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Traditionally, the president's party in midterms get 47.5% to 48% of the two-party vote and given to polling that polling average tends to decline as we get closer to election day. i think it seems reasonable to assume or predict that democrats are going to lose this national environment by 4.5% this time and that would represent a 9% swing to the right over these last two years. >> give me names. so, who, therefore, is jeopardy in the midterm who is currently a democratic senate incumbent? >> yeah, folks like raphael warnock, folks like mark kelly, maggie hassan, kathryn cortes massen in neva...

Ahead. and one hour ago i received a poll showing macron, 53, le pen, 47.5. so basically not ten points ahead but just five points ahead. i was thinking maybe something like 2016 in the united states is going to happen in france. again, we don't know what the people are saying, we do not want to vote for macron, we do not want to vote for le pen, we don't know if at the last minute they're going to change their mind. and that's the key in this very sensitive election. >> and you wonder if they're telling the pollsters exactly how they feel or if maybe they're saying something different to some...

They've never known a summer heat wave like this. across north america and canada, temperatures are breaking records. in parts of western canada, it's hotter than the deserts in dubai. what's all the more remarkable is it still early summer. it's the result of a heat dome, a huge amount of a heat dome, a huge amount of high pressure which has settled across the region, and to give you one measure among many, litton in british colombia reached 47.5 degrees celsius, and that broken 84 old record. canadians escaping the heat wherever they can. temperatures hotter than normal. this wherever they c...

The celebrations erupt in the streets of lucerne after switzerland the world champions france in a penalty shootout in the euros. that's a roar of shock and dismay for french fans as the tournament favourites, make an early exit. welcome to our viewers on pbs in america and indeed around the globe. they have never known a summer heatwave quite like this across a vast swathe of north america and canada temperatures are breaking all records. to give you one measure, among many i should say, in british columbia soared to 47.5 c, say, in british columbia soared to 117.5 c, 117 say, in british colu...

>> just point out the numbers there in new jersey, 47.5%. for ciattarelli, the republican challenger, 51.7 p%. >> yeah. this isn't going to make democrats feel better either. >> can i pick up something on the education issue? i think this is -- what youngkin did in virginia was give republicans a blueprint. apparently it was an issue also in new jersey. it's an issue in communities all across the country. he's giving the republican party a blueprint on how to talk to these voters again and a reminder about how we used to run campaigns based on issues that people care about, actual platforms. a...