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Clinton's electoral map advantage. take a look at the most recent poll. in michigan, 42% to 38%. that's a four-point race in a state where barack obama beat mitt romney by nine points. this is too close for comfort for the democrats. that's why you see so much campaign activity there. also out last night, brand new des moines register poll in iowa, 46% to 39%, seven-point lead for donald trump in iowa. this causes concern not so much about iowa, which the clinton folks already thought was out of reach, but what else is happening around iowa, if that is happening in iowa. let's go to the electo...

Is happening in iowa. let's go to the electoral map and look at the path to 270. hillary clinton at 268, only two shy of 270. where does she go to find it? they feel pretty good about nevada. they think the early vote there is really good. that gets her over to 274. but this is what's critical. if donald trump is able to dig into a place like michigan, look at that. it drops hillary clinton down to 258. where does she go to find the rest? she must get a big battleground prize like florida or north carolina. that would do it to get her back over 270. but that is going to require some work. that...

One northern part of maine, that electoral vote we moved towards donald trump. now, what does this mean for his path at this point? because remember, she may -- hillary clinton may have just fallen below 270 but she's still only two away. he's at 204. he needs to sweep every remaining ballottleground state our map and the battleground district in nebraska, they award electoral votes by district, if he gets that one there, he goes to 270. hillary clinton for her part, back to our battleground map now, our new map, she's at 268. any one of these yellow states she can flip. new hampshire, the s...

Now. the reason is, if hillary clinton wins every democrat state, six presidential elections and she wins florida, that's 271 electoral votes, andrea. it's over. he has to have that. that is a big state, 29 electoral votes. you can't make that up. with all the -- i don't think this is happening, but the new mexicos and new hampshires of the world, don't make that up. that's the one he absolutely -- that one and north carolina are the two he absolutely must have for there to be any plausible path to 270. >> hillary clinton is -- you know, we saw how they were on the campaign trail before that f...

News for the trump campaign. nevada. key to obama's victories. the nbc poll has it 43% to 43%. a dead heat in nevada. a critical state for trump as he tries to get to 270. hillary clinton hopes to block him. let's go to the map which is the race for 270. we have secretary clinton winning, but what does the data do? it makes us think about nevada. maybe trump can take nevada. if he does that, he changes the map. what about florida? if he can do that, she is still is above 270, but trump is back in play. still a steep hill for the final dozen days. he must win north carolina and ohio and mike pe...