Welcome back. Its about the last minute campaigning and bill clinton is going to be in florida stumping for charlie that state. The blue state democrat is currently locked in a tight race with rub with republican larry monday edition of morning joe starts right now. Good morning, its monday, november 3rd, big week ahead of us here on morning joe. With us onset we have the chairman of deutsche incorporated donnie deutsche. This is like espn. Is that what we call them . Political analyst and professor at nyu former congressman harold
ford jur. And we have the managing editor of Bloomberg Politics mark halper halperin. And White House Correspondent for the wall street journal. Hello over there. I think Ben Roethlisberger was awesome last night. Theres a lot to get to. Were going to let you stand along a train track spaced 20 yards apart and shout at each other. Can i go to the headlines, they are really good. What are you thinking . I think its going to be a painful day. For you . Perhaps. Does that mean big republican sweep . Im thinking. Lets see. Despite millions of dollars spent, new polls show the senate may be slipping out of democrats hands. The gap is widening in states
where they were trying to hold on and tightening in states they were safely blue. Senator Jeanne Shaheen is clinging to a lead inside the margin of error in New Hampshire. Senator kay hagan in North Carolina up just 1 on republican thom tillis. The same poll has pat roberts catching up to orman. Mitch mcconnell is expanding his lead and his chances to become majority leader. In Iowa Republican joni ernst has opened her lead to 7. Bruce braley is trending downward losing his home congressional district. Still the balance of power may not be settled on wednesday morning, but louisianas democrat is lead iing by 8 poin. If she doesnt win outright, it shows her trailing bill cassidy. And though Republican David Perdue is up in michigan, that
state is likely headed to a runoff. In georgia runoffs last nine weeks and perdue is favored. Joe, tell us how this looks to you. You know, it looks like thing rg trending the republican direction. It still does not look like 1994, 2006, 2010. It could. I mean maybe the democratic turnout is going to be miserable and maybe the republican turnout is going to be extraordinary. You still see a lot of close rac races. Republicans doing very well in some states, but you cant get the band out and sing happy days are here again because they are still fighting in North Carolina. They are still fighting in kansas. They are still fighting in georgia. They are still fighting in louisiana and maybe mark halperin, that goes to the Republican Party. But anything could happen. One of two things are going to. Happen. One, the republicans are going to learn from the mistakes in the turnout game from 2012. It might be. And they are going to take back the senate and have the big night. Or two, they didnt learn those lessons and dont know how to target voters and democrats are going to hold on. Which one . Democrat strategy was three things. Eliminate the republicans as unacceptable choices, too extreme. Change the debate to be about Economic Issues and three, the turn. Out game. They failed on two of of the three. So the turnout is all they have. It may be enough in some places to allow them to win. Why is it so close in kansas . Why still close in georgia . Why still close in louisiana . I think it could be a big republican night. I am not throwing water on the games that we have seen. That iowa poll people saying 7 points, its not 7 points. The Des Moines Register poll is the Gold Standard out there. They get it right. I find it hard to believe iowa is not now in the republican safe. Where republicans have had good candidates like in georgia and iowa, they are doing better. Donnie deutsche, democrats also in colorado, and i have had democratic operatives and say this and sortd of cringe. They have talked about the colorado race where democrats were so intent on trying to make the republicans seem extreme on womens issues they are turning into the clown show the Republican Party has been. And im talking top ranking democratic strategists who have run the democratic world saying, come on, we assume that women only care about contraception . Most women know that debate was over a long time ago. Women care about jobs, wages,
the rich getting richer. They care about education, their kids going off to college and not having a job out of college. Its really sort of been youre going to wake up wednesday very happy. Why is that . Its going to go republican. Im not sure thats going to make him happy. Somebody on twitter said your party is going to win. I said, are you reading the things my party dont know what my party is. The republicans will win. Theres two little pieces of nugg nuggets that are good news for republicans in 16 and beyond. I was fascinated in a recent poll of my len yells are leadin republicans. The republicans have figured out we are never going to win another election unless somehow we appeal to that audience. My final point, this is the best
thing that happened to barack obama. Its hard for a republican sitting here to say this buzz people say youre right, barack obama still believed in 2012 that if you won reelection republicans would suddenly say, hes legitimized and were going to work with him. Its going to take i think this final step for him to go, do i want to get things done or not. And for republicans to then have no where are excuses, they are either going to make capitol hill work or screw it up and if they screw it up for two years, they will lose in 2016. I think its the best thing for the country as far as accountability. Do you want to run washington or do you want to run your mouth . Thats good. Senate major ri leader harry reid says a win for joni ernst
in iowa would all but ensure hed lose his majority status. Tom harkin drew criticism on buzzfeed. This senate race ive been watching some of these it ads. They are sort of this sense that joni ernst, shes really attractive. She sounds nice. I u got to thinking about that. I dont care if shes as good looking as taylor swift or as nice as mr. Rogers, but if she votes like michele bachmann, shes wrong for the state of iowa. Actually thats a good point. Its true. If a republican said that, it would be over. Carol lee, might that backfire . Yeah, i think it might. If theres one thing that any
politician, particularly a seasoned one like harkin should know, you dont talk about womens looks in that way. I was in iowa last week and the ernst campaign is very in tune to these kinds of things and is very quick to jump on anything that has remotely a whiff of sexism attached to it. So its just not something that belongs in a race like this and its sort of surprising to hear it coming from somebody who understands the state and has been around for so long. So what was your feeling when you were out there when you were reporting in iowa last week . Did you see a trend . Did you feel a trend going joni ernsts way . You did, and i was there with her for a couple of events. And i was with Vice President biden did an event with braley. I talked to a bunch of voters at that event and some coming to that event had voted for barack
obama in 2008 and 2012 and had regretted voting for him. So the presence of the president in a state like iowa was dominant. Joni ernst talks a about it a ton. Anyone who has watched her, shes a natural on the campaign trail. So she had a lot of appeal with the voters there. Definitely down on the president and really looking for somebody different. She seems to be tapping into some kind of sentiment there. It looks like shes going to end up winning. Can you imagine a female candidate saying that about a male . I cant, it just wouldnt happen. I was degraded because they would always say that about me. Because hes so good looking and has such chiselled features. Nobody has ever say that about me. Its actually stupid that somebody would say that after
being in politics that long. E she hasnt put out a campaign thats anything thats serious, humorous and very much in the fight. Can i ask carol a question . I will ask a question. Isnt this how this game works. Donnie was talking about millennials are a snapshot. This could change tomorrow. And were going to have polling saying millennials are trending republican right now. Hispanics still supporting democrats, but not the way they did a couple years ago. You go state by state by state, republicans will show you the gender gap in many states now slunk. What has happened to the Democratic Party that they are most loyal voters . I would say of africanamerican voters have departed. Two years ago republicans
know in missouri and indiana cannot agree on a simple criminal definition of rape. Its certainly impacted the races where you should have elected republican senators but they did well. As you look at hispanic voters, theres more of a kinship with republicans and democrats on those issues. If republicans can talk about Immigration Reform, you can fundamentally change the map for them over the next few years. I would argue if republicans win the most important thing they win the senate is sequencing. How they go about what they want to do. If they try the Affordable Care act, all bets are off. If they start with a narrow tax reform bill, trade Promotion Authority, if they start with some energy reform, keystone, lifting the ban on natural gas exports, they could change the wa optics. If they do that, those are the things that would help appeal
not only to the millennials but help the to move the country forward. Actually have a message. This is obviously luckily for the republicans. I want someone to answer the question why this guy is at 42 if im giving him talking points, gas is under 3, pass the most important legislation in 50 years, save the auto industry, kill osama bin laden. I know, whats the deal . The medium is the message. Donnie, explain that. Barack obama is why barack obama is important. Let me get to the governors races. You both said this. Number one, the president is not as comfortable as talking about Business Success as other president s. And you said it a few weeks ago. Ebola and isis, the enormous
unknowns have colored this race and impacted these races negatively in the last few weeks. Mark halperin, im going to show you the governors races. One point separates scott walker in wisconsin. Rapid fire here. In florida one of the nastiest races of all, Charlie Crist has a lead. Who wins that one . Democrats are crazy confident about that race. Im not sure why. But libertarian is helping crist. If the national win counts in wisconsin, it counts in florida and will carry both of those over. Except Charlie Crist is a better candidate. I dont know the national win
matters because governors have their own record and not barack obama. Jason carter trailing in georgia but close to nathan deal. If theres a runoff maybe u. Brownback is down to paul davis. A fox news poll what happened . He just thought people were arrogant. Thats pretty close to certainty. Doesnt that help orman . Orman cannot count on that. I dont know if im a republican thats going to vote against a republican governor and vote democratic for the first time in my life, i dont know im going to go democratic twice. Orman is an independent. Hes a democrat. He had Claire Mccaskill begging him to run because he was the democrats best chance of holding the seat. You know that, but his message has been they are
disciplined. I always told people. As far as my family was a crest family. Colgate commercials mean nothing to us. We bought crest. If youre in kansas, im not joking here, this works. If youre in kansas and your brand is republican, you may deviate from that brand one time. I dont know you deviate from it twice. I actually think voting against brownback could help roberts. If orman wins, think about it also that the talk about an independent running for president , it grows largely because you see the path. If it can happen in kansas. Halperin, youre running for president . One final thing. For all of you pundits and pollsters out there saying greg orman is an independent and we dont know if hes a democrat or a republican, im taking bets
right now on whether if he wins hes going to caucus with the Republican Party or Democratic Party. Ill give you 5 to 1 odds that he caucuses with the Democratic Party. You know hes not going to caucus with the republicans so just quit. All right. Were going to end the block this way because were going to be doing so much politics. It was a magic night for 19yearold lauren hill with an inoperable brain tumor whose dream was to play College Hoops in cincinnati. Knowing hill has just weeks to live, the ncaa moved up the state of her teams opening game to last night and she would be healthy enough to play. Hill scored four points make the first and last baskets in the victory here. Heres hill after the game. I just feel so blessed that
this is all happening. Im just really happy. This is a really good day. This just it makes meso happy. Beautiful. Ncaa did good. Still ahead on morning joe, a daring feat in the windy city as nik wallenda breaks two world records. I did this in 78. I u think the story we just did is much more interesting. Well talk to him in our 7 00 hour. First mans best friend sides with the cops over his methcooking owner. Thats a problem. Did your dog turn you in . Youre watching morning joe. Well be right back. You probably know xerox
as the company thats all about printing. But did you know we also support hospitals using Electronic Health records for more than 30 million patients . Or that our Software Helps over 20 million smartphone users remotely configure email every month . Or how about processing nearly 5 billion in electronic toll payments a year . In fact, todays xerox is working in surprising ways to help companies simplify the way work gets done and life gets lived. With xerox, youre ready for real business. Lets take a look at the morning pap. Brittney maynard who has become the face of the right to die movement ended her life on saturday after being diagnosed in january with aggressive terminal brain cancer. Maynard moved from Northern California to oregon to gain access to the states death with dignity laws. This fall she became a spokesperson for advocates of assisted dying after posting this video discussing her decision. On saturday as planned she took a lifeending prescription in her bedroom surrounded by loved on ones. She was 29 years old. We look at this from the Washington Post. A series of setbacks for the coalitions efforts to defeat Islamic State militants. In syria fighters linked to al qaeda have defeated
u. S. Supported rebels. The militants seizing weapons and numerous defections were also reported. Then many iraq the countrys government is confirming that isis is responsible for killing 300 members of a sunni tribe in ann bar province. These are strikes carried out in retaliation for that massacre. U. S. Officials say Iraqi Security forces are planning to launch a major offensive. It includes training 20,000 troop oefrs the next few months. Do you like going to sporting events . Sometimes. Pi love track meets. I went to one this weekend. Its a good thing that you live here and not in iran. Why . Because you could be thrown in jail. The Los Angeles Times says a woman was sentenced to prison for trying to watch a mens volleyball match. The 25yearold britishiranian woman was arrested outside a stadium in tehran in june while protesting a ban on women attending games. Whats wrong with those people . Women are also banned from attending soccer games. Seriously . We look at this. One of the most headlines grabbing people, kaci hickox, the nurse speaking out after successfully challenging maines attempt to force her into a mandatory quarantine following her return from west africa. In an interview on meet the press, new Jersey Governor Chris Christie initially placed her in isolation because, quote, an abundance of politics was at play. Shes also promising to limit her activity at home in maine. I understand that the community has been through a lot in the past week and that i do, you know, apologize to them for
that. I will not go into crowded public places. I have had a few friends come visit me in my home and thats absolutely fantastic. Okay. Usa today, a brave pooch in. Alabama helped lead local officials to his owner wanted for allegedly producing crystal meth. He ran out of his backdoor when Police Arrived with a drug warrant and officers lost sight of where he went. They asked his dog to go get him. And thats exactly what he did. Bo led authorities to henderson, who was booked on five counts dogs are smart. Hes cute. I like that dog. A goodlooking dog though. Coming up, the rise and the fall of the socalled insurgent candidates of the republican
party. Bill crystal joins the table. Licking his chops. Licking his chops. This is his week. Well be right back. This is his week. You cant hold a good man down. Well be right back with much more morning joe. Theres confidence. Then theres trusting your vehicle maintenance to ford service confidence. Our expertise, technology, and high quality parts means your peace of mind. Its no wonder last year we sold over three million tires. And during the big tire event, get up to 140 in mailin rebates on four select tires. Ring ring progresso i cant believe im eating bacon and rich creamy cheese before my sisters wedding well its only 100 calories, so youll be ready for that dress uhhuh. You dont love the dress . I love my sister. 40 flavors. 100 calories or less. There are more reasons than ever why now is the best time to be on verizon. One verizons t