Transcripts For KQED PBS NewsHour Weekend 20161107 : vimarsa

Transcripts For KQED PBS NewsHour Weekend 20161107

Sue and edgar wachenheim, iii. Barbara hope zuckerberg. Corporate funding is provided by mutual of america designing customized individual and Group Retirement products. Thats why were your retirement company. Additional support has been provided by and by the corporation for public broadcasting, and by contributions to your pbs station from viewers like you. Thank you. From the tisch wnet studios at Lincoln Center in new york, alison stewart. Stewart good evening and thanks for joining us. With only two days left in the race for the white house, the fbi is clearing Hillary Clinton in its renewed probe of the private email server she used while serving as president obamas secretary of state. In a new letter sent to members of congress this afternoon, fbi director james comey says based on our review, we have not changed our conclusions that we expressed in july with respect to secretary clinton. It was in july that comey announced there would be no criminal charges brought against Hillary Clinton for handling of classified documents in emails sent or received on the private server. Ten days ago, comey revealed the fbi had come across a new cache of emails on a home computer belonging to clinton aide huma abedin and her estranged husband, excongressman anthony weiner, whos under investigation for allegedly sexting a minor. In todays new letter, comey tells congress the fbi Investigative Team has been working around the clock to process and review a large volume of emails from a device obtained in connection with an unrelated criminal investigation. During that process, we reviewed all of the communications that were to or from Hillary Clinton while she was secretary of state. Then, to repeat, comey recommends against bringing any charges against clinton. Earlier today, clinton rallied her base in the critical state of pennsylvania, speaking at an africanamerican church in philadelphia. This election is about much more than the two candidates. Our names may be on the ballot, but make no mistake, everything you care about, everything i care about and ive worked for is at stake. Stewart last night clinton joined singer katy perry on stage at a concert, also in philadelphia, to encourage millennial voters to turn out. This evening, clinton visits New Hampshire a final time and ends her campaign tomorrow with more stops in pennsylvania and trips to michigan and North Carolina. Donald trump campaigns in five states today starting in iowa, which george wbush won in 2004, but mitt romney and john mccain lost. Later, trump was scheduled to visit minnesota, michigan, pennsylvania, and virginia. He told supporters earlier today, hes the outsider. If she ever got into the oval office, hillary and her special interests would rob our country blind thats what shes been doing. Stewart were going to check in on both campaigns, and we begin in cleveland, ohio, where the Newshours John Yang is following the clinton campaign. Thats right, as they flew here from philadelphia, the Communications Director for the campaign spoke to reporters. She said we have seen director comeys latest letter to the were glad to see that as we glad to see that he has found, as we were confident that he would, that he has confirmed that the conclusions that he reached in july, and were glad that this mat certificate resolved. Were told that the fbi went through the emails that they found on Anthony Weiners lap dop found that most of the emails were duplicate of emails that huma abedin, weiners he stranged wife had already turned over to the fbe. This story really through the campaign for a loop when it broke about a week ago and now they are very happy that its been resolved. John, lets talk about the ground game for 9 next 48 hours. What can we expect . Shes here in ohio for the second time if three days. Shes going to be in pennsylvania tomorrow for two more visits to make that three stops in that state over the past several days. What theyre trying to do here in ohio, the poll came out this morning showing it a virtual tie. Clinton ahead by one percentage point. Theyre trying to gain ground in this swing state. This state that no republican has ever gotten to t white house without first winning this state. Pennsylvania is a state that they are self confident all along but it seems theyre trying to nail it down, protect what they all their fortress in pennsylvania, trying to keep it democratic, keep it from flipping to the Republican Party for the First Time Since 1988. John yang reporting from cleveland, ohio, thanks so much. Thanks, alison. And the newshours jeff brown is covering the trump campaign. He joins me now from seu city eye watt sue city iowa where trump is expected to win, jeff. Hi, alison im in the Convention Center in siou x city, where a rally finished up. You can hear the r08ing stones playing behind me and a few people still left here. The place holds about 3,000 people, we were told, and was filled to capacity and there are many thousands beyond outside. It was kind of a standard speech at this point, to the core, to the base. And this is exactly where a dot a lot of the trump case is. This has been part of the people who have been supporting him from the beginning. He joked when he got here that he had been told that he didnt even really have to come here today. But he said, of course, i wanted to come here because i want to be with the people in iowa. And of course the reason why they feel so optimistic is because of this poll that came out last night that showed trump up seven Percentage Points here in iowament and i think that took everybody by a bit of surprise. Lets look at the past 20 years in iowa. If you go back from 1996, the winners were clinton, gore, bush, obama, obama. So what has changed in the last four years that iowa seems poised to give its secretaries electoral votes to the republican candidate . Well, its true. This is a state that has gone mostly for democratic president ial candidates but i think what has happened is you have seen iowa generally moving more red. You see that in the state house, the state senate which may go republican this campaign. You see it in the two senate seats which are both republican. And now it looks as though iowa is going fully red for this president ial campaign. Swref brown from seu city, iowa, siou x city, iowa, thanks so much. Youre welcome, alison. Stewart in the past six president ial elections, 18 states voted for the democrat in the contest. Those states delivered 242 of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the white house. That recent history should give Hillary Clinton an advantage, but this campaign has been very unpredictable. Newshour weekend special correspondent Jeff Greenfield is here to help us make sense of things. Jeff . Reporter thanks, alison. On tuesday night, watching the election returns come in, what should you look for, hour by hour, as the polls close from east to west . Were going to take you through the night as it might unfold, but one key caution polls closing dont necessarily mean well know who won; that can take much more time. Reporter at 7 p. M. , were using Eastern Standard Time throughout, polls close in six states. Indiana where running mate mike pence is governor will almost surely go for donald trump. But indiana could tell us something important about later states as sean trende, senior election analyst for real clear politics, notes. Thats a state that mitt romney won by eleven points in 2012. So if donald trump is over that, if hes up around 15 , 16 , maybe even approaching george w. Bushs 20 win from 2004, then well know weve got a race on our hands. Reporter indiana is also the site of one of the key u. S. Senate races democrats need to gain five senate seats to take control there, and when ex senator evan bayh decided to run for his old seat, it looked like a sure democratic gain. But his postsenate career as a lobbyist has brought him into a dead heat with republican congressman todd young. If hes losing, or if its tied, it would suggest real problems for Democratic Senate prospects. Reporter in virginia, clintons been well ahead in the polls, and her running mate, senator tim kaine, is from there, and obama won it twice. If virginia is close, thats a sign of real trouble for clinton. By contrast, if clinton is close in georgia, thatll be a sign that her base African Americans and collegeeducated whites have turned out to vote. At 7 30, polls close in three statestwo of them especially critical for trump. Its endlessly said that no republican has ever won the white house without ohio, and this year its large White Working Class population seems to be leaning strongly to trump; hes leading in the polls. But sean trende says, watch the margins. If donald trump is winning ohio by 4,5, even 6 points, then again we know we have a pretty good suspicion that not only is he doing what he needs to do, hes doing a little bit better, and we are probably looking for some surprises as the later states close. Reporter North Carolinas been a battleground in recent years. Obama won it by a point in 2008, lost it by two points in 2012. If clinton wins here, its very hard to chart a path to the white house for trump. North carolina is also the site of another Key Senate Race two term republican richard burr is in an unexpectedly close race against democratic former state legislator deborah ross. 8 p. M. Brings a flood poll closings 16 states plus washington, d. C. You may remember one of them, florida, played a starring role back in 2000 as we waited a month to find out whod be president. This time, its a state that clinton does not need, but if she were to win those 29 electoral votes, shed be virtually assured victory. Pennsylvania, on the other hand, is a state clinton very much does need. For the last six elections, pennsylvania has been for republicans what lucys football is to Charlie Brown always out of reach. Everybody in pennsylvania wants trump, you know. Reporter winning it for trump would drive a big hole through the blue wall of solidly Democratic States. If trump were to win pennsylvania, it would suggest that he probably is going to win a bunch of other states that have similar or even less favorable demographics for the democrats, like wisconsin and michigan. Reporter pennsylvania also has one of those Critical Senate battles, between republican incumbent pat toomey and democratic former state official katie mcginty. With some 113 million spent, it is the most Expensive Senate contest in the country. Trump is a major factor in this contest with toomey keeping his distance and mcginty trying to tie him to trump. Besides being a president ial battleground too, New Hampshire has a Key Senate Race. Firstterm senator kelly ayotte, is running for reelection against democratic governor maggie hassan; another key race where polls say its just about even. And, surprisingly, in missouri, republican senator roy blunt, member of the states most powerful republican family, is in a tough battle against democratic secretary of state jason kander, who vaulted into prominence with the single most talked about ad of the entire year. Blunt is an establishment guy running in an antiestablishment year. Reporter at 9 p. M. , polls close in 13 more states. Michigan and wisconsin, two states that are part of that democratic firewall, have been special trump targets. Right now, the polls are showing Hillary Clinton pretty consistently in the lead. But again, if trump is overperforming the polls, those states become very dicey, especially wisconsin. Reporter its a different demographic shift in states like colorado and arizona. Increasing latino turnout helped turn colorado blue for obama twice; clinton is counting on it to stay blue. And shes invested time and money in arizona, a state thats voted democratic for president once in the last 64 years. A win for her could make up for any loss in one of those industrial midwest states. Democrats will be watching the Wisconsin Senate race very closely. Theyre counting on exsenator Russ Feingold to win back the seat he lost to republican ron johnson six years ago, but that race has lately turned very tight. Once the 9 p. M. States are called, we may also start to see what the new house of representatives will look like. There are House Republicans in serious trouble in new york, new jersey, florida, and illinois, among others places. Democrats need to net 30 seats to take control an unlikely prospect but well start to know this hour whether the gop is suffering minor, major, or no losses in the house of representatives. At 10 oclock, polls close in four states, two of them battlegrounds. Democrats have won iowa five of the last six times, but this state has been trending trumps way. And both campaigns have targeted nevada, where early voting, and a growing latino population, may favor clinton. Nevadas the one state where a Democratic Senate seat is in danger. With democratic leader harry reid retiring, republican congressman joe heck is running against the states democratic former attorney general, catherine cortezmasto. 11 p. M. , six states close, and this is what we can say for sure with california, oregon, Washington State and hawaii, there are 78 electoral votes that are certain for clinton. Trump can count on the seven electoral votes from idaho and north dakota. But will those 78 electoral votes be enough to put clinton over the top . That depends on what the vote count tells us in those earlier eastern and midwestern states. Reporter given the highly unusual nature of this campaign, its possible we could witness an equally unusual Election Night like one where alaskas three electoral votes decide the presidency, or where it ends in a 269269 tie, throwing the race into the house of representatives. Alison . Jeff, which senate races are you going to be watching. There are a couple that changed contours in the last couple of weeks. In wisconsin the assumption is that exsenator russ fine gold was going to easily defeat incumbent ron john johnson, that race looks close. And in North Carolina incouple bent richard bu rr seems to run into head waters and i will be watching both of those closely to see whether or not the senate flips with four or five democratic victories to democratic control. Jeff greenfield, thanks so much. Thank you. Election day 2016, the his aric historic end to a long campaign. Who will voters elect as the next president of the United States. Which party will control congress . What else will we learn from the voters . Join pbs fushour for special Election Night coverage. Analysis you wont find anywhere else. Tuesday, november 8th, starting at 8 00, 7 00 central only on pbs. Stewart the focus on battleground states lies in the value those states hold in the Electoral College win them, and a candidate closes in on the 270 electoral votes needed to become president. The process makes many voters in reliably republican or Democratic States feel left out. What if the campaigns competed for every vote, everywhere . One idea to get there is to make the National Popular vote decide the election. Newshour weekends Hari Sreenivasan has more. I think the state of pennsylvania were going to win so big. Wow, it is great to be back here in raleigh. Reporter since their nominating conventions in july, donald trump and Hillary Clinton have made more than 90 of their Campaign Stops in just 11 so called battleground states. Of those visits, nearly two thirds took place in the four battlegrounds with the most electoral votes florida, pennsylvania, ohio, and North Carolina. Thats because voters dont directly elect the president the Electoral College does. A system enshrined in the constitution, each state has a share of the 538 electors roughly proportional to its population generally, whoever wins a state gets all the electors. But four times in u. S. History, including in the bushgore race in 2000, the winner of the nationwide popular vote has lost the Electoral College, and the election. Even without those anomalies, the Current System rankles residents of states not anointed as battlegrounds and largely passed over by the candidates, because the states are perceived to be so safely in one partys column. The idea that a handful of states is where the election is taking place, while the vast majority of states are bystanders is crazy. What other democracy does it that way . Reporter Jeffrey Dinowitz is a Democratic State assemblyman representing part of the bronx in new york city. He has championed legislation to change how we elect president s. Its called the National Popular vote interstate compact, and it would allocate participating states electoral votes to whomever wins the National Popular vote. For example, if donald trump were to win the most votes nationally, new york and every other state in the compac

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