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Thursday at 5:00 p.m. to secure those ballots because of the holiday. >> do you have a question? >> i'm looking at the number. about 40,000 left. that would mean about 40,000 released today, 20,000 released tomorrow. is that correct? >> we've been able to process about 20,000 a day, so yes. >> in terms of where in the county they're from, are they all mixed together roughly? again, i'm not telling you to tell me the percentage of democrats or republicans. every day it's come back, it's been roughly 60/40 for ca katie hobbs, kari lake. >> basically what we're counting now are ballots dropped of...

You see that, you know, the survey researchers did their job. >> i think that the public and pundit class have disregard for margin of error. you know, you hear a race is 51-49, and you just go with the p person with the 51. i referenced 5:3838. 60/40, let's call it. there is a 40% chance it won't be, but we disregard that. >> yeah. i think that's exactly right. i mean, to someone who, you know, has a profession of probability, a professional poker player or something like that, 59% probability is different from a 50/50 probability. but for most people, 59%, that feels like a coin flip. that's...

Likely favor johnson but how many we don't know. and town here in the south you can point to and you can see the votes. >> right. keep going. >> 60/40 johnson and if that is the k whether wauwatosa or not, would still hang onto that lead. >> here we are, 48-48. let's say, by the way senator johnson we are told is going to come out soon. we are going to call it and arizona it seems like it is going bluish. it feels that way. so then, you are left with nevada and georgia, what do you say? >> and a leave at midway point. >> what does nevada look like, carl? >> pardon me? [laughter] way too early ...

Hard to know how accurate polls are, but we know when there are special elections, that is hard data. we saw it with the special elections, the kansas abortion vote, a number of elections in new york state, new york's 19th election that was run largely on abortion. not polling, not error, the actual voting of the actual voters. one thing that jumps out is if you're a political practitioner, you can tell me if i'm wrong, you want to talk about issues you're winning 60/40, and you don't want to talk about issues they're winning 60/40. much of a campaign is a battle space in between them trying t...