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Ayman

few cycles, unrealistic. you know, you mentioned like the new letter, old goats, i am an old goat. and i have been following since the 1980s. since the 80s, the 90s, the early part of the 20th sent rear turnout was lower than it has been in the last three cycles. we might see a reversion of it and go back to the period when not as many people were interested. however, the other factor that we have not talked about the first rematch since 1956. eisenhower won for the second time before that, you have to go back to 1888. so, rematches are uncommon. and people don't like them. they want something new.

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Ayman

to meet these expectations that we have had in the last few cycles are kind of unrealistic as you mentioned the newsletter, i'm an old goat covering politics since the 1980 election and to the 80s, the 90s, in the early part, turnout was much lower than what it has been in the last three cycles. so we actually might see that reversion to the mean and go back to the period when, you know, just not too many people are interested. however, the other factor that we haven't talked about beyond this being the first rematch since 1956 when stevenson and eisenhower squared off and he won for the second time. before that you'll need to go back to 1888. so the rematches are extremely uncommon and people don't like

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CNN Newsroom

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CNN Newsroom

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The Lead With Jake Tapper

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Trump Trial Today

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Trump Trial Today

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Americas Newsroom

>> first of all haley has been citing a "wall street journal" poll five weeks ago that showed her beating biden by 17%. it was an outlier. a lot of polls show that biden actually could defeat her. the other night when you had a debate between desantis and haley just the two of them together, they are both 30 points behind president trump. caucuses are coming up in a few days. they have to do something and they spend the whole time beating up on each other and that does kind of turn people off. karl was talking about this history. what we have here is something that hasn't happened in anyone's living memory, a former president running for his old job again after being out of office. it just happened once in 1888. >> dana: you don't remember that. >> i do not remember that. >> 1892.

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Decision 2024 Debate Coverage

let's try this one more time. it was -- >> oh man. >> hey. there it is. it was the pat robertson. in the 1988 caucus, pat robertson beat the sitting vice president, got second, place this was a shockingly high number for robertson. no one had expected, it no one had predicted it. what it represented was the christian wright had started becoming a political force in the late 70s, growing in the 80s. robertson believed he could -- he brought on all sorts of voters who had never participated in the caucus before. this marks the arrival of evangelical christians as a force in the iowa caucus, we talked about earlier, a force that has only grown. two thirds of the iowa electorate in 2016, the republican caucus was evangelical, this was the origin story. pat robertson in 1888. another big surprise was 1980, one would reagan of course was a big year for, reagan he became the president of the united states, here is when it is a little, you can see a parallel to now, you can decide

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Fox News Live

they continue this way how would that fair in november? she make a good point. has the opportunity and the necessity of talking to the general electorate. that is one of the reasons they could remain the front runner is by talking about things that afterthe general election. you are right the electorate is different than what you see in a caucus in iowa or primary in new hampshire. but that is a challenge for any front runner. the front runner has got the ability to move the election beyond the primary into the general election and that is frankly a strength. particularly if you are a full or present as he is remember this is a unique situation the last time we had two presidents running against each other was 1888. and the last time we had a former president run for reelection once again 1888 after having been defeated. he is in that unique

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