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As bread prices rocket, the country has two rival governments again – one courting the west and one linked to Russia, A new Government of National Stability (GNS) headed by Fathi Bashagha and close to Moscow is little more than a mirage. Bashagha was apppinted by the Tobruk-based parliament, the House of Representatives (HoR), on 10 February following the failure to hold presidential elections seven weeks earlier.

, The release of 23 men detained on terrorism charges suggests a shift in the country's counter-terrorism strategy.

The Islamist militia's offensive has increased in tempo but the national army has been holding its own as it looks as though the US will become more involved, Al Shabaab launched more attacks in January and February than it had during all of last year. Most serious was its coordinated attack on 18 February in several districts of Mogadishu that destroyed police stations and allowed insurgents to capture weapons, ammunition and vehicles.

President Museveni's son and putative successor played key role in sensitive negotiations as Kampala and Kigali discuss new regional security threats, The agreement between Uganda's General Muhoozi Kainerugaba and Rwanda's President Paul Kagame to re-open their countries' common land border on 31 January was driven by economic logic but leaves several security disputes unresolved.

After a day of shooting in the capital, Lt Col Damiba takes over brandishing a resignation letter from the ousted leader, The military takeover in Ouagadougou, the third in West Africa in a year, is a challenge to neighbouring governments, especially Niger, and the region's wider security strategy. In different ways, jihadist insurgents linked to Al Qaida and Da'ish (Islamic State or ISIS) and the Wagner Group have been boosted by the fall of Roch Marc Christian Kaboré's government on 24 January.