Staying or going . Is he in or out . Reporter heres what i can tell you based on our reporting. Multiple Administration Sources say the president is leaning towards getting out. But big red flag, big caveat. No final decision has been made yet. This is something you always hear when you talk with administration officials. Until the president announces it himself, he can reserve the right to change his mind. There are plenty of signals of the president pulling out of the paris climate deal. One of the biggest signals we saw is last week when we were traveling abroad at the g7 summit and the president did not join those nations in coming to a consensus on the paris deal. That was considered to be a nflg that the president was going to do what he said he was going to do on the campaign trail again and again. Hillary clinton and al gore support the paris deal, which will cost america over 5 trillion. Were goingo cancel the paris climate agreement, and we will also cancel billions of dollars in Climate Change payments to the united nations, and we will use that money to help rebuild americas infrastructure. Reporter so the president could not be more clear there. After the election he seemed to be reversing his stance on paris. The economic issue has been front of mind for him, and hes gotten some differing opinions from those inside the west wing, which has been widely reported. Ann, you were there when this accord was signed by all of those nations. What is it going to mean if the u. S. Pulls out . Reporter katie, weve seen three of the hottest years on record in the last three years, and everyone expects that trajectory is going to continue if the United States pulls out of the Paris Agreement. We are the second largest emitter of Carbon Emissions. You remember that the Paris Agreement was essentially built on a Bilateral Agreement between china and the u. S. To reduce Greenhouse Gas emissions. Now if the u. S. Pulls out, the question is what will china do . What will a country like india do, which is invested so heavily in solar . Will it go back to coal if the u. S. Pulls out . And how will anybody know whats going on in china, because china likes to say its reducing emissions, but its not very big on transparency. And having the u. S. Part of that agreement helped keep the foot on the chinese to be transparent how much Carbon Emissions they were emits. Those are those impacts. Then theres the diplomatic impact. We are going to join syria and nicaragua, the only two countries that havent agreed to join this. What does this do to our reputation around the world with countries that agreed to get into this because we said we would reduce our emissions. Then theres the question of jobs. The president has said he wanted to get out of the Paris Agreement because it was a jobs killer. Well, tomorrow hes going to hear from some of the brand name corporations in this country. Walmart, google, apple, General Mills who are going to say mr. President , we want you to stay in this agreement. Theyre going to run fullpage ads in the new york post, the new york times, and the wall street journal, and theyre going to say you should stay in this agreement for these three reasons. First of aulll, staying in the agreement will make jobs more competitive, and it will reduce business risks. Ann thompson, thank you. Hallie, stay with us. We want to bring in our panel now. Anngearen, charlie cook, carren demurgian. So ann, lets start with you. You just heard ann thompson talking about what it could mean for our diplomatic relationships overseas. The 195 countries who signed onto this. We would only join syria and nicaragua if we pull out. Does that hatcher the u. S. ability to negotiate . Certainly if the u. S. Leaves the paris accord, it will undermine what is already some uncertain ground for the trump administration. In terms of what our allies and partners think they can rely on the United States to do. As you mentioned, 190 countries agreed to the paris accord in 2015, and by far, the most important of those was the United States as a leader, as a leading emitter, and as they sort of historical the country with the most historical skin in the game as the leader of the industrialized world. For the United States to say that it was willing, at least on paper, to commit to curbing emissions, and to and reporting what it was doingas a powerful guide to an inceive for other countries to do the same. One of the big fears is that if the United States leaves, it will start a parade of other exits, and it will leave the sense that climate accord its f suspect something that other countries need to take serio seriously. That would join things like nato and other alliances where trump has either given conflicting signals or his commitment to past u. S. Obligations appears to be in question. I think we should look at the pentagon assessment of Climate Change. This is the pentagons assessment from 2015. 2011 is when the Syrian Civil War began. What is the feeling about this from congress with the pentagon making such a dire assessment . The pentagon has been pushing on this for a while, by making warnings like that. There are various places where resources that are affected by Climate Change in their assessment, that not doing something about it is going to worsen a lot of confcts. Theres also issues closer to home with a lot of bases being on coastlines and longer term worry is there. But you have a debate on capitol hill. I think you have a majority of the members of congress are take thing seriously to discuss some sort of action. You have a fair number of skeptics that are saying everything about paris is bad. There are various opinions still kicking around. We havent heard the latest reaction to the signals coming out of the white house today because congress is on break for this week. So i think a lot of people in the Republican Party are willing to give the president a fair degree of rope to try to renegotiate various things, whether youre talking about the Iran Nuclear Deal or the paris climate accords. This is an agreement, not a binding treaty, so theres fair hes got some wiggle room to play with if he wants to without consulting congress. But its an issue that a lot of people are taking seriously, especially because the Defense Community has weighed in, saying theres an interest here. Anyone who followed donald trump during the campaign would know that he was pretty skeptical of the paris climate accord. So charlie, lets talk about how this affects voters. Does he gain voters with this in the Republican Base or lose ters with this katie, i think when you think of all the this that donald trump said on the campaign trail last year, you know, he promised to build a big wall. Well, congress isnt quite coming up with the funding to do that. The promise to repeal and replace obamacare. The house bill has no chance of passing in the senate. Major tax reform, biggest tax cut in american history. So many of the things that President Trump wanted to do or candidate trump wanted to do hes being thwarted by congress. This is one of the few things that he can do thats unilateral. While a lot of people see it as unthinkable, the idea of dropping out of the paris accord, he sees this as one of the few things that he can actually control or do, and given all the other things, russia, Everything Else that is going on, as a defiant move, ill show you who is boss. I still think hes going to stick to his guns and stay with it. He would obviously rather be talking about this climate accord than any of the other news, russia, whats going on with his soninlaw jared kushner. So talk to me about the politics of this. What is going on in the white house beyond this climate accord . What is going on with staff shakeups right now and whats the feeling having just come back from this big foreign trip . Sure. I would say that the white house does want to be talking about the republican agenda specifically health care, tax reform, things that youve seen the president tweet about. You had just this morning, the ped of the head of the v. A. Talking about reform. That said, there is politics behind the scenes. This administration in particular, it is the continued swirl of speculations about staff shakeups, who might be in or out. We can talk about the president actively seeking advice, looking for advice about who to put into position in a staff shakeup that could involve Reince Priebus. His top economic adviser, other names have been out there. There are si these are things that continues to dog the white house. Just given the way the president has run this particular administration, factions, divides, its how he ran his campaign. And its similar to how he did business, as well. I want to get back to voters again. We talk so infrequently about what its going to mean for 2018 and what its going to mean for donald trump voters. We see his Approval Ratings coming down by the week. It seems his disApproval Ratings are shooting up. Theres talk about when his base will fracture and if it ever will. Do these stories do stories about chaos and the white house, about reshuffling staff, twitter messages that donald trump leaves up, that are typos for a number of hours overnight, does any of that register with his voters or is this all political noise . I think the trump voters are fairly solid. I watch, for example, the gallop tracking every single day. His approval flak chuctuates be 38 and 41 . Its very steady, with disapproval in the mid 50s. His base is sticking with him. The problem for republicans in november of next year is that they need more than just that. That what were seeing isnt that what we said during the campaign and didnt that prove to be false . There were multiple candidates in those races, and what were seeing, for example, in these special elections, were seeing the Democratic Candidates get 75 or so of the vote that Hillary Clinton got, while the republican candidates are getting below 60 . These are figures that our house editor came up with. That democrats are mobilized and republicans are pretty lethargic. So its will those trump voters, those unique trump voters, will they show up for republicans not named trump in 2018 . Because the obama voters from 2008, they didnt show up in the 2010 midterm election, they didnt show up in 2014 for the midterm. So republicans in these midterms have some real, real, real challenges, in having a white house thats sort of bogged down in a, scandal, but b, chaos, and not able to move an agenda. Its a terrific problem for republicans right now. Thank you very much. Moving on to a different subject. At least 80 people are dead following a sue sid cicide car afghanistan. Well go to kabul for the latest investigation. Back to politics. Voters want answers on health care from louisiana senat bil cassidy his town hall this morning. Why theyre not sold on plans to replace obamacare. The social net is being pulled from right underneath us. Its scary. And we need to have some support from the senators and we need to know that they have our backs. A. Where . San francisco. When . Friday. We gotta go. [ tires screech ] any airline. Any hotel. Any time. Go where you want, when you want with no blackout dates. [ muffled music coming from club. Blue monday by new order. Cheers. ] [ music and cheers get louder ] the travel rewards credit card from bank of america. Its travel, better connected. Thbeneful grain free is socard frhealthy. America. Oh farmraised chicken thats good chicken. Hm . Here come the accents. Blueberries and pumpkin. Wow. And spinach that was my favorite bite so far. avo new beneful grain free. Out with the grain, in with the farmraised chicken. Healthful. Flavorful. Beneful. Hey, need fast try cool mint zantac. It releases a cooling sensation in your mouth and throat. Zantac works in as little as 30 minutes. Nexium can take 24 hours. Try cool mint zantac. No pill relieves heartburn faster. Republican senator bill cassidy held a town hall meeting in louisiana today. A physician and key player in the senate on health care issues, he faced a barrage of questions about health care reform. I believe you took the same hippocratic oath i did. [ inaudible ] first, do no harm. [ applause ] do you plan to go against the oath that you took by supporting the American Health care act or any similar legislation . Msnbcs Garrett Hague joins me now live from louisiana where the town hall was held this morning. Garrett, senator cassidy was shouted down in his last town hall. The woman there clearly not very happy. But how was he received in general for this one . Reporter the reception was a little bet they are time. I think thats for two reasons. One is strategic, the other tactical. This time around he had something of his own to sell. The ahca is no more popular here than the rest of the country, but he has his own Health Care Plan, which we can talk more about, and he was able to focus on that, which made his job easier y. And second was tactical. He held the microphone the entire time. He read the questions people had written down in advance. That allowed him to control the tempo of this meeting a little bit more than youve seen in some of the other town halls. Except when he allowed for followup questions or when folks were frustrated by his answers. Sometimes they took matters on themselves, like this moment youre about to listen to. The federal government in a formula that would go along as i described it. I think im making a point no, i dont think [ overlapping speakers ] reporter so a little more heat than light from that exchange there. But there were sparks, frustration, but not some of the outright anger that weve seen in so many of the town halls. Garrett, enjoy yourself down there. I saw you staying in new orleans last night. Jealous, as always. Joining me now, moving on from new orleans and my food jealousies, well talk to congressman tom reed, republican from new york. Congressman, sorry i introduced you in such an awkward way, but we can move on to the news at hand. The Republican Health care plan, you voted yes for it. You got an earful at your own town hall and youll be holding another in a couple of days. What do you plan on offering your constituents there that will ease their nds. Obviously, theres still a lot of misinformation out there what the bill in the house does and what it represents when you read the text. So a lot of misinformation. So hopefully well have an exchange to clarify that. And the senate needs to act. The status quo of the collapsing marketplace is not acceptable and is not going to work for the American People. So i look forward to bringing back input for sharing with the senators. What specifically do you want to clarify to your voters that you think has been misinformation . Well, i think the whole preexisting condition reform. Im an adamant supporter of the preexisting condition reform. People assume thats gone, that the legislation repeals that, and thats not true. The legislation is clear that is not the case. So that is something i think has caused a lot of fear, and rightfully so. But we need to look at the text and what were trying to do. People are concerned about the cut in benefits. If people are concerned about losing essential Health Care Benefits or having it be cut down in some way or having their premiums spike, maybe not losing those benefits but finding theyre too expensive to afford, if the democrats target you and your election coming up with that, as it looks like theyre going to do, theyre making you a priority for 2018, your seat of priority, are you concerned that youre going to not be able to convey your belief in this Health Care Plan adequately . I believe well be able to have that conversation and ill put it on the record for trying to solve problems for the American People and trying to govern, opposed to defending the status quo. The Affordable Care about is not working, it is collapsing. So im about trying to find ideas that work for the American People and thats where we need to go. And that record will win the day any day we put it up against anyone else. At the end of the day, its about governing for the American People and fg problems for them eacday were in congress. On yrseat, though, long island democrat Christine Pellegrino just won a special election in a pretty republican district, a district that went for President Trump. Does that give you pause about where you fall coming up in 2018 . You know, i dont lead with the politics. I dont worry about the politics. What i am committed to is fixing obamacare, making sure we listen to the American People and we solve their problems on a daytoday basis. Thats why i cochair the problem solvers caucus. If you govern, the politics will take care of itself. Should the u. S. Pull out of the paris climate deal . The president makes that call, and if the president can put us in a better position and negotiate a better agreement, thats negotiate a better treatment is a lot different than whats being reported. It looks like hes leaning of pulling out of this deal. Would you advocate that . Thats up to the president to decide but its a concern of the majority of american voters. Shouldnt they get to hear your opinion on this . I recognize we need to take on Climate Change and im one of the republicans that signed on to the