Then on thursday the contenders debate for the final time. Five days before the most significant day on the election calendar. Its not the last debate. Fox news has one on march 3rd. March 1st 1 super tuesday. 13 states all head to the polls. Nearly one quarter of all the delegates at stake are up for grabs. We have a powerful panel, chris stirewalt, charlie hurt and steve hays are here, but first we start with carl cameron, whos in las vegas, where voting starts in about 24 hours. Carl . Hi ya, megyn. Judges from the body blowings and head shots, you would think there is a prize fight tomorrow night on the trip. Donald trump, marco rubio and ted cruz are going at it. Trump is favored to win. Hes got a hotel here, he would be then the winner of three of the first in the nation four states having won New Hampshire, South Carolina and nevada. Now, having said that, what may even be more interesting is the battle that will play out tomorrow between ted cruz and marco rubio. Cruz today had on fire a staffer. He had been on defense for quite some time. Marco rubio called him out, wanted to make the point that there was an event over the weekend, another supposed dirty trick and it was a record really of ted cruz with too much deceitful underhanded political tactics. That will be in some way resolved tomorrow with this exception, megyn. The nevada caucuses dont have much history, tomorrows turnout is expected to be 10 , about 50,000 votes total, but still a small number and now the battle has so escalated that as you said, super tuesday, and what happens this week are very, very important as marco rubio trying to coalesce a lot of the establishment mainstream republicans and cruz try it is to get on offense. Chris join me, charlie hurt, a Political Columnist for the washington times. And chris hays, writer for asks the chris, you say its a makeoffbreak week. Why . Ted cruz was believed to be the kind of evangelical favorites, there was a think that happened, iowa picked a guy and he lost in the stretch run. This time cruz looked different. He had infrastructure, lots money, bill jersey nair backers and Large National nailed identity. The one senator cruz did not do well with the people he needed to do well. He lost evangelicals to trump. He lost in places, came in behind places that should have been breadbaskets for him. He needs a win or his campaign is going to lose steam quickly. If he gets a big win in texas, hes in very good stead. Thats a lot of delegate po tinkally. What about this dustup, steve, he fired rick tyler. Some people came out and said its too harsh. Rubio came out and essentially said you need to look inward, ted cruz. How does this play out . I dont think it actually makes the charges go away. I think that was what they were trying to do is put this behind them by firing rick tyler, essentially scapegoating rick tile her, he hasnt been the source of their problems. I think there have been other questions raised that cruz has yet to answer. I think that will continue to dog him. Arent we pretending the other campaignser squeakie clean . No, no, no. Absolutely not. If you go back and look at the exit polling, Donald Trumps campaign was judged to be the most unfair. Certainly marco rubio, you can tell just by his response, was tough, that basically its not about rick tyler, but about ted cruz and the lies start from the top. Theyre all playing dirty. The question is who is able to put those charges and allegations behind him in a way that lets him move forward and gain a pool of the voting republican voting electorate. Right now the race is trumps to lose. Hes well positioned not only in nevada. The polling there is bad apparently and weird, in the 2008 caucuses the polls average gave mitt romney a fivepoint advantage, and he ended up winning by 38 points. They dont poll very well in nevada. They do other things very well, but polling not. And then as we move forward to march 15th. What does he need to do . Does he play it extra i got . Or does he just be himself and keep saying the incendiary things which have worked so well for him thus far. For the time being i think hes going to be donald trump, though i could foresee, as soon as super tuesday, we start seeing some modulation of that, some toning it down a bit to go forward. At some point he does need to sort of answer some of the questions that a lot of people are asking, whether its president ial to say some of the things he said on, you know, on stage and in public. But i think that the real i agree with what chris said earlier, you know, the real the real person who has all his chips on this race, and hes flooding nevada is ted cruz, because you cannot lose evangelical vote. If thats your strategy, you cannot lose the evangelical vote to donald trump in South Carolina. And yes, youre right. He does have texas and should win texas. Hes only a handful of points above donald trump there, but you cannot build a winning Republican Primary Campaign on just your home state and iowa. Chris, what about kasich and carson . Who does it hurt . And who does it help that they remain in this race . Trump. It helps trump. Of course it helps trump. All donald trump needs to be the republican nominee is for nothing to change. He needs things to stay exactly as they are and he will become the republican nominee. What he needs to not happen is for kasich and carson to follow gem bushs lead and go, because their vote share is much more likely to go to rubio than anybody elses, of anybody at all, and for cruz, the question is how much of that vote is available to trump and how much is available to rubio. We dont know until we get there. For trump, the coalescing of the field is the problem. Before i let you go, steve. Any doubt trump will win nevada . If i were placing bets, thats where i would do it, on the other hand s. The best ground operations, the best often are surprised. I wouldnt be surprised with anything at this point. This is the real candidate casino, not like the fake that you play, which i love. My next guest is a veteran Campaign Adviser who has seen it all. He is featured prominently in an amazing new political documentary over on showtime, a series called the circus. It follows campaigns in the real time. Watch this clip, where we will see or guest Mark Mckinnon greeting his old boss, george w. Bush on the campaign trail in is South Carolina. Its kind of a high noon ok corral. How are you . Looking great. Im listening to put me in coach. Yes, sir. Thats our theme song. Good to see you, how does it feel . Reporting for duty . Yeah, reporting for duty. How nice to see you. Ladies and gentlemen, the president of the United States, george w. Bush. Thank you. I understand that americans are angry and frustrated, but we do not need someone in the oval office who mirrors and inflames our anger and frustration. We need someone who can fix the problems, so please welcome a man i am proud to call my big little brother, jeb bush. I ask for your support next saturday. I ask for your prayers for our family. God bless you all. Thank you very much for coming. Bringing out govy, the whole bush family. Thats the way the bushes roll. They dont want to leave anything on the field. In any campaign thats down, youre looking for a life preserver. And it was not to be. Mark mckinnon was adviser to five successful campaigns, including president george w. Bushs 2004 campaigns. I know you say its like become in the cockpit of a campaign. As somebody whos been through this so many times, tell you what you find most interesting about documenting it, being the historian on the trail . Well, theres ive always thought theres so much fascinating human drama behind the scenes of a president ial campaign, the candidate, the candidates family, the staffers, people covering the race. There was just this amazing ecosystem of drama and pathos, humor and pain thats dramatic, entertaining and informative that most of the public never sees, and sometimes there have been documentaries six months or a year after, but i always thought it would be incredible if viewers could see not only whats happening, but as its happening in real time. Thats what were doing with the circus. Is it like kardashian real . They know the cameras are there. So thats the question. What are we seeing . Well, what weve discovered is after about 30 seconds, they forget the cameras are there. The thing that voters are hungry for these days is authenticity. They said to be what candidates are like when theyre not doing the speeches, not doing the talking points. They want to see how they interagency with family and staff. Who are the ones you have followed so far . Well, weve followed everybody. Were following everybody on both sides of the race. Ted cruz, for example, everybody says hes the most hated man in washington. His wife loves him. I know his former roommate in school who says hes a great guy. What have you seen . Well, and i worked with him on the 2000 campaign. What we showed with ted cruz, we got on the buzz with him, and some great scenes that showed a sense of humor, lightness, interacting with his staff and campaign people. Thats why today was an interesting development. I talked to him about it today. In a kind way . Not just what happened yeah, yeah, it showed a human way, when you have to let a friend and staff ergo, what is that like . What about marco rubio . After that New Hampshire debate. Yeah. What was that like for him when he realized he had messed up in that debate. It was fascinating, really interesting, because nobody goes through politics in a president ial campaign, without going through a lot of adversity. We were able to document what happened, could he dust himself off . Could he admit failure and be competitive enough to get back in the race . The thing that impressed me about rubio, he has a competitive vein, in a good way. And a thirsty man, but weve been over that. [ laughter ] how about donald trump . What did you observe behind the scenes with him in . Well, hes just very he as real family man. His son was out here today in elko. He was terrific. Did not jur or eric . Donald jur. Hes good. Hes got the chromosomes as well. And he gave a speech today and was terrific. But really great interaction with his family. Shows you what a family man he is. A lot of family interaction and compelling stuff. Its great stuff. Im jealous. I wish i could be everywhere like you are, but i will just watch the circus. Thanks for having me on. All best. For week of being hammered, senator cruz fired a top staffer. We have new details on the inside story. Plus Governor John Kasich is here next to respond after top players in the gop reportedly tell him its time to get out . And then speaker of the house paul ryan joins us as some Media Outlets are asking whether he could be the final republican pick for president . Well explain how that would work, just ahead. Choose world. Choose, choose, choose. But at bedtime. Why settle for this . Enter sleep number and the ultimate sleep number event going on now. Sleepiq technology tells you how well you slept and what adjustments you can make. You like the bed soft. Hes more hardcore. So your sleep goes from good to great to wow only at a sleep number store, all beds on sale right now save 50 on the ultimate limited edition bed. Know better sleep with sleep number. Wheall i can think abouthit, is getting relief. Only nicorette mini has a patented fastdissolving formula. It starts to relieve sudden cravings fast. I never know when ill need relief. Thats why i only choose nicorette mini. Breaking tonight sfwhor ted cruz has asked his Communications Director to resign. After what cruzs critics call another lie. S the latest in the list of applications, from the now Trace Gallagher has the details. At the very heart of the it shows marco rubio walking past ted cruzs far and a staffer who was reading the video. Heres five sessions of how the dale will pennsylvaniian quugs subtitled what they thought rubio said. Watch. The video went viral and the spokesman rick tyler but rubio claims he didnt say he said all the answers are in the bible. Rick tyler agreed he got it wrong and deleted the post. Here he is apologizing on americas newsroom prior to getting fired. Youre right. The judgment about what he said was wrong, so i apologize about that. Marco rubio accepted the apology, but still attacked the Cruz Campaign saying there has to be some level of accountability, calling it a very disturbing pattern. And it does come on the heels of the Cruz Campaign being aconfused of starting several rumors. Still the firing came as a surprise, considering just last night the Cruz Campaign thought that marco rubio was overreacting to tylers mistake. Today the tone shifted. Watch. It turned out the news stories he sent around was false, but even if it was true, we are not a campaign thats going to question the faith of another candidate. The daily pennsylvaniian has now removed the subtitles. Thank you. Another controversy this season involving governor kasich, and fallout from remarks he made earlier today that when he first ran for office back in 1978, women actually left that i kitchens to campaign for him. Watch. How did i get elected . We just got an army of people including women who left kitchens, back when things were different. First your comment earlier about the women ill come to support you, but i wont be c e coming out of the kitchen. I gottia, i gottia. Joining mess is governor kasich. I can certainly say if it were my husband, he would say, for the love of god, get out of the kitchen. You do bad things in here. Heres the thing. Back when i started, we used to do these town has, but they were held in homes called coffees. Room. At the breakfast table, theres no question that a large part of my career was fueled by women who decided to join the effort and help me to get elected. But, you know, lets be real about this. My my Campaign Manager is a woman. She used to be my chief of staff. If im president , who knows, shell have one of the highest positions in. Country. I have a Lieutenant Governor whos a woman. You know, the situation is i appointed a lady to the ohio supreme court. Obviously a woman, and i have a number of very influential cabinet members. Back in 1978 when you first ran for office, 70 of women were not working out of the home full time. They just werent. The vast majority of women were at home, and things have changed a lot since then. I assume you know that. Megyn, you know, i operate on a high wire. Im not scripted. I dont have a teleprompter, every once in a while you Say Something and didnt say it exactly the way you should. Im not going to change that. Weve had a tell prompter and scripted candidates. Its time to move on and be real. As somebody who has said many stupid things on the air, i can relate. I think you get a pass on a countrile. After South Carolina, the conventional wisdom is look, the pressure is on governor kasich and ben carsing tougts out because the, quote, establishment has consolidated around marco rubio, and i look at the headlines today, National Review hard for us to see what legitimate purpose is served by either of them. Receipt state for the sake of the country, get out of the race. Jeb bush showed leadership by getting out, on and on it goes. To them you say what . It sounds like a bunch of washington insiders. They didnt think i would get in the race, nobody thought i would raise the money. Nobody thought i could do well in New Hampshire. I never expected to do that great in South Carolina, as i told you. Look, i had 1,000 people tonight here in richmond, over 1,000 people earlier at george mason. We have people joins the campaign who are fundraisers, some who raised mob for jeb bush. We have our Political Team expanding. Im not going to listen to a bunch of lobbyists insiders. I never have. Frankly for the first time in this campaign, my message is starting to be heard. Thats why were getting crowds. Everybody else, just sit back. I really dont have a lot of interest in what these people have to stay. I have people who come and say we needing to stay in, youre hope for us. Dont count me out, megyn. Im not counting anything. Some people are speculating, one could em argue of prospect of on rabe use kasich ticket. Is that something you a would consider. If you reversed it, kasich rubio. But how about the way i asked . Look, no, megyn, i dont run for second place. Let me explain. Im beating Hillary Clinton by 11 points, more than any other republican in the race. Im now tied for third in the national polls. I have always made the establishment nervous, because i dont take orders from them. Ive shaken the system up the entire time ive been in politics. Look, ive spent verbal little money, were doing just fine. Last question, you have an ad out today that sort of parlays off of that extraordinary moment you had with that young man on the campaign trail. Watch. Announcer being president is more than the economy or the health care. I have in a dark place for a long time, but now ive found hope in a president ial candidate, and i would appreciate one of those hugs youve been talking about. There is a place for quiet strength. The oval office. New day for america is responsible for the content of this advertising. That was the pac, not you, but that was narrated by tim allen. He was saying last week how much he liked you. How much of an impact to you think that hug had on your campaign . Well, my Immediate Reaction in hearing about that ad, i dont like it. Why not . Because i just dont like that. I think it spoke for itself. Im not going to yell at my people who im not even connected to to take something off the air. Im not comfortable with that. A woman tonight talked about five suicides in her family. Another woman told me about an autistic child and a 16yearold that has a mental illness. If i can have them safe to talk about things they care about, thats great, but i just im just something strikes me wrong about it. I havent thought about it, megyn, but what can i say . All i can tell you is this this country is going to work best when we have leaders in washington and when where we live in our o