A new poll shows a 2016 matchup a lot of people would love to see, clinton versus new jersey governor Chris Christie. All this morning, as relief workers, supplies and money make their way to the philippines, the true toll of the terrible typhoon is becoming more painfully clear. Well go thrive manila for the latest and hear about how Filipino Americans are helping their home country. And back in washington, a deep dive and how washington turned a boring word like procurement into a big problem. Find out exactly why the government help december sk hurting and why president obama told me that its the biggest difference between the government and the private sector. Good morning from washington. Its tuesday, november 12th, 2013. This is the daily rundown. Im chuck todd. Lets get to my first reads. Well start in the philippines. The latest there and the devastation left by whats now being called super typhoon haiyan. A Global Relief effort is now under way to help hundreds of thousands of people left without food, water, or shelter after the storm wiped out entire villages and most of the tuck low van city the size of virginia. The official death toll is 1,774 but estimates go to 10,000 and beyond. There are still places they have not heard from. The United Nations estimates some 660,000 people have been displaced, nearly 10 million impacted. Total cost of the damage is being estimated at 14 billion. But it obviously could go higher. The u. S. Is leading an International Response to get help to those in need. The u. S. Has already sent 20 million in humanitarian assistance. In addition, the uss George WashingtonAircraft Carrier is headed to the region carrying 5,000 sailors and more than 80 aircraft. Joining the Aircraft Carrier will be a pair of cruisers and destroyer. Coming up in about ten minutes well have a live report from ian williams in manila and talk to nbcs mike taibbi about how filipino families in the u. S. Are dealing with the tragedy in their home country. Now we will move to our political first reads of the morning as everybody gets amped up and ravrped up for the 2016 president ial contest. Many of you dont think you need a poll to tell you that democrats start 2016 with an advantage and that the Republican Party is fractured, but this morning we have a poll to tell you just that. Think of it as a reality check. Nbc news poll conducted by our friends at Princeton Survey ResearchShows Hillary clinton is more formidable than shes ever been. If you think this is deja vu all over again, youre actually wrong. Clinton was never dominant in 2005 and 2006. And while theres a coronation of sorts for clinton among democrats, theres nothing close it to for Chris Christie and the Republican Party. He starts the 2016 race very close to where Rudy Giuliani did when he was named the presumptive frontrunner back in 2006. With the Republican Party divided over his candidacy, and remember, this poll was conducted after the best week of National Press christie has ever had. So lets dig into the numbers. In the hypothetical matchup, clinton gets the support of 44 of adults, christie, 34 . Whats a lot more interesting is what democrats think of clinton and what republicans think of christie. Its clear just how dominant a democratic frontrunner clinson is this time. A full 66 of democrats are ready to back clinton in a democratic primary. Just 14 say theyd pick another candidate, 18 undecided. Basically youre looking at a third of the electorate inside the democratic party. Inside the numbers, she scores in the 70s among women, seniors, and those making less than 30,000 a year. Democrats in the midwest demand the northeast. Clinton does not score less than 60 in any major Democratic Group within the democratic party. But if youre looking for any political dent in her primary armor, its among men, 62 college grads, 62 upperincome democrats and democrats that live in the south and the west. Essentially its the remnant of obamas White Coalition in the new 2008 democratic primary. But, please, it is not nearly there is not nearly the amount of clinton fatigue evident in these poll numbers as you saw for clintons poll numbers six years ago. But for christie, its a much different story. Just 32 of republicans are ready to sign onto a christie candidacy. He particularly struggles, scoring even lower than that 32 among men, 18 to 29yearolds ago, the rand paul crowd, christie only at 15 . Upperincome republicans and republicans in the south and the west. In some ways the Clinton Christie matchup look like the obama romney 2012 matchup or any generic r versus a generic d in a president ial contest. Christie leads among whites, senior, and rich people. Clinton leads with everybody else africanamericans, americans 18 to 29 lashgs tinos. You get the picture. But showing how formidable she is at this early point, she leads pretty much everywhere else. Every region of the country and among voters the president lost. She even leads christie among men as well as among women. Clinton has the advantage among independent voters narrowly and as much as had been made of christies ability to win democrats in new jersey, clinton wins twice as many republicans, 12 , as christie wins democrats. So the 2016 president ial election may be three years out, but that reality check poll is needed. Not just the National Media salivating at the potential for this matchup. Their potential candidates and supporters are doing their share to stoke the 2016 speculation. Today 170 donors and about a dozen political operatives are gathering in new york city for the First National finance National Council strategy meeting for ready for hillary, a super pac supporting a clinton candidacy. Whether it actually has the ability to help the Actual Campaign when she announces, thats still unclear, but they certainry li are putting stakes in the ground and using thing like fundraising off of videos like this one. Think of the suffragists gathered at seneca falls in 1848 and those who kept fighting until women could cast their votes. Think of the abolitionists who struggled and died to see the end of slavery. As we gather here today in this historic, magnificent moment, the 50th woman to lead, if we could blast 50 women into space, we will someday launch a woman into the white house. Well, the super pac is not officially affiliated with the clinton, her whirlwind tour to california over the weekend is the latest example of the way shes laying the groundwork on her own for 2016. Hard to find a democratic Constituency Group that clinton did not speak to while in california. Millennials, check. She attended an avent for the Millennial Network in San Francisco with her daughter, chelsea clinton. Hollywood. Check. She was feted by jeffrey casten berg in beverly hills. Latino voters. She did that on saturday. This week, the Hillary Clinton this is not my official president ial campaign but you can give me an award anyway tour soldiers on. She will receive the American Patriot award at the National Defense university on thursday. Clearly Chris Christie is also being anything but koy about his president ial ambitions, which got some ribbing from Stephen Colbert last night. What im interested in doing is being the governor of new jersey. What im focused on is doing my job in the state of new jersey. Im the governor of new jersey. For me, im the governor of new jersey and my job is to run the state of new jersey. Yes, hes just the governor of new jersey. Thats why he went on meet the jersey, fox news jersey sunday face the turnpike and this new jersey with new jersey. I dont know which i like more. Anyway, im joined by a visiting fellow who writes for National Review and Bloomberg View and an editorial writer for the Washington Post. All right, ramesh. Beat us up for doing polling too early. Youre doing polling too early. But thats okay. It did sort of present a reality check. Christie had the best week hes ever had ever. If hes making the electability argument, hes got a long way to go. I dont think theres going to be anything in those numbers that will be shocking to the governor or his advisers. They know the Republican Party is weak right now and divided and there are people who wont just be bowled over and willing to hand him the nomination because he won in new jersey. I want to go to democrats, then ill let you have your conversation. With democrats, though, they seem ready for a coronation this time. They were not ready six years ago. There was real clinton fatigue. That existed not just among consultants but among democratic primary voters. I did not see that in the poll. Not just clinton fatigue last time around but clinton disagreement. She was at odds with a big segment of the party over the war that doesnt really exist this time around. One of the things that eas interesting, and i was going to defend ahead of time, you need a starting point. The hardest person to be put up against. Thats the interesting thing. One of the reasons for the strong clinton numbers is she is up against nobody. What democratic voter out there could tell you who else might be running . I have to interrupt you here. We have an important piece of once in a century breaking news. Its right now 9 10 on 11 12 13. There are 3,000 people getting married today, by way. He had confetti that came down and all this stuff. A once in a century moment that will happen four more times in america as we go through the time zones. And we shared it. I would have completely missed it if i had not been on this show. You would have missed it. Back to Chris Christie, you wrote a provocative column about how Chris Christie and ted cruz may end up forming an alliance. Explain. Well, you know, weve seen in several of the last republican nominating cycles this dynamic where the sort of establishment candidate and the right end candidate end up trying to squeeze out the people in the middle because theyve just got a common interest in doing that. So we saw last time around romney and bachmann cooperating dont forget romney and ron paul cooperated in many ways. And we see it again and again. 1996, bob dole and pat buchanan squeezing out bill grimm. It seems to me there will be some sort of candidate, maybe scott walker, governor of wisconsin, trying to run up the middle in the republican primaries, and christie will have a rivalry with ima and a more conservative candidate like senator cruz. The Elizabeth Warren boom from yesterday was a reminder how i feel like there is a press corps, a media, whatever, among democratic elite that are more interested in a democratic primary than democrats. I think thats exactly right. Its a piece of what i was saying earlier. The 9, 10, 11 no. I was very excited look, nobody in our business likes to cover a coronation unless were talking about the king and queen when it comes to politics. What tomb . You want those people to abdicate . We like to cover a brawl. So i am paying money for the Christie Cruz smackdown tour of 2016. But so, yeah, its not going to be an interesting democratic primary unless there are some credible candidates. And how much more fun would it be for us if its two credible women candidates . I hear you, but it just doesnt sound like she doesnt strike me as somebody who has to be anner insurgent candidate you cant be hiding from your local press corps. She doesnt enjoy dealing with the press scrum of capitol hill. If you dont enjoy that, youre not going to enjoy running for president. But she also shes not a sort of wait your turn kind of person either. One could imagine that, but i really think its more our imaginings than anything else. Theres something about president ial primaries, too, that if theyre both competitive there is a group of voters that vacillate between which primary to participate in. Bill bradley lost the New Hampshire primary because independent voters in New Hampshire decided they wanted to go like republicans with john mccain. There is no independent democrats. There are going to be some independentleaning democrats to decide to play in the republican a primary. Thats good news for Chris Christie, is it not . Absolutely. You know, a lot of things have been working in his favor recently. And i think that the strength that hillary is showing among democrats right now is at last going to be another one of those things. That was one of the things that there were more people who wanted to participate in democratic primaries in 2008 and thats something that was a warning sign to republicans overall. Right. It hurt i think mccain early. Right. New hampshire and its rules allowing independents to choose which primary theyre vote in. As everybody whos tripped around there knows, thats what they do, figure out where it will be most fun to play. A very selfconscious group of voters. I love New Hampshire. Just making an observation. Theyre ready for hillarys stuff. How serious do you take it . As what . I dont know. I dont quite understand what it is. They claim theyre trying to build some support network because she really doesnt have an existing fundraising network, doesnt have an existing base of supporters. Her name recognition is extremely low. So we really need Hillary Clinton to run to build it up. If you detect sarcasm im not sure what they can do. Im not sure legally what they can do either. But theyre not going to be able to coordinate with her and its not totally clear how much what they do can end up being transferred to her, not technically, but practically. Public website. But ready for hillary means ready for us to have something to do and maybe make some money. It does feel like people are probably just making money off this effort. And why not. We have not seen that in politics anymore. Ramesh, margaret, thank you. Sharing the most important moment ever. God help the people that played 11, 12, and 13 today in their pick three numbers. You wont win any money. Too many people are doing that. Just wait till you hear what else weve got in todays databank. Thats coming up. Well go live to the philippines there. Looich hit in manila for the latest on the typhoon tragedy, the relief efforts happening on the ground, and what americans are doing to help. First a look ahead at todays politics planner. This is the daily rundown only on msnbc. I started parttime, now im a manager. N. My employer matches my charitable giving. Really. I get bonuses even working parttime. Where i work, over 400 people are promoted every day. Healthcare starting under 40 a month. I got education benefits. I work at walmart. Im a pharmacist. Sales associate. I manage produce. I work in logistics. Theres more to walmart than you think. Vo opportunity. Thats the real walmart. On the table by not choosing the right medicare d plan. No one could have left this much money here. Whoohoohoo yet many seniors who compare medicare d plans realize they can save hundreds of dollars. 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Some places remain inaccessible days after the storm hit a half dozen provinces. No power, no cell phone coverage, very little left standing. A u. S. Assessment team says on the island of leyte, 90 of the housing had been significantly damaged or completely destroyed. You can see behind me people picking their way through some of the debris, which is blocking alleyways and back streets. Still, no organized aid distribution to be seen and still no Government Support for these people, no teams of soldiers as we saw after the tsunami in japan to help clear roads. That would help get aid through to the people who need it most. Aid is supposed to be on the way. More than 20 countries have promised to help. The u. S. Is sending 20 million immediately. Another 25 million coming from the United Nations. With food and medical supplies making it to just a fraction of the people who need them, time may be running out. Food. People need access to food and need it now. Not just in the city but outside. They need hygiene kits. Its an extremely dirty environment. Those carrying injuries already are going to get sick soon. Ian williams, what cocan you tell us about what the Philippine Government is doing to reach the remote areas in parts of the island nation and what have you se