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Constitution? something is causing cruz to unemployment rate and creating jobs almost 300,000 jobs a month lose control. would you say he was a failure? >> if he was ronald reagan, 22 hallie jackson is in south times in the reagan recovery we carolina. carol lee is a reporter for the created more than 300,000 jobs a wall street journal. a new poll out of iowa shows ted month. it has happened seven times in cruz dropping, donald trump the obama recovery in the same inching up. number of months. cruz still in the lead but just the way we have unemployment down from 10% to 5% in the obama by thre...

And pulled out some of the numbers. christie beat jon corzine in 2009, 48.7 to 44 points. 45 to 49. really not a blowout, right? but barack obama won new jersey 58-40.9. i get the sense that chris christie isn't -- hasn't really been tested against' a strong democrat. barba barba barbara buono is not exactly a strongim democrat. he is an untested commodity with a full democratic base on the table against a strong opponent. >> yeah, i would say, although to put it in context, that four-point victory he had in -- the second highest margin of victory for any republican statewide in new jersey in ...

Purple areas. that's another 19 seats total, by the way. this is how their playing field needs to expand. what's interesting here, when you look at that, how tightly targeted by states some of these house seats are in. so they could literally spend their money and just about five to ten states, and big ones here, multiple districts in california, target multiple in new york, florida, pennsylvania, and yes, arkansas, two open seats there, two represented by democrats not too long ago. so that's their good news. now i'm going to take you to our canary in the coal mine. and that's that one vacant...

Franken. i want everyone looking forward to that. my favorite one is in virginia. george allen, the republican, against tim kaine, the democrat. both guys are very, very familiar to voters of virginia. >> bret: put up the rcp average. very tight. kaine with a slight lead. 48.7 to 46.7. >> they are both former governors. george allen was the senator until he was beaten by jim webb in 2006. this is a redemption effort by george allen. he has been through the ringer and got heat the last time for associating with the confederate flag. for making some purportedly racist comment on the campaign tra...

In just the amount of time we've been talking right now, a football field could fill up 44 feet high. that's how fast it is moving, why people need to get out of the way if those floodwaters are heading toward their community. we want to give you historical perspective how much water we're talking about here. the last time the river crested at 48 feet, which is what it did overnight last night in memphis, was back in 1937. the river crested at 48.7 feet. and how much water are we talking about here? at that time, it flooded a record 20 million acres of land. that is a lot of land. how much lan...