Following baseball even though you passed away in 1998. 1998 . Yeah. Holy cow, im dead. The comedian will ferrell on jimmy kimmel last night. I love his harry caray. Game one tonight. How do you feel . Obviously, the cubs shall the big blaring spotlight. They have not won it since 1908 . But you look at cleveland, and they have just as compelling a story. They have not won since 48, is that right . Yeah, indians into the world series and win it in 1948 and the cavaliers get their rings tonight at 7 00, and they moved up the ceremony, and the Cleveland Indians and game one of the world series tonight, and its great for cleveland, for at least five games, cubs. This is a nolose situation for america, and whoever wins this, its great. You look at the year cleveland has had and they hosted a convention, and every one of us left cleveland just blown away by how great the city was, and growing up in the 70s, it was the mistake on the league, and it was what london was prethatcher, except you didnt have threeday weeks, so okay, it was worse there. The coal miners strike. Theres that. You guys had margaret thatcher, and we had mayor, dennis kau vin seufp. Our guests, rick tyler. We have breaking news. Nbc News Survey Monkey poll just came out two minutes ago. Uhhuh. It shows donald trump and Hillary Clinton a little closer. The survey monkey online tracking poll shows clinton with that a fivepoint lead, and gary johnson at 7 , and trump gained one point since last sunday. In a two way race its 5044, the new cnn poll shows trump five points behind, and both candidates gaining two points since the poll was last conducted back on october 2nd, and gary johnson dropped four points to 3 , and in a twoway race, hillary has a fourpoint lead. Lets stop right there. If you follow the media and journalists on twitter, and this race is over. You know, yesterday people were comparing trumps numbers to walter phaupb dells what i am saying is they are trying to figure out how huge the landslide is going to be. A lot of people have been saying around here there was going to be a tightening, and when you look at the polls that had 12 and 13 points, we have two polls that just came out and said it was a fivepoint race, and five points is still a landslide, and if you look at trend lines it could be tightening up. I think the best thing you can say for donald trump is after the access Hollywood Tape the bottom did not fall out completely, and you have five and six seven points which is a big lead two weeks out, and if you go inside and look at the swing states, he is doing well in North Carolina and good in florida, and pennsylvania, nevada, so many swing states where he is down so big, colorado, its still going to be very, very difficult for him to win. He does have an issue he can use which is the obamacare story about twaeplpremiums going up 2d all things predicted by conservatives yeah, they are coming true with obamacare. Maybe that could impact the race. Lets look at the swing state polls. A deadlock race in North Carolina, and clinton at 47 and tprupl at 46, and johnson down to 4 . In battleground nevada, seven points separate the candidates, and clinton with 48 and trump at 41 . So this is trumps problems, the problem is its not enough for him to win North Carolina, and its not enough for him to win ohio, and its not enough for him to win all the swing states everybody is looking at. But if that he loses nevada, he loses. He has to get all the swing states plus hes got to pick up New Hampshire and half of maine. I think if you are looking at the race being over, which some are talking about and looking at the potential of Hillary Clinton not just winning but winning big, which is kind of ironic, based on popular vote, i am going to the trump rally today, and he can make up traction on the obamacare rates, and its very hard to see how he gets to that 270. Mike . I think there are three elements still alive and active. One is turnout. What is the turnout going to be after the dreadful campaign . Many voters listening to this daily. And the second is voter saw pressure suppression. You mentioned New Hampshire, and the governor running for the senate seat was in there until a week half ago when trump just collapsed and Hillary Clinton is now up, depending on what poll you look at, between 8 and 15 points, and she cannot survive that kind of a margin. Its two weeks from today, right . Two weeks yeah, thats number one. Number two, its 2016, one of the most tumultuous years yet. And number three, we have seen polls go up and down and up and down, wildly. I am not saying this race is over, and its just hard i mean, i am not saying that donald trump has a great chance of winning this race, and were two weeks out. What is your sense of turnout . I dont think its going to be as good for Hillary Clinton. And i could be wrong. I find it hard to believe there will be the excitement obama had in 2012. Hold that thought, because i think its going to apply to dispel the notion, Trumps Campaign had this battleground map. Colorado is, if you talk to the campaign, this is the state that baffles them the most. Right. Because internal polls show them closer for some reason. And external polls are showing clinton up comfortably, but i saw a poll last night from an independent pollster that had it much closer. They have arizona, utah and georgia as locked in for trump. And yesterday his manager said yesterday there are hidden clues to depicting their path to 270. Watch and see where we deploy our major assets, governor pence, and mr. Trump, and super saeur guts going out there and keeping their own schedules soon. Thats our road map and i share it privately here, and whatever you see shared publicly may be different for different reasons, and we have a couple different paths to get to 270 and are pursuing them. They dont have many different paths, and the one path is they have to win everything that are in a toss up right now, and they still have to win New Hampshire, which is going to be a stretch. And they have to win New Hampshire and maine, too, others suggests. They are saying georgia is a lock, and arizona is a lock, and they are not a lock. If this race is really a fivepoint race, trump needs to spend the next two weeks picking up another three or four points just to make those swing states close enough for him to put over in the column. Nationally for sure, and look at it another way, and all clinton has to do is pick up any swing state, nevada, arizona, North Carolina anyone. Just one and its over. And so theres about 150, joe, electoral votes that are considered tossed up and 65 of those are in georgia, texas, and arizona, and thats 65 in those three combined and those are all States Donald trump should be winning handily. He is not. He has to pick up 112 out of the 150 tossups and she needs to pick up 8. Its really very difficult to see how donald trump could possibly pull this off. With two weeks to go, health care might be a big issue, but with two weeks to go, it seems unlikely it could go their way. It could break the last weekend trumps way and we have a closer race. Thats appear big break. Its not as a big of a break the media wants people to think. Really . Again, i was here at the beginning of september and i asked everybody if they thought the race was over, and everybody oh, yeah, the race is over, the race is over, the race is over. A week later trump was, like, it was a draw in colorado, and then everybody started freaking out and jumping out of windows because it looked like trump could win, and then he shot himself not in the foot, but in every extremity. His own Campaign People are fighting him. The worse he is feeling about the polls, whatever he is saying at the rallies, the less disciplined he is. Oh, god. And i cant believe this is tph novel, because i will get killed on twitter today for the reality, and you have people who loathe Hillary Clinton, and they are scared of donald trump. You have a guy who literally broke through every expectation, i mean, exceeded. Is running the most undisciplined campaign, and so much so that Kelly Anne Conway is debating her own candidate, and everybody around him is debating him and he was supposed to go to gettysburg, and this was going to be the moment where he was going to pivot to issues standing on the Hallowed Ground, and he was talking about suing women for sexual harassment. The first 100 days. Priorities. So hes within five points. Do i think what i was going to say, and lets say it breaks his way three or four points over the next two weeks, and we have a closer race. Or, probably more likely given his lack of discipline, willie, it breaks the other way and suddenly we will follow texas late in the night. Its up to him, but hes not listening to anybody, and it could be where we see where texas goes democratic for the first time in 64. The two factors are the obamacare, and wikileaks, and we dont know what is going to come out. And consider where they are today, though, and mike pence is in utah, and two weeks ahead of election day, the republican Vice President ial candidate is in utah defending that ground because a thirdparty candidate may win. And i would add a third element. The get out the vote operation, and the clinton operations is fast, mobile, huge, in place now for months. And in some extent you are seeing that it could be an indication of the american african vote, and they are not excited and needs more attention from the Clinton Campaign and now you have congressman asking for resources for the downed ballot candidates, and if you are seeing high numbers of democrats voting early in North Carolina, thats some indication of how that state will go. He pushed the obamacare button. Higher premiums and fewer options, and health plans are set to rise. The Administration Says about 1 in 5 consumers will have a single insurer to choose from since many have reduced their roles in the marketplace, and donald trump seized on the news while campaigning in tampa last night. Its over for obamacare, and Hillary Clinton wants to double down and make it more expensive and its not going to work. I called it when it first came out, and its only getting worse. Not only for you, for the country, because our country cant afford it and you cant afford it and 1 in 5 americans trapped in obamacare will have a single insurer to choose from and boy are those insurers going to have a good time with you. Rick tyler, this is the argument that conservatives and many Health Policy experts have been making since obamacare was first proposed the premiums would go up and the choices would shrink over time and now you have the Obama White House admitting to that . I listened to a lot of economists saying the prices are going to go down, and i say any third grader could have figured this out. You know, if you limit the choice and people and you dont have preexisting conditions and the natural downward cost pressures, and absent those, what will happen . The prices will go up. Young people are still not buying insurance and the Obama Administration has not fined a Single Person for not buying health insurance, and its just a role for disaster. A Free Market Health care system, it works wherever else and it ought to work in health, and theres downward cost pressure and it causes providers to provide Better Quality Services at the greatest convenience at the lowest cost. The timing of the headline, it could be a little late, and even bill clinton called it the craziest thing in the world, did he not . He slipped. He talked about premiums going up and choices going down, craziest thing in the world he said. Craziest thing. Some poor guy humping it for 60 hours a week and working hard and hes kicked off of their and its the craziest thing in the world. Oops. He ended up being right, absolutely. Month in the making, a look inside how the Clinton Campaign worked their Miss Universe line of attack before the first debate. And whoever thought utah would revel florida as a battleground. And plus, could the president ial race end up sinking the highest ranking republican on capitol hill . House speaker ryan is facing major blowback from his own party right now, and there are polls to prove it. A storm in the middle of the country a. Rain maker for the midwest starting today and great lakes tonight and tomorrow and then in the northeast on thursday, and something that will be in the form of the snow. And chicago, it looks like thursday, umbrella day in new england. We are going to watch temperatures rising a little during the day but still cold in new england. The warm weather up in texas to oklahoma, beautiful today, and then we have the world series in cleveland and it will be a little chilly out there, and temperatures are going to be about 47 degrees, and heres the forecast for the series tonight, game one, Cleveland Indians and chicago cubs, and a chance of showers out there on wednesday, and i dont think it will be a rainout but not pretty sitting in the stand with 40 degrees and a cold rain on top of you, and it will be fun anyway, and cubs and indians, and the curse will end for one of them. Watch out, thursday morning, snow will be flying. You are watching morning joe. With directv and at t you can stream your favote shows without using your data. That makes you more powerful than being sck in an elevator with a guy with overactiveweat glands. Sorry, rode myike today. Cool. Its youtat th you. Watch all ur live ls on yr devices, dat. They told me a bottlcoul dream. That i would neverer me a superhe. [sgi indistinctly] but i lened how to fly. Just tcomek a new diuise, and be the hero i always wanteto be. Explores every stage. Every d. Atancer treatmennts of amer. Lemot cacenter. Cxperts obama couldnt negotiate getting a whopper without pickles woodstockdave. Thanks, dave. I lifted the ban on cuban cigars, thats something. President obama will go down as perhaps the worst president in the history of the United States realdonaldtrump. Well, at least i will go down as a president. He dropped the mike. Hillary clintons use of Donald Trumps kphepts of a formal Miss Universes weight was months in the making, and that was by one of the data dumps from Hillary Clinton. A 157page Research Document emailed to podesta in december revealed the Clinton Campaign discovered a number of damaging quotes by trump regarding Alicia Machado nine months before Hillary Clinton used them at the first debate. The data dump reveals the clinton team began to map out their attacks on trump in february, and johnson asked when the campaign will start going after trump. I know you cant look past bernie and march primaries, but who is in charge of the trump swift vote project, johnson wrote, referring to a series of attacks in 2004 by the swift vote veterans. Again, these emails have not been independently authenticated. It is fascinating to look at the campaign and the look at the different characters in the campaign, and its also surprising Hillary Clinton comes under i wont say attack, but is critiqued by at one time or another almost every member within her campaign of being sort of tone deaf low energy. Low energy. Not being effective as a campaigner and overly scripted. I saw one last night just by chance that painted robin in a really good light, and i dont know if you saw this, but cheryl mills was doing what she does, which is hide stuff, and try to make Hillary Clinton look as disingenuous and corrupt as humanly possible, because that is what cheryl mills has been doing for the clintons for years now, and then one says in a process setup we have to be i am paraphrasing. This is just drama. Instead of going around in circles and hiding things, lets be transparent here because it is going to cause problems, and its just a gate time suck on my part. We are wasting everybodys time, and i looked at it and said he sounds like the guy behind closed doors that everybody told us he was going to be, just a nononsense Campaign Manager. Look at the wikileaks, and you talked about there could be another dump between now and the election, and if that is all they have, they have nothing. Thats Textbook Campaign strategy. Theres no story there. Nothing there. Thats exactly how they should have handled that story. They have this plan that was put together in december, according to wikileaks, and they release it now and why didnt they release it yeah, before the debate. Yeah. I think the most damming thing in there is for progressives, if you talk about Bernie Sanders, they call him a doofus. That tells us, mike, who all they are telling us is what we know about Hillary Clinton, shes not a progressive and shes a moderate sort of new democrat neocon. The wikileaks reference that you just had about robby mook, young, pulling together this vast operation with access to Huge Campaign funds is not and has not been part of Hillary Clintons inner circle for 15, 20 and 30 years. Thank god. Thats a g