Agencys condemn nation of the person that is seen as most likely to me one of the forecasters who contradicted him. Interesting conundrums that getting perplexed looks. Democrats face. One person would bring more you dont know the noaa pun . People to show up to door knock, come on, man. Welcome to wednesday. The other person plays well in its meet the press daily. Mecklenburg county. Dave wasserman, man, we need good evening. Sometimes some puns are better more special elections for you, read and some are better said. Dont we . Of course. We dont have enough this President Trump is spiking the football today. Cycle. But last nights special this calendar year. Election in North Carolina we need a few more before the arguably reinforces the dire talks careful what you wish for. Political situation still facing always a pleasure. This president and the kind of reed, daniella, bill, stick brutalist campaign, if you will, around. Coming up, my favorite question of the day what did the he needs to run again to pull off the inside straight to president noaa and when did he victory again. Noaa it . Theres a report that the white the republican candidate he house was behind noaas defense endorsed barely averted disaster of the faults forecast. In a red district trump won in who could false forecast. Who could have seen that coming . 2016 by double digits. Dan bishop topped democrat dan mccready by 2 points in north someone high at the white house, super high, like owns a tower kind of high. Carolinas ninth. First as we go to break, bishop credited the lastminute well share moments from Todays Campaign stop by trump for events marking 9 11. Putting him over the edge. The president and the vice michael helmet howell. Timothy aaron haviland. President stepping in and committing the way they did to this race was tremendous. Donald g. Havlish jr. And a lot of credit goes to the at ground zero in lower president. Protrump sentiment may be manhattan this morning, families of the victims gathered to the reason bishop pulled out. Remember the attack 18 years ago but antitrump sentiment might be the reason democrats got so today. Think about that. 18 years ago today. Close. A magic number. The republicans twopoint people born that day are adults victory was ten points she was the margin President Trump had today. In the ninth district in 2016. Nearly 3,000 names read one by one. While President Trump carried the only interruption, the sound the districts charlotte suburbs of a bell marking the exact when he was on the ballot, this moments of the attacks. Republican lost them last night. [ bell ] folks, the path to a Trump Victory in just about every limu emu doug state goes through a portion of these highly populated suburbs. He cant lose them. Our friend and colleague, david and now for their service to the community, wasserman at the Cook Political Report wrote, if trump himself we present limu emu doug were to replicate the with this key to the city. [ applause ] republicans perfecormance last its an honor to tell you that Liberty Mutual customizes your Car Insurance night all over the state next investigator, he would lose North Carolina and its election so you only pay for what you need. Troerl votes, and thats electoral votes, and thats and now we need to get back to work. Critical to his path. If the trends from last night [ applause and band playing ] hold, its bad news for team trump. And the really bad news for the Trump Campaign is that all of only pay for what you need. The trends from last night are trends weve been seeing now for liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Years. Trends which, as these new polls show, have the president s Approval Rating now dipping below 40 , trends which flipped i am royalty of racing, i am the twisting thundercloud. 40 seats for democrats in 2008, and trend which have democrats gaining ground in the suburbs raise your steins to the king of speed. But losing in Rural America. Heres the best news for republicans, its that the public has faced tough trends and long odds before, and hes narrowly beat them. The bad news for him is its now still his only path to a Second Chance at victory. Joining me is david wasserman, hes the house editor at the Cook Political Report and contributor. Dad oh, hey guys reid wilson, correspondent at mom on speakerphone hi the hill, old pal of mine, son on speakerphone dad, i scored two goals today dad oh, thats great vo getting to a comfortable retirement Daniella Gibbs lashay, center doesnt have to be an uncomfortable thought. For american progress, cohost see how lincoln can help you retire on your terms of a new podcast launching at lincolnfinancial. Com tomorrow called the tent. And bill crystal, editor at lunch of the bulwark. Should always be working harder. Oney welcome. Mr. Wasserman, provocative thing thats why, your cash automatically goes into a Money Market Fund when you open a new account. To say about North Carolinas ninth. It seems to me as if if the just another reminder of the value youll find at fidelity. President cant carry the open an account today. Charlotte suburbs, how does he these days were all stressed. Win reelection . I hear you, sister. Yeah. Chuck, this is a fivealarm fire stress can affect our minds. I call this dish, stress. For trump in the suburbs. Stress can also affect our bodies. So, im partnering with cigna to remind you that your emotional hes basically selfdestructed and physical health are more connected than you think. With College Educated women and voters. If you look to the mecklenburg go in for your annual checkup. And be open with your doctor about anything you feel. District, in 2016 these are what i would call the whole food physically, and emotionally. Suburbs of charlotte, pretty body and mind. Upscale, he won that portion of cigna. Together, all the way. The district by four points in 2016. Dan mccready, the democrat last thats better. Fall, won those same suburbs by nine points and won them yesterday by 12. 5 points even though dan bishop, the republican, represents that area in the state senate. Clearly trumps own popularity was driving the democratic performance there. And it were replicated statewide, he would be on track to lose. You know, in 2008 there was a lot of 2018 there was a lot of thought that that voter, dave, might be a trumpforpresident voter, but they wanted a check on trump. Why do i find it harder to believe that that voter that voted mccready last night in those suburbs is suddenly 14 months later going to split their ticket . Well, its a great question. And look, the fact of the matter is democrats need to get out of their own way in order to let trump selfdestruct. The question is will they in nominating a candidate for president. Its unlikely that theyre going to nominate someone as moderate as dan mccready or someone whos as much of a blank slate like a marine corps veteran. The other question is will they be able to hold on to Hillary Clintons performance in some of the rural areas. Welcome back. The political storm over the robinson county, North Carolina, home to the lumby tribe, was a president s false storm forecast is getting worse. Today a House Committee opened place where mccready did not do an investigation into the trump particularly well and ended up administrations actions after the president claimed that costing him an upset in this alabama was in dorians path race. Thats a county thats only 30 four days after the threat to alabama had officially ended. White. But actually voted for trump in dont worry, weve updated our collage of investigations and 2016 despite having a 60 to 13 calls for investigations from elected House Democrats that, democratic registration yes, we now have dorian. Advantage. If democrats nominate a liberal youll remember that on monday ivy league candidate, i suspect the New York Times reported that commerce secretary wilbur ross threatened to fire top that they could underperform Hillary Clintons share there. Employees at noaa after the Birmingham Office of the two questions for you before National Weather service contradicted the president on i open it up to the panel. One is, do you know do we twitter. The secretary denies that he threatened to fire anyone. Know is there a way to see if doesnt deny that he tried to trump visiting the day before get it resolved, shall we say. And today the New York Times because this is different, every is reporting that the white other one of these specials that house specifically acting chief hes lost he went in sometime of staff Mick Mulvaney was either friday, saturday, or involved. Now the Washington Post is sunday before. This is i believe this is the reporting President Trump first one he did the night himself may have been involved before. In pressuring staff to pressure did that matter . Noaa into releasing a statement theres others that have argued in the past he has come to these that disavowed its own agency. Areas too quickly, too soon, and let too much time lapse. This afternoon, President Trump im curious of your thoughts on denied telling mulvaney to fix that. And second, should we also the issue. No, i never did that. Remind democrats that they have never did that. A massive rural voter problem . Thats a whole hoax by the fake yeah. And its worth mentioning that news media when they talk about the hurricane and when they talk most of the wealthy suburban about florida and they talk democrats who voted for dan about alabama. Thats just fake news. Mccready in south charlotte never see or interact with a lot the more you hear fake news, of the trump democrats. The more reliable the story usually is these days. Democrats who actually voted for so joining me is nbcs chief White House CorrespondentHallie Jackson and msnbc contributor obama twice in robeson county, and chief White House Correspondent for the new york the rural part of the district, times peter baker. Peter was the first to break the and fell out of the Democratic Coalition in 2016. Story today about the white houses direct involvement in as far as his rally goes, i think the most curious the repudiating noaa for contradicting the president. Most interesting part of it is not the timing but rather the peter, im doing something i dont normally do. I like to start with my team. Location. The bulk of votes in north no offense, but you got this story here. Carolina nine is in the you heard the president call it Charlotte Metro area. Instead he went to fayetteville fake news. Tell me about your story. Which clearly was designed to well, look, you know, we saw gin up republican. That there as opposed to riling this rather extraordinary up the democratic vote in Statement Released by noaa last charlotte. What we learned yesterday friday. Five days after the birmingham wow. Trump was even strategic. Weather forecasters said the president was wrong. Thats rare on that stuff. The idea of the statement thats not Rocket Science, didnt seem like it could have chuck. But what we learned from 2018 is come out of nowhere. Obviously it didnt. What happened was the president apparently was telling his staff that they needed to clarify his popularity with his own base is not necessarily transferrable this. That he was right in the end, to downballot republican and they needed to get fiscal cliffed with noaa. Politicians like bishop. Thats nalley valleyed with and thats part of the reason noaa. Why bishop, who is, you know, a thats what led milk mulvaney to member of the republican call the milk mulvaney to political establishment that some of the trump base doesnt call noaa and the weather like, underperformed trump by ten points. Service. The commercial secretary ross all right. Calls neil jacobs, hes the head let me open it up here. Of noaa, and says, you know, you guys have got to fix this in reed, capitol hill today, i effect. And thats hours later comes wondered if a Democratic Victory this statement. This is, you know really would have created some new interesting moment, of course, panic among republicans. Because what youre hearing it didnt happen, but how are critics say is its the they really feeling this day . Politicization of the weather in i feel like this is a relief order to justify a fake claim or a mistaken claim by the win for the republican side but president. Its a selfinflicted wound. A peric victory. They spent a lot of money. The president wouldnt have to make this such a big issue. Because he cant let go, he nothings really changed. Cant admit that hes wrong, we remember the special elections in 2017 and 2018 in state like arizona, ohio, you know, the have two investigations. One by the House Committee and democrat would get close in every single okds sim one by the Inspector General of the department. Hallie jackson, this is the most predictable trump story occasion and fall short. Aha, proof the wave isnt coming. That could come down the pike. Quietly everybody thought it was as soon as this happened, as soon as we saw that as soon coming over performed by 10 in that as we saw that unnamed statement one, 12 in that one from noaa, we knew the back again and again and won story would be coming back in connor lamm in pennsylvania. Some form of the white house. The details we may not have this feels like the same thing. I talked to a pretty senior known until peter reported them in some ways. Right. Republican who said something in some ways this is the most like ive seen this movie before, we feel really good about the win the day after. Obvious tick tock that the sugar high hits, then the because this is a pattern of media narrative sets in, it was his. A close race, and then come the yeah. Say something, Say Something retirement. Thats what this race is about. That was misleading at the very whether or not were going today least, Say Something that was ten retirements because of the inaccurate and refuse to election result or 20 if it acknowledge that that was in fact the case. This story in particular, though, chuck, and i think youre right about everything flipped the other way. Danielle athe other thing you said, heres one thing that is different about this this that dawned on me after the has gotten under the president s skin in a deep and intense way. Polls, this environment might be baked in. What has changed in a year . I mean, dorian has been gone now basically i would argue since for a week, and the president s about the start of a 18 to now, still do you know why go. Hes somewhere in the low 40s, do you know why . Im asking. High 30s on a good day. Yeah, because he hates the coverage of it, chuck. The republicans are that is why. Its because when he first underperforming by about ten talked about the alabama points. I mean, we know what the floor potential threat, right, in the tweet and then in those and ceiling is. Appearances that sunday when he went to fema after returning it didnt grow. Hasnt gotten better for the from camp david ahead of dorian, republicans, hasnt gotten better for the democrats are. He talked about alabama, and the we in a baked in environment . This is a persuadable news reporters, as is our jobs environment . To do, reported out what the i dont think so. There are a group who are president said and fact checked moveable, persuadable. It and pointed out that, no, i do want to talk about the rural voter aspect, though, alabama, youre not at risk because i think its important, because of dorian. Remember what that moment was its something you touched on like, chuck. About the demographics of that. This potentially ferocious are you worried about this, hurricane that was about to throttle the bahamas was heading that you guys are gone in rural no offices in south dakota, toward the u. S. Coastline. By the way. There was i think an incentive no, and there should be. Im not worried yet because its to get out Accurate Information about who was in danger and who late, but its still early is was not. If there is anything you know what im saying. But i do think that we need to this, that this president does not like, it is bad coverage. Look at the demographics of it bothers him. Rural america, and when we talk and this snowballed essentially about it, theyre not just white from that first sort of burst of People Living in Rural America. There are people of color, there bad coverage, and the president talked about the bad coverage, are younger people, and so i then it created more bad coverage, and the president think democrats will do talked about that bad coverage. Themselves a disservice if they here we are 12 days later still dont actually start paying having discussions. Attention to that demographic by the way, its not going and understand that its not just white people that were anywhere. Talking about. Other than the investigations what did you take away from peter mentioned, you also have it . Im basically with you that internally one of the top noaa its fairly baked in, its 2018, scientists saying they want to look into how the weather its a familiar result. Service put out that statement the swing seems to be in the because they dont want to have eight to tenpoint range. Their staffers feel like they the one thing that isnt baked cant trus