Commanderinchief cant seem to help himself. We will get to that in minutes. We got breaking news from the meteorologist, its the 5 00 p. M. Forecast. It came out moments ago. Bill, i tell you, hurricanes do crazy things, make crazy things, to every advisory, people are on the edge of their seats, what can you tell us . Every storm is different. Its the first thing you learn as a meteorologist, this is like none ive ever seen before. We were thinking yesterday at this time it could be a cat 5. Its down to 125 mile per hour winds, its holding onto the middle ground of a category 3. Thats good news the weaker the better, the less water it can push onshore the weaker the winds the better. 120mileperhour winds. The reason its weakened a bit, there are some physics things in the center why the eye is regenerating itself. Movement still at 16 piles per hour. That will slow down dramatic ally tomorrow. Heres the all important forecast track. Ive zoomed in here. This is the outer banks, cape hatteras. Moorehead city, wilmington to myrtle beach and charleston. This point here, tomorrow afternoon 2 00 p. M. You go from here to 2 00 p. M. Saturday. This is 48 hours of a major hurricane, slowly weakening down to a category 1, as it rakes the coastline of North Carolina and eventually into South Carolina. I never seen a forecast like that along the coast raking it like that. Harvey went inland, this could remain a strong storm the winds friday afternoon at 150 Miles Per Hour, 80 by the time we get to the afternoon. You are still losing power in the myrtle beach area. Lets let people know what you see of when the storm is going to arrive. So this yellow, thats the Tropical Storm force wind. Thats when you can lose power, transformt fo transformers blowing. The red is the Hurricane Force wind. Thats when we get the destruction the storm surge begins to arrive. Thats around 8 00 p. M. Thursday. We start with the hurricane winds, here all the way back to emerald isle, eventually getting into wilmington in the overnight hours. The real show when you wake up friday morning, you turn us on. You watch, people blowing around on the beaches. We may not have coverage people in place. It pay be too windy or strong. Almost over the top of wilmington at noon on friday. During the Daylight Hours is when if you havent lost power yet, you will in areas of the southeastern portion of the state. As far as the storm surge, what is interesting the stronger the winds the longer the storm surge. The winds have come down the Hurricane Center refused at this point to lower these numbers. Theyre saying a 9 to 14 foot sandstorm surge. This is getting a hurricane once every four years. 13 feet, multiple high tide cycles because of that stall, that will test the pilings the concrete that the wood goes down into, into the beaches. We will see considerable damage in those areas. A little in cape hatteras, to the south. Finally, the last thing will be a rainfall the stalled out storm the deadly destruction of the storm, this is a huge foot print of a foot of rain in the pink, isolated areas could get up to 3 to four feet of rain, its not telling you how far off the charts the record rainfall in areas of South Carolina and North Carolina is 2 feet or under. Were saying three to four feet. Twice. Very quickly, how the confidence level of that track now . I assume, what is that confidence level . Were pretty locked in now. There was a big shift overnight, it went further to the south. It spared raleigh northward, brought into the equation, charleston, georgetown, dillon, South Carolina. I dont think we will change, maybe it goes inland and stays inland and weakens faster, or it could go to wilmington, head south back over the water, mr. El the coast and then go inland. That may make a minor difference in how much damage we get. We are pretty locked in on this path. We are 36 hours away from when the damage will begin. Bill kierans, you are supposed to bring us better news for a wilmington county native. Its so beautiful, too. It will be a change to see what it looks like. Im sorry you didnt have better news for you, bill, thank you very much. Turning now to the latest developments from the white house as this storm approaches. The president today blasted critics who attacked his claim that the government response if puerto rico, where an estimated 300 people died in the after math of Hurricane Maria was an unsung success, the governor of puerto rico pushed back and so did the mayor of san juan. There are about 60,000 people with blue tarps or blue rooves. The suicide rate has gone up between 20 and 30 . Suicide attempts have gone up between 55 and 60 . So i really dont know where the president gets the nerve to call this a success story. Now, the president seemed to aim back for some reason deciding to tweet. We got a pluses for our recent hurricane work if texas and florida. I dont know who did the gried, and did an unappreciated great job in puerto rico even though an Inaccessible Island and a total incompetence in the mayor of san juan. They put fe pa in the awkward position of having to defend his agencys preparedness and the president s remarks about puerto rico. You know i cant speak for the president. I know fema put 100 into puerto rico. These people back here are incredibly dedicated. They work around the clock and bottom line is i know, we know, we kept them from collapse. We faced a rotted and decayed infrastructure, fema cant help that. We have to deal with the deck of cards we have been dealt. Julia ainsley as i previewed is with National Security and Michael Steel msnbc political analyst and former lt. Gov. Of maryland and donna edwards, a Democratic Congress woman from maryland. Welcome all. Look, julia, in fairness to brock long, she ride, femas job is not to rebuild infrastructure, their job is there to basically save an entity from disaster. So he was in that. But for some reason, here was a chance a president gets to be president and he doesnt act like it. There is a point there that is worth discussing. When you look at the disaster declaration orders after harvey dealing with the damage if texas and after maria, there is a key language left out of what they did in puerto rico. That is to rebuild infrastructure. They purposely pulled back because they knew the road was so long, they did a lot of private contracting. We saw that didnt always work out. He is right, it isnt their job to have it back in a minute up before the storm comes. They dont have to be on the hook for everything. It seems that North Carolina, my home state, should be in a very different position. But even still, there are more complications. Not everybody has to evacuate from some areas that could be hit really hard. You know, michael, donna, its not you just sometimes the president , you just like, this is i hate to be crass, this is a layup, you talk and preparedness, we will do everything we can to help people. And he just cant help himself. No, he cant. And thats talk about the layup. Thats particularly true after the Lessons Learned from katrina. We watched the Bush Administration deal with weddings in europe and you know ignoring the warnings from meteorologists as we just heard leading up to that storm, that fiveday runup. So president s know now pretty much how to deal with this. But i thinkion anythibeyond i t beyond anything else, everything is about donald trump. Even a devastating hurricane is about donald trump. So his pushback is not so much because of anything other than he thinks the way he handled, executed orders out to people is somehow come under assault. The proof is in the pudding. Look at where puerto rico is today. Right. Tell me whether or not that was a success. When you still have homes that are tarped up and still inability to get supplies there. So thats where we are. Make it up with the governor of puerto rico, who has not been an an tag nis to the president the way the mayor of san juan. Bluntly stated this, this was the worst Natural Disaster in our modern history. Our basic infrastructure was devastated. Thousands of our people lost their lives and many others still struggle. He is personally walking the line if not attacking the president. All it does in an odd way the president s raised the bar on himself. I think, look, there were 1830some lives lost in katrina. 2975 in maria. And the president cant seem to own up to any responsible. Even the action after disaster report for fema show that there were multiple areas where fema failed in delivering services, in delivering food, and rebuilding lets quote the gao report. You are referring to that, let me put this up here. This is a fault to the administration on puerto rico response. They were not prepared to respond to an event like that says the lead author of the report. They were having trouble getting people, not just people, qualified people. This was all of that from prump trumps perspective, blaming the victim, instead of owning the responsibility and heres what he says, heres what we will do differently when it comes to florence, the president is completely incapable of doing that. His response really proves it. So now were waiting to see what happens. The weird thing about the president , he sells the hurricane the way he sells a condo. Just like, look, and i dont know why he does. That take a listen. They say its about as big as theyve seen coming to this country and certainly to the east coast, as theyve ever seen. Well handle it. Get out of its way. Dont play games with it. Its a big one. It may be as big as theyve seen and tremendous apples of water. Were fully prepared, food, medical, everything you can imagine, we are ready. So heres what Ashley Parker wrote, tremendously big, trump reaches for superlatives in the face of calamity. Storms like the one on bearing down on the east coast this week, have offered a particularly revealing glimpse into trumps penchant for the dramatic. He absolutely speaks in hyperb hyperbole. You can see his strategy here. Does he want to show after this if we have a great recovery effort, it was him, he stood up to that . He alone can fix it. We know so much has to do with the resource that starts way before the storm. We can talk about what fema has done for this, some money has been curtailed for fema. There is a lot can you look at that doesnt have to do with his rhetoric. Maybe thats the idea, from the strategy perspective, he wants it to seem like he was out there on the beach. The more calamity you describe then the easier it is to either write off a mistake, oh, it was so devastating. Right. Or look how great we were, the response. Beneath all of that i go back to the clip and the quote from the president and what he said in response to the mayor and others who have been correct am of him. This is puerto rico. It is foreign. It is different. It is concerns people that, quite honestly, im not interested in. Just to put it on the street. Its puerto rico. Its an island. Theres a lot of water around it. What do you expect . And this is the core of where hes coming from. The lack of empathy and concern for people that he considers to be over there, out of the way. And as president , that is damming. And as president , it should be really concerning to the rest of us. There is no electoral vote. Me made a point of making it seem as though Puerto Ricans werent americans. I think thats the rub. So you can see the difference with which he treated houston versus puerto rico in maria, and i just, i think that with this president , everything is about him. Even if its a Natural Disaster. And it does feel sometimes red state, blue state. Okay. Jul you brought up this report, senator Jeff Berkeley photothad some fema budget money was used the department of homeland security, which oversees fema and i. C. E. , moved fema money to help i. C. E. , walk me through this. We will put that in context. I talked to fema and dhs. This was money that was not going to be spent from the blue sky fund, meaning this isnt what you use in the middle of a Natural Disaster. He was used for training, some relocation and that if they didnt spend it, they might not get it the next year. You know how the process works that way. It is within the same agency. So they need to alert congress, they dont need approval tore moving this around if it doesnt cross a certain threshold. That said, you can also say any money going toward fema or Emergency Response agency is money that eventually trickles down to helping people down the road. I do want to point out a lot of this reallocation started this summer. We are finding out about it now. Its not that they looked at the storm and said, detaining pike grants mattered more. Brock long was asked about this, let me play you his response to this story. That money has nothing to do with what you see behind us. It does not pay for this response. It is not coming out of the Disaster Relief fund. It has no impact on our efforts to be prepared for hurricane florence. Its just unfortunately, we have congressmen that is playing politics on the back of florence. All that said, michael and donna, he did sort of confirm that is what happened, he lost money and gave it to i. C. E. It is, heres what happens with fema. Its true, its within the same agency. Now all of these many agencies have been lumped under one. We dont want to debate the whole mess of dhs, although i would love to debate that. Its a crazy thing that weve done. When it comes to Natural Disasters, it comes to fema is when it becomes really important. So what will happen is even after the disaster, fema will come back to the congress and ask for more money to continue its work. Which it should do. But its 10 million lacking. The dhs is, it is never figured out how to be an agent, a department. Thats because it has too many people stirring the pots and too many interests that want whats inside that pot. That makes it much tough tore deem with these types. Not to be overlooked. They are using this money to grow i. C. E. Attention as they are starting to hold families longer, longer than 20 days we reported last week. They will start doing more interior enforcement to hold people before theyre deported. This shows where the agencies lie. Thats an awkward moment when we have fema beds over here with immigration beds. 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Last week, the conventional wisdom in the United States senate has gone from, yeah, there is a bunch of fights over here, oh, wow the senate is in play. It started thanks to Mitch Mcconnells and i assume, Mitch Mcconnell never does anything haphazardly. He wanted this quote out there. We know this will be a challenging election. Arizona, nevada, tennessee, north dakota, tennessee and florida off the top of his head. All of them too close to calm, every one is a knife fight in an alley, its a brawl if every one of those places. Let me ask you this, if its knife fights and its september, isnt this a part of the wave . It is a part of the wave and a number of us have been talking about this for close to eight or nine months now the senate could potentially be in play for a lot of reasons. You know, when everybody was counting out West Virginia and places leak that oh, democrats are going to lose those seats, no, theyre not. And i think whats caught up now is that reality, the internal numbers are showing these races that should not be close are close. And the races that we should pick up were not. I think thats what mcconnell is basically, i love mitch, what he does is, hes like, let me all let you know what i know so you can all go prepare to do what you can do to change this. That itself what that signal was. Donna, conner lamb won a district trump had won by 20 points. We all kept saying, oh, this is more sign the house is in play. Okay. Well, that also means, indiana senate, missouri senate, West Virginia senate, north dakota senate, lets take those red, the four of the reddest h