what could be historic change of the senate rules on Supreme Court nominations. Senator reid has predicted a Democratic Majority Senate could end the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees that socalled Nuclear Option would allow nominees to by pass the usual 60 vote procedural requirement and be required by simple jurors. He told walking points memo he said things up for that very change. His meants man