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Nate virtually 538.com says hillary has an 84.7% chance of winning. and yet are they to be believed? trump accuses that the polls are crooked. he says they are rigged. the usc-"l.a. times" daybreak tracking poll consistently shows trump doing better than the others. as of this morning, 44.2% for trump, hillary at 44.1. what explains the difference and how well do pre-election polls match the final results? i think you're about to be schocked. david lauder is "l.a. times" washington bureau chief. the methods of the poll don't meet the cnn standards and yet in 2012 that poll said obama would win...

Enabler than victim but are those attacks valid? i'll ask the man who broke the lewinsky scandal. and trump t ourch ts his business prowess as his chief credential but given the behaviors we've just seen, could donald trump get hired at say walmart? i'll ask the nation's premier business writer, andrew ross sorkin is here. even before this, the electoral map was tilting heavily in hillary's favor. but look at this one. it shows donald trump up 44.2-44.1 and this poll has been right before. i'll speak to two experts who will explain why all the numbers could be off. and thanks to his uncanny ...

zandi and veteran political journalist ron brownstein of the "national journal" and peter baker of the "new york times." i'm candy crowley, and this is "state of the union." herman cain and michele bachmann were on this show the day after the iowa straw poll in august. she won, he was fifth, but unbowed. >> this campaign has encouraged and our momentum continues to grow. >> reporter: in an august quinnipiac poll, bachmann ranked third among republicans with 12%. cain just 5%. now in a cbs news poll of republican primary voters she sits between ron paul and rick santorum with 4%. ...

analytics chief economist mark zandi and veteran political journalist ron brownstein of the "national journal" and peter baker of the "new york times." i'm candy crowley, and this is "state of the union." herman cain and michele bachmann were on this show the day after the iowa straw poll in august. she won, he was fifth but unbowed. >> this campaign has encouraged and our momentum continues to grow. >> in an august quinnipiac poll, bachmann ranked third among republicans with 12%. cain just 5%. now in a cbs news poll of republican primary voters, she sits between ron paul and rick...

Media conspiracy. he said it's part of a rigged system, he says, and he's no worse than bill clinton and tries to paint his opponent as more enabler than victim. but are those attacks valid? i'm about to ask the man who broke the lewinsky scandal and before this, it was heavily tilted in hillary's favor. but check this out. look at this one. it shows trump up 44.2% to 41.1% and this is right before. i'll speak to two experts who explain why all the numbers could be off. and thanks to his uncanny ability to get trump to be trump, is the most influential media figure this campaign season howard ...