1:31 A new forecast from the University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization finds that, for 2021, Hawaii is bouncing back a bit faster than expected but that full recovery is still several years away. Visitor arrivals reached half their normal levels in April and UHERO projects arrivals will reach 70% of pre-pandemic levels by late summer. In its baseline forecast, visitation could reach 6.4 million in 2021, then 8.8 million in 2022, and just over 9 million in 2023. For comparison, Hawaii had a record 2019 with more than 10 million visitors. Things could go in other directions and the UHERO report includes optimistic and pessimistic forecasts around this baseline. The optimistic scenario assumes a quicker rebound of the U.S. economy and high vaccination rates, both of which would stimulate travel.